Professional Documents
Culture Documents
nd
Gujarat 2011
on Specialty, Fine Chemicals , Agrochemicals Dyes & Pigments and SME Sector in Gujarat State
Knowledge Paper
CONTENTS
Executive summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 The Gujarat state advantage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Industry reports. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 1. Agrochemicals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 2. Fine chemicals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 3. Dyes and pigments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 4. Other specialty chemicals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Thought notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 1. Farming solutions - the next frontier for breakthrough growth of Indian agrochemical companies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 2. Contract research - driving strategic value from emerging markets . . . . . . . 69 3. GST: An opportunity to assess your supply chain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 About Tata Strategic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79
Executive Summary
his FICCI report on the specialty chemical industry in India, prepared by Tata Strategic Management Group, provides an analysis of key industry segments agrochemicals, fine chemicals, dyes, pigments and colourants and other specialty chemicals. The report highlights the current market size, projects future market size and growth, map demand-supply scenario and outline the demand drivers. It also provide insights on key market, technology and regulatory trends and conclude with a brief outlook on the levers for delivering growth - through capitalizing on opportunities and addressing imminent challenges. The report provides a brief overview of the business environment in the state of Gujarat, with special emphasis on agrochemicals, fine chemicals, dyes, pigments and colourants and other specialty chemicals. It describes salient features and key developments in the investing climate and industrial policy of the state. Over the past two decades, Gujarat has become one of the most preferred locations for industrial investment in India. Gujarat has achieved an annual growth rate of over 10% p.a. over the past five years and is one of the most industrialized states of India. It accounts for 16% of the nation's industrial production and 22% of its exports. Gujarat possesses several key factors which have enabled it to chart a path of rapid growth and industrialization - sound infrastructure facilities, availability of skilled and semi-skilled manpower, excellent domestic and international connectivity and rich natural resources. But the key differentiating factor has been Gujarat's investor-friendly policy towards industrial development. These have resulted in Gujarat evolving as the hub of India's chemical and petrochemical industry - with the state accounting for more than half of India's total chemical industry and ~63% of total national petrochemical production. The chemical industry is today the largest and fastest growing component of Gujarat's manufacturing sector. The Indian chemical industry forms the backbone of the industrial and agricultural development of India and provides building blocks for downstream industries. The industry has registered a growth of ~10% p.a. over the last few years and is currently estimated to be around $ 80-85 Bn. Specialty and knowledge chemicals together account for $ 27 Bn and could grow at a higher rate of ~15-17% over the next few years, outpacing the overall GDP growth rate.
Agrochemicals
As an allied industry of agriculture, which accounts for about one fifth of India's GDP, the agrochemicals industry is a significant industry for the Indian economy. The Indian agrochemicals market grew at around 10%-11% over the last five years to reach ~$ 3.4 Bn in FY10. With 125 technical grade manufacturers and 800 formulators, India is the fourth
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largest producer of agrochemicals in the world after USA, Japan and China. Indian agrochemical exports have shown an impressive growth in the past few years driven by excess capacity and availability of cheap labor. Exports account for almost 53% of the industry revenues and manufacturing cost-competitiveness vis--vis developed economies is expected to driver exports growth at around 15% annually in the next decade. Government focus on achieving food grain self sufficiency coupled with limited farmland availability is expected to provide a further impetus to the industry.
Fine chemicals
The Indian pharmaceutical industry size stood at nearly $ 21.4 Bn in 2010, 40% of which was accounted for by fine chemicals. The fine chemicals market is poised for rapid growth in the next decade driven by increased focus on contract manufacturing (CRAMS) by global players to reduce costs and increasing exports to innovators (as opposed to generics). The market size is expected to exceed $ 45 Bn in 2016.
Specialty chemicals
Other specialty chemicals primarily consist of paints & coatings chemicals, construction chemicals, polymer additives, water treatment chemicals and aroma chemicals. Paints & coatings is the largest segment, with a market size of ~$ 3.4 Bn in 2010. Other key segments include water treatment chemicals valued at ~$ 540 Mn, construction chemicals valued at $ 400 Mn, aroma chemicals valued at ~$ 300 Mn, and polymer additives valued at ~ $ 300 Mn in 2010. All these segments are expected to grow at rates above the chemical industry average, based on growth in their respective end use industries, evolving applications and changing regulatory environment. Additionally, a separate section containing recent Thought Notes published by Tata Strategic Management Group has been included. This section provides key insights on contemporary trends and issues related to Indian businesses, especially pertinent to the chemical industry and small & medium scale industries (SMEs).
02
03
04
Availability of skilled manpower, access to local and international markets and strong market fundamentals backed by rising per capita income have propelled India to become a leading economy by 2010 (ninth-largest in nominal terms, fourth largest in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms). This growth story is driven by manufacturing and service sectors, which cumulatively account for more than 85% of current GDP.
Composition of GDP (%)
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% '90 '94 '98 '02 '06 '10 Agriculture: 14.4% Industry: 20.0% Services: 65.6%
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Chemical industry is a significant contributor to the Indian economy, accounting for 11% of total industry output and 13% of Gross Value Added by the manufacturing sector in FY10. The industry contributes to 10% of India's total exports and is a net earner of foreign exchange. It is also a significant employment generator and participation field for small and medium scale industries (SMEs). The size of India's chemical industry was approximately $ 83 Bn in FY10, and could grow at 15% annually to $ 330 Bn in 2020 in the most likely scenario, outpacing the GDP growth rate. The growth is expected to be driven by rising demand in end-use segments and rising exports fuelled by increasing export competitiveness.
Indias chemical industry, FY10 (% of total)
Petrochem , 16, 20% Other base chemicals, 27, 33% Biotech, 3, 3% Agrochem, 2, 2%
Total: $ 83 Bn
Source: Tata Strategic estimates
Annual FDI inflows to India exceeded $ 30 Bn for the first time in 2007, and India became the second largest FDI destination globally. Though FDI inflows have dipped to $ 23 Bn in FY11 due to the combined effect of aftershocks of global recession and bunching effect of FDI, it is expected to re-touch pre-recession levels by 2012.
40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 9 6 5 4 6 23 23 34 35 33 35
06
Source: Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister, Department of Industrial Promotion and Policy
20 01 -0 2 20 02 -0 3 20 03 -0 4 20 04 -0 5 20 05 -0 6 20 06 -0 7 20 07 -0 8 20 08 -0 9 20 09 20 10 10 -1 1E 20 11 -1 2P
50.6
362
398
Acquisition
N.A.
Strategic Stake
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
22%
The chemical and petrochemical industry in Gujarat is the fastest growing sector in the state's economy. Gujarat has truly emerged as the hub of chemical manufacturing in India, accounting for more than 62% of national petrochemicals and 51% of national chemical sector output in 2007. It leads all states in MoU formation and committed investments in the sector. 30% of total fixed capital investments in the state are allocated to manufacturing of chemicals and chemical products, and the sector employs about 20% of the workforce of the state.
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Nonmetallic products, 5%
Energy, 26%
Source: Gujarat Socio-Economic Review,2009-10
Gujarat houses production facilities for some of the largest global and Indian chemical and petrochemicals manufacturers. Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. (GSFC), Gujarat Alkalis & Chemicals Ltd. (GACL) and Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers Company Ltd. (GNFC) are the largest public sector units located in Gujarat. GSFC is the only producer of melamine and largest producer of caprolactum in India. GACL is the market leader in caustic soda whereas GNFC is one of the leading fertilizers company in the country. Apart from these 3 PSUs, a large number of domestic and multinational companies across various chemical segments have presence in the state. Leading Indian and multinational private organizations which have a footprint in Gujarat are Reliance, ONGC, Dow Chemicals, Cheminova, Lanxess, India Oil (IOCL), Indian Petrochemical Corporation Limited, Nirma, Essar, BASF, Bayer, Rallis, Novartis, Cadila, Aarti Group and Deepak Nitrite. Gujarat accounts for ~40% of India's pharmaceutical output with more than 3200 pharmaceutical companies located in the state
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Investments
The sustained economic success and rapid industrial growth have been made possible by an unambiguous pro-industry approach by the State. Several policy decisions, execution of key projects and geographic and demographic factors have helped increase the ease of doing business in Gujarat, specifically in the chemicals industry.
