Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Table of Contents
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3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4
Executive Summary ...................................................................................................................... 3 Brazils Economical and political situation ..................................................................................... 4 The hotel sector ............................................................................................................................ 6
Regional trends .................................................................................................................................................. 8 Cruise ships and coast line development ........................................................................................................... 9 Cheap loans for the Brazilian hotel sector ....................................................................................................... 10 Operators in the Brazilian market .................................................................................................................... 12
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4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4
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How to enter the hotel market .................................................................................................... 17 The future of the market ............................................................................................................. 18 Final considerations .................................................................................................................... 19 Appendix A) Current industry events for 2010. All are yearly events............................................. 20 Appendix B) Government Stakeholders and branch organizations ................................................ 21 Appendix C) Introduction to Brazilian business culture ................................................................ 22
1 Executive Summary
Brazil is an emerging market with a proven growth potential. The tourism sector is growing and major upcoming events such as the 2014 FIFA World Cup and the 2016 Olympic Games will increase hotel demand significantly. The short term outlook is good, and coupled with a promising long term forecast the market presents promising opportunities for Danish suppliers. New market demand in general and government support has forced investments and changes in the market. Expectations about long term demand are firmly rooted in Brazils growing middle class and the after-effects of Brazils international exposure. The middle class can now to a higher degree afford domestic vacations, while international exposure end economic growth are likely to attract more overseas visitors. The hotel sector shows nationwide growth, but is mainly concentrated around the north east region, So Paulo and Rio de Janeiro. The north-eastern part of the country is currently receiving a large share of the capital invested in the Brazilian hotel sector. This part of the country remains underdeveloped for now. The markets in the south-east, Rio de Janeiro and So Paulo, are without comparison Brazil biggest economic centers. The common denominator is investments; new hotels are being build and old hotels are being refurbished. Even though they are short term events, the world cup and the Olympic has fueled a wave of new investments and widespread optimism. The government is spending billions of USD on infrastructure, and the government backed development bank BNDES is offering a USD 600 million line of credit to the hotel sector. Available capital in a sector undergoing structural changes provides opportunities for new suppliers. There is demand for all sorts of hotel inventory, building materials and knowhow. Setting up a presence in Brazil is a low cost investment and involves low risk compared to the gains of exposure to the Brazilian market. A growing environmental conscience could potentially benefit Danish suppliers that are likely to already have an environment friendly product portfolio at competitive prices. Green solutions have intrinsic value in being more cost-efficient, and growing concerns about the environment adds value from a marketing perspective. Whether having a particularly green or regular product portfolio, entering Brazil grants access to a growth market with long term potential reaching beyond the 2016 Olympics.
49 %
37 % 28 % 27 % 16 % 11 % 8% 8% 24 % 20 %
E
D C
16 %
A/B
2003
Source: FGV, IBGE and LCA
2008
2014
Since 2003 more than 33 million people in this country of 198 million, have entered the middle class segment; 1115 - 4808 R$. The country is following what it calls the middle path. In short, the government is undertaking very active social policy schemes within a liberal free market framework. The forecast for 2014 shows continued growth. The middle class is still depending on cheap goods but it can afford domestic air travel 2. Brazil recorded a record number of domestic travelers during 2008 and 2009 in the middle of the worst financial crisis in decades3. Since 2002, a commodities boom has fuelled strong growth and lowered poverty across Latin America. Brazils progress is notable considering that it has far more poor people than any other South American country, and has long been one of the worlds most unequal countries in regards to income distribution. The foundation of todays success was laid during the Fernando Henrique Cardosogovernment (1995-2002). With Asias rising demand for soybeans, beef and iron ore, economic growth in Brazil averaged 4.2 percent annually from 2003 through 2008 in the same period foreign investments in the country experienced a 30% increase. The worldwide economic crisis caused a brief downturn during recent years, but forecasts shows that Brazil will post a 5% growth in 20104. Although Brazils industrial giants such as airplane maker Embraer and the mining company Vale, attract investors and headlines, the future optimism is also rooted in the increasing number of small and mediums sized businesses that continue to gain in strength and numbers.
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www.brasil.gov.br
This survey linked to illustration 3.1 is not taking the 2016 Olympics into account. For the year 2010, there is a genuine optimistic atmosphere within the Brazilian hotel market. The reason for this, is the expectation of a strong GDP (+5,35%) on a yearly basis, a stable exchange rate (1 US$ = 1 R$ 1,80 at years end), and an increase in the SELIC rate6 (11% at the years end). FDI for 2010 is projected to be the second highest in history (at US$ 37.5 billion)7. According to an analysis made by the Brazilian Tourist Ministry, the Brazilian hotel industry is undergoing a very positive development. The hotel supply in Brazil has substantially increased in the last few years, but it still remains below the countrys potential. Currently, the number of existing hotels in Brazil is more or less 25 thousand8.
