Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2
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According to Norwegian Newspaper Stavanger Aftenblad, USA is about to change their views on this issue. The American
delegation, lead by the US vice foreign minister, John D. Negroponte, has given clear indications that they want to start negotiations
which can end up with a ratification of the agreement. According to Norwegian foreign minister Jonas Gahr Støre the initiative comes
from President George W. Bush himself.
The other nations were uncertain of how USA would handle this issue, but it now seems that the Americans have the same opinion as the other
costal states of the arctic. But an approval of UNCLOS would have to be decided in Congress, which is a time consuming and
far from easy process. The American presidential election is this autumn and the negotiations will probably continue with the next administration in the
White House.
Lockwood 6/7/08 (Robert, retired council of the US Senate Judiciary Committee, "Putting Whitehouse into Hard Reality,"
http://www.redorbit.com/news/business/1421688/putting_whitehouse_into_hard_reality/)
Let it be said that you read it first in The Journal: Whoever occupies the White House will be looking very seriously at the only short-term remedy: the reserves
confirmed by the U.S. Geological Survey in the Arctic (including the Alaska National Wildlife Reserve) that is driving the Senate's surging
interest in ratifying the long-languishing Law of the Sea Treaty, which legitimizes the U.S. claims to the Arctic's seabed
reserves.
3
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Canadian Press 5/28/08 ("Control of North Pole will be decided in orderly way: Arctic countries,"
http://canadianpress.google.com/article/ALeqM5h2pX9lRsD73kpE8t_Iff1LCl-wwQ)
Under the 1982 UN Convention on the Law of the Sea, Arctic countries have 10 years after ratification to prove their claims under
the largely uncharted polar ice pack. All countries with claims to the Arctic have ratified the treaty, with the exception of the
United States.
President George W. Bush has been pushing the U.S. Senate to ratify the treaty.
Groves 6/16/08 (Stephen, Bernard and Barbara Lomas Fellow in the Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom, a division of the
Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International Studies, at The Heritage Foundation, "LOST in the Arctic: The U.S.
Need Not Ratify the Law of the Sea Treaty to Get a Seat at the Table,"
http://www.heritage.org/Research/InternationalLaw/wm1957.cfm)
The AOC was conceived in response to controversial actions undertaken by the Russian Federation. In August 2007, one of Russia's deep-water submersibles
planted a flag on the sea floor beneath the North Pole.[2] Several U.S. politicians and media outlets seized on the Russian stunt as an
opportunity to push for Senate ratification of the contentious United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (LOST). They adopted the mantra that
the United States, if it fails to ratify LOST, "will not have a seat at the table" to resolve territorial claims such as those in dispute in the Arctic. For example:
* Senator Richard Lugar (R-IN), at a September 27, 2007, Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing regarding LOST, lamented that "Russia is already
making excessive claims in the Arctic. Until we become a party to the Convention, we will be in a weakened position to protect our national interests in these
discussions."[3]
* Deputy Secretary of State John Negroponte, at that same hearing, echoed Senator Lugar's sentiment: "Setting aside its recent flag planting...Russia's continuing
data collection in the Arctic reflects its commitment to maximizing its sovereign rights under the Convention over energy resources in that region. Currently, as a
non-party, the United States is not in a position to maximize its sovereign rights in the Arctic or elsewhere. We do not have access to the [U.N.] Commission [on
the Limits of the Continental Shelf]'s procedures for according international recognition and legal certainty to our extended shelf."[4]
* In October 2007, The New York Times, after dismissing opponents of LOST as "cranky right-wingers," editorialized that "[t]he steady retreat of the sea ice in
the Arctic Ocean...has touched off a scramble among nations to determine who owns what on the ocean floor. Unless the United States ratifies the treaty, it will not
have a seat at the table when it comes time to sort out competing claims."[5]
* A March 2008 New York Times editorial repeated the "seat at the table" theme: "[President Bush] must keep the pressure on Congress to approve, finally, the
Law of the Sea. Without that approval, the United States will have no voice when decisions are made about rights of passage, exploring the ocean floor and
fishing."[6]
* An August 2007 editorial in The Christian Science Monitor opined that the United States "may not have a good seat at the table to decide [the Arctic's] future"
because it is not a party to LOST.[7]
Senator Lugar, Ambassador Negroponte, and The New York Times are merely repeating an argument previously asserted by the White House. For example, in
May 2007, President Bush issued a statement on "advancing U.S. interests in the world's oceans" that declared: "I urge the Senate to
act favorably on U.S. accession to the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea during this session of Congress.... [I]t will give the
United States a seat at the table when the rights that are vital to our interests are debated and interpreted."[8]
Russia, Canada, Norway and Denmark are all party to the Law of the Sea treaty, but the United States isn't, for the time being
at least.
John Bellinger, legal adviser to the US Secretary of State, says the other nations are taking full advantage of this.
"That's what we see the other countries doing, essentially trying to stake out their rights to the oil and gas on their continental
shelf," he commented.
"President Bush has been pushing very hard to have the Senate approve the Law of the Sea treaty, in part because it would
open up vast oil and gas resources for the US at a time that oil prices are at record high levels."
4
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CQ Politics 1/4/08 ("Return of Dodd, Biden Could Provide Push to Legislation," http://cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?
parm1=5&docID=news-000002651763)
In November, the panel approved the Law of the Sea Treaty, a 1982 agreement that the Bush administration and the military, along
with most Democrats, supports. Strong opposition from some GOP conservatives, however, means that taking it to the floor would
require a significant effort.
5
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Sandalow 04 (David, scholar in the Foreign Policy Studies Program at the Brookings Institution, "Law of the Sea Convention:
Should the U.S. Join?," http://www.brookings.edu/comm/policybriefs/pb137.htm)
U.S. military operations depend on naval mobility. By codifying navigational and overflight freedoms long asserted by the United
States, the Convention improves access rights in the oceans for our armed forces, reducing operational burdens and helping
avert conflict.
Historically, the U.S. Navy was required to contend with widely varying and excessive claims by coastal nations concerning access to the oceans. In
the 1940s, for example, Chile asserted the right to control access by all vessels within two hundred miles of its coast. Later, Indonesia asserted a similar right with
regard to all waters between its many islands.
These claims and many others are effectively resolved by the Convention, which recognizes navigational and overflight freedoms within 200-
mile exclusive economic zones and through key international straits and archipelagoes. The Convention also recognizes rights of passage through territorial seas,
without notice and regardless of means of propulsion, as well as navigational and overflight freedoms on the high seas.
The results include less need for military assets to maintain maritime access rights and reduced risk of conflict.
However, the failure of the United States to join the Law of the Sea Convention puts these gains at risk.
First, there is a risk that important provisions could be weakened by amendment, beginning in November 2004, when the treaty is open for amendment for the first
time. Currently, for example, the Convention prohibits coastal states from denying transit rights to a vessel based upon its means of propulsion. Some states,
however, may propose to amend this provision to allow exclusion of nuclear-powered vessels. Under the Convention, no amendment may be adopted unless the
parties agree by consensus (or, if every effort to reach consensus failed, more than two-thirds of the parties present agree both on certain procedural matters and on
the proposed amendment). As a party, the United States would have a much greater ability to defeat amendments that are not in the U.S. interest, by blocking
consensus or voting against such amendments.