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and natural gas make Gujarat a leading manufacturer of basic chemicals (e.g. caustic soda, caustic potash), petrochemicals (e.g. polymers, PE/PP/PVC) and fertilizers (e.g. urea, biofertilizers).
Availability of talent
Gujarat has always been well known for its entrepreneurial talent who have spread their footprint nationally and across the globe. Additionally, over 45 government and private management institutes provide a pool of business administration talent. Moreover, there are ~40 engineering colleges teaching chemical engineering and ~50 polytechnic institutes offering courses focussed towards the chemicals sector. Overall, Gujarat offers a worldclass pool for talent in entrepreneurship, business administration and engineering, which could be easily tapped by the industry.
Ahmedabad Chemicals
DAHEJ PCPIR:
The PCPIR at Dahej, southern Gujarat is spread across a notified area is 453 sq km and it has received formal approval from DoC&PC in March 2009.
Existing infrastructure
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The Dahej PCPIR enjoys proximity to Gujarat Chemical Port Terminal Company Limited (GCPTCL) and LNG port and access to Delhi - Mumbai Broad Gauge railway line at
Bharuch. A 50-km of four-lane Dahej-Bharuch State Highway connects six lane DelhiMumbai National Highway & Expressway.
Existing
40 MnTPA Solid & Liquid Cargo and Container Port with investment of $300 Mn; Container Feeder Terminal (10000 TEU) to Pipavav and Marine Shipbuilding Park by GMB
v Roads:
Ahmedabad-Baroda National Expressway to be extended to Mumbai (PCPIR loop planned); six-laning of Dahej-Bharuch road; upgradation of 8 km of port linkage & four-laning of 42 km of State Highways within PCPIR; construction of 25 km of coastal roads airport for PCPIR ; airstrip at Ankleshwar
gauge conversion of Bharuch-Dahej rail line (62 km); connection with Delhi-Mumbai Dedicated Freight Corridor (DFC)
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subsidy on eligible parameters, e.g. sector, size, etc. capital and patent monetization assistance acquisition fund
v Rehabilitation
With the existence of conducive business environment, presence of leading companies, availability of a strong talent pool, entrepreneurial culture and strong policy support by the State Government, Gujarat is poised to retain and further build on its leadership position in India's chemical industry going forward.
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INDUSTRY REPORTS
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Agrochemicals
Introduction
Agrochemicals or pesticides are chemical substances used to control or kill pests, unwanted plants or animals that may harm or damage the crops. Agrochemicals can be classified into the following key segments: 1. Insecticides 2. Herbicides/ Weedicides 3. Fungicides 4. Bio-pesticides 5. Others (Nematocides, Rodenticides etc.)
2009
2010
2015E
15
The crop protection chemicals market is mainly concentrated in the major developed countries such as United States and Western European nations. Europe has the largest share in the agrochemical market followed by Asia, Latin America and North America. There is an increased usage of products in Europe due to high commodity prices and in order to boost yield and quality. Increased demand for palm oil has led to increasing usage of herbicides in Japan, Malaysia and Indonesia. Strong rice prices and other food grains are driving the agrochemical consumption in India. In Latin America, increased production of soybean and sugarcane for animal feed as well as for bio-fuels is the driving the growth of agrochemical consumption. The top 6 crop protection companies cumulatively account for approximately 70% of the market by revenues.
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15%
7.3
3.4
1.6 1.8
2010
8% 3.5
2020
Domestic
Exports
Source: PMFAI and government data, Meeting of the GOI Chemicals Task Force
India's agrochemicals consumption is one of the lowest in the world with per hectare consumption of just 0.58 Kg compared to US (4.5 Kg/ha) and Japan (11 Kg/ha). The key reasons for low usage are low purchasing power of farmers, lack of awareness about crop protection benefits and poor reach and accessibility of crop protection chemicals. Annual crop losses due to pests are estimated at $ 17 Bn for FY09.
India Pakistan UK
Source: Industry reports, Meeting of the GOI Chemicals Task Force - Crop protection sub sector discussions, Tata Strategic Analysis
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The top three states Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra and Punjab account for ~50% of the total pesticide consumption in India. Andhra Pradesh is the largest consumer of pesticides with a market share of 24%.
West Bengal, 5% Haryana, 5% Tamil Nadu, 5% MP & Chattisgarh, 8% Gujarat, 7% Maharashtr a, 13%
Industry structure
The agrochemicals/ crop protection market in India is characterized by a high degree of fragmentation. In India, there are about 125 technical grade manufacturers (10 multinationals), 800 formulators, over 145,000 distributors. 60 technical grade pesticides are being manufactured indigenously. Technical grade manufacturers sell high purity chemicals in bulk (generally in drums of 200-250 Kg) to formulators. Formulators, in turn, prepare formulations by adding inert carriers, solvents, surface active agents, deodorants etc.
Formulators
Distributors
The total installed capacity in FY09 was 146,000 tons and total production was 85,000 tons leading to an average capacity utilization of 58%. The industry suffers from high inventory (owing to seasonal & irregular demand on account of monsoons) and long credit periods to farmers, thus making operations 'working capital' intensive. India due to its inherent strength of low-cost manufacturing and qualified low-cost manpower is a net exporter of pesticides to countries such as USA and some European & African countries. Exports formed ~50% of total industry turnover in FY08 with 29% CAGR from FY04 to FY08.
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82
85
83
85
FY06
FY07 Capacity
FY08 Production
FY09
Key Segments
Insecticides: Insecticides are used to ward off or kill insects. Consumption of insecticides for cotton has come down to 50% from 63% of total volume after introduction of BT cotton. Fungicides: Fungicides are used to control disease attacks on crops. The growing horticulture market in India owing to the government support has given a boost to fungicide usage. The market share of fungicides has increased from 16% in 2004 to 20% in 2009. Herbicides: Herbicides are the fastest growing segment of agrochemicals. Their main competition is cheap labor which is employed to manually pull out weeds. Sales are seasonal, owing to the fact that weeds flourish in damp, warm weather and die in cold spells. Bio-pesticides: Bio-pesticides are pesticides derived from natural substances like animals, plants, bacteria and certain minerals. Currently a small segment, bio-pesticides market is expected to grow in the future owing to government support and increasing awareness about use of non-toxic, environment friendly pesticides. Others: Plant growth regulators, Nematocides, Rodenticides, Fumigants etc. Rodenticides and plant growth regulators are the stars of this segment.