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The SELIC rate is the Banco Central do Brasil's overnight lending rate. HVS Brazilian Hotel Market Overview 2009/2010 Interview Larcio Roberto Lemos de Souza, Brazilian tourism ministry
According to Valor Especial the future of the hotel investments will primarily focus on the North-eastern part of Brazil. As seen in illustration 3.2, the north-east region already accounts for 48,2% of new investment projects and 83,3 % of the invested capital. The north east remains underdeveloped for now Around 46.000 rooms are being constructed and it is hard to tell when the market is saturated. From 2003 2007, 52% of the 35.848 new companies that started in this region were in the business of establishing resorts. Illustration 3.3 FIFA World Cup 2014 host cities
Source: http://www.fifa.com/worldcup/brazil2014/destination/cities/index.html
The hosting location of the FIFA 2014 world cup can be seen in illustration 3.3 above. The city of Rio de Janeiro has attracted extra attention because it is hosting the Olympic Games in 2016. There is a growing perception that there will be a large volume of public and private investment in the city, and an increase in hotel demand. This perception is based on the following facts: The co-hosting of the World Cup 2014 The hosting of the Olympic Games 2016
Expected investments in the Naval,- petrochemical,- transportation and international commerce sectors The implementation of the 3.5bn-real Porto Maravilha Project renewing Rios port area.
It is estimated that Rio will need 40.000 thousand more rooms to satisfy the demand during the Olympic Games9. So Paulo will also be one of the hosting cities for the World Cup 2014. In 2010, the expectations are that the demand for hotels will begin to increase, once again reaching 2008 levels. So Paulos current market situation is favorable for investors and owners of hotel units in the city. The secondary market of condo-hotel rooms is growing and can prove to be a lucrative way to invest in the citys industry during the next few years.
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the capacity and quality of accommodation for the 2014 World Cup. The program offers funding to tourism projects throughout Brazil, but will now have extra funds to benefit all 12 host cities for the 2014 World cup. The program offers special financing conditions for hotel projects certified for sustainability or energy efficiency. The BNDES ProCopa Turismo offers financial support through subprograms divided according to hotel certification. The scheme operates with the concepts of Standard Hotel, Energy Efficient Hotel and Sustainable Hotel. Different rules apply for each category. Conditions for eligibility: In order to gain access to credit, companies have to be headquartered and administered in Brazil. Beneficiaries should be enrolled in the Ministry of Tourisms Brazilian database for tourist services (CADASTUR) and provide evidence that their project is enlisted in the Hotel Classification System in effect at the Ministry of Tourism. In order to obtain the maximum term of loan expansion (12 or 18 years) bidders should submit sustainable construction certification which, besides energy efficiency also incorporates rationalization of water and waste management. As of mid august 2010 ProCopa Tourism is considering 63 projects. Clients applying for the BNDES fund have to submit their applications by the 31 st of December, 2012. http://inter.bndes.gov.br/english/procopa_turismo_in.asp
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Hotel Accor
Current market position Accor is the main international operator and the 2nd largest hotel chain globally. It currently operates 144 outlets throughout Brazil with 22,809 rooms. The hotels are under the brands: Ibis, Sofitel, Formule 1, Merure, Novotel, among others. www.accorservice.com www.grsa.com.br
Investment strategy The company is planning to build 85 new hotels in Brazil in the period up to 2015, (around 5000 rooms) with an investment of more than USD 250 million. This will be achieved through the expansion of their 20 Formule 1 and Ibis hotels. Furthermore the chain is remodeling 31 of their 65 Mecure hotels and eight of their 51 Ibis hotels, which are targeted at economy class tourists. The company is planning to build 28 additional hotels.
Atlantica
The hotel chain currently operates 72 hotels in Brazil http://www.atlanticahotels.com/ This Spanish hotel chain currently owns 14 hotels in Brazil; nine in So Paulo, three in Brasilia and two others in Campinas and Angra dos Reis. http://www.solmelia.com
Sol Meli
Hyatt
Grand Hyatt Sao Paulo is a 5-star hotel located on Avenida das Naes Unidas, in Sao Paulo. There are currently 466 rooms and suites. http://www.hyatt.com
Hyatt will focus their expansion efforts on under-penetrated markets such as Brazil. They see their presence in Brazil as a potential platform for future growth.
Hilton
There are two Hilton Hotel & Resorts. One in So Paulo and one in Belem. http://www1.hilton.com
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Marriott
Currently Marriott International offers four hotels in Brazil; two in So Paulo, one in Rio and Marriott Executive Apartments in So Paulo which has 114 apartments. Marriott International Inc. has recently opened a development office in So Paulo, as a part of an overall global restructuring to focus on growth in emerging markets. http://www.marriott.com
In addition to its hotel portfolio, Marriott International recently announced its partnership with the state of Amazonas in Brazil, helping to protect 1.4 million acres (589,000 hectares) of endangered rainforest in the Juma Sustainable Development Reserve.
Blue Tree
Blue Tree Hotels has 22 hotels and resorts in operation: So Paulo (9 hotels), Recife, Porto Alegre, Florianpolis, Curitiba, Joinville, Braslia, the beach resort Blue Tree Park Cabo de Santo Agostinho (in Pernambuco), the beach and mountain resort Blue Tree Park Angra dos Reis (in Rio de Janeiro) and the Blue Tree Park Braslia. http://www.bluetree.com.br
So far Blue Tree has 6 hotels in the pipeline located different places in Brazil, all to open within 2012.
