THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL

THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

April 24, 2012
LYNCH KEEPS HIGH APPROVAL RATINGS, GOVERNORS RACE UP FOR GRABS
By:

Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D.

UNH Survey Center
603/862-2226
www.unh.edu/survey-center

DURHAM, NH The race for Governor of New Hampshire is wide open as voters are unaware of the candidates seeking the
seat. New Hampshire Governor John Lynchs job approval rating continues to rise in his last year in office. Economic
problems continue to be the top concerns for Granite Staters, but have moderated somewhat in recent months.
These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey
Center. Five hundred thirty-eight (538) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular
telephone between April 9 and April 20, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.2 percent. Included is a
subsample of 486 likely general election voters (margin of sampling error +/- 4.4%).
Gubernatorial Approval
In his final year as New Hampshire governor, John Lynch continues to be extremely popular. In the most recent Granite State
Poll, 72% of New Hampshire adults say they approve of the way he is handling his job as governor, 17% disapprove, and 12%
are neutral or dont know. Lynch has strong support among Democrats (87% approve) and also receives majority support from
Independents (64%) and Republicans (59%).
NH Gubernatorial Approval John Lynch
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%

Approve

Disapprove

Lynchs personal favorability ratings also remain very high. In the latest Granite State Poll, 74% of New Hampshire adults say
they have a favorable opinion of Lynch, 14% have an unfavorable opinion, 6% are neutral, and 6% say they dont know enough
about him to say. Lynchs net favorability rating, the percentage having a favorable opinion minus the percentage having an
unfavorable opinion, remains very high at +60%. Lynch receives very high net favorability ratings from Democrats (+83%) as
well as from Independents (+48%), and even receives high net favorability ratings from Republicans (+39%).

We ask that this copyrighted information be referred to as the Granite State Poll, sponsored by WMUR-TV, and conducted by the University of New
Hampshire Survey Center.

100%

Favorability Ratings NH Governor John Lynch

90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%

Favorable

Unfavorable

Most Important Problem Facing New Hampshire

Concerns about the states economy and unemployment remain most important problem facing the state, mentioned by 36% of
respondents. Other important concerns are Republicans in the legislature (8%), the state budget (6%), taxes (5%), health care
(4%), high quality of education (4%), and education funding (4%). Concerns about jobs and the economy is the most important
problem mentioned by all demographic groups.

50%

Most Important Problem Facing NH

40%
30%
20%
10%
0%

Education Funding
Health Care
GOP/Legislature

Jobs, Economy
Quality Education

Taxes
State Budget

Right Direction or Wrong Track?

While New Hampshire residents think the country as a whole is headed down the wrong track, most believe the state is headed
in the right direction. Currently, 62% of New Hampshire adults feel the state is heading in the right direction, 32% think the
state is seriously off on the wrong track, and 6% are unsure.
There is bipartisan consensus about the direction the state is heading -- majorities of Democrats (56%), Republicans (62%), and
Independents (71%), all say the state is headed in the right direction.
NH Heading in Right Direction or On Wrong Track?
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%

Right Direction

Wrong Track

NH 2012 Gubernatorial Candidates

Despite being very popular, John Lynch announced that he will not seek a fifth term as governor. This has created a wide-open
race for the corner office in both parties, however, the announced candidates as well those who have been rumored to be
considering a run, are largely unknown.
On the Republican side, the best known of the potential candidates is Attorney Ovide Lamontagne. Currently, 24% of New
Hampshire adults view Lamontagne favorably, 19% have an unfavorable view of him, 3% are neutral, and 54% dont know
enough about him to say. Lamontagnes net favorability rating is +5, down slightly from +8% in February. Among
Republicans, Lamontagnes net favorability rating is +30%, down from +38% in February.
Kevin Smith, a former state representative and former Executive Director of Cornerstone Policy Research remains largely
unknown, even among Republicans. Only 6% of New Hampshire adults have a favorable opinion of Smith, 6% have an
unfavorable opinion of him, 4% are neutral, and 84% dont know enough about him to say. Among Republicans, Smith has a
net favorability rating of +4%, unchanged since February, but 84% of Republicans say they dont know enough about him to
say.
On the Democratic side, two former state Senators, Maggie Hassan of Exeter and Jackie Cilley from Barrington have
announced that they will seek the Democratic nomination, but both are unknown to New Hampshire residents. Only 10% of
New Hampshire adults have a favorable opinion of Hassan, 4% have an unfavorable opinion of her, 4% are neutral, and 81%
dont know enough about her to say. Hassans net favorability rating is +6%, +14% among Democrats.
Cilley has similar numbers, 9% have a favorable opinion of her, 5% have an unfavorable opinion, 3% are neutral, and 83%
dont know enough about her to say. Cilleys net favorability rating is +4%, +12% among Democrats.
A third potential candidate is former Securities Commissioner, Mark Connolly. He is equally unknown in the state with 10%
saying they have a favorable opinion of Connolly, 3% have an unfavorable opinion, 3% are neutral and 83% dont know enough
about him to say. Connollys net favorability rating is +7%, +5% among Democrats.

Hypothetical matchups between the Republican candidates Lamontagne and Smith and the declared Democratic candidates
Hassan and Cilley also show an unengaged electorate.
In a matchup between Lamontagne and Hassan, 34% of likely general election voters say they would vote for Hassan, 29%
prefer Lamontagne, 1% favor some other candidate, and 36% are undecided. Lamontagne held a narrow lead over Hassan in
February.
November 2012 General Election - Lamontagne vs. Hassan
(Likely 2012 General Election Voters)
60%
50%

42%
40%

32%
30%

37%

34%
29%

26%

20%
10%
0%
Feb. '12

Hassan

Apr. '12

Lamontagne

Other / Undecided

In a matchup between Hassan and Smith, 29% of likely voters say they will vote for Hassan, 24% for Smith 1% for some other
candidate and 46% are undecided.
When Cilley is matched with Lamontagne and Smith, the results are similar to those seen with Hassan. In a race between
Lamontagne and Cilley, 31% of likely general election voters say they would vote for Cilley, 30% prefer Lamontagne, 1% favor
some other candidate, and 38% are undecided.
And in a race between Smith and Cilley, 30% of likely general election voters say they would vote for Cilley, 23% prefer Smith,
1% favor some other candidate, and 47% are undecided.

