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P1 Performance Operations
Examiners Answers
SECTION A
Answer to Question One
1.1 The correct answer is D.
1.2
1.3
1.4
The lowest profit in each case is when the weather is bad. If the maximin rule is applied, the highest profit when the weather is bad is $1,000 i.e. 1,000 burgers. The correct answer is A.
May 2010
P1
1.5 Minimax Regret Table Weather 1,000 Bad Average Good $0 ($4,000) ($9,000) No of burgers purchased 2000 ($1,000) ($1,000) ($6,000) 3000 ($2,000) $0 ($3,000) 4000 ($4,000) ($1,000) $0
The maximum regret for 1,000 burgers is $9,000 The maximum regret for 2,000 burgers is $6,000 The maximum regret for 3,000 burgers is $3,000 The maximum regret for 4,000 burgers is $4,000 Therefore if he wants to minimise the maximum regret he will purchase 3,000 burgers. The correct answer is C.
1.6
1.7 $ 140,000 160,000 160,000 160,000 $ 50,000 = 50,000 = 60,000 = 70,000 = $ 90,000 110,000 100,000 90,000
Joint probability is (045 x 025) = Joint probability is (025 x 025) = Joint probability is (025 x 035) = Joint probability is (025 x 040) =
Alternatively: $140,000 $50,000 = $90,000 Joint probability is (045 x 025) = At cash inflows of $160,000, net cash flows are all greater than $90,000 therefore probability is 01125 02500 03625
P1
May 2010
1.8
Interest is 80/900 i.e. 89% plus capital gain at maturity of $100 therefore discount initially at 10%. Cash flows $ Discount rate @ 10% 1000 2487 0683 PV of cash flows $ (90000) 19896 73764 3660 Discount rate @ 12% 1000 2402 0636 PV of cash flows $ (90000) 19216 68688 -2096
(900) 80 1,080
May 2010
P1
SECTION B
Answer to Question Two
(a)
(i) < 1 month $ 145 1- 2 months $ 438 2-3 months $ 0 >3 months $ 118 Balance $ 701
(ii)
Examiners note: the question asks for two benefits. Examples of points that would be rewarded are given below. Can be used to help decide what action should be taken about debts that have been outstanding for longer than the specified credit period. Provides information about the efficiency of cash collection. Can provide information to assist in setting and monitoring collection targets for the credit control section. Provides information that can be used in setting a bad debt provision.
(b)
(i)
EOQ
= $2,400 = $4,800
$2,400
(ii)
One weeks usage = 64,000/52 = 1,231 Inventory reorder level = 3 x 1,231 = 3,693 units
P1
May 2010
(c)
The traditional approach to determine material requirements is to monitor inventories constantly; whenever they fall to a predetermined level, a preset order is placed to replenish them. This traditional approach (involving re-order levels and economic order quantity calculations) originates in the pre-computer era. A manufacturing resource planning system is a fully integrated computerised planning approach to the management of all the companys manufacturing resources including inventory, labour and machine capacity. It seeks to ensure that resources are available just before they are needed by the next stage of production or despatch. It also seeks to ensure that resources are delivered only when required so that raw material inventory is kept to a minimum. The technique enables managers to track orders through the manufacturing process and helps the purchasing and production control departments to move the right amount of material or sub-assemblies at the right time to the right place. The current inventory management system relies on the assumption that there is constant demand. An MRP system begins with the setting of a master production schedule specifying both the timing and quantity demanded of each of the finished goods items and then works backwards to determine the resource requirements at each stage of the production process. It aims to generate a planned schedule of materials requirements after taking account of scheduled receipts, projected inventory levels and items already allocated to production. The EOQ model can be used within MRP provided that the major assumption in the EOQ model of constant demand applies.