Second, by staying outside the Convention, the United States increases the risk of backsliding by nations that have put aside
excessive maritime claims from years past. Pressures from coastal states to expand their maritime jurisdiction will not disappear in the years ahead—
indeed such pressures will likely grow. Incremental unraveling of many gains under the Convention is more likely if the world's leading maritime power remains a
non-party.
For these reasons and others, General Richard B. Myers, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, recently called ratification of the treaty by
the United States "a top national security priority.'' Admiral Vern Clark, Chief of Naval Operations, reiterated the Navy's longstanding support for U.S.
ratification, explaining that "by joining the Convention, we further ensure the freedom to get to the fight, twenty-four hours a day and
seven days a week, without a permission slip.''
6
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Eachus 9/10/07 (Ron, former legislator and a former chairman of the Oregon Public Utility Commission, Statesman Journal,
lexis)
The hypothetical Northwest Passage via the Arctic Ocean is becoming a reality as a result of global warming. But the U.S. is at a
disadvantage because of its reluctance to join other countries in the one international agreement that can help sort out the ensuing
stampede for resources and concurrent need for environmental and cultural protection.
It is ironic. Burning fossil fuels triggers accelerated melting of the Arctic ice. The receding ice makes new oil and gas deposits more accessible.
The cycle of excessive consumption perpetuates itself and fosters a new "cold war" as Russia, the U.S, Canada and other
countries lay claim to the fuel- and mineral-rich sea bed.
And here's another irony: Even President Bush, who has utter disregard for treaties to reduce carbon emissions, recognizes that ratification of the Law of the Sea
Treaty is necessary.
In 1982, the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea adopted rules under which each country is entitled to a 200-nautical-mile economic zone with rights over
natural resources. Countries can claim jurisdiction beyond that if they can show that their continental shelf extends further.
All Arctic border countries except the U.S. have signed the treaty, putting us on the sidelines when boundaries are negotiated and
disputes resolved. We're powerful enough to bully our way around, but we don't have much standing without the treaty.
Since 1982, the Arctic sea ice has decreased by nearly 20 percent. And some geologists estimate that nearly 25 percent of the world's undiscovered oil lies under
the now-more-accessible Arctic Ocean.
Canada asserts the passages through its Arctic archipelago are part of its internal waters. Russia claims that the undersea ridge
from the North Pole to Eurasia is a geological extension of its continental shelf. Denmark replies that the end of the same ridge
was once part of Greenland, which belongs to them.
Russia even sent a mini-sub to the bottom of the ocean floor to stake a symbolic claim with a flag encased in titanium. The vision may be laughable. But Russia
takes this seriously. Oil revenues sustained Cold War Russia. The resurgent Russia of today uses oil and gas as a tool for influence over its former Soviet Block
states.
"The Arctic is ours and we should manifest our presence," the leader of the expedition declared.
Forgive the obvious analogy, but the recent spurt of activity is merely the tip of a larger iceberg to be revealed in the future when
international tensions can escalate into incidents and accidents. Posturing can easily lead to confrontation. Arctic climate change
can lead to greater storms. Oil spills there are harder to clean up.
Lost in the territorial fray is the basic question of whether exploitation and extraction of natural resources ultimately will be how we define the Arctic. As harsh as
it is, this is a fragile and sensitive part of the Earth. Is the Arctic to become another example of trampling on the environment, disrespect for native cultures, and
extinction of native species?
Environmental organizations have been supportive of the Law of the Sea Treaty as a way to control access and development. So
whether one thinks we should protect the Arctic environment from exploitation or whether one thinks we can't afford to let other countries control the resources,
ratifying the treaty gives the U.S. a justifiable seat at the negotiating table.
When the Senate considers the treaty this fall, members should ratify it. Leaving the fate of the Arctic up to a colonialism-
like free-for-all of territorial claims will only feed an unfettered appetite for consumption and conflict.
7
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King 8/22/07 (Neil, Staff, Wall Street Journal, "U.S. Resistance to Sea Treaty Thaws,"
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB118772758771704410.html?mod=googlenews_wsj)
Administration officials also argue that Washington's failure to sign on to the treaty has, in fact, undercut the Proliferation
Security Initiative, a U.S. effort to enlist international help to cut off shipments of nuclear and missile technology to countries such as
Iran or North Korea.
Two countries that have declined to join PSI, Malaysia and Indonesia, recently cited Washington's spurning of the Law of
the Sea Treaty as their main reason.
Ash 02 (Timothy Garten, historian, political writer + columnist, The Guardian, 9/19, lexis)
weapons inspections. Again, this is a really good idea for the world. Take this thought and chew on it: you will
And then there are these
probably see a nuclear war in your lifetime. As nuclear weapons proliferate, and become easier to make and carry, the
chances increase that some terrorist or dictator will use them. It is difficult to prevent. It will probably happen. But one way to reduce
the chances is to have an international norm of rigorous, intrusive inspections. The Carnegie Endowment in Washington has proposed that such
"coercive inspections" should be backed by a multinational UN military force trained specially for the purpose. Of course they will never be let loose on weapons
sites in America, Britain, Russia or China, but these stable states are, in fact, less likely to use their nuclear weapons.
8
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Mullen 07 (Adm. Mike, Chairman @ Joint Chiefs of Staff, "United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea," 7/31,
http://www.oceanlaw.org/index.php?name=News)
Since 1983, the United States Navy has conducted its activities in accordance with President Reagan's Statement on United States
Oceans Policy, operating consistent with the Convention's provisions on navigational freedoms. If the United States becomes a
party to the Law of the Sea Convention, we would continue to operate as we have since 1983, and would be recognized for our
leadership role in law of the sea matters. Joining the Law of the Sea Convention will have no adverse effect on the President's
Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI) or on United States intelligence gathering activities. Rather, joining the Convention is
another important step in prosecuting and ultimately prevailing in the Global War on Terrorism.
9
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Eagleburger and Moore 07 (Lawrence and John, fmr Secretary of State + director of the Center for Oceans Law & Policy
at the University of Virginia, "Opportunity On The Oceans--America Wins With the Law of the Sea Treaty," 7/30, Wash Post,
http://www.oceanlaw.org/index.php?name=News)
Not surprisingly, the Navy; the Coast Guard; and our fishing, shipping, undersea cable, mining, and oil and gas industries all support ratification, as do
environmentalists. The congressionally established Ocean Policy Commission voted unanimously for U.S. accession to the convention as its first official act.
There are also important foreign policy reasons to adhere, as Deputy Secretary of State John Negroponte and Deputy Defense Secretary Gordon
England wrote in an op-ed in June.
In sharp contrast to the Kyoto treaty, the United States led the world in negotiating the Law of the Sea Convention and achieved a historic
negotiating success -- a success that probably could not be replicated today. Moreover, when President Ronald Reagan subsequently determined that Part XI
of the convention, on seabed mining, required major revision, the world expressly met his conditions before the convention went into effect.