Hoteis Othon
The Othon Hotel group offers more than 5,000 rooms in more than 40 properties. http://www.hoteis-othon.com.br
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Pestana
Pestena operates seven hotels in Brazil: 5 star Rio Atlantica Hotel Angra Hotel( 30 luxury individual bungalows), Natal (5-star), Salvador (5-star), Salvador da Bahia (5-star), Curitiba (4-star business hotel), Pestana So Paulo Hotel & Conference Center So Luis de Maranho http://www.pestana.com/
Portugals Pestana Group is a likely candidate for credit lines issued by BNDES, as it manages nine hotels in six of the 12 World Cup 2014 host cities
Orient Express
Orient-Express is a hotel and travel company, focused on the luxury end of the leisure market. Its units are; Copacabana Palace, located in Rio de Janeiro and Hotel Cataratas in Iguazu Falls, which was reopened in 2009. www.orient-express.com
BHG S.A.
Brazil Hospitality Group is one of the largest hotel groups in Brazil. They manage 31 hotels; (15 owned by BHG) Operation properties in the three, four and five-star categories. http://www.investtur.com/
BHG invests mainly in large urban centers oriented towards business tourism. The Company plans to take advantage of the cultural diversification in the country and in South America as a way to attract all types of business tourists and to reduce the seasonality risks. There are six new projects in pipeline; two Holiday Inn hotels and four new Holiday Inn Express hotels
InterContinental Group
The Brazilian subsidiary of the Intercontinental Hotel Group is holding a number of recognized brands in the Brazilian hotel industry. The group operates 12 hotels across Brazil; among the brands are: InterContinental, Crowne Plaza, Holiday Inn, Holiday Inn Express and Staybridge Suites. www.ichotelsgroup.com www.ihgplc.com
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Set up Brazilian office to supply furniture, fixtures and equipment / Subcontracting to new construction and refurbishments.
A low level of fixed assets equals low risk / Spike in demand leading up to the world cup / An established presence can lead to more orders in the future. Danish companies are likely to have a competitive advantage in green technologies.
Language barriers often include the need to hiring local personnel, which can slow down the set-up process.
Subcontract to big chains / Provide green solutions for new construction or refurbishment projects. Make a competitive proposal to port authorities that meets the requirements Joint-venture with suitable partner or Greenfield investment
Inefficient and expensive customs system / Need for compliance with Brazilian standards.
Finding suitable partners / Assisting with contracting and standard compliance. Monitoring the competitive biddings
Bureaucratic process, Political decisions may change / Inefficient and expensive customs system. Cultural differences / High level of fixed assets equals high risk.
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7 Final considerations
This study has been done by the Commercial Department of the Danish Consulate General in So Paulo in cooperation with the Danish Embassy in Brasilia. As Brazil will be the host-country of both FIFA World Cup 2014 and the Olympic Games 2016, Danish suppliers will have an excellent opportunity to enter the hotel industry. The great expectations for the Olympic Games and the world cup do not only concern the hotel and tourism sector. Suppliers of furniture, electronic equipment and textiles such as towels, fridges, televisions and other items will be affected by the increased demand caused by both the Olympic Games and the FIFA World Cup. With substantial amounts of governmental and private investments pouring in to the hospitality sector, there will be demand for foreign suppliers of goods and know-how. The North-east, Rio de Janeiro and So Paulo are the main international gateway markets. These areas can support new investments from branded budget to luxury properties. The mid-market segment is underserved and provides significant opportunities for foreign investors. Even though the WC and the OL are limited to a relatively short period of time, they play an important role in putting Brazil on the world map. The widespread optimism in Brazil and the hotels sector in particular provide a good opportunity for Danish firms to establish and expand positions in a market that is likely to grow. Establishing a presence in Brazil has long term potential that reaches far beyond the end of the Olympics in 2016. For further information, as well as for commercial assistance, please contact: Consulate General of Denmark in So Paulo Jimmy Olsen Phone: +55 11 2127 0750 E-mail: jimols@um.dk
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8 Appendix A) Current industry events for 2010. All are yearly events.
September 13 - 16, 2010 International Trade Show of Equipment, Products, Services, Food and Beverage to Hotels, Motels, Flat Services, Restaurants, Bars, Snack Bar, Fast Food Restaurants, Food Service Industry and Laundries. Equipotel is an annual event.
September 27-28, 2010. A South American Hotel & Tourism Investment Conference held in the city of Cartagena de Indias Colombia. SAHIC is a meeting place for private and public authorities, investors and developers from the most important hotel chains expounded on the opportunities of the region as regards hospitality and tourism. SAHIC is an annual event.
August 17-19. 2010 Conotel is a conference on the hospitality business. The conference attracts major players in the Brazilian hospitality industry and participants come from all over South America. Conotel is an annual event.
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