Segment Insecticides Fungicides Herbicides Biopesticides Others Major Products Acephate , Monocrotophos Cypermethrin Mancozeb , Copper Oxychloride Ziram Glyphosate , Isoproturon , 2,4 -D Spinosyns , neem -based Zinc Phosphide , Aluminium Phosphide Main Applications Cotton, Rice Fruits, Vegetables, Rice Rice, Wheat Rice, Maize, Tobacco Stored produce
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Herbicides 20%
Insecticides, 55% Source: Ministry of Chemicals & Fertilizers, Industry reports, Tata Strategic analysis
Competitive landscape
The Indian agrochemicals market is highly fragmented in nature with over 800 formulators. The competition is fierce with large number of organized sector players and significant share of spurious pesticides. The market has been witnessing mergers and acquisitions with large players buying out small manufacturers. Key market participants include United Phosphorus Ltd, Bayer Cropscience Ltd, Rallis India Ltd, Gharda Chemicals Ltd, Syngenta India Ltd, BASF India Ltd, etc. Top ten companies account for 75%-80% of the market share. The market share of large players depends primarily on product portfolio and introduction of new molecules. Strategic alliances with competitors are common to reduce portfolio risks and get access to a wider customer base.
Market trends
v Focus
on developing environmentally safe pesticides by the industry as well as the Government. The Department of Chemicals has initiated a nationwide programme for "Development and production of neem products as Environment Friendly Pesticides" with financial assistance from United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).
v Focus
by larger companies on brand building by conducting awareness camps for farmers and providing complete solutions.
v Increase
in strategic alliances among large players for greater market reach and acquisitions of smaller companies globally to diversify product portfolio. For example: Rallis has a marketing alliance for key products with FMC, Dupont, Syngenta, Bayer and Nihon Nohayaku. In addition, UPL has had a series of small acquisitions globally to enter new geographies and gain product expertise.
v Increasing
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scope for contract manufacturing in India, consistent with the trend of international companies looking eastwards for contract manufacturing partners.
Technology trends
v Increased
R&D expected for development of new molecules and low dosage, high potency molecules
v Focus
on R&D in bio-pesticides segment with increasing preference for environmentally safe products in the market
Growth drivers
v Growth
in demand for food-grains: India has 16% of the world's population and less than 2% of the total landmass. Increasing population and high emphasis on achieving food grain self-sufficiency as highlighted in the FY10 budget, is expected to drive growth.
v Limited
farmland availability and growing exports: India has ~190 Mn hectares of gross cultivated area and the scope for bringing new areas under cultivation is severely limited. Available arable land per capita has been reducing globally and is expected to reduce further. The pressure is therefore to increase yield per hectare which can be achieved through increased usage of agrochemicals. Indian agrochemical exports accounted for ~50% of total industry size in 2009.
Yield for select major crops (Tons/ Hectare) World 4.2 3.0 5.0 74.0 2.2 1.9 India 2.3 2.8 2.2 67.0 0.9 1.1 Yield gap 1.9 0.2 2.8 7.0 1.3 0.8
Wheat Corn
FY10 Gap FY20 Demand Production Source: Industry reports; Analysis by Tata Strategic
v Growth
of horticulture & floriculture: Buoyed by 50% growth experienced by Indian floriculture industry in last 3 years, Government of India has launched a national horticulture mission to double production by 2012. Growing horticulture and floriculture industries will result in increasing demand for agrochemicals, especially fungicides.
Increasing v
awareness: As per Government of India estimates, total value of crops lost due to non-use of pesticides is around $ 17 Bn every year. Companies are increasingly training farmers regarding the right use of agrochemicals in terms of quantity to be used, the right application methodology and appropriate chemicals to be used for identified pest problems. With increasing awareness, the use of agrochemicals is expected to increase.
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Potential opportunities
v Scope
for increase in usage: With only 35-40% of the total farmland under crop protection, there is a significant unserved market to tap into. By educating farmers and conducting special training programmes regarding the need to use agrochemicals, Indian companies can hope to increase pesticide consumption.
Huge v
export potential: The excess production capacity is a perfect opportunity to increase exports by utilizing India's low cost producer status.
Patent v
expiry: Between 2009 and 2014 many molecules are likely to go off patent, throwing the market open for generic players. The total viable opportunity through patent expiry is estimated at over $ 3 Bn.
Product v
portfolio expansion: New developments including genetically modified seeds, Integrated Pest Management and organic farming can be turned into opportunities if the industry re-orients itself to better address the needs of its consumers and broadens its product offering to include a range of agro-inputs instead of only agrochemicals.
Key challenges
High v R&D costs: R&D to develop agrochemical molecule takes an average of 9 years and ~ $ 180 Mn Indian companies typically have not focused on developing newer molecules and will face challenges in building these capabilities, while continuing to remain cost competitive.
Threat v
from Genetically Modified (GM) seeds: Genetically modified seeds possess self-immunity towards natural adversaries which have the potential to negatively impact the business of agrochemicals.
Support v
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for Integrated Pest Management (IPM) & rising demand for organic farming: Promotion of IPM, zero budget farming and usage of bio-pesticides by
Indian Government and NGOs is gaining momentum. With increasing demand for organic food, farmers in certain states like Karnataka have reduced chemical usage and have adopted organic farming. Agrochemical companies will have to tackle the rising environmental awareness and address concerns on negative impact of pesticide usage.
v Counterfeit
Products: The spurious pesticides market size in India is estimated to be $ 233 Mn in 2009. This negatively impacts the revenues of the organized sector.
v Need
for efficient distribution systems: Since, the number of end users is large and widespread, effective distribution via retailers is essential to ensure product availability. Lately, companies have been directly dealing with retailers by cutting the distributor from the value chain thereby reducing distribution costs, educating retailers on product usage and offering competitive prices to farmers.
Key brands
Manufacturing locations
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Key brands
Manufacturing locations
Company overview
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Fine Chemicals
Fine chemicals refer to chemicals prepared to a very high degree of purity for specific applications, and generally cover agrochemicals and active pharmaceutical ingredients. Since agrochemicals are being discussed separately in this report, this section shall only refer to APIs.The global pharmaceutical market was estimated at ~ $ 880 Bn in 2011 with 7% annual growth since 2004. The developed markets, which have been the traditional stronghold of innovator companies, are expected to witness lower than historical growth going forward. Higher R&D costs, relatively dry pipeline for new drugs, increasing penetration of generics and pressure from governments for reduced healthcare costs are putting a lot of pressure on global pharmaceutical companies, Future growth is expected to be primarily driven by generics and emerging markets. The global pharmaceutical market is expected to grow at 6% CAGR to reach $ 1,100 Bn in 2014.
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Industry reports, CRISIL, GoI Task Force, Tata Strategic estimates
2010
2011E
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The top 10 players account for over 42% of total global sales. Pfizer is the market leader, followed by GSK and Novartis AG. Lipitor is the largest selling drug followed by Plavix and Nexium. Oncology continues to be the leading therapy class globally followed by lipid regulators.
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16.5
API Exports
drug companies with predominant focus on export of APIs and bulk drugs specialized companies
Both the segments have established players but contract manufacturers enjoy better margins than generic API exporters. Major players in the contract manufacturing segment include Dishman, Divis, Jubilant, NPIL and Shasun. Lupin, Aurbindo Pharma, Ranbaxy, Dr. Reddy's and Matrix Laboratories are the major generic API exporters. Indian players have used acquisitions to build capabilities in the high value segments. Nicholas Piramal's acquisition of UK based Avecia, Dishman's acquisition of Switzerland based Carbogen Amcis and Jubilant's acquisition of US based Hollister Stier are some of the noteworthy acquisitions made by domestic companies in the recent past. The demand growth drivers are as follows:
v Margin
pressures of global players leading to increased outsourcing and focus on contract manufacturing
v Supply
base of APIs shifting from Europe to emerging countries like India and China due to low cost advantage
v Export
to generic players constitute the biggest segment but export to Innovators is expected to grow at a faster rate
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presence of numerous IPR norms. However increasing number of Indian companies are focusing on IP creation and protection and setting up world class manufacturing facilities to meet innovators demand. Divestment by European companies has resulted in significant number of acquisitions by Indian companies in the recent past. Lower market valuations together with exchange rate fluctuations pose considerable threat to Indian API manufacturers.