Today the convention is in force for 154 nations, including all the permanent members of the U.N. Security Council but the United States. Failure to adhere
diminishes the voice of the United States in protecting our interests worldwide; it excludes America from the new functional
organizations created by the convention, such as the Commission on the Limits of the Continental Shelf; and it sends a signal of American
isolationism.
Why then has the convention, which was successfully renegotiated in 1994, not yet received a vote in the Senate? Sadly, ideologically driven opponents have
purveyed a web of distortions. They assert that the convention would give our sovereignty away, but the reality would be enhanced protection of our ships on the
seas and the greatest expansion of resource jurisdiction in U.S. history, greater in area than that of the Louisiana Purchase and the acquisition of Alaska combined.
They assert that the International Seabed Authority, which after a quarter-century of operation has 35 employees and a budget of less than $12 million, is both a
U.N. agency (it's not) and a stalking horse for world government. The agency also has no power to tax Americans.
Opponents assert that Ronald Reagan deep-sixed the convention, when instead he set requirements for renegotiation of Part XI, which were successfully achieved,
and he directed that we follow the remainder of the convention, which has been U.S. oceans policy now through four presidencies. They assert that the convention
harms President Bush's Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI), when the Joint Chiefs of Staff state flatly that the convention "strengthens the
coalition" and "supports" PSI.
Foreign policy issues deserve debate, but not shameful distortions.
The Senate must not cede its role to uninformed voices, especially when our
president and national security leaders are on record as to what is in our country's interest and when the rest of the world has
specifically accommodated America's request for renegotiation. If the Senate misses this opportunity, our allies and
adversaries alike will note that U.S. foreign policy has been diminished by an ideological extreme. The Senate should follow the
president's leadership on this important issue.
10
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Maritime Law Association 07 ("The Maritime Law Association's Letter to Sen. Biden," 7/5,
http://www.oceanlaw.org/index.php?name=News&file=article&sid=29)
Uniformity of the law of the sea is essential to the recognition of the rights of states, their ships, and their citizens, and crucial to economic prosperity.
Accession
to the Law of the Sea Convention will further establish that the world's territorial seas and high seas are not lawless, but are instead
subject, respectively, to carefully crafted bodies of domestic laws and to a regime of international laws that ensure right of law-abiding
individuals and nations to enjoy the many benefits of the world's waters. The Courts of the United States, as well as courts of foreign states
and the tribunal created under the Law of the Sea Convention, will benefit greatly from the accession of the United States to this
Convention as an emblem of world accord on the principles that govern the peaceful use of the high seas.
Kellman 89 (Barry, Professor, DePaul University College of Law, December, 1989 Duke L.J. 1597, lexis)
In this era of thermonuclear weapons, America must uphold its historical commitment to be a nation of law. Our strength
grows from the resolve to subject military force to constitutional authority. Especially in these times when weapons
proliferation can lead to nuclear winter, when weapons production can cause cancer, when soldiers die unnecessarily in the name of readiness:
those who control military force must be held accountable under law. As the Supreme Court recognized a generation ago,
the Founders envisioned the army as a necessary institution, but one dangerous to liberty if not confined within its essential bounds. Their fears were rooted in
history. They knew that ancient republics had been overthrown by their military leaders.
....
. . . We cannot close our eyes to the fact that today the peoples of many nations are ruled by the military.
We should not break faith with this Nation's tradition of keeping military power subservient to civilian authority, a tradition which we believe is firmly embodied in
the Constitution. 1
Our fears may be rooted in more recent history. During the decade of history's largest peacetime military expansion (1979-1989), more than 17,000 service
personnel were killed in training accidents. 2 In the same period, virtually every facility in the nuclear bomb complex has been revealed [*1598] to be
contaminated with radioactive and poisonous materials; the clean-up costs are projected to exceed $ 100 billion. 3 Headlines of fatal B-1B bomber crashes, 4 the
downing of an Iranian passenger plane, 5 the Navy's frequent accidents 6 including the fatal crash of a fighter plane into a Georgia apartment complex, 7 remind
Americans that a tragic price is paid to support the military establishment. Other commentaries may distinguish between the specific losses that might have been
preventable and those which were the random consequence of what is undeniably a dangerous military program. This Article can only repeat the questions of the
parents of those who have died: "Is the military accountable to anyone? Why is it allowed to keep making the same mistakes? How many more lives must be lost to
senseless accidents?" 8
This Article describes a judicial concession of the law's domain, ironically impelled by concerns for "national security." In three
recent controversies involving weapons testing, the judiciary has disallowed tort accountability for serious and unwarranted injuries. In United States v. Stanley, 9
the Supreme Court ruled that an Army sergeant, unknowingly drugged with LSD by the Central Intelligence Agency, could not pursue a claim for deprivation of
his constitutional rights. In Allen v. United States, 10 civilian victims of atmospheric atomic testing were denied a right of tort recovery against the government
officials who managed and performed the tests. Finally, in Boyle v. United Technologies, 11 the Supreme Court ruled that private weapons manufacturers enjoy
immunity from product liability actions alleging design defects. A critical analysis of these decisions reveals that the judiciary, notably the Rehnquist Court, has
abdicated its responsibility to review civil matters involving the military security establishment. 12
[*1599] Standing at the vanguard of "national security" law, 13 these three decisions elevate the task of preparing for war to a level beyond legal [*1600]
accountability. They suggest that determinations of both the ends and the means of national security are inherently above the law and hence unreviewable
regardless of the legal rights transgressed by these determinations. This conclusion signals a dangerous abdication of judicial responsibility. The very
underpinnings of constitutional governance are threatened by those who contend that the rule of law weakens the execution of military policy. Their argument --
that because our adversaries are not restricted by our Constitution, we should become more like our adversaries to secure ourselves -- cannot be sustained if our
tradition of adherence to the rule of law is to be maintained. To the contrary, the judiciary must be willing to demand adherence to legal principles
by assessing responsibility for weapons decisions. This Article posits that judicial abdication in this field is not compelled and certainly is not
desirable. The legal system can provide a useful check against dangerous military action, more so than these three opinions would suggest.
The judiciary must rigorously scrutinize military decisions if our 18th century dream of a nation founded in musket smoke
is to remain recognizable in a millennium ushered in under the mushroom cloud of thermonuclear holocaust.
11
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Williams 12/10/07 (Ian, Columnist for MaximsNews Network, "ANARCHY ON THE HIGH SEAS,"
http://www.maximsnews.com/107mnundecember10ianwilliamsallatseainwashington.htm)
The Law of the Sea should be an important cause for internationally minded liberals and Democrats, representing as it does a global
commitment to the health of the oceans and the rule of law. But their silence is stunning. A quick internet search shows that most of the
clucking comes from loony right-wing Chicken Littles who think the sky is falling down. There is a certain ironic satisfaction that the White House is now under
fire from the ideologically hardcore foundations that have so far been barraging its liberal enemies.
At this year's hearings on the treaty at the Senate foreign relations committee, the groups that spoke against ratification, the Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI)
and the Centre for Security Policy (CSP), depicted the treaty as an undercover version the Kyoto protocol - reminiscent of earlier far-fetched accusations of an
undersea land grab by the United Nations.