(d)
Under an activity based budgeting (ABB) system, resource allocation is linked to the strategic plan and is prepared after considering alternative strategies. This approach ensures that new activities that are required to meet the companys strategic objectives are included in the budget. Under a traditional incremental budgeting system the focus is on existing resources and operations. Adjustments are then made for changes in activity and price which results in past inefficiencies being perpetuated. Under an activity based budgeting system, only resources that are needed to perform activities required to meet the budgeted production and sales volumes are included. Activity based techniques including activity based budgeting focus on the outputs of a process rather than the input to the process. This approach provides a clear framework for understanding the link between costs and the level of activity. It allows the ranking of activities and the determination of how limited resources should be allocated across competing activities. Traditional budgeting systems present costs under functional headings i.e. the emphasis is on the nature of the cost. The weakness of this approach is that it gives little indication of the link between the level of activity and the cost incurred. The approach under a traditional system is to make arbitrary cuts in order to meet overall financial targets. Activity based budgeting allows the identification of value added and non-value added activities and ensures that cuts are made to non-value added activities. ABB is also useful for review of capacity utilisation. If it is known that the resources devoted to a particular activity are greater than those currently required then these resources can be reduced or redeployed.
May 2010
P1
(e)
Workings: Direct materials Production labour Variable cost per unit = $12 Variable cost per unit (195,000 155,000) / (20,000 15,000) = $8 Fixed cost $155,000 (15,000 x $8) = $35,000 Production overheads Variable cost per unit (240,000 210,000) / (20,000 15,000) = $6 Fixed cost $210,000 (15,000 x $6) = $120,000 Quarter 3 Direct material Production labour Production overheads 23,000 units x ($12 x 095) = $262,200 23,000 units x $8 = $184,000 + $35,000 = $219,000 23,000 units x $6 = $138,000 + $120,000 + $20,000 = $278,000
P1
May 2010
(f)
No Increase 40% Poor 70% Increase 60% No Increase 75% Good 30% Increase 25% Dont Advertise
5,000 ($35,000)
($9,800)
Advertise
7,000 $20,000
$8,400
10,000 $75,000
$16,875
13,000 $135,000
$10,125
$25,600 ($14,000)
10,000 $90,000
$27,000 $13,000
May 2010
P1
SECTION C
(a)
Reconciliation Statement Budgeted gross profit Sales price variance Sales volume profit variance Material price variance ETH 1 Material price variance RXY 2 Material mix variance Material yield variance Fixed overhead expenditure variance Fixed overhead volume variance Actual gross profit Workings Budgeted sales Budgeted cost of sales Budgeted gross profit $1,440,000 $1,008,000 $432,000 (or 72,000kg x ($20 - $14)) $ 432,000 21,300 6,000 2,210 9,580 13,200 18,000 2,000 4,000 457,470 F A A F A F F A
Sales price variance = ($2030 - $2000) x 71,000kg = $21,300 F Sales volume profit variance = (71,000kg 72,000kg) x ($20 - $14) = $6,000 A Material price variance ETH 1 = ($1800 - $1810) x 22,100kg = $2,210 A Material price variance RXY 2 = ($600 - $580) x 47,900kg = $9,580 F Material mix variance Actual input @ std mix Kg 21,000 49,000 70,000 Actual input @ act mix kg 22,100 47,900 70,000 Variance kg 1,100 A 1,100 F Std Price $ 1800 600 Variance $ 19,800 A 6,600 F 13,200 A
Material yield variance Actual total input Standard yield Expected output Actual output Variance Std price per kg Variance 70,000kg 96% 67,200kg 69,000kg 1,800kg F x $10 $18,000 F
Fixed overhead expenditure variance = ($280,000 - $278,000) = $2,000 F Fixed overhead volume variance = (70,000 kg 69,000kg) x $4 = $4,000 A
P1
May 2010
Actual sales revenue ETH1 RXY2 Fixed o/heads incurred Inventory movement (2,000 units x $14) Actual gross profit
(b)
Examiners note: the question asks for three reasons. Examples of points that would be rewarded are given below. In a JIT environment measuring standard costing variances may encourage dysfunctional behaviour. A JIT production environment relies on producing small batch sizes economically by reducing set up times. Performance measures that benefit from large batch sizes or producing for inventory should therefore be avoided. In an AMT environment the major costs are those related to the production facility rather than production volume related costs such as materials and labour which standard costing is essentially designed to plan and control. Fixed overhead variances dont necessarily reflect under or overspending but may simply reflect differences in production volume. An activity based cost management system may be more appropriate, focusing on the activities that drive the cost. In a total quality environment, standard costing variance measurement places an emphasis on cost control to the detriment of quality. Cost control may be achieved at the expense of quality and competitive advantage. A continuous improvement environment requires a continual effort to do things better rather than achieve an arbitrary standard based on prescribed or assumed conditions. In todays competitive environment cost is market driven and is subject to considerable downward pressure. Cost management must consist of both cost maintenance and continuous cost improvement. In a JIT/AMT/TQM environment the workforce is usually organised into empowered, multiskilled teams controlling operations autonomously. The feedback they require is real time. Periodic financial reports are neither meaningful nor timely enough to facilitate appropriate control action.