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Global industry
The global colorant industry is valued at US$ 27 Bn and has been growing at 2-3% p.a. The dyestuff industry has seen turbulent times in the past decade. The decline of the traditional producers in the developed world, particularly in Europe, and the simultaneous ascent of new ones in Asia, particularly India and China, is arguably one of the most significant changes ever seen in this industry. The shift has been quite swift and followed the migration of end-user industries - notably textiles and leather - to low cost economies of Asia.
Indian industry
Overview and outlook
India accounts for 12% of the global colorant industry, out of which nearly 2/3rd is exported. In 2010, India produced ~200,000 tonnes of dyes. Of this, 50% were reactive dyes due to the availability of important raw materials like vinyl sulphone, etc. Nearly 70% of the dyestuff was supplied to the textile industry while leather and paper industries accounted for the remaining. The sector is dominated by unorganized players and has ~1000 players in the small scale category. There are only 50 large organized units. These units are mainly present in Gujarat and Maharashtra, with the former accounting for almost 80% of capacity. Per capita consumption of dyestuff is ~50 gms compared to the world average of 300 gms
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demonstrating a largely untapped domestic market. India has largely been an exporting country and has emerged as a global supplier of reactive, acid, vat and direct dyes accounting for ~10% of world trade. Also, these dyestuffs are exported to Europe, South East Asia and Taiwan to cater to the textile industries in these countries. However, almost 80% of these are commodities and face intense pricing pressures reducing the margins of the industry.
Reactive, 100,000
Acid, 30,000
Disperse, 10,000
The pigment market is estimated at ~7 lakh tons p.a. with a market size of ~$ 970 Mn. Carbon black and Titanium dioxide (TiO2) account for 90% of the total pigment production.
Organics (19,500)
Inorganics (44,000)
Special Effect
Others
Chrome oxide
Others
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Printing inks and coatings account for over 70% of consumption of pigments in India. Titanium dioxide is a major raw material used in the manufacture of paints. The paints industry is growing at 13.5% p.a. which has been a major demand driver for pigments. There are also niche markets in India for special effect pigments such as metallic and pearlescent. These pigments are usually imported into the Indian market, with Sudarshan chemicals being the only domestic manufacturer. Though the volume for these pigments would be very small as compared to other pigment segments, they usually command a premium for the design appeal that they provide to the final product such as automotive coatings and packaging goods. India has grown significantly as a producer and exporter of organic pigments, particularly phthalocyanine blue, green and some high performance pigments. India is amongst the largest sources of coloured organic pigments, competing with China for a dominant share of the export market.
Plastics, 10%
Textiles, 10%
Inks, 47%
Coatings, 24%
Demand-Supply Scenario
Major players in the pigments industry are Sudarshan Chemicals and Clariant India while in the dyestuff industry companies such as Atul, Clariant India, Kiri Dyes and IDI are large players in the organized sector. The organized sector, with a better product range, technology and marketing reach, has been able to increase market share. Further bans on certain dyestuffs due to regulatory norms from the European markets and stricter local pollution norms have forced many in the unorganized sector to exit resulting in increase in the share of the organized players. Total installed capacity for organic pigment is 80,000 tons p.a., which is way higher than the demand from the Indian market. Large proportion of the organic pigments produced is exported. Major producers of organic pigments include Meghmani Organics, Clariant India, Sudarshan Chemicals, Pidilite Industries and Heubach Colours.
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15.3%
Aspirational
10.0
11.1% Base case
3.5
2010
Source : Industry reports, Analysis by Tata Strategic
2020
As per industry reports, demand for dyes and organic pigments is expected to grow at 11% p.a. till 2020 to reach US$ 10 Bn. However, the industry can aim to grow faster at 15% to reach US$ 14.5 Bn. To achieve its aspirations, the industry needs to focus on the following:
Innovative products
v Increase
emphasis on R&D v Optimize the product portfolio v better quality and high performance colorants Build
environment friendliness of products and services v Ensure compliance to international regulations to continue access to the exports markets Due to greater use of polyester and cotton-based fabrics, there has been a shift towards reactive dyes, used in cotton-based fabrics, and disperse dyes, used in polyester. The demand for reactive and disperse dyes is expected to grow fastest due to this trend. The textile industry will remain the largest consumer of dyestuffs; however growth will be driven by markets such as printing inks, paints and plastics. These segments will also increase the consumption of high performance pigments helping improve profitability. However, the gains will be restrained due to the commodity nature of the products and intense competition.
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Industry Trends
Trends in colorants industry Technology Colour solution approach to counter commoditization Regulatory Stricter domestic environmental laws s REACH compliance
Market Trends
The global capacity of dyestuffs has exceeded demand resulting in an oversupply scenario. Due to the lack of export demand, the prices of the colorants had dropped by roughly 20%. It is expected that consumer preference for environmentally friendly products and high performance dyes and organic pigments will help improve overall value of the market.
Regulatory Trends
Fiscal policies and excise concessions led to a high level of fragmentation in the Indian dyestuffs market. However, a gradual reduction in the excise duties has resulted in a more balanced pricing differential between the organized and unorganized sectors. Regulations such as REACH (Registration, Evaluation, Authorization and Restriction of Chemical substances), which have been designed with the objective of protecting human health and environment from the hazards of chemicals, require that apparel and apparel chemical exporters to EU provide their buyers with information regarding the substance used in manufacturing. Exporters who are not able to comply will lose their market share, resulting in closure of small establishments.
Technological Trends
Since majority of dyestuffs are commodities there is not much product differentiation and duplication of products is easy. To counter the same, global manufacturers are investing in Research and Development to improve the specialty end of their portfolio. The industry could leverage technology to come up with newer products to meet the bottom of
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pyramid needs with innovative solutions. New technologies such as reduction with hydrogen & sulphonation with liquid sulphur trioxide could be adopted as they are clean technologies and give better yields, thereby reducing effluents. There is also a trend towards providing colour solutions rather than just a colourant. Collaborations with equipment manufacturers are being undertaken to provide integrated solutions to customers.
Future Outlook
The financial crisis in 2008 has resulted in a demand slump, worldwide over-capacity and further margin pressures on the dyestuff industry. The Indian dyestuff industry is facing challenges due to reduced export demand growth and decreasing profitability. Companies with greater focus on innovation and R&D will benefit in the long run. Adopting green chemistry practices and compliance to more stringent export market regulations would help ensure greater access to export markets. Such a holistic approach could ensure that the Indian dyes and pigments industry is able to overcome the challenges and convert them to opportunities, resulting in profitable growth.
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SPECIALTY CHEMICALS Sold by "performance/impact", not composition Seller provides required "solution" to meet customer application needs CSFs: Price/performance ratio for specific application, technical assistance, channels to market Generally low to medium volume products with higher price realization
Selection of chemical done by customer CSFs: Access to secure and competitive supply of raw materials, efficient operations and supply chain Generally medium to high volume products with lower price realizations
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15-17%
11% 18
27
FY10
FY20
Additionally, high growth in end use markets and evolving customer needs are expected to drive the growth of specialty chemicals. Major end use industries - textiles (esp. performance textiles), automotive, glass, construction and paints- are all expected to register double digit growth rates in the next five years. Also emerging needs in several of these end use industries is creating demand for high performance specialty chemicals driving penetration growth.
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Automotive
Construction
Water treatment
A brief overview of some of the key segments of specialty chemicals is covered in this report, focusing on the demand and supply scenario, projected growth & drivers and key trends & future outlook in each segment.