But money talks as the know-nothings cluck. Last year, Exxon - Big Oil's last-ditch opponent of the UN Convention on the International Law of the Sea -dropped
its financial support for CEI. The lobby now left in the field against ratification of the Law of the Sea Treaty reveals the wacko money tail that has been wagging
the Republican dog, and, more often than not, converting many Democratic politicians into fawning puppies.
The process was described in an email that Mike Scanlon, the lobbyist who once worked for Tom DeLay, sent to his Indian tribal clients. It was released by the
Senate Indian affairs committee when it was investigating disgraced lobbyist Jack Abramoff:
Our mission is to get specifically selected groups of individuals to the polls to speak out AGAINST something. To that end, your money is best spent finding them
and communicating with them on using the modes that they are most likely to respond to. Simply put, we want to bring out the wackos to vote against something
and make sure the rest of the public lets the whole thing slip past them. The wackos get their information form [sic] the Christian right, Christian radio, mail, the
internet, and telephone trees.
The wackos are now in the spotlight. But the sane wing of American politics does indeed seem to be letting the ratification of the Law
of the Sea slip past them, even though it presents a unique opportunity to break the conservative hold on multilateralism. If the Senate cannot
ratify this treaty when the White House, the Pentagon and former Republican chair of the Senate foreign relations committee are
onside with a Democratic majority, then Americans had best resign themselves to being all at sea in a world of international
anarchy.
--Global commitment to the rule of law is vital in preventing global nuclear conflict
Rhyne 1958 (Charles, fmr president @ American Bar Association, "Law Day Speech for Voice of America," 5/1,
http://www.abanet.org/publiced/lawday/rhyne58.html)
The tremendous yearning of all peoples for peace can only be answered by the use of law to replace weapons in resolving
international disputes . We in our country sincerely believe that mankind's best hope for preventing the tragic consequences of
nuclear-satellite-missile warfare is to persuade the nations of the entire world to submit all disputes to tribunals of justice for all
adjudication under the rule of law. We lawyers of America would like to join lawyers from every nation in the world in fashioning an international code of
law so appealing that sentiment will compel its general acceptance.
Man's relation to man is the most neglected field of study, exploration and development in the world community. It is also the most critical. The most important
basic fact of our generation is that the rapid advance of knowledge in science and technology has forced increased international relationships in a shrunken and
indivisible world. Men must either live together in peace or in modern war we will surely die together. History teaches that the rule of law has
enabled mankind to live together peacefully within nations and it is clear that this same rule of law offers our best hope as
a mechanism to achieve and maintain peace between nations.
--card has been gender-edited
12
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--High natural gas prices devastate the chemical industry taking down the whole economy
Raj Gupta, Chair and CEO, Rohm and Haas Company, 3/19/2003 (Federal News Service) p. lexis
Because the business of chemistry produces the building block materials that the rest of our modem economy relies upon , we are
somewhat of a "canary in the coalmine." As we go, so goes the rest of the nation. In particular, the US chemical industry's
economic survival depends on having access to an abundant and affordable supply of natural gas.
13
ENDI 08
Rudy M. Baum, Editor-in-Chief, Chemical & Engineering News, 12/6/1999 ("Putting the New Millennium in Perspective" –
Millennium Special Report, Volume 77, Number 49) http://pubs.acs.org/hotartcl/cenear/991206/7749spintro2.html
The pace of change in today's world is truly incomprehensible. Science is advancing on all fronts , particularly chemistry and biology working together as they
never have before to understand life in general and human beings in particular at a breathtaking pace. Technology ranging from computers and the Internet to
medical devices to genetic engineering to nanotechnology is transforming our world and our existence in it. It is, in fact, a fool's mission to predict
where science and technology will take us in the coming decade, let alone the coming century. We can say with finality only this: We don't know. We do know,
however, that we face enormous challenges, we 6 billion humans who now inhabit Earth. In its 1998 revision of world population estimates and
projections, the United Nations anticipates a world population in 2050 of 7.3 billion to 10.7 billion, with a "medium-fertility projection," considered the most likely,
indicating a world population of 8.9 billion people in 2050. According to the UN, fertility now stands at 2.7 births per woman, down from 5 births per woman in
the early 1950s. And fertility rates are declining in all regions of the world. That's good news. But people are living a lot longer. That is certainly good news for the
individuals who are living longer, but it also poses challenges for health care and social services the world over. The 1998 UN report estimates for
the first time the number of octogenarians, nonagenarians, and centenarians living today and projected for 2050. The numbers are startling. In 1998, 66 million
people were aged 80 or older, about one of every 100 persons. That number is expected to increase sixfold by 2050 to reach 370 million people, or one in every 24
persons. By 2050, more than 2.2 million people will be 100 years old or older! Here is the fundamental challenge we face: The world's growing and aging
population must be fed and clothed and housed and transported in ways that do not perpetuate the environmental devastation
wrought by the first waves of industrialization of the 19th and 20th centuries. As we increase our output of goods and services, as we increase our consumption of
energy, as we meet the imperative of raising the standard of living for the poorest among us, we must learn to carry out our economic activities sustainably. There
are optimists out there, C&EN readers among them, who believe that the history of civilization is a long string of technological triumphs of humans over the limits
of nature. In this view, the idea of a "carrying capacity" for Earth—a limit to the number of humans Earth's resources can support— is a fiction because
technological advances will continuously obviate previously perceived limits. This view has historical merit. Dire predictions made in the 1960s about the
exhaustion of resources ranging from petroleum to chromium to fresh water by the end of the 1980s or 1990s have proven utterly wrong. While I do not count
myself as one of the technological pessimists who see technology as a mixed blessing at best and an unmitigated evil at worst, I do not count myself among the
technological optimists either. There are environmental challenges of transcendent complexity that I fear may overcome us and our Earth
before technological progress can come to our rescue. Global climate change, the accelerating destruction of terrestrial and oceanic habitats, the catastrophic loss of
species across the plant and animal kingdoms—these are problems that are not obviously amenable to straightforward technological solutions. But I know this, too:
Science and technology have brought us to where we are, and only science and technology, coupled with innovative social and economic
thinking, can take us to where we need to be in the coming millennium. Chemists, chemistry, and the chemical industry—what we at
C&EN call the chemical enterprise—will play central roles in addressing these challenges . The first section of this Special Report is a series
called "Millennial Musings" in which a wide variety of representatives from the chemical enterprise share their thoughts about the future of our science and
industry. The five essays that follow explore the contributions the chemical enterprise is making right now to ensure that we will successfully meet the challenges
of the 21st century. The essays do not attempt to predict the future. Taken as a whole, they do not pretend to be a comprehensive examination of the efforts of our
science and our industry to tackle the challenges I've outlined above. Rather, they paint, in broad brush strokes, a portrait of scientists, engineers, and business
managers struggling to make a vital contribution to humanity's future. The first essay, by Senior Editor Marc S. Reisch, is a case study of the chemical industry's
ongoing transformation to sustainable production. Although it is not well known to the general public, the chemical industry is at the forefront of
corporate efforts to reduce waste from production streams to zero.
