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OST01 HOC

Sent:
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Attachments:

Tuesday, March 29, 2011 2:25 AM

PMT01 Hoc
FW: Update of forecast wind conditions for Fukushima Daiichi 1
WRFFukushimaNPPForecast_2011-03-29_00Z (Skm).xlsx

Original
----Message -----

From: HOO Hoc

Sent: Tuesday, March 29, 2011 2:05 AM
To: LIA07 Hoc; OSTO] HOC; OST02 HOC; OST03 HOC
Subject: FW: Update of forecast wind conditions for Fukushima Daiichi 1

Headquarters Operations Officer

U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
Phone: 301-816-5100
Fax: 301-816-5151
email: hoo.hocn@nrc.gov
secure e-mail: hool@nrc.sgov.gov

---- Original Message----From: Simpson, Matthew D. [mailto:simpson35@llnl.gov]

Sent: Tuesday, March 29, 2011 2:04 AM
To: HOO Hoc; PMT02 Hoc; PMT01 Hoc; CMHT@nnsa.doe.gov; nitops@nnsa.doe.gov; alan.remick@nnsa.doe.gov;

'McMichael, Luka

(b)(6)

(b)(6)
Cc: narac@llnl.go
Subject: Update of forecast wind conditions for Fukushima Daiichi 1

A spreadsheet is attached containing the latest forecast wind conditions at the Fukushima Power Plant.
The forecast time series is derived from the latest NARAC WRF simulation with 5 km horizontal grid spacing.

NOTE: Onshore winds during forecast period.

Fukushima Power Plant Forecast Summary:

29 March 06:00 Z to 29 March 08:00 Z:

Southeasterly (onshore) winds around 2 - 3 m/s.

.29 March 08:00 Z to 30 March 03:00 Z:

Westerly winds ranging from 3 - 9 mi!

1

\C.~

30 March 03:00 Z to 30 March 09:00 Z:

Possible southerly flow as a weak coastal circulation tries to
develop in the afternoon, wind speeds.from 3 - 8 m/s,
30 March 09:00 Z to end of forecast period:

Westerly winds around 3 - 5 m/s.

Matthew Simpson
NARAC Atmospheric Scientist

Forecast Model: WRF

Horizontal Grid Spacing: 5 km
Vertical Levels: 44
Forecast Location: Fukushima NPP, Japan
Data Produced by Matthew Simpson (NARAC, 925 / 422-7627)

YEAR
--.--

2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
201.1
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011

MO

3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3

DY

HR
(UTC)

WSP
(m/s)

WDR
--...

CLASS

--

29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30

6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
19

1.8
2.7
1.6
3.3
5.5
6.8
8.4
7.9
7.8
9.1
8.5
8.5
7.5
8
8.3
7.5
6.6
5.9
5.2
2.4
1.7
2.3
8.6
6.9
4.2
2.8
3.1
2.5
3.9
1.6
3.6
3
2.1
2.2
3.2
5.2
4.2
4

140
138
163
245
265
274
273
274
282
272
270
270
272
272
271
269
275
280
285
266
279
206
170
171
168
184
166
275
284
280
275
276
238
191
251
271
260
279

C
C
D
E
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
D
E
D
E
E
E
F
F
F
E
E
E

Temp (2m)
(C)

(in/hr)

RAIN

11
9
8
5
4
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
5
8
10
12
12
12
10
7
9
8
7
6
6
5
3
3
4
3
2
2
2
2

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.08
0.03
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

2011
2011

3
3

30
30

20
21

4.2
5.7

280
300

E
D

3
4

0
0

2011
2011
2011

3
3
3

30
30
31

22
23
0

5.3
4.9
3.4

281
292
266

D
D
C

5
6
7

0
0
0