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1. Construction Chemicals
Introduction
The Indian construction chemicals market, valued at ~$ 400 Mn in 2010, consists of a variety of products ranging from admixtures to sealants to flooring chemicals. However, the market is still very small when compared to other global markets like the United States which is estimated at ~$ 7.7 Bn. Admixtures form the biggest segment with 35% share followed by flooring chemicals and water proofing chemicals.
Repair & rehabilitati on, 9 Flooring, Water 15 proofing, 10 Source: Industry reports, Tata Strategic analysis
Demand-supply scenario
The demand for construction chemicals, boosted by investment in the construction sector, has been growing at 16% p.a. from $ 180 Mn in 2005 to reach $ 400 Mn in 2010. With the economic crisis, the growth slowed down in 2009, but has gained momentum thereafter.
180
2010
39
The overall market is fairly consolidated but there is considerable fragmentation of individual products and application areas. The top 5 players account for ~50% of the market; the rest being accounted by small and unorganized players. Fosroc, SIKA India & BASF SE are the leading players in the Indian construction chemicals market.
Market share by revenue: 2009
FOSROC, 14%
SWC, 5%
in end-use market: Indian construction industry is expected to growth at 11% annually over the next decade o Rising disposable incomes and changing demographics driving demand for residential real estate o Growth in construction activities due to increased investments in infrastructure, backed by Government of India's commitment to increase spend in infrastructure to 10% of GDP in the 12th Five-Year Plan o 100% Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in real estate to boost construction activities
v Increasing
o Better awareness about performance-enhancing products among consumers and builders, leading to increasing usage of newer products like ready-mix concrete, etc. o Increased construction activities triggered by urbanization and development of rural areas
v Changing
regulatory environment
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energy-efficient and green buildings to drive demand for suitable, innovative protective coatings and safe chemicals
Key products
41
Demand-supply scenario
The Indian water treatment chemicals market experienced an 8% CAGR in the period from 2005-10 to reach ~$ 560 Mn in 2010. Certain segments like the industrial and drinking water segments have witnessed higher growth rates.
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2005
2010
The market is highly competitive, and participants include private companies, MNCs, as well as joint ventures. Around 60% of the market is dominated by the organized sector, largely multinationals and large-scale domestic companies like Nalco Chemicals India Ltd., Thermax Ltd. and Ion Exchange (India) Ltd. These companies have a diverse product portfolio and a strong distribution network to cater to the Indian market.
in end-use market
o Rise in population and increasing urbanization leading to increased per capita and overall water consumption o Rapid industrialization leading to increasing water demand for running manufacturing plants and their corresponding effluent treatment facilities
v Changing
o Higher awareness about impact of quality of drinking water on health to drive household consumption of water treatment chemicals o Rising income levels and better living standards to increase demand for cleaner, safer potable water
v Changes
in regulatory environment
o Stricter effluent norms to create significant scope for demand from industries as they adopt effluent treatment practices
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2015
44
45
Emulsions 17%
Enamels 50%
Industrial paints: This segment includes paints used in automobiles, auto ancillaries, consumer durables, containers, etc. This segment requires technological expertise and therefore it is largely served by the organized sector. It accounts for 30% of the overall market.
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Protective, 24%
Paints and coatings chemicals market size in India is estimated at ~ $ 1.5 Bn in 2010. The segments comprise three main types of additives:
v Binders
like epoxy and polyurethane (for durability, adhesion and finish) (add desired colours to paints) including emulsifiers, mould releasing agents and stabilizers
v Pigments
v additives, Other
Demand-supply scenario
The Indian paint industry, valued at ~$ 3.4 Bn in 2010, has been outpacing the GDP growth rate by about 1.5 times, having experienced a CAGR of 13.5% over the last five years. The key growth driver has been rapid growth in end-use segments like automobiles and textiles. Owing to the economic downturn, the growth slowed down in the last 2 years. However the growth is reported to have picked up with the resurgence of the construction industry.
2005
2010
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The paint industry is highly consolidated with the organized sector accounting for ~80%of the market. The major players in the paint industry are Asian Paints, Kansai Nerolac, Berger Paints and ICI. In the decorative segment, Asian Paints is the market leader followed by Berger and Kansai Nerolac. Kansai Nerolac is the market leader in industrial paints followed by Berger and Asian Paints.
Emulsions 17%
Enamels 50%
Others, 36%
Berger, 12%
On the other hand, the paints and coatings chemicals industry is comparatively more fragmented with significant participation from unorganized players, in addition to major manufacturers like Rhodia Chemicals India, BASF Coatings India and DuPont India.
key growth drivers are going to be the growth in paints demand, which in turn are expected to be influenced by:
v Growth
in end-use industries
o Growth in industrial paints to be primarily driven by demand from automotive manufacturing, expected to grow at 15% annually o Growth in decorative paints to increase due to rapid growth in residential and commercial real estate, in turn driven by rising disposable incomes and regulations permitting 100% FDI inflow in real estate
v Increasing
penetration
o Increase in current low per capita paints consumption to move closer to global levels (The per capita consumption of paints in India is very low at 1.25 Kg against 38 Kg in Singapore, 25.8 Kg in the U.S or 2.5 Kg in China) o Marked shift in rural demand- moving from cement paints to higher quality paints
v Changes
in regulatory environment
o Framing of tighter emission and effluent norms to increase demand for watersoluble paints
2015
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organic pigments in premium paints with heavy metal pigments being phased out. Companies which adapt to these trends could grow successfully in the paints market. Players could capitalize on the opportunities presented by changing trends in the paints and coatings market. One effective lever could be marketing high-margin, high-end decorative paint products which offer end customers longer replacement cycles. Besides, customizing paint products to meet changing regulations (environment-friendly, green, water-soluble paints) could help sustain profitable growth. Profiles of key players Brief profile: Rhodia India
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4. Polymer additives
Introduction
Polymer additives are specialty chemicals added to the base polymer to enhance certain properties or improve processing. The Indian polymer additives market is estimated at ~ $ 300 Mn in 2010. Plasticizers form the largest segment with 43% market share followed by heat stabilizers with 21% market share. From the applications perspective, PVC consumes the maximum amount of additives accounting for 40% of the total market followed by poly-olefins with 20%. However, this does not include the master batches segment, which separately accounted for a market of approximately $ 400 Mn in 2010.
Demand-supply scenario
Indian polymer additives market has been growing at a CAGR of 10.5% in the last five years and is estimated to be ~$ 300 Mn in 2010. The organized segment has ~35 players and is dominated by multinational companies like Clariant Chemicals India Ltd., BASF, Lanxess India Pvt. Ltd., Baerlocher India Ltd., Akzo Nobel Chemicals (India) Limited and Dow Chemical International Pvt. Ltd. Major domestic players include KLJ Group, Fine Organics and Vision Organics Limited. KLJ Group and Baerlocher India are the market leaders in plasticizers and heat stabilizers, respectively. BASF, after its acquisition of Ciba, is the market leader in flame retardants, light stabilizers, and antioxidants.
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2010
in end-use industries:
o Increasing growth in plastic demand due to higher usage in packaging, construction and automotive sectors
v New applications:
o Increasing environmental concerns and cost considerations leading to replacement of wood, metals and glass by plastic in various applications
2015
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route could have a competitive advantage over others. Strict regulation on additive use in plastics is expected to drive demand and increase sales. The market has recently witnessed falling prices and low profit margins due to overcapacity of major manufacturers and reduction in import tariffs. The problem of overcapacity could be addressed by consolidation in the industry resulting in entities with better economies of scale. Also, manufacturers able to rapidly develop and customize products in line with customer requirements are more likely to succeed. Additionally, a focus on developing products that can be used after recycling of plastics (many current plastic additives lose their usability post-recycle) could help attain competitive advantage.