Granite State Poll Methodology

These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey
Center. Five hundred thirty-eight (538) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular
telephone between April 9 and April 20, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.2 percent. Included is a
subsample of 486 likely general election voters (margin of sampling error +/- 4.4%).
The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households, respondent sex, and region
of the state. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of non-sampling error including
question order effects, question wording effects, and non-response.

Gubernatorial Approval
GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Lynch is handling his job as governor?

Apr. 12
Feb. 12
Oct. 11
July 11
Apr. 11
Feb. 11
Sept. '10
July 10
Apr. 10
Feb. 10
Oct. 09
July 09
Apr. 09
Feb. 09
Sep. 08
July '08
Apr. 08
Feb. '08
Sept. 07
July 07
Apr. 07
Feb. 07
Sept. 06
July 06
Apr. 06
Feb. 06
Oct. 05
July 05
Apr. 05
Feb. 05

Approve
72%
68%
70%
65%
68%
67%
58%
59%
56%
60%
66%
63%
70%
74%
75%
72%
74%
73%
72%
76%
80%
77%
77%
79%
73%
72%
71%
61%
53%
43%

Neutral/DK
12%
14%
12%
12%
8%
10%
14%
15%
15%
14%
11%
11%
15%
14%
13%
15%
13%
14%
14%
11%
12%
16%
14%
15%
21%
22%
20%
26%
39%
51%

Disapprove
17%
18%
17%
23%
23%
23%
28%
27%
29%
26%
23%
27%
15%
12%
12%
13%
13%
12%
14%
13%
7%
6%
9%
6%
6%
6%
9%
12%
8%
6%

(N=)
(535)
(520)
(554)
(506)
(497)
(514)
(512)
(497)
(507)
(489)
(495)
(553)
(496)
(612)
(539)
(512)
(496)
(547)
(501)
(501)
(514)
(531)
(504)
(498)
(489)
(491)
(495)
(490)
(480)
(524)

Favorability Ratings Governor John Lynch

Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable
or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Governor John Lynch.

Apr. 12
Feb. 12
Oct. 11
July 11
Apr. 11
Feb. 11
Sept. '10
July '10
Apr. 10
Feb. 10
Oct. 09
July 09
Apr. 09
Feb. 09
Sep. 08
July 08
Apr. 08
Feb. '08
Sept. 07
July 07
Apr. 07
Feb. 07
Sept. 06
July 06
Apr. 06
Feb. 06
Oct. 05
July 05
Oct. 04
July 04
Feb. 04

Favorable
74%
67%
70%
66%
67%
66%
61%
61%
58%
63%
64%
62%
72%
76%
73%
76%
74%
78%
73%
76%
80%
80%
76%
80%
78%
76%
69%
69%
34%
17%
7%

Neutral
6%
7%
9%
10%
9%
12%
9%
9%
10%
9%
8%
8%
7%
10%
6%
8%
11%
11%
10%
8%
9%
9%
11%
8%
10%
12%
13%
9%
13%
8%
9%

Unfavorable
14%
15%
15%
19%
17%
17%
24%
22%
26%
19%
22%
24%
13%
8%
14%
10%
12%
9%
11%
12%
7%
6%
7%
5%
4%
6%
9%
11%
12%
6%
6%

Dont Know
6%
10%
6%
5%
6%
4%
7%
8%
6%
9%
5%
6%
8%
7%
8%
6%
4%
3%
6%
5%
4%
5%
5%
7%
8%
6%
8%
11%
40%
69%
77%

NET
+60%
+52%
+55%
+47%
+50%
+49%
+37%
+39%
+32%
+44%
+42%
+38%
+59%
+68%
+59%
+66%
+62%
+69%
+62%
+64%
+73%
+74%
+69%
+75%
+74%
+70%
+60%
+58%
+22%
+11%
+1%

(N=)
(533)
(526)
(554)
(514)
(503)
(519)
(513)
(504)
(509)
(496)
(500)
(557)
(500)
(617)
(522)
(517)
(499)
(554)
(506)
(505)
(515)
(536)
(511)
(505)
(503)
(499)
(508)
(500)
(573)
(508)
(509)

Most Important Problem Facing New Hampshire

Let's turn to the State of New Hampshire ... There are many problems facing the STATE OF NEW HAMPSHIRE today. In
general, what do you think is the most IMPORTANT problem facing the STATE OF NEW HAMPSHIRE today?

Apr. 12
Feb. 12
Oct. 11
July 11
Apr. 11
Feb. 11
Sept. '10
July 10
Apr. '10
Feb. 10
Oct. 09
July 09
Apr. 09
Feb. 09
Sep. 08
July 08
Apr. 08
Feb. '08
Sept. 07
July 07
Apr. 07
Feb. 07
Sept. 06
July 06
Apr. 06
Feb. 06
Oct. 05
July 05
Apr. 05
Feb. 05
July 04
Apr. 04
Feb. 04
Oct. 03
June 03
Apr. 03
Feb. 03
June 02
Apr. 02
Feb. 02
Oct. 01

Jobs /
Economy
36%
37%
48%
34%
31%
43%
46%
45%
39%
48%
36%
32%
41%
43%
30%
22%
24%
26%
11%
9%
15%
14%
11%
12%
16%
14%
12%
13%
13%
15%
13%
20%
22%
19%
16%
16%
16%
16%
11%
12%
15%

* Less than 1%

Educ.
Funding
4%
4%
4%
1%
4%
8%
4%
3%
5%
6%
2%
3%
5%
6%
10%
13%
13%
11%
22%
23%
28%
23%
27%
19%
19%
20%
17%
27%
31%
24%
31%
20%
20%
21%
27%
28%
29%
31%
31%
27%
42%

Taxes
5%
4%
5%
6%
5%
6%
7%
5%
8%
9%
9%
11%
10%
8%
14%
12%
17%
11%
19%
15%
15%
16%
14%
10%
11%
13%
18%
13%
14%
14%
11%
13%
14%
13%
13%
14%
16%
15%
24%
17%
11%

