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Issue: The distribution for the number of defects per tile made by Heritage Tile is Poisson distributed with a mean of 3 defects per tile. The manager is worried about the high variability Objective: Use Excel to generate the Poisson distribution and histogram to visually see spread in the distribution of possible defects. 1. 2. 3. 4. Enter values of x ranging from 0 to 10. Click Formulas, then Insert Function. Select Statistical in the Category drop down list. Choose Poisson. Enter the value of x (located in cell a2), the value of the mean and finally false. Generate the remaining probabilities, then create a column chart using the Insert Chart buttons
Issue: State Bank managers have studied the time customers spend at the bank on business. They plan to offer a gift certificate to any customer who is required to spend over 40 minutes on bank business. Objective: Use Excel to analyze to create histogram and determine the probability that a certificate will be given to any customer. The data file is State Bank.xls. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Open Data File: State Bank.xls Create Bins (Upper Limits of each class) Click Data analysis then Histogram. Define input range, bin range, output location. Check Chart Output. Click ok To compute numerical measures use Descriptive Statistics Next, determine probability of a service time exceeding 30 seconds. Select Insert Function then Click on Statistical then select Normdist function Page 2 of 4
9. Enter
X =30, mean = 22.14, st dev = 6.09, and True for cumulative probability P(X <30) = .9016
Issue: The time between connect attempts averages two minutes and the distribution of time between attempts is assumed to be exponential. Objective: Use Excel to compute the probability that that the time between connect attempts will be less than 45 seconds (.75 minutes). 1. Click on Insert Function then select Statistical then EXPONDIST 2. Enter required values. Note, True indicates that you want the cumulative probability False would indicate that you want the exact probability. 3. EXPONDIST function note, that =.50 is used rather than the mean = 4. Exponential Distribution Probability Result P(X < .75) = .3127
B. SAMPLING DISTRIBUTIONS
Issue: We wish to develop a sampling distribution for the sample mean for the number of mutual fund accounts owned by each customer. Objective: Use Excel to select a random sample of size 10 from the data and develop a sampling distribution. The data file is Aims.xls 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Open File Aims.xls Click on Data Analysis then select Sampling Complete information to select a random sample of 10 members (column B) Sample of n=10 values number of mutual fund accounts owned by each customer. Sample Mean = 2.2 Repeat this process 100 times Store the sample mean in a column. Now, develop a histogram for the sample means using Excel
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4. 5. 6. 7.
3. Use Tools Data Analysis and Descriptive Statistics to calculate statistics from each sample Define the Input Range and select other features. Click ok. Next, Use Data Analysis t-Test: Two Samples Assuming Equal Variances Specify data ranges, hypothesized difference = 0.0, and alpha = .05
8. Resulting calculations: p value for one tailed test is .007 which is less than .05 so we reject the null hypothesis. Testing-Two Variances - Bank ATM Machines Issue: System programmers believe that the original ATM computer program will result in a higher standard deviation in transaction times than the new program Objective: Use Excel to help test a hypothesis about the standard deviation of two groups. Data file is ATM.xls 1. Open File ATM.xls 2. Click on Data Analysis and finally on F-Test for Two Sample Variances 3. Supply Variable Ranges [A1:A8; B1:B12], Significance Level [ALPHA = 0.01], and Output Range. Click on OK. 4. Since F = 11.8512 > F critical = 5.38, reject Ho and conclude that the variance for Original Software exceeds that for the new system
Prepared by Luzz Landicho, RVR-COB, DLSU-Manila
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