Entered India through acquiring Dewas polymer additive unit of National Peroxide Ltd. plasticizers: Baeropan, Baerostab, Baerolub PVC Non-PVC plasticizers Dewas, Madhya Pradesh
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5. Aroma chemicals
Introduction
Aroma chemicals, also commonly called flavours & fragrances are the essential ingredients used as additives in a variety of food, personal and home care products for adding taste and smell. Globally, the aroma chemicals industry size stood at $ 19.8 Bn in 2010, roughly equally split between flavours and fragrances. The five largest global manufacturers of aroma chemicals are Givaudan, International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF), Firmenich, Symrise and Quest International. The Indian aroma chemicals market size is of $ 300 Mn, with fragrances accounting for ~55% of the market. The Indian aroma chemicals industry can be segmented based on the end-use application, as follows:
v Flavours
o o o o o o o o o
Bakery Confectionary Dairy and frozen foods Savory food items Beverages Pharmaceuticals Meat, poultry and seafood Tobacco Toothpaste
v Fragrances
o o o o o o o
Detergents and fabric care products Wash products Talcum powders Skin care products Deodorants and sprays Air fresheners Household cleaners Tobacco
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Beverages, 20%
Skincare, 6% Talc, 3%
Bakery, 14%
Detergents, 10%
Demand-supply scenario
The demand for aroma chemicals has increased annually at 8%, to grow from $ 225 Mn in 2006 to ~ $ 300 Mn in 2010. Demand has been driven by growth in consumption of FMCG products (both food and non-food), which in turn has been increasing on the back of rising population and growing per capita income.
Aroma chemicals market, India ($ Mn
300 8% 225 Flavours, 45%
The top five global companies have a significant presence in India's aroma chemicals market, cumulatively accounting for ~55% of the market. Beyond the five players, the supply side is heavily fragmented and is characterized by the presence of numerous privately-owned manufacturers, including SH Kelkar, Sachee Aromatics and Oriental Flavors & Fragrances, Ultra International, Gupta & Company.
55
12.5%
300
2020
The demand growth in aroma chemicals has a positive outlook, and would be growing at 1.5 times the GDP growth rate, driven primarily by three levers:
v Growth
in demand for end-use products: Driven by rising disposable incomes, leading to increased consumption of processed foods and non-food FMCG including personal care and detergents
v Changing
lifestyles: Demand for high-end aroma chemicals is set to increase driven by increasing demand for higher-end personal care products
v Regulatory
environments: Regulations mandating stringent consumer products quality standards will lead to substitution of low-end chemicals with high-end, safe replacement formulations
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(food and non-food) players, allowing them stability of business and the flexibility to invest in customization of products. Secondly, they should increasingly focus on development of formulations which would meet changing environment and safety standards. Lastly, acting closely in association with regulatory authorities could help develop quick and accurate understanding of global food standards. This would facilitate implementation of such standards locally and significantly enhance access to export markets, especially to developed economies.
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Conditioni ng agents, 14% Surfactants 25% Source: Industry reports; Tata Strategic estimates
Demand-supply scenario
Personal care ingredients market has grown at 12% p.a. in the period from FY05 to FY10 to reach ~$ 400 Mn. Rising income, increased availability and wider product portfolio of companies has led to growth in personal care products and thereby personal care ingredients.
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The market is extremely competitive with more than 1,500 manufacturers of personal care ingredients in India. The market is dominated by small and medium scale domestic companies which account for more than 50% of the market. Major domestic players include Vivimed Laboratories and Sami Labs. On the other hand, multi-national companies currently account for about 35% of the market. BASF India Ltd. and Clariant Chemicals are the leading multinational players in India.
2010
2010
2015E
2020E
The demand for personal care ingredients is expected to be driven by two major factors:
v Growth
in end-use industry
o Rising demand for personal care products due to growing population and increasing per capita income
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o Increasing personal care ingredient usage in formulation: Demand for products with higher/ better performance
v Changing
lifestyle
o Increasing demand for multi-functional personal-care products o Growing global demand for green products giving rise to huge exports potential
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Manufacturing locations
Conclusion
Given India's potential to emerge as a global specialty chemicals destination, both in terms of domestic demand and as a global manufacturing hub. Companies could explore how best they could participate in this growth story. A detailed growth strategy formulation would need to be based on each company's respective strengths and focus areas. Emerging trends in consumer industries call for innovation and development of local products/ solutions based on understanding of the unique needs of the Indian consumer. Secondly, the development of strong channels to reach out effectively to customers is of immense strategic significance. Establishing leadership position in sustainable growth through an integrated approach across the value chain could help create positive differentiation. This would not only help companies create value through green product/ process innovation but also generate end consumer pull through
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ingredient branding in "green products". The development of chemical/ petrochemical infrastructure/ clusters through PCPIRs (Petroleum, Chemicals and Petrochemicals Investment Regions) could enable companies to establish effective upstream linkages for increased cost effectiveness. Finally, the chemical industry in the coming decades has to promote sustainable development by investing in technology that protects environment and stimulates growth while balancing economic needs and financial constraints.
References
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. RBI Handbook of Statistics Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion Gujarat Socio-Economic Review, 2009-2010 Vibrant Gujarat summit, 2011 Company websites Annual reports IndiaChem 2010 handbook on Indian chemical industry, FICCI and Tata Strategic Conference on Agrochemicals, 2011, FICCI and Tata Strategic
10. Chemical Task Force, Government of India 11. Meetings with senior officials of Government of India 12. Department of Chemicals & Petrochemicals 13. Indian Chemical Council 14. Chemical Weekly magazine 15. Farm chemicals international 16. Phillips McDougall report on agrochemicals 17. Crop protection business in the new decade, Cheminova 18. Global Market for agrochemicals,BCC Research 19. Crisil research 20. IMS Health 21. Frost & Sullivan industry report 22. CMIE report 23. European Federation of Admixtures Association 24. Business press
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THOUGHT NOTES
10
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Farming solutions - the next frontier for breakthrough growth of Indian agrochemical companies
India has a population of 1.18 Bn which is expected to reach 1.45 Bn by 2030. This rising population will lead to increasing demand for food grains. On the other hand, per capita land available for agriculture has been steadily decreasing. This coupled with rapid urbanization and non availability of agricultural manpower has had a strong impact on farm production. Agricultural produce has not been growing in tune with demand. Currently average crop yields in India are much lower than global benchmarks. For example, average yield for rice is 3.2 tons/ha in India vis--vis 4.2 tons/ha globally. Similarly, yields for soybean and corn are 1.0 and 2.4 tons/ha domestically compared to 2.5 and 5.0 tons/ha globally. The current price increases of food products reflect the situation having reached alarming levels and we have to rely on imports to meet our domestic consumption. This is only expected to worsen further if we do not take necessary steps to reverse it. Improving crop yields has become very critical and will become imperative in the future.