Health
Care
4%
5%
4%
4%
3%
2%
2%
2%
4%
4%
8%
6%
5%
4%
6%
5%
4%
10%
9%
11%
7%
8%
7%
6%
4%
10%
7%
6%
8%
6%
6%
5%
10%
5%
3%
4%
2%
2%
2%
0%
1%

Qual.
Educ.
4%
4%
3%
3%
4%
4%
5%
4%
2%
4%
5%
2%
4%
3%
7%
6%
6%
6%
7%
9%
11%
9%
9%
6%
10%
7%
6%
5%
6%
9%
5%
7%
7%
10%
6%
8%
12%
12%
7%
21%
45

Growth/
Sprawl
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
*
*
*
*
*
*
0%
*
1%
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
3%
3%
3%
3%
5%
4%
3%
2%
4%
3%
2%
3%
1%
2%
2%
1%
2%
1%
2%

State
Budget
6%
9%
7%
18%
23%
18%
16%
21%
23%
14%
17%
22%
10%
17%
6%
6%
4%
6%
2%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
1%
2%
2%
5%
2%
2%
4%
5%
6%
9%
6%
2%
5%
1%
3%
*

Cost of
Gas/Oil
2%
*
*
1%
1%
1%
0%
*
*
*
0%
1%
*
*
7%
14%
7%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
2%
5%
5%
3%
3%
*
3%
*
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

GOP
Leg.
8%
10%
6%
6%
7%
*
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

Other/
DK
31%
27%
21%
28%
22%
18%
21%
17%
19%
15%
18%
31%
24%
19%
20%
22%
25%
28%
28%
29%
20%
26%
26%
38%
30%
29%
30%
28%
18%
28%
28%
29%
21%
23%
25%
22%
21%
18%
22%
19%
25%

(N=)
(518)
(509)
(548)
(512)
(494)
(508)
(504)
(498)
(504)
(486)
(494)
(551)
(491)
(607)
(531)
(504)
(496)
(542)
(499)
(488)
(501)
(527)
(499)
(490)
(501)
(498)
(503)
(496)
(487)
(541)
(504)
(536)
(502)
(490)
(513)
(497)
(644)
(424)
(684)
(312)
(519)

NH - Right Direction or Wrong Track

Do you think things in New Hampshire are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?

Apr. 12
Feb. 12
Oct. 11
July 11
Apr. 11
Feb. 11
Sept. '10
July 10
Apr. 10
Feb. 10
Oct. 09
July 09
Apr. 09
Feb. 09
Sept. 08
July '08
Apr. 08
Feb. 08
Sept. 07
July 07
Apr. 07
Feb. 07
Sept. 06
July 06
Apr. 06
Feb. 06
Oct. 05
July 05
May 05
Feb. 05
July 04
Apr. 04
Feb. 04
Oct. 03
Jun. 03

Right
Direction
62%
59%
62%
61%
54%
65%
61%
60%
57%
61%
58%
55%
64%
60%
73%
70%
65%
69%
73%
76%
76%
78%
79%
80%
76%
76%
75%
75%
71%
74%
59%
65%
61%
67%
62%

Wrong
Track
32%
30%
26%
32%
39%
25%
29%
32%
34%
31%
30%
38%
27%
28%
17%
21%
27%
20%
17%
18%
14%
13%
14%
13%
13%
14%
17%
17%
15%
13%
32%
26%
28%
26%
29%

Dont
Know
6%
11%
12%
7%
7%
11%
10%
9%
9%
8%
12%
7%
9%
12%
10%
9%
8%
11%
10%
6%
9%
8%
7%
8%
11%
10%
9%
8%
13%
13%
9%
9%
11%
7%
9%

(N=)
(532)
(517)
(544)
(503)
(491)
(517)
(511)
(496)
(503)
(490)
(496)
(557)
(497)
(605)
(535)
(514)
(491)
(547)
(507)
(500)
(506)
(524)
(509)
(497)
(501)
(495)
(502)
(494)
(488)
(535)
(503)
(530)
(500)
(485)
(510)

Potential Gubernatorial Candidates

"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people who may run for Governor of New Hampshire next year. As I read
each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you dont know enough about them to
say." "First, how about ...
Favorable

Neutral

Unfavorable

Dont Know

NET

(N=)

24%
25%
25%

3%
6%
8%

19%
17%
20%

54%
52%
48%

+5%
+8%
+5%

(532)
(522)
(555)

6%
5%
3%

4%
7%
8%

6%
6%
5%

84%
82%
84%

+/-0%
-1%
-2%

(531)
(525)
(555)

Potential DEM Candidates

Former State Sen. Maggie Hassan Apr. 12
Former State Sen. Maggie Hassan Feb. 12
Former State Sen. Maggie Hassan Oct. 11

10%
11%
8%

4%
6%
8%

4%
6%
7%

81%
77%
77%

+6%
+5%
+1%

(531)
(524)
(555)

Former State Sen. Jackie Cilley Apr. 12

Former State Sen. Jackie Cilley Feb. 12
Former State Sen. Jackie Cilley Oct. 11

9%
5%
7%

3%
7%
8%

5%
8%
6%

83%
80%
80%

+4%
-3%
+1%

(530)
(525)
(555)

10%

3%

3%

83%

+7%

(529)

Potential GOP Candidates

Attorney Ovide Lamontagne Apr. 12
Attorney Ovide Lamontagne Feb. 12
Attorney Ovide Lamontagne Oct. 11
Former State Rep Kevin Smith Apr. 12
Former State Rep Kevin Smith Feb. 12
Former State Rep Kevin Smith Oct. 11

Former Securities Commissioner Mark

Connolly Apr. 12

Hassan v. Lamontagne
"Suppose the election for Governor of New Hampshire was being held today and the candidates were Ovide Lamontagne, the
Republican and Maggie Hassan, the Democrat, who would you vote for?" [ROTATE CANDIDATES]
Feb. 12
26%
32%
1%
41%
(482)

Maggie Hassan
Ovide Lamontagne
Other
Undecided
(N=)

Apr. 12
34%
29%
1%
36%
(484)