May 2010
P1
(a)
Restaurant: Number of customers in Year 1 Contribution per meal Total contribution = (500 x 360) = 180,000 = $4 = $720,000
Number of meals in Year 1 Contribution per meal Total contribution Reduction in contribution
Cash Flows Restaurant contribution Reduction in contribution from cold food Salaries Additional overheads Net cash flows Taxation Net cash flows Tax Depreciation Taxable profit Taxation @ 30% Year 1 138,000 (87,500) 50,500 15,150 Year 2 166,800 (65,625) 101,175 30,353 Year 3 178,480 (49,219) 129,261 38,778 Year 4 213,328 (117,656) 95,672 28,702 Year 1 720,000 (432,000) Year 2 792,000 (475,200) Year 3 871,200 (522,720) Year 4 958,320 (574,992)
Net present value Year 0 Net cash (350,000) flows Tax payment Tax payment Net cash (350,000) flow after tax Discount 1000 factor Present (350,000) value
Year 5
(14,351) (14,351)
130,425
144,048
0926 120,774
0857 123,449
0794 114,268
0735 154,047
0681 (9,773)
P1
10
May 2010
(b)
The NPV is the amount by which the present value of the future cash flows exceeds the initial outlay. The cash flows are discounted at the rate that reflects the alternative use of the funds, normally the companys cost of capital. Investment decisions should be based on NPV since it is the only appraisal method that will ensure the maximisation of shareholders wealth. If the decision is based on NPV then either Project B or C should be undertaken. However NPV does not indicate the range of outcomes that may result. While Project A has a lower expected NPV the standard deviation of Project A is also lower and depending on the companys attitude to risk they may decide to undertake Project A. The standard deviation is a measure of risk. It compares all the possible outcomes with the expected value (or mean outcome). Project B and C have the same NPV therefore it is possible to directly compare the standard deviations. The standard deviation for Project C is lower than that for Project B which means that the outcomes for Project C have less variability. Since Project A has a lower NPV than Project B and Project C it is necessary to calculate the coefficient of variation. The coefficient of variation for Project A and Project C is 667% and 1667% respectively. Therefore, in terms of achieving the expected net present value, Project A is less risky than Project C. We would need however to see the range of possible outcomes since in this case it is the risk of outcomes below the expected outcome that is important. There is however a trade-off between risk and return. The higher the risk, the higher the potential return. The decision on which project to undertake will depend on the managing directors attitude to risk. If the Managing Director is risk averse he would choose Project A. If he is risk seeking he would choose Project B as it has the potential for higher returns. The IRR is the rate of return that equates the present value of future cash flows with the initial outlay. It is the discount rate that will result in a net present value of zero. Project C has the lowest IRR, however as stated above investment decisions should be based on NPV. A limitation of Net Present Value is that it does not consider the life of the project. The longer the project the more uncertain the cash flows are likely to be. The payback method of investment appraisal determines how long it takes for the project to payback its initial investment. It therefore to a certain extent copes with an uncertain future by placing more emphasis on early cash flows.
May 2010
11
P1
The Senior Examiner for P1 Performance Operations offers to future candidates and to tutors using this booklet for study purposes, the following background and guidance on the questions included in this examination paper.
(b)
(c)
(d)
(e)
(f)
P1
12
May 2010