14
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Richardson 1/24/08 (Michael, energy and security specialist at the Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, The Straits Times,
lexis)
But Asian governments should also urge the US Congress to vote as soon as possible in support of the Bush administration's proposal to ratify the 1982 UN
Convention on the Law of the Sea. America's failure to join most of the rest of the world in this treaty governing activities in the
world's oceans and shipping lanes gives countries like Iran a pretext to challenge US warships as they pass into and out of the
Gulf through a chokepoint that is critical to Asia.
On Sept. 25, retired CIA officer Philip Giraldi penned a frightening piece for antiwar.com, which took up the potential
consequences of a U.S. military confrontation with Iran. Under the provocative title "What World War III May Look Like,"
Giraldi spelled out an unfortunately realistic scenario for an escalation of military conflict between the United States and
Iran, triggered by a low-level skirmish between U.S. and Iranian soldiers along the Iraq border. Under Giraldi's scenario, a full-
scale war erupts between the United States and Iran, which soon spreads to Iraq, where Shi'ite insurgents engage in large-scale
asymmetric combat with American soldiers, who finally have to shoot their way out of the country, at tremendous loss of life.
Ultimately, the conflict spreads to the Eastern Mediterranean, Central Asia, and the Indian subcontinent; it sparks a war between
India and Pakistan, a violent coup in Afghanistan, a war between Israel and Syria/Lebanon, rioting throughout the Muslim nations
of the Asia Pacific region, and, ultimately, U.S. use of nuclear weapons, which draws both Russia and China to the brink of
intervention. As Giraldi concludes, "World War III has begun."
15
ENDI 08
During the Nixon administration negotiations began to create a common set of rules for how nations use our oceans. Now, almost 40 years later, the
United States is on the
verge of joining the 155 nations that have ratified the United Nations Law of the Sea Convention (LOS). This treaty defines maritime zones, protects the
environment, preserves freedom of navigation, and establishes clear guidelines for businesses that depend on the sea for resources. Until the United States ratifies the treaty its rights at sea
will lack international recognition. An incredibly diverse group of organizations and trade associations—including environmental, oil industry, peace, and
veterans groups—have come together to put this important piece of old business back on the agenda. The reasons these odd bedfellows
back the treaty are as varied as their missions. But together they elicited support from the White House and Senate leadership and
have opened a small window of opportunity for LOS ratification. The timing is critical. According to the bipartisan Joint
Ocean Commission Initiative, oceans and coasts are severely threatened. In its 2006 report card on U.S. ocean policy, the commission gave the U.S. a
D- in “International Leadership” (up from an F in 2005). The commission cited accession to the LOS convention as the key step the United States
must take to improve its score. A February letter from major environmental organizations to Senate leaders urged quick ratification and cited the convention’s “basic
obligation for all states to … protect and preserve the marine environment and conserve marine living species” as a reason for their support. Ratification is not a sure thing
even though the Bush administration has urged support. If the Senate doesn’t act on ratification before the summer recess, it may miss this
golden opportunity to address the increasing fragility of the oceans.
Craig 03 (Robin Kundis- Associate Professor at Indiana University School of Law, “Taking Steps Toward Marine Wilderness
Protection”, McGeorge Law Review, Winter, lexis)
Biodiversity and ecosystem function arguments for conserving marine ecosystems also exist, just as they do for terrestrial ecosystems, but these arguments have
thus far rarely been raised in political debates. For example, besides significant tourism values - the most economically valuable ecosystem service coral reefs
provide, worldwide - coral reefs protect against storms and dampen other environmental fluctuations, services worth more than ten times the reefs' value for food
, "ocean
production. 856 Waste treatment is another significant, non-extractive ecosystem function that intact coral reef ecosystems provide. 857 More generally
ecosystems play a major role in the global geochemical cycling of all the elements that represent the basic building blocks
of living organisms, carbon, nitrogen, oxygen, phosphorus, and sulfur, as well as other less abundant but necessary
elements." 858 In a very real and direct sense, therefore, human degradation of marine ecosystems impairs the planet's ability
to support life. Maintaining biodiversity is often critical to maintaining the functions of marine ecosystems. Current evidence shows that, in general, an
ecosystem's ability to keep functioning in the face of disturbance is strongly dependent on its biodiversity, "indicating that more diverse ecosystems are more
stable." 859 Coral reef ecosystems are particularly dependent on their biodiversity. [*265] Most ecologists agree that the complexity of interactions and degree of
interrelatedness among component species is higher on coral reefs than in any other marine environment. This implies that the ecosystem functioning that produces
the most highly valued components is also complex and that many otherwise insignificant species have strong effects on sustaining the rest of the reef system. 860
Thus, maintaining and restoring the biodiversity of marine ecosystems is critical to maintaining and restoring the ecosystem services that they provide. Non-use
biodiversity values for marine ecosystems have been calculated in the wake of marine disasters, like the Exxon Valdez oil spill in Alaska. 861 Similar calculations
could derive preservation values for marine wilderness. However, economic value, or economic value equivalents, should not be "the sole or even primary
justification for conservation of ocean ecosystems. Ethical arguments also have considerable force and merit." 862 At the forefront of such arguments should be a
recognition of how little we know about the sea - and about the actual effect of human activities on marine ecosystems. The United States has traditionally failed to
protect marine ecosystems because it was difficult to detect anthropogenic harm to the oceans, but we now know that such harm is occurring - even though we are
not completely sure about causation or about how to fix every problem. Ecosystems like the NWHI coral reef ecosystem should inspire lawmakers and
policymakers to admit that most of the time we really do not know what we are doing to the sea and hence should be preserving marine wilderness whenever we
can - especially when the United States has within its territory relatively pristine marine ecosystems that may be unique in the world. We may not know
much about the sea, but we do know this much: if we kill the ocean we kill ourselves, and we will take most of the biosphere
with us. 5
16
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Sandalow 04 (David, scholar in the Foreign Policy Studies Program at the Brookings Institution, "Law of the Sea Convention:
Should the U.S. Join?," http://www.brookings.edu/comm/policybriefs/pb137.htm)
The U.S. economy depends on the oceans. Goods worth more than $700 billion are shipped through U.S. ports each year. More
than a third of oil and gas produced around the world each year comes from offshore wells. (For U.S. oil and gas production, the
figure is roughly 25 percent.) U.S. fisheries had landings in excess of $3 billion in 2002. Submarine cables are essential to global
communications and therefore much of global commerce.
The Law of the Sea Convention helps promote U.S. commercial interests in several important respects.
First, the navigational freedoms recognized under the Convention provide a stable environment for global commerce. Clear rules
with widespread acceptance facilitate international trade and reduce risks to the many industries that depend upon marine
transport.
Second, the U.S. oil and gas industry benefits from the Convention's rules concerning offshore resources. Under the Convention,
coastal nations have exclusive authority over all resources within two hundred miles of shore. In addition, coastal nations have
authority over the ocean floor beyond this 200-mile zone, to the edge of the continental shelf.
This latter provision is especially beneficial for the United States, which has the largest continental shelf in the world. Vast areas
of the ocean floor off Alaska, Maine, and other states are brought under U.S. jurisdiction as a result of this provision. With
expected advances in deep water drilling technologies, these areas hold vast potential for oil and gas production.