Hassan v. Smith
"Suppose the election for Governor of New Hampshire was being held today and the candidates were Kevin Smith, the
Republican and Maggie Hassan, the Democrat, who would you vote for?" [ROTATE CANDIDATES]
Apr. 12
Maggie Hassan
Kevin Smith
Other
Undecided
(N=)

29%
24%
1%
46%
(479)

Cilley v. Lamontagne
"Suppose the election for Governor of New Hampshire was being held today and the candidates were Ovide Lamontagne, the
Republican and Jackie Cilley, the Democrat, who would you vote for?" [ROTATE CANDIDATES]

Jackie Cilley
Ovide Lamontagne
Other
Undecided
(N=)

Apr. 12
31%
30%
1%
38%
(482)

Cilley v. Smith
"Suppose the election for Governor of New Hampshire was being held today and the candidates were Kevin Smith, the
Republican and Jackie Cilley, the Democrat, who would you vote for?" [ROTATE CANDIDATES]

Jackie Cilley
Kevin Smith
Other
Undecided
(N=)

Apr. 12
30%
23%
1%
47%
(481)

Gubernatorial Approval

STATEWIDE

Approve
72%

Neutral
12%

Disapprove
17%

(N=)
535

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

89%
75%
56%

4%
9%
15%

7%
16%
29%

139
219
120

Democrat
Independent
Republican

87%
64%
59%

6%
17%
12%

7%
19%
28%

228
103
191

Liberal
Moderate
Conservative

80%
82%
59%

11%
8%
13%

10%
10%
28%

122
192
182

Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party

53%
68%
87%

13%
15%
5%

34%
17%
8%

135
148
210

Union household
Non union

78%
71%

13%
11%

9%
18%

62
467

Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR

74%
83%
75%
79%

8%
6%
9%
9%

18%
11%
16%
12%

153
84
348
201

10 yrs or less in NH
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

71%
69%
73%

14%
14%
10%

15%
17%
17%

66
103
355

18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

63%
65%
76%
79%

9%
14%
9%
11%

28%
21%
15%
10%

59
117
188
155

Male
Female

71%
72%

11%
12%

18%
16%

265
270

High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post graduate

55%
75%
76%
81%

20%
8%
9%
10%

25%
17%
16%
9%

116
115
184
115

Less than $30K

$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

71%
68%
84%
76%
75%

14%
10%
6%
12%
13%

15%
22%
10%
12%
12%

59
92
26
45
101

Attend services 1 or more/week

1 2 times a month
Less often
Never

61%
72%
78%
78%

11%
11%
11%
11%

27%
17%
12%
11%

150
49
144
170

North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area

69%
76%
70%
68%
72%
75%

12%
8%
10%
13%
17%
9%

19%
16%
20%
19%
12%
17%

43
87
83
136
95
91

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

72%
72%

13%
9%

15%
18%

254
273

Cell phone
Landline

70%
72%

13%
11%

17%
17%

116
416

Favorability Rating - John Lynch

STATEWIDE

Favorable
74%

Neutral
6%

Unfavorable
14%

Don't Know
6%

(N=)
533

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

90%
75%
62%

3%
8%
8%

4%
13%
24%

3%
4%
7%

137
219
120

Democrat
Independent
Republican

87%
68%
62%

4%
7%
9%

4%
20%
23%

5%
4%
6%

226
101
191

Liberal
Moderate
Conservative

83%
83%
61%

5%
6%
8%

7%
8%
25%

5%
4%
6%

121
192
181

Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party

56%
71%
87%

9%
6%
5%

28%
18%
4%

7%
5%
4%

136
148
209

Union household
Non union

80%
73%

3%
7%

9%
15%

8%
6%

61
465

Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR

77%
81%
77%
79%

4%
5%
4%
7%

16%
8%
15%
11%

3%
6%
4%
4%

152
84
347
199

10 yrs or less in NH
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

71%
71%
75%

1%
5%
8%

19%
14%
13%

9%
10%
4%

65
103
353

18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

62%
68%
78%
79%

7%
7%
4%
7%

28%
18%
13%
7%

4%
7%
5%
7%

59
116
187
154

Male
Female

73%
75%

5%
7%

15%
13%

7%
5%

266
267

High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post graduate

62%
75%
77%
79%

7%
4%
6%
8%

19%
15%
12%
11%

12%
7%
4%
3%

114
115
184
114

Less than $30K

$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

66%
73%
82%
73%
79%

5%
7%
4%
8%
5%

16%
16%
10%
11%
11%

12%
3%
4%
8%
5%

59
91
26
46
100

Attend services 1 or more/week

1 2 times a month
Less often
Never

65%
73%
78%
78%

7%
9%
3%
8%

25%
9%
12%
8%

4%
9%
6%
7%

147
49
145
169

North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area

68%
77%
72%
69%
75%
80%

19%
10%
1%
6%
4%
4%

7%
11%
23%
14%
11%
14%

5%
2%
4%
11%
10%
1%

43
87
83
136
94
89

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

74%
74%

6%
6%

13%
15%

7%
5%

252
273

Cell phone
Landline

72%
74%

9%
5%

13%
14%

5%
6%

114
415

Are Things in NH on Right/Wrong Track

