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Who Voted?
198 precincts cast ballots in the City of Austin (COA) Prop 2 election – including the
17 precincts inside the COA that are in Williamson County.
81 precincts voted yes on Prop 2 by 50.1% or greater
114 precincts voted no on Prop 2 by 50.1% or greater
3 precincts were tied at 50% - 50%
Other Observations
We will not know until the final canvas report is released and we can see who
actually voted, but the Early Vote electorate and EDAY electorate where completely
different animals.
st
3115 S. 1 St. * Suite 104 * Austin, TX 78704 * (512) 633-0791 * mark@marklittlefield.com
Democrats did much worse on EDAY, but Prop 2 did not change. There is a theory
to explain why the Prop 2 results did not change, but I don’t what it is yet.
75% of all ballots cast in this election were cast during Early Vote and 25% were cast
on Election Day.
Democrats represented an overwhelming majority of Early Vote, and even though
we don’t have data on Election Day voters – it is evident by the Election Day results
in the partisan races that Republicans did much better on Election Day.
The difficult concept to grasp is that these two different electorates – Early Vote and
Election Day - voted almost exactly the same on Prop 2 – 52% to 48% during Early
Vote and 53% to 47% on Election Day.
The last fascinating fact to be revealed after the canvass report is released is the
number of under votes – an under vote is a ballot that was cast, but the voter
skipped Prop 2. I believe that will see a higher percentage of under votes in vote
yes’s best boxes and a lower percentage in vote no’s best boxes, but that is just a
theory.
st
3115 S. 1 St. * Suite 104 * Austin, TX 78704 * (512) 633-0791 * mark@marklittlefield.com