UNCLOS strengthens international commerce and trade that form the basis of the US economy
Wagner and Lofrumento 99 (Brett and Philip, Research Assistants @ Maritime Studies Program @ CSIS, Wash Quarterly,
Summer, lexis)
First, the treaty, known formally as the United Nations Convention for the Law of the Seas (UNCLOS), promotes free access to
the high seas by codifying broad navigational rights into international law. This has been a major objective in American foreign
policy since the United States declared its independence. The first generation of Americans knew then, as successive generations
have known since, that the nation's economy depends on commerce, which in turn depends on navigational freedom. Today,
more than 95 percent of U.S. trade by tonnage moves by sea, and nearly a quarter of the nation's gross national product results
from exports. The treaty guarantees the right of navigation, overflight, and ocean-bound shipping in perpetuity.
The treaty further promotes free trade and access to markets by granting all nations the right to lay telecommunications cables
both on the high seas and in the two-hundred-mile exclusive economic zone (EEZ) of any coastal nation. These rights are
considered essential to the information- and technology-based U.S. economy, especially because American companies currently
control 70 percent of the world's rapidly expanding telecommunication capacity.
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LOST does not threaten US sovereignty, security, intelligence gathering, military operations, or the
Proliferation Security Initiative
Lugar, 04 – Richard G. Lugar, US senator, “The Law of the Sea Convention: the Case for Senate Action”, in an address at the
Brookings Institution, http://www.brookings.edu/speeches/2004/0504energy_lugar.aspx, 5/4/04
For example, critics have contended that the Law of the Sea will give the United Nations control over oceans when the Convention
provides no decision-making role for the U.N. They have said that the Convention contains production limits on seabed minerals, and mandatory
technology transfers, both of which were eliminated in the 1994 renegotiation of the treaty. They have suggested that U.S. intelligence gathering will
be hindered even though the Bush Administration and the U.S. military (which conducts all the intelligence operations in question) say that the
Convention will have no effect on intelligence activities. They assert that the President's Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI)
which aims to impede shipments of weapons of mass destruction and related materials, will be hindered by the Convention, even
though the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the Chief of Naval Operations say unequivocally that U.S. ratification of Law
of the Sea would help the PSI. In fact, most of the articles and statements opposing the Convention have avoided mentioning the
military's longstanding and vocal support for Law of the Sea. This is because to oppose the Convention on national security
grounds requires one to say that the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs and the Chief of Naval Operations, the Office of the Secretary of
Defense, and, indeed, the President of the United States are wrong about the security benefits of the Treaty.
18
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LOST protects our national security, commercial interests, and the ocean environment
Sandalow, 04 – David B. Sandalow, Senior Fellow in foreign policy at the Brookings Institution, “Ocean Treaty Good for US”,
The Washington Times, http://www.brookings.edu/opinions/2004/0516energy_sandalow.aspx, 5/16/04
The case for U.S. ratification of the Law of the Sea treaty is straightforward: (1) the treaty protects our national security. By
improving access and transit rights for our ships, aircraft and submarines, the Law of the Sea treaty facilitates timely movement of
U.S. forces throughout the world. Adm. Clark and all living former chiefs of naval operations have endorsed the treaty. Gen. Richard B. Myers,
chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, wrote last month the treaty "remains a top national security priority." (2) The treaty protects
our commercial interests. Provisions on coastal state control of the continental shelf, for example, help provide the certainty crucial
to capital-intensive deepwater projects. The American Petroleum Institute, the International Association of Drilling Contractors and the National Ocean
Industries Association have all called for treaty approval. (3) The treaty protects the ocean environment. Provisions addressing marine
pollution and fisheries help promote conservation of scarce marine resources. The World Wildlife Fund, National Environmental Trust and
Oceans Conservancy, among others, support the agreement.
19
ENDI 08
LOST is good for US national security, economic interests, and hegemony – it increases US credibility
as a leader in international ocean policy
Baker and Shultz, 07 – Former Secretaries of State James A. Baker III and George P. Shultz, “Why the Law of the Sea is a
Good Deal”, Wall Street Journal, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119076821159739452.html, 9/26/07
The Convention of the Law of the Sea is back. It will be the subject of Senate hearings this week. If the U.S. finally becomes party to this treaty, it
will be a boon for our national security and our economic interests. U.S. accession will codify our maritime rights and give us new
tools to advance national interests. Our participation would increase our ability to wage the war on terror. The convention assures
maximum maritime naval and air mobility, which is essential for our military forces to operate effectively. It provides the stability
and framework for our forces, weapons and materials to be deployed without hindrance -- ensuring our ability to navigate past
critical choke points throughout the world. Some say it's good enough to protect our navigational interests through customary law. If that approach fails,
then we can employ the threat of force or the use of it. However, because customary law is vague, it does not provide a strong foundation for critical national
security rights. Meanwhile, the use of force can be risky and costly. Joining the convention would put our vital rights on a firmer legal basis,
gaining legal certainty and legitimacy as we operate in the world's largest international zone. This is why the U.S. military has
been a strong advocate of joining the Law of the Sea Convention. This point was reinforced in a recent letter sent by the Joint Chiefs of
Staff to Sen. Joe Biden, chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, calling on the Senate to support U.S. accession because "[i]t
furthers our National Security Strategy, strengthens the coalition, and supports the President's Proliferation Security Initiative."
The convention also provides substantial economic benefits to the United States. It accords coastal states the right to declare an
Exclusive Economic Zone -- an area where they have exclusive rights to explore and exploit, and the responsibility to conserve
and manage, living and non-living resources extending 200 nautical miles seaward from their shoreline. Our nation's EEZ is larger
than that of any country in the world -- covering an area greater than the landmass of the lower 48 states. This zone can be extended
beyond 200 nautical miles if certain geological criteria are met. This has potentially significant economic benefits to the U.S. where its continental shelves may be
as broad as 600 miles, such as off Alaska, an area containing vast natural resources. Further, as the world's pre-eminent maritime power with one of the longest
coastlines, the U.S. has more to gain and to lose than any other country in terms of how the convention's terms are interpreted and
applied. Accession would increase our influence by allowing us to nominate experts for the technical bodies that apply the
convention's terms, address proposals to amend the convention from within (rather than from the sidelines), and increase our
credibility as a leader in international ocean policy. The continuing delay of U.S. accession to the convention compromises our
nation's authority to exercise its sovereign interests, jeopardizes its national and economic security, and limits its leadership role
in international ocean policy.
20
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It’s also relevant that the USA hasn’t ratified the Convention on the Law of the Sea, so the existing rules don’t work in the U.S.
case. “Actually Congress can pass any sort of a home bill that would claim the entire Arctic the U.S. territory. No international
agreements bind the government,” Mikhail Kazantsev stressed. American officials have pledged to ratify the convention as quickly
as possible for a long time. Last year President George Bush said that he’ll persuade Congress to do it by the end of the year. But
John Negroponte complained that this pre-election year Congress won’t be able to thrash out the Convention on the Law of
the Sea. This position also gives the USA much scope for maneuver.