STATEWIDE

Right
Direction
62%

Wrong
Track
32%

Don't
Know
6%

(N=)
532

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

56%
66%
61%

40%
30%
28%

4%
4%
12%

139
217
118

Democrat
Independent
Republican

56%
71%
62%

39%
26%
28%

4%
2%
10%

229
102
187

Liberal
Moderate
Conservative

54%
67%
64%

41%
27%
28%

5%
5%
8%

120
191
180

Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party

63%
70%
54%

31%
24%
41%

7%
6%
6%

135
147
208

Union household
Non union

59%
62%

36%
32%

5%
6%

60
466

Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR

65%
58%
63%
58%

30%
38%
31%
38%

5%
4%
5%
4%

150
82
344
200

10 yrs or less in NH
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

62%
58%
62%

32%
34%
32%

6%
8%
5%

66
101
352

18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

74%
69%
55%
61%

17%
30%
39%
33%

9%
2%
7%
6%

61
116
183
154

Male
Female

65%
58%

28%
36%

7%
5%

264
268

High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post graduate

65%
65%
60%
55%

29%
30%
32%
39%

5%
5%
7%
6%

117
115
183
110

Less than $30K

$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

58%
59%
78%
57%
63%

38%
36%
18%
36%
32%

4%
5%
4%
7%
5%

59
93
26
46
98

Attend services 1 or more/week

1 2 times a month
Less often
Never

53%
69%
65%
64%

40%
24%
28%
31%

7%
7%
6%
4%

146
49
144
171

North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area

45%
59%
57%
69%
67%
59%

47%
36%
38%
26%
25%
36%

7%
5%
6%
5%
8%
5%

42
87
81
135
95
92

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

62%
61%

31%
34%

7%
5%

252
270

Cell phone
Landline

59%
62%

35%
32%

7%
6%

116
413

Most Important Problem Facing NH

Educ
Funding
4%

Jobs,
Economy
36%

Taxes
5%

State
Budget
6%

GOP/
State Leg.
8%

Other
33%

Don't
Know
8%

(N=)
518

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

6%
6%
1%

28%
41%
38%

4%
5%
6%

6%
3%
12%

22%
5%
0%

27%
35%
34%

8%
5%
8%

134
215
116

Democrat
Independent
Republican

6%
4%
2%

27%
38%
45%

5%
6%
5%

5%
3%
9%

16%
2%
1%

34%
40%
31%

8%
7%
8%

223
100
183

Liberal
Moderate
Conservative

3%
6%
4%

28%
32%
45%

7%
7%
2%

7%
6%
6%

20%
7%
1%

31%
34%
37%

6%
9%
6%

118
191
169

Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party

3%
3%
7%

43%
37%
29%

4%
6%
4%

10%
3%
6%

0%
2%
19%

33%
37%
32%

8%
12%
3%

129
143
205

Union household
Non union

4%
4%

34%
36%

6%
5%

1%
6%

24%
6%

23%
35%

9%
8%

62
452

Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR

8%
7%
4%
5%

34%
24%
36%
29%

3%
5%
5%
4%

7%
19%
8%
7%

8%
12%
8%
16%

30%
30%
33%
35%

9%
2%
6%
5%

150
84
336
195

10 yrs or less in NH
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

2%
3%
5%

42%
34%
35%

3%
6%
5%

4%
8%
6%

1%
8%
9%

33%
33%
34%

15%
8%
6%

58
101
349

18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

3%
3%
6%
5%

29%
39%
37%
34%

2%
6%
5%
6%

1%
6%
8%
5%

0%
6%
10%
11%

40%
30%
32%
34%

26%
9%
3%
6%

55
113
185
149

Male
Female

4%
5%

36%
36%

5%
4%

6%
6%

8%
9%

34%
33%

7%
8%

255
264

High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post graduate

3%
3%
3%
9%

39%
34%
39%
28%

3%
4%
7%
3%

1%
9%
5%
10%

3%
6%
11%
10%

43%
31%
29%
34%

8%
12%
6%
6%

112
108
180
112

Less than $30K

$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

2%
6%
3%
4%
5%

39%
40%
41%
48%
31%

3%
7%
7%
13%
3%

2%
1%
0%
9%
10%

1%
8%
21%
8%
8%

49%
31%
23%
16%
37%

5%
7%
4%
2%
6%

56
92
26
44
97

Attend services 1 or more/week

1 2 times a month
Less often
Never

3%
12%
5%
3%

36%
37%
37%
34%

3%
3%
6%
7%

8%
7%
4%
6%

8%
11%
7%
8%

36%
23%
32%
34%

6%
7%
10%
9%

148
47
138
166

North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area

0%
3%
6%
3%
5%
8%

35%
43%
37%
37%
32%
31%

8%
4%
3%
6%
6%
3%

7%
5%
5%
9%
3%
4%

9%
13%
12%
7%
2%
7%

38%
28%
28%
29%
45%
36%

2%
3%
9%
9%
7%
12%

42
84
83
126
94
90

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

4%
5%

35%
36%

5%
5%

4%
8%

5%
11%

40%
28%

8%
8%

247
263

Cell phone
Landline

1%
5%

35%
36%

4%
5%

4%
6%

9%
8%

35%
33%

12%
6%

114
401

STATEWIDE

Favorability Rating Attorney Ovide Lamontagne

STATEWIDE

Favorable
24%

Neutral
3%

Unfavorable
19%

Don't Know
54%

(N=)
532

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

8%
29%
39%

0%
3%
5%

35%
18%
8%

56%
50%
48%

138
219
120

Democrat
Independent
Republican

8%
31%
39%

2%
3%
4%

31%
10%
9%

59%
56%
48%

226
102
191

Liberal
Moderate
Conservative

9%
22%
37%

2%
4%
3%

35%
23%
6%

55%
51%
54%