India has the resources necessary to meet all its increasing needs and be left with a handsome surplus if we can use our significantly large area under cultivation effectively. This would however call for a holistic 'friend of the farmer' approach, offering locally relevant farming solutions, where agrochemical companies could lead and benefit by improving yield and productivity. The Indian agrochemical industry, which is Rs. 15,000 Cr today, could grow well beyond its aspirational target of Rs. 50,000 Cr by 2020. The opportunity lies in developing and executing innovative farming solutions that address the needs of the Indian farmer with very low landholding size, resources and knowhow available to him. Farming solutions would require a collaborative approach together with seed technology, IT, nutrients and other service providers. For the agrochemical companies it implies that to achieve such growth, capacity additions of over 100,000 tons would be required with significant capital investments of over Rs 3,000 Cr. In addition, substantial investment will be required for R&D and farmer-awareness activities. Besides effectively creating farming solutions with other partners, the Indian agrochemical industry itself faces critical challenges which could hinder its growth if not addressed effectively. The industry is predominantly generic in nature with very little investment in R&D. Lack of awareness amongst farmers on usage of agrochemicals and best practices followed globally is a major roadblock for the growth of the industry. Current per capita consumption of pesticides in India continues to be very low at 0.6 kg/ha compared to 7 kg/ha in USA and 13 kg/ha in China. It is estimated that crop losses
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in India due to non usage of agrochemicals amount to Rs. 90,000 Cr p.a. Relatively weak IP protection regime is another area of concern. A huge parallel market for spurious and spiked pesticides exists which leads to significant revenue loss for genuine manufacturers. In addition, long lead times for new product registrations and non-availability of land and regulatory clearances are hindrances to setting up new investments. The Indian agricultural landscape is distinct from most other countries of the world and needs to be well understood to arrive at relevant farming solutions. We have a largely fragmented land-holding structure (refer fig.1) with subsistence farming in several regions. Farmers are typically not educated or exposed to modern methods of farming. The fragmented and small landholdings translate to lesser spending power by individual farmers for seeds, irrigation, fertilizer or agrochemicals. Deeper understanding of the market by geography, perhaps even at a district level, becomes critical to success. These differences need to be clearly understood and call for customized solutions to suit India's diverse agro-climatic conditions. Fig. 1: Land ownership pattern by district - rural India
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Agrochemical companies can take the lead to look beyond the traditional offerings and adopt a holistic approach to farm management to enable India to achieve its true potential in agriculture. These companies have a strong farmer-connect and reach, with the potential to influence and change the way farming is traditionally done in this country. If ever there was a burning platform necessitating this, it is now! The Indian market abounds with such examples where innovative and customized solutions have grown the market and catapulted the first movers to market leaders. The automotive industry in India received a strong fillip with India becoming a manufacturing hub for small cars. A call to develop the low cost car meeting specific needs of the Indian customer who could not afford it earlier, helped to create and proliferate the low end 'micro' segment. Similarly, the paint industry experienced a huge growth with introduction of tinting machines which offer customized paint solutions closer to point of sale, recognizing the Indian consumer's need for tailored shades and 'look and feel' before deciding. Castrol took the initiative to develop a completely new channel for lubricant sales. This offset the disadvantage of not being able to utilize traditional sales channels, which were controlled by PSUs, and created a robust distribution network for Indian motorists and car owners through other points of sale. Let us consider the benefits of adopting a holistic and innovative approach with the case of pulses. A brief study indicated that India could more than double its current production of pulses if crop nutrients, timely availability and usage of better seed varieties, requisite irrigation and proper storage were available (refer fig.2). This would improve our yield to global levels and help us meet our domestic demand. Arriving at the solutions innovatively recognizing the Indian context is critical. However the real challenge lies in the execution. First movers will be able to reap the benefits and enjoy sustainable growth.
India could increase production of pulses to 37 Mn tons with an integrated approach INDIA: LEVERS TO INCREASE PRODUCTION OF PULSES (Mn tons) 9 3 4 4 28 15 2 37 INDICATIVE
HW Seeds Current Production 25% increase in yield due to use of HYV seeds. (Potential 35-40%)
Irrigation/ Past Storage/ Increased yield Additional Area Total availability Management Nutrient supply Transportation 20% increase due to supply of irrigation and nutrients. (Potential 20-25%) 15% increase due to proper storage. (Potential 20%) Increase due to additional arearice fallows & intercropping
STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT GROUP Source: Primary interviews with Ministry of Agriculture, Pulses Research Institutes and Associations, Tata Strategic Analysis
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Agrochemical companies could adopt specific crops or geographies within their sphere of influence and help farmers increase output. This may mean working with various stakeholders such as microfinance companies, adopting contract farming, increasing farmer awareness through demonstrations and extension services, propagating better farm practices, ensuring right usage of crop protection chemicals, increasing usage of hybrids/ GM seeds and providing better storage facilities to reduce post harvest losses. The power of IT can be effectively leveraged to provide farmers with timely advice and guidance for improving productivity, addressing pest related issues and optimizing the value chain. This article has been authored by Pratik Kadakia (pratik.kadakia@tsmg.com), Practice Head- Chemicals & Energy and Jeffry Jacob (jeffry.jacob@tsmg.com), Principal -Chemicals of Tata Strategic Management Group
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69
5,400
9,900
800
USA 43%
35%
USA 38%
Share of absolute
healthcare and pharma market value growth between 2009 and 2020 larger than 40% 19% Europe 22% Top 5 Japan 7% Pharmerging 12% Other 16% 2009 Source: EIU; OECD; WHO; IMS; Roland Berger 6%
14% Europe 19% Top 5 Japan 11% Pharmerging 12% 8% 27% 49%
5%
22% 2020
23%
The pharmaceutical industry is fundamentally re-evaluating the make-up of its value chain, differentiating clearly between core capabilities and those that could be potentially outsourced. Within R&D, particularly pre-clinical and discovery seem to be representing potential outsourcing opportunities, also driven by huge cost differences (Refer Figure 2 & 3). In the future, the pharmaceutical industry will be forced to capture the increasing benefits from emerging countries, particularly given the long-term benefit from matching better its global work force footprint to the future geographic distribution of revenues. The initial wave of pharma outsourcing was successfully witnessed for manufacturing of Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients and off patent drugs. As late as 2006, contract manufacturing accounted for over 70% of the revenues of the Indian CRAMS market. However post compliance with WTO norms on intellectual property, there has been a spurt of off-shoring activities in the areas of clinical development and manufacture of patented APIs and formulations, as well as discovery and pre-clinical services.
Fig. 2: Core competencies across the value chain
Distribution/ logistics 1% Research 12% Sales Discovery 22% 6% Pre-clinical 3% development 16% 9% 6% Clinical development Quotes from Top Executive Interviews
"We have paid for the same pre -
16 11 4 20 27 18 38 67
Phase IV
24% Marketing
clinical work USD 120,000 in China, which would have cost us USD 5 million in the US" "Data management can already be outsourced to places like India, for example leveraging IT companies such as Tata Consultancy Services" "Emerging markets do provide cost savings potential for clinical development which need to be balanced with the demand for clinical data generated in the US/EU"
Phase 1
QUESTION: What are the top 3 core competencies of your company concerning the following steps along the value chain? Source: Top executive interviews; Roland Berger Survey 2007/2008
Discovery Regulatory
A study by the Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development concluded that:
Pharma companies with high reliance on CROs stay closer to schedule than others CROsexpand the speed and capacity of product development pipeline while
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Complexity
Outsourcing to US / EU / Japan
PharmaIT Services Drug Safety Reporting Ongoing/ repetitive tasks Activity type
PMS Studies
Projects
India's strong positioning on the key success factors India's large population of 1.15 Bn people translates into a vast patient pool and faster patient recruitment for clinical trials, which go a long way in meeting overall timelines
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faster. This results in substantial acceleration of the drug development time in addition to lower costs per patient. In addition, India has a large population of doctors and scientists, representing the largest English-speaking talent pool in some disciplines. For example, India produces three times as many master graduates annually in chemistry than the US. With the large number of DMF filings, technical competency is well established. It has the largest number of USFDA approved facilities outside US with GMP and GLP certifications. Intellectual property is respected and the laws are conducive to IP protection. Moreover, Indian strength in synthetic and medicinal chemistry makes it a lucrative destination for contract research, even for early research and discovery activities. Given the advantages of focus, cost and speed, the question is no longer about whether to outsource but rather of finding the right partners. Overall, clinical development, discovery and non-clinical services costs account for 85% of R&D budget which can be reduced by using CROs. In addition to cost advantages, multinational pharmaceutical companies benefit from staying closer to schedule and their ability to expand speed and capacity of their R&D operations while maintaining high levels of quality resulting in a much required boost of R&D productivity (Refer Figure 4).