22
ENDI 08
Vitter has used his United Nations opposition to raise campaign funds. Earlier this year, he sent letters that seemed to be created to
look like official Senate stationery to supporters asking them to donate up to $2,000 to help him urgently defeat the law of the sea
treaty (LOST), which is how Republicans refer to the proposed pact. The treaty has yet to reach the Senate floor. "That's why in
addition to helping me stop LOST from being ratified by the U.S. Senate in the coming weeks, if not days, I'm asking you to send
a gift of $2,000, $1,000, $500, $250, $100, $50, $35 or even $20 today to help me spread the word to conservatives across
America on the dangers LOST poses to our national security," Vitter wrote in a fundraising letter. Vitter sits on the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee and is the ranking Republican on the subcommittee on international operations and organizations, democracy
and human rights, which holds jurisdiction over United Nations issues. Vitter plans to schedule a meeting with U.N. Secretary
General Ban Ki-Moon. And he is also calling for a hearing on the Human Rights Council to address his concerns. When asked
about his reference to the sea treaty as LOST, Vitter said: "It's just too good to pass up."
Bush is trying to pass Law of the Sea Treaty; however, it has stalled and won’t pass now
Wright, 08 – Associated Content, “The Law of the Sea: Why the Push for US Senate Ratification has Stalled”,
http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/779629/the_law_of_the_sea_why_the_push_for.html?cat=62, 5/22/08
The United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, a 1982 pact establishing guidelines for ocean security and regulation, is
presently up for debate in the United States Senate. But so far, a concerted push from President Bush and military officials has not
been enough to secure the necessary votes for ratification. Despite a growing list of treaty advocates, which includes powerful
shipping and environmental lobbies as well as influential military leaders, a core group of conservative senators are intent on
holding up ratification.
The U.N. Convention on the Law of the Sea has long divided U.S. conservatives. About 155 nations have ratified the pact, and the
treaty enjoys strong support from the U.S. military, as well as leading business, legal and environmental lobbies. But intense
opposition from conservative groups who fear the pact infringes on U.S. sovereignty has defeated a number of ratification drives in
the Senate.
23
ENDI 08
Senator Lugar, Ambassador Negroponte, and The New York Times are merely repeating an argument previously asserted by the
White House. For example, in May 2007, President Bush issued a statement on "advancing U.S. interests in the world's oceans"
that declared: "I urge the Senate to act favorably on U.S. accession to the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea during
this session of Congress.... [I]t will give the United States a seat at the table when the rights that are vital to our interests are
debated and interpreted."[8] However, the United States was still invited to and attended the AOC despite the fact that it is not a
party to LOST. Such active participation in the debate over Arctic territorial claims disproves any contentions that the United
States' "seat at the table" is contingent upon its ratification of LOST.
24
ENDI 08
Wes Vernon, 5/14/07 is a Washington-based writer and veteran broadcast journalist, “The world government Law of the Sea
treaty: it's baaaaack!,” http://www.renewamerica.us/columns/vernon/070514
The treaty also mandates sharing information that could be used by our enemies to facilitate attacks on our country. And obligatory
technology transfers would equip our enemies — real and potential — with useful equipment and know-how.
The Law of the Sea Treaty would prohibit any American effort to interdict and board vessels suspected of ties to terrorism or
carrying weapons of mass destruction. Communist China has a fixation on getting us on board with LOST, largely for that very
reason. At a Senate hearing back in '04, I was approached by Liyu (Laurie) Wang, then first secretary of the Chinese embassy. She
said her government was hoping the U.S. would "sign up" so all nations could have a standard for settling disputes. Given that
China's People's Liberation Army (PLP) views the United States as "the main enemy," Ms. Wang's stance should make us all feel
better — right?
Gaffney, 04 – Frank J. Gaffney Jr., President of the Center for Security Policy and contributing editor to NRO, “Don’t Get
LOST”, http://www.nationalreview.com/gaffney/gaffney200403181156.asp, 3/18/04
LOST, however, will also interfere with America's sovereign exercise of freedom of the seas in ways that will have an adverse effect
on national security, especially in the post-9/11 world. Incredibly, it will preclude, for example, the president's important new
Proliferation Security Initiative. PSI is a multinational arrangement whereby ships on the high seas that are suspected of engaging
in the transfer of WMD-related equipment can be intercepted, searched, and, where appropriate, seized. Its value was demonstrated
in the recent interception of nuclear equipment headed to Libya. Similarly, LOST will define intelligence collection in and
submerged transit of territorial waters to be incompatible with the treaty's requirements that foreign powers conduct themselves in
such seas only with "peaceful intent." The last thing we need is for some U.N. court — or U.S. lawyers in its thrall — to make it
more difficult for us to conduct sensitive counterterrorism operations in the world's littorals.
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ENDI 08
Mr. President, last Thursday, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee held a hearing on the Law of the Sea Treaty, and will hold another this Thursday. As
Chairman of the Environment and Public Works Committee, I held a hearing in March 2004 on the treaty, and we were able to have some open discussion and
debate. As the Senate again begins to consider this treaty, it will be important for my colleagues to understand the real dangers it
poses to American sovereignty and security. Proponents of the ratification of the Law of the Sea Treaty, or LOST, will tell you the treaty will be a great
asset to the military by allowing our Navy the freedom of movement to and from any point on and under the ocean, unencumbered by the need to send requests to
foreign governments for permission to enter territorial waters or to pass through straights. While LOST does maintain that this is true, it is subject to several
caveats. Under the terms of the treaty, our naval warships must pass by the coast and not engage in any type of exercise, ground all
aircraft, and negate the use of any defensive devices. The issue of passage not only applies to ships but also to aircraft both commercial and military.
LOST regulates the activities of aircraft over territorial waters and over straights. This is particularly disturbing because a treaty
that is intended to govern the sea has now reached out to control airspace over the seas. Another issue of concern is the effect of
LOST on the President’s Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI), which is designed to combat the transfer of weapons of mass
destruction. Advocates of the treaty assure us that LOST in no way damages the effectiveness of PSI because countries that want to participate in these open
ocean inspections, to assure that nuclear weapons are not being traded illegally, voluntarily sign onto the President’s PSI agreement. However, under LOST,
boarding a vessel is allowed only if it is suspected of piracy, engaging in slave trade, unauthorized broadcasting, or is not showing
or is not willing to reveal its nationality. Taken literally, as most countries will, a U.S. warship would not be allowed to stop a
vessel with a shipment of nuclear energy materials if it is flying a state flag on purportedly legitimate business. LOST also creates
a governing body known as the International Seabed Authority (ISA) to organize and control activities on the deep ocean floor in
areas beyond national jurisdiction. The ISA would regulate 70% of the Earth's surface—placing seabed mining, fishing rights, and
oil exploration under control of a global bureaucracy. The ISA has the power to levy a global tax that would be paid directly to the ISA by companies
seeking to mine the world's oceans. LOST also creates a new global tax court to settle disputes that arise under the treaty. This is an
unprecedented action – the collection of taxes by an international body to fund its own research, as well as to redistribute the
world’s wealth to developing nations. Let me further describe how the ISA would regulate development. In order to be granted mining rights by the ISA,
the applicant must submit detailed plans and exploration research information along with annual fees in the millions of dollars. Additionally under LOST,
should there be disputes among companies, American businesses that conduct deep seabed mining operations could find
themselves subject to an international court system that would hold them accountable and liable for any infractions. LOST is a
dangerous treaty that we need to reject. This treaty hampers the operations of the Navy and it has the potential to hamper the
efforts of PSI. It would allow foreign vessels and warships passage rights into our territorial waters. It creates regulation and
taxation by an international body, and it presents a legal danger for American businesses through exposure to the international
court system.