121
191
181

Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party

46%
20%
14%

4%
2%
2%

5%
6%
40%

44%
72%
44%

136
147
209

Union household
Non union

26%
23%

3%
3%

25%
18%

46%
56%

61
464

Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR

32%
21%
23%
16%

4%
4%
3%
2%

18%
31%
20%
31%

45%
45%
54%
51%

153
84
348
199

10 yrs or less in NH
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

15%
12%
29%

5%
5%
2%

1%
20%
22%

79%
63%
48%

65
102
353

18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

11%
18%
26%
29%

4%
3%
2%
3%

4%
18%
23%
21%

81%
61%
48%
47%

59
117
186
154

Male
Female

28%
20%

2%
3%

20%
19%

50%
59%

264
269

High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post graduate

14%
23%
27%
29%

3%
2%
2%
4%

13%
11%
20%
32%

71%
64%
51%
35%

116
114
182
114

Less than $30K

$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

20%
30%
20%
15%
28%

1%
3%
4%
0%
4%

8%
19%
23%
23%
22%

70%
48%
53%
62%
46%

58
92
26
46
100

Attend services 1 or more/week

1 2 times a month
Less often
Never

34%
28%
24%
15%

3%
4%
4%
1%

16%
18%
19%
20%

47%
50%
53%
65%

149
49
143
169

North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area

27%
25%
21%
20%
21%
31%

3%
2%
3%
2%
5%
1%

16%
28%
21%
15%
20%
17%

55%
46%
55%
62%
54%
51%

43
87
80
136
94
91

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

24%
23%

3%
2%

18%
20%

54%
55%

253
271

Cell phone
Landline

21%
24%

3%
3%

16%
20%

60%
53%

112
417

Favorability Rating - Former state Representative Kevin Smith

STATEWIDE
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

Favorable
6%

Neutral
4%

Unfavorable
6%

Don't Know
84%

(N=)
531

1%
7%
9%

1%
4%
5%

13%
3%
5%

85%
85%
81%

138
219
119

Democrat
Independent
Republican

2%
15%
8%

3%
4%
4%

9%
4%
4%

87%
77%
84%

225
103
191

Liberal
Moderate
Conservative

4%
5%
10%

3%
5%
3%

12%
6%
3%

82%
84%
83%

121
192
180

Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party

9%
7%
3%

4%
2%
5%

6%
3%
9%

81%
89%
82%

136
147
209

Union household
Non union

4%
7%

4%
3%

5%
6%

88%
84%

61
464

Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR

8%
9%
6%
6%

5%
5%
3%
5%

9%
11%
7%
9%

78%
75%
85%
80%

153
84
347
199

10 yrs or less in NH
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

8%
8%
6%

5%
2%
3%

2%
9%
6%

85%
81%
85%

65
102
353

18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

13%
7%
4%
7%

2%
6%
3%
2%

4%
8%
6%
6%

82%
80%
86%
85%

59
116
186
154

Male
Female

10%
3%

4%
3%

6%
6%

80%
88%

264
268

High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post graduate

5%
6%
8%
6%

2%
3%
4%
4%

4%
2%
6%
13%

89%
88%
83%
78%

114
115
182
113

Less than $30K

$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

9%
3%
5%
7%
9%

3%
6%
2%
3%
4%

4%
6%
3%
2%
10%

84%
85%
90%
89%
77%

58
92
26
46
100

Attend services 1 or more/week

1 2 times a month
Less often
Never

7%
2%
9%
5%

4%
5%
6%
0%

5%
8%
8%
5%

84%
84%
77%
90%

149
48
143
169

North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area

8%
4%
7%
2%
12%
6%

0%
3%
2%
5%
4%
5%

3%
8%
7%
7%
9%
2%

89%
85%
84%
86%
75%
87%

43
87
81
136
93
91

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

6%
6%

4%
2%

6%
6%

83%
85%

251
272

10%
5%

3%
4%

6%
6%

81%
85%

113
415

Cell phone
Landline

Favorability Rating - Former state Senator Maggie Hassan

STATEWIDE

Favorable
10%

Neutral
4%

Unfavorable
4%

Don't Know
81%

(N=)
531

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

20%
6%
10%

5%
5%
1%

2%
4%
7%

73%
85%
81%

139
218
119

Democrat
Independent
Republican

15%
6%
7%

5%
6%
2%

1%
7%
7%

79%
82%
84%

226
102
190

Liberal
Moderate
Conservative

24%
7%
5%

7%
5%
2%

3%
6%
4%

66%
81%
89%

122
191
179

Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party

6%
6%
16%

5%
2%
6%

6%
4%
4%

83%
88%
73%

135
146
210

Union household
Non union

11%
10%

10%
3%

2%
5%

77%
82%

61
464

Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR

10%
16%
11%
17%

8%
11%
4%
7%

6%
2%
4%
4%

76%
71%
80%
71%

153
84
346
199

10 yrs or less in NH
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

9%
10%
11%

5%
7%
3%

3%
2%
5%

84%
80%
81%

65
101
353

18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

5%
8%
10%
14%

4%
9%
2%
3%

9%
5%
4%
3%

82%
78%
84%
80%

59
115
186
154

Male
Female

8%
13%

5%
3%

6%
2%

81%
82%

263
268

High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post graduate

10%
4%
8%
19%

5%
3%