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Availability of large patient population in diverse therapeutic category is the major driver for growth of CRO - Clinical Trial in India Cost of clinical trials is a fraction compared to developed markets like US
Source: Crisil Research, Tata Strategic Analysis
Outsourcing in drug discovery occurs mainly in the following segments - broad based screening, genomic targets, chemistry and gene therapy. Therapeutic areas involved include oncology, infectious diseases, CNS, cardiovascular disorders, autoimmune/ inflammation and metabolic diseases. Currently Phase II-III has emerged as the most established component of clinical development. The adoption of new tools and techniques such as biotechnology, bio informatics, genomics etc. along with new IT solutions has brought about a change in the way new drugs are being developed and brought to market. This will increasingly drive outsourcing of research and development to India, also due to its strong IT services sector (Refer Figure 6).
Fig. 6: Indian CRO Industry
Indian CRO Revenues, 2002-2010e (USD Mn.) Leading Indian CROs
R CAG 62%
1020 485
22 2002
Illustrative list of areas addressed eg. GVK Bio: Medicinal chemistry Informatics Biology Process R&D Clinical research BA/ BE Studies Knowledge process outsourcing
Data management and early phase trials offer immense opportunities for CROs. There have been several Private Equity (PE) investments in the recent past, driven by current attractive returns and future potential. Actis' investment in Veeda Clinical Research, Kotak Private Equity Group and 3i Capital in Siro Clinpharm, OrbiMed in Ecron Acunova and MPM Capital in Sai Advantium are some examples. Actis Biologics is working together with the Malaysian government on new molecules for diabetes, anti-cancer diagnosis, and asthma and also jointly building the Bio-City Park in Malaysia. 'Developing country' diseases offer another area of huge potential where the focus of Western drug companies is currently limited. The long term arrangement between the Malaysian government and Vivo Bio for manufacturing malaria vaccine is one such example.
Contract research (and manufacturing) offers a long term strategic advantage The nature of relationships between Indian CRAMS suppliers and the pharma companies is transitioning from transactional based to long term partnerships, often involving sharing and creation of joint intellectual property triggering performance-based milestone payments. Big pharma companies are also acquiring stakes in their CRAMS partners to secure supply and develop a stronger relationship.
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It is a foregone conclusion that pharmaceutical and biotech companies need to relook at their business models if they have to successfully compete in the new environment. Contract manufacturing was just the tip of the iceberg. If companies have to be really successful and optimize their operations for better business results, they need to revamp their R&D process and capture the opportunity presented by emerging economies. Price realizations that the pharma companies have got used to may be a thing of the past, especially with focus on reducing final cost of dose by payers and governments even in the developed world. Off-shoring contract research (and manufacturing) services are therefore an opportunity to not just save costs tactically for the short term, but also a strategic move to improve productivity and develop further capabilities, while also moving closer to the future healthcare customers in developing markets.
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Introduction
The dual governance structure of central and state bodies make the current tax system very complicated. The multi-layered system, with both Central and State governments having the power to levy taxes brings about many inefficiencies in the system. The double taxation policy also adds cost as the tax paid in earlier in the value chain gets re-taxed and firms end up paying tax on the tax paid. The government over the past years has tried to bring about some changes to try and minimise this cascading impact, however this is not to the same extent as the new Goods and Services Tax (GST) intends to do. GST is expected to be the next big bang fiscal reform in the Indian context. GST, if implemented in the true spirit of its intent, will bring about major change and result in rationalizing and simplifying the tax structure at both the Central and State levels (even across state borders).
What is Goods and Services Tax (GST) GST is an evolution of the current tax regime, transforming the complex and cascading structure into a unified value added system of taxation. Under this, a value added tax would be levied at every point of the supply chain providing for credit for any / all taxes paid previously. Keeping in line with the governance structure of the country GST would be levied simultaneous by the Centre and State (CGST and SGST respectively). All essential characteristics in terms of its structure, design applicability, etc. would be common between CGST and SGST, across all states. GST is expected to replace most of the current applicable indirect taxes as listed in the table below (Exhibit 1).
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Exhibit 1: Taxes subsumed under GST Central Taxes > Central Excise Duty > Service Tax > Additional customs Duty > Surcharge and cesses State Taxes > VAT / Sales Tax > Entertainment Tax > Entry Tax (not in lieu of Octroi) > Other Taxes and Duties (includes Luxury Tax, Taxes on lottery, betting and gambling, and all cesses and surcharges by States)
Impact of GST
Implementation of GST will have significant impact and will change the manner in which business is carried out in comparison with the ways of the current tax regime. With a single rate being applied to all goods and services there will be a significant redistribution of taxes across all categories resulting in reduction in taxes on manufactured goods and hence impacting the pricing of the product. The integration of tax on Goods and Service through GST would provide the additional benefit of providing credit for service tax paid by manufacturers. Both CENVAT & VAT which are in practice now, give tax credit to the manufacturer for the tax paid for raw materials (hence a tax is charged only on the value added by the manufacturer). More often than not, there are various services including logistics involved in getting the input material to its final customer. Service tax is paid on the cost of such services. With the implementation of GST, cost of any services including logistics cost will be considered a value add, and the manufacturer will get tax credit for the service tax paid.
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GST would eliminate the existing penalties on inter state sales transactions and facilitate consolidation of vendors and suppliers. This will eliminate the need to have state wise warehouses to avoid CST and the associated paperwork, leading to elimination of one extra, redundant level of warehousing in the supply chain. This will result in reduction in the number of warehouses (Exhibit 2), improved efficiencies, better control and reduction in inventory due to lesser numbers of stocking points and cases of stock outs. This would allow a firm to take advantage of economies of scale and consolidate warehouses at the same time reduce capital deployed in the business. Larger warehouses can benefit from technological sophistication by deploying state-of-the-art planning and warehousing systems which are not feasible in smaller, scattered warehouses. At the same time IT costs of having ERPs deployed at many small warehouses can be saved. This will pave the way for improved service levels at lower cost in the overall supply chain. A rationalization similar to warehousing can also be done in distribution and transportation routes as tax ceases to become the deciding factor. Since the tax rates across states are envisaged to be uniform, state boundaries will no longer be the parameter for deciding routes. At the same time, with larger warehouses, transportation lot sizes will automatically increase, making way for more efficient bigger trucks. The optimization and rationalization that these options can bring about in the supply chains of a firm on account of GST will provide a competitive advantage to the business through better service and faster turnaround times at lower costs.
100 30 0 130
Distributor Landed cost 140.4 Margin 5 VAT credit 5.4 VAT 5.6 Final Price 145.6
100 35 135
Distributor Landed cost 135 Margin 5 VAT 5.6 Final Price 145.6
Post-GST the supply chain can be designed purely on logistics cost and customer service considerations that will positively impact the business
Notes : 1) Goods and Services Tax STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT GROUP Source: Tata Strategic analysis 2) Central sales tax: Inter-state sales tax
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Contact Details
Mr P. S. Singh
Consultant-Chemicals Division
Ms Charu Smita
Assistant Director- Chemicals Division
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