3%
6%

4%
3%
5%
4%

81%
90%
83%
70%

113
115
182
114

Less than $30K

$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

6%
14%
11%
9%
17%

0%
4%
6%
2%
3%

4%
2%
2%
7%
8%

91%
80%
81%
81%
72%

58
91
26
46
100

Attend services 1 or more/week

1 2 times a month
Less often
Never

12%
12%
10%
10%

6%
1%
7%
1%

3%
8%
5%
4%

79%
79%
79%
86%

149
47
143
169

North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area

4%
10%
8%
5%
22%
12%

2%
7%
2%
6%
5%
2%

7%
5%
3%
4%
5%
3%

87%
79%
87%
84%
68%
84%

43
87
81
135
94
90

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

15%
6%

4%
4%

4%
4%

77%
85%

251
271

Cell phone
Landline

8%
11%

4%
4%

6%
4%

82%
81%

114
414

Favorability Rating - Former State Senator Jackie Cilley

STATEWIDE

Favorable
9%

Neutral
3%

Unfavorable
5%

Don't Know
83%

(N=)
530

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

20%
7%
4%

2%
4%
2%

3%
3%
10%

75%
86%
84%

138
219
119

Democrat
Independent
Republican

15%
8%
5%

4%
2%
2%

3%
6%
6%

79%
84%
87%

225
102
191

Liberal
Moderate
Conservative

19%
7%
6%

4%
4%
2%

4%
5%
5%

73%
84%
86%

121
191
180

Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party

4%
7%
17%

3%
2%
4%

6%
6%
3%

87%
85%
76%

136
146
209

Union household
Non union

8%
10%

4%
3%

0%
5%

89%
82%

61
462

Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR

13%
22%
10%
16%

4%
4%
2%
3%

7%
3%
4%
3%

76%
71%
84%
78%

153
84
347
199

10 yrs or less in NH
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

4%
15%
9%

6%
3%
2%

10%
2%
4%

80%
80%
84%

65
102
351

18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

1%
15%
9%
11%

4%
5%
2%
3%

4%
4%
5%
5%

91%
77%
85%
81%

59
116
185
154

Male
Female

11%
8%

4%
2%

6%
3%

80%
86%

262
268

High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post graduate

7%
6%
10%
15%

2%
3%
3%
3%

4%
7%
4%
4%

87%
84%
83%
77%

114
114
182
113

Less than $30K

$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

10%
8%
5%
12%
15%

0%
4%
2%
0%
3%

5%
1%
5%
9%
4%

85%
88%
88%
79%
77%

58
92
26
46
100

Attend services 1 or more/week

1 2 times a month
Less often
Never

11%
9%
11%
8%

3%
4%
4%
1%

3%
10%
4%
6%

83%
77%
82%
85%

149
48
142
169

North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area

7%
16%
6%
8%
15%
3%

0%
6%
3%
3%
5%
0%

6%
6%
3%
3%
6%
4%

87%
72%
88%
86%
75%
92%

43
87
80
136
93
91

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

10%
9%

3%
3%

5%
4%

82%
84%

251
271

Cell phone
Landline

10%
9%

2%
3%

7%
3%

80%
84%

112
415

Favorability Rating Former NH Securities Chief Mark Connolly

STATEWIDE

Favorable
10%

Neutral
3%

Unfavorable
3%

Don't Know
83%

(N=)
529

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

8%
9%
16%

1%
4%
2%

4%
3%
4%

87%
83%
78%

138
219
118

Democrat
Independent
Republican

7%
12%
14%

3%
4%
2%

2%
5%
4%

88%
79%
81%

225
102
189

Liberal
Moderate
Conservative

12%
9%
14%

2%
4%
2%

3%
5%
3%

83%
82%
81%

121
191
178

Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party

12%
13%
8%

4%
2%
3%

5%
4%
3%

80%
81%
86%

134
146
209

Union household
Non union

23%
9%

4%
2%

0%
4%

73%
85%

61
462

Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR

14%
15%
12%
8%

4%
6%
2%
4%

3%
4%
3%
3%

79%
76%
83%
85%

153
84
346
198

10 yrs or less in NH
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

6%
13%
11%

4%
3%
2%

5%
6%
3%

85%
78%
84%

65
101
351

18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

9%
7%
8%
16%

4%
4%
1%
2%

3%
7%
3%
2%

84%
82%
88%
79%

59
115
185
153

Male
Female

10%
10%

4%
2%

3%
3%

83%
84%

261
268

High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post graduate

9%
13%
10%
11%

1%
2%
2%
6%

7%
2%
3%
3%

82%
83%
86%
81%

113
114
182
113

Less than $30K

$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

10%
12%
12%
13%
15%

3%
2%
2%
0%
3%

6%
1%
2%
2%
4%

81%
85%
84%
85%
78%

58
92
26
45
99

Attend services 1 or more/week

1 2 times a month
Less often
Never

12%
8%
14%
9%

2%
4%
4%
1%

3%
0%
4%
5%

83%
88%
79%
85%

149
47
142
169

North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area

13%
13%
8%
8%
15%
7%

0%
4%
3%
2%
3%
4%

8%
3%
1%
2%
6%
3%

79%
80%
88%
87%
76%
85%

43
86
80
135
93
91

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

11%
10%

2%
3%

6%
1%

81%
85%

251
270

Cell phone
Landline

8%
11%

3%
3%

3%
4%

86%
82%

112
414

2012 Gubernatorial Election Lamontagne vs. Hassan

(2012 Likely General Election Voters)

STATEWIDE

Lamontagne
29%

Hassan
34%

Other
1%

Undecided
36%

(N)
484

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

2%
30%
59%

73%
26%
4%

0%
1%
0%

24%
44%
37%

135
206
113

Democrat
Independent
Republican

3%
35%
58%

66%
12%
6%

0%
1%
1%

30%
52%
35%

217
77
182

Liberal
Moderate
Conservative

8%
19%
55%

71%
35%
8%

0%
1%
0%

21%
44%
37%

109
184
163

Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party

60%
26%
10%

10%
28%
58%

0%
1%
1%

29%
45%
32%

130
129
199

Union household
Non union

18%
30%

44%
33%

1%
1%

37%
36%

57
420

Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR

37%
24%
29%
13%

35%
50%
35%
52%

1%
0%
1%
1%

27%
27%
35%
34%

146
80
315
188

10 yrs or less in NH
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

32%
31%
28%

34%
34%
35%

2%
0%
1%

32%
36%
36%

55
88
331

18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

32%
25%
28%
31%

35%
33%
37%
35%

0%
1%
1%
0%

33%
40%
34%
34%

46
105
169
147

Male
Female

34%
24%

33%
36%

0%
1%

33%
39%

240
244

High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post graduate

34%
29%
28%
25%

29%
25%
37%
44%

0%
1%
1%
1%

37%
45%
35%
30%

90
103
172
111

Less than $30K

$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

33%
32%
42%
22%
24%

38%
40%
32%
32%
42%

0%
0%
0%
3%
1%

29%
28%
26%
43%
33%

48
82
25
43
93

Attend services 1 or more/week

1 2 times a month
Less often
Never

43%
37%
29%
15%

27%
32%
34%
44%

0%
0%
1%
1%

30%
31%
37%
41%

135
46
137
145

North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area

29%
28%
27%
30%
30%
30%

30%
33%
35%
29%
42%
38%

0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
0%

41%
37%
38%
40%
29%
32%

42
82
75
128
75
82

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

30%
28%

37%
33%

1%
1%

32%
39%

224
252

Cell phone
Landline

26%
30%

30%
35%

0%
1%

43%
34%

104
376

2012 Gubernatorial Election Smith vs. Hassan

(2012 Likely General Election Voters)
Smith
24%

Hassan
29%

Other
1%

Undecided
46%

(N)
479

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

1%
24%
51%

66%
17%
5%

1%
2%
1%

32%
57%
43%

134
204
112

Democrat
Independent
Republican

3%
26%
49%

56%
10%
5%

1%
3%
1%

40%
62%
45%

217
77
179

Liberal
Moderate
Conservative

8%
15%
46%

61%
29%
8%

1%
2%
0%

30%
54%
46%

108
183
162

Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party

48%
24%
7%

9%
23%
49%

1%
2%
1%

42%
51%
43%

129
127
198

Union household
Non union

14%
25%

36%
28%

1%
1%

49%
45%

56
418

Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR

27%
23%
23%
12%

29%
43%
31%
44%

2%
0%
2%
2%

42%
34%
45%
42%

144
80
313
188

10 yrs or less in NH
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

31%
31%
21%

28%
25%
31%

2%
0%
1%

39%
44%
47%

55
88
328

18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

33%
23%
22%
23%

30%
29%
33%
27%

0%
1%
2%
0%

37%
48%
43%
50%

46
104
167
147

Male
Female

29%
18%

26%
31%

1%
2%

43%
49%

240
240

High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post graduate

23%
29%
24%
19%

26%
18%
33%
36%

0%
1%
1%
2%

51%
52%
42%
42%

90
103
171
109

Less than $30K

$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

33%
21%
25%
15%
23%

31%
29%
39%
31%
36%

0%
0%
0%
4%
3%

37%
50%
36%
50%
39%

48
82
25
42
93

Attend services 1 or more/week

1 2 times a month
Less often
Never

32%
30%
25%
13%

23%
26%
31%
36%

1%
2%
2%
1%

44%
42%
43%
50%

134
46
136
144

North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area

21%
19%
29%
28%
22%
22%

25%
29%
28%
23%
37%
33%

1%
4%
0%
2%
0%
0%

52%
49%
44%
48%
40%
45%

41
81
75
126
74
82

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

23%
25%

32%
27%

2%
1%

44%
47%

223
250

Cell phone
Landline

21%
25%

27%
29%

1%
1%

52%
45%

103
373

STATEWIDE

2012 Gubernatorial Election Lamontagne vs. Cilley

(2012 Likely General Election Voters)

STATEWIDE

Lamontagne
30%

Cilley
31%

Other
1%

Undecided
38%

(N)
482

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

3%
33%
57%

67%
23%
4%

0%
1%
0%

30%
43%
39%

134
206
113

Democrat
Independent
Republican

4%
36%
60%

62%
12%
3%

0%
1%
1%

34%
50%
36%

216
78
182

Liberal
Moderate
Conservative

8%
21%
56%

63%
34%
6%

0%
1%
0%

28%
44%
38%

108
185
163

Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party

61%
30%
10%

5%
22%
57%

0%
1%
1%

33%
47%
33%

130
128
198

Union household
Non union

17%
32%

40%
30%

1%
1%

42%
37%

57
420

Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR

41%
22%
32%
16%

30%
47%
30%
50%

1%
0%
1%
1%

28%
31%
36%
32%

145
79
315
187

10 yrs or less in NH
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

31%
32%
30%

26%
30%
33%

2%
0%
1%

41%
38%
36%

55
88
331

18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

34%
30%
29%
30%

26%
30%
34%
32%

0%
1%
1%
0%

39%
39%
36%
38%

46
105
169
147

Male
Female

34%
27%

30%
32%

0%
1%

36%
40%

240
243

High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post graduate

36%
32%
28%
26%

25%
22%
34%
42%

0%
1%
1%
1%

39%
45%
37%
32%

90
103
172
111

Less than $30K

$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

38%
32%
33%
23%
28%

28%
37%
32%
31%
37%

0%
0%
0%
3%
1%

34%
30%
35%
42%
35%

48
82
25
43
93

Attend services 1 or more/week

1 2 times a month
Less often
Never

47%
42%
25%
17%

23%
32%
35%
38%

0%
0%
1%
1%

30%
26%
39%
45%

136
46
136
145

North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area

26%
31%
27%
31%
33%
31%

31%
34%
31%
27%
32%
34%

0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
0%

43%
33%
41%
41%
35%
36%

42
82
75
128
74
82

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

32%
29%

31%
32%

1%
1%

37%
38%

223
252

Cell phone
Landline

26%
32%

29%
32%

0%
1%

45%
36%

104
375

2012 Gubernatorial Election Smith vs. Hassan

(2012 Likely General Election Voters)
Smith
23%

Cilley
30%

Other
1%

Undecided
47%

(N)
481

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

2%
23%
47%

70%
17%
4%

1%
1%
0%

27%
58%
48%

135
205
112

Democrat
Independent
Republican

3%
23%
46%

58%
13%
3%

1%
2%
1%

38%
62%
50%

217
78
180

Liberal
Moderate
Conservative

7%
14%
43%

64%
30%
7%

2%
1%
0%

28%
54%
50%

109
182
163

Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party

47%
20%
7%

7%
22%
53%

0%
1%
1%

45%
57%
39%

129
128
198

Union household
Non union

14%
24%

34%
30%

0%
1%

51%
46%

56
420

Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR

26%
18%
22%
9%

29%
45%
30%
45%

1%
0%
1%
2%

44%
36%
47%
44%

144
79
313
188

10 yrs or less in NH
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

29%
27%
20%

31%
24%
32%

2%
2%
0%

39%
47%
47%

55
89
329

18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

25%
23%
23%
20%

35%
26%
34%
29%

0%
2%
1%
1%

41%
49%
43%
50%

46
106
166
147

Male
Female

26%
19%

26%
34%

1%
1%

47%
47%

240
241

High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post graduate

19%
26%
23%
20%

26%
26%
32%
34%

0%
1%
1%
1%

55%
47%
44%
44%

90
103
173
109

Less than $30K

$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

22%
19%
21%
20%
23%

36%
32%
37%
25%
33%

0%
0%
0%
5%
0%

42%
49%
42%
49%
43%

49
83
25
43
92

Attend services 1 or more/week

1 2 times a month
Less often
Never

32%
30%
23%
10%

20%
30%
33%
38%

0%
0%
2%
1%

48%
41%
42%
51%

134
46
135
145

North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area

18%
22%
22%
25%
25%
20%

30%
34%
25%
24%
32%
38%

3%
2%
0%
1%
0%
0%

49%
43%
53%
50%
43%
43%

42
82
75
127
73
82

First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist

24%
22%

31%
29%

1%
1%

44%
48%

224
250

Cell phone
Landline

16%
24%

33%
29%

0%
1%

51%
46%

104
373

STATEWIDE