Eagle Forum, 07 – “UN Law of the Sea Treaty Threatens American Sovereignty”,
http://www.rightsidenews.com/20071004176/border-and-sovereignty/un-law-of-the-sea-treaty-threatens-american-
sovereignty.html
This week, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee will be holding its second hearing on the UN Law of the Sea Treaty. The Law of the Sea Treaty, or LOST,
created the International Seabed Authority (ISA), giving it total jurisdiction over all the oceans and everything in them, including
the ocean floor with "all" its riches ("solid, liquid or gaseous mineral resources"), along with the power to regulate seven-tenths of
the world's surface. The treaty remains highly defective, despite claims by both the Clinton and Bush Administrations that all Reagan's concerns have
been "fixed." If the Senate were to ratify it, LOST would do the following:
Threaten American sovereignty by subjecting our governmental, military, and business operations to mandatory dispute resolution,
to be decided by bodies that have a reputation for being Anti-American. These "disputes" will be decided in the International Tribunal for the
Law of the Sea.
Compromise American security by requiring the transfer of sensitive, militarily useful technologies to other nations and
international organizations hostile to American interests.
Impose U.S. compliance with the Kyoto Protocol, the UN environmentalism treaty.
Establish an international tax, which would take money out of the American business revenue stream for the ISA's use and could be easily transferred to socialist,
anti-American nations, which constitute the majority of the nations who have already ratified LOST.
Grant the U.S. only one vote, despite the fact that the vast majority of funding will come from American taxpayers.
26
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27
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28
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Weyrich, 04 - Chairman and CEO of the Free Congress Research and Education Foundation, “Law of the Sea Treaty Threatens
Sovereignty”, http://www.renewamerica.us/columns/weyrich/041123, 11/23/04
Article 110 fails to permit suspicion of harboring terrorists or the shipping of WMD as justification for boarding a ship on the high
seas. Warships can "interfere" with a foreign ship if there is reasonable ground for suspecting that the ship is engaged in piracy, the slave trade, or, conditionally,
unauthorized broadcasting. Warships may also verify foreign ship's flag.
What makes Article 110 so troubling is that, thanks to President Bush's Proliferation Security Initiative, our Navy now has the
authority to interdict ships thought to be engaged in terrorism or the furthering the proliferation of WMD. Our participation in
LOST would render the PSI invalid. It should be noted that PSI is not just a unilateral initiative but one that, according to the White House Fact
Sheet issued on September 4, 2003:
"...seeks to involve in some capacity all states that have a stake in nonproliferation and the ability and willingness to take steps to stop the flow of such items at sea,
in the air, or on land. The PSI also seeks cooperation from any state whose vessels, flags, ports, territorial waters, airspace, or land might
be used for proliferation purposes by states and non-state actors of proliferation concern. The increasingly aggressive efforts by
proliferators to stand outside or to circumvent existing nonproliferation norms, and to profit from such trade, requires new and
stronger actions by the international community."
Other nations which had agreed to participate in the PSI by the time the White House had announced our own country's participation include: Australia, Britain,
France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, and Spain.
LOST would invalidate the Proliferation Security Initiative, disrupt US military activities, and
threaten US security
Bandow, 04 -Doug Bandow, Senior Fellow at the Cato Institute, in an address before the United States Senate Committee on
Armed Services, Washington D.C., “The Law of the Sea Treaty: Inconsistent With American Interests”, 4/8/04
Another concern is the impact of LOST on the President's Proliferation Security Initiative. Although treaty advocates suggest that
the LOST would provide an additional forum through which to advance the PSI, it seems more likely that adherence to LOST
would constrain Washington's ability to intercept weapons shipments which are problematic, even if legal under international law,
including the treaty. After all, any anti-proliferation policy treats nations differently based upon a subjective assessment of the stability and intention of a
particular regime. The LOST makes no such distinctions. At best, the treaty is ambiguous regarding the seizure of WMD shipments. Adopting
such ambiguity probably does not strengthen Washington's position. Further, treaty advocates contend that whatever the faults of LOST, only
participation in the treaty can prevent future damaging interpretations, amendments, and tribunal decisions. However, there is no guarantee that
interpretations under the LOST would not impinge upon U.S. military activities. In his Senate testimony last fall, State Department legal
adviser William H. Taft IV noted the importance of conditioning acceptance "upon the understanding that each Party has the exclusive right to determine which of
its activities are 'military activities' and that such determination is not subject to review." Whether other members will respect that claim is not so certain. Adm.
Michael G. Mullen, the Vice Chief of Naval Operations, acknowledges the possibility that a LOST tribunal could assert
jurisdiction and rule adversely, impacting "operational planning and activities, and our security."
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Sharon Squassoni, 6/7/05, Specialist in National Defense Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division
http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/48624.pdf
In the December 2002 National Strategy to Combat Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) Proliferation, the Bush Administration
highlighted a more activist approach to countering proliferation. While noting that traditional nonproliferation measures such as
diplomacy, arms control, threat reduction assistance, and export controls should be enhanced, the strategy placed increasing
emphasis on countering proliferation once it has occurred and managing the consequences of WMD use. In particular, interdiction
of WMD-related goods gained more prominence. U.S. policy sought to “enhance the capabilities of our military, intelligence,
technical, and law enforcement communities to prevent the movement of WMD materials, technology, and expertise to hostile
states and terrorist organizations.” President Bush unveiled the Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI) in Krakow, Poland, on May
31, 2003. Deemed “foremost among President Bush’s efforts to stop WMD proliferation,” PSI appears to be a new channel for
interdiction cooperation outside of treaties and multilateral export control regimes.2 It may informally expand the number of
cooperating countries without expanding membership in export control groups (Nuclear Suppliers’ Group, Australia Group, and
the Missile Technology Control Regime).
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"Fixed"? No way Clark and Meese say if anything, adopting the treaty would be even more contrary to American interests than it
was when Malone said that the 1994 Clinton administration "fix" not only failed to address seabed mining provisions, but "the
collectivist ideologies of a now repudiated system of global central planning still embedded in the treaty" prompt a "new and
potentially serious concern." Their Meese-Clark article notes the treaty leaves the U.S. vulnerable to such factors as "increasingly
brazen hostility" of the UN and other international entities to American interests; the UN's ambition to impose international taxes;
the world environmentalist drive to force the U.S. to adopt jobs-killing policies rejected by our elected officials; a worldwide
"jurisprudence" that would "trump" American constitutional rights; and enabling adversaries of the U.S. military to impede
American military and intelligence operations — in other words, tie our hands so we could not protect ourselves from attack.
Just what we need when threatened by bloodthirsty terrorists who want to kill Americans — any Americans.
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Bandow 9-25-7 (Doug, Bastiat Scholar in Free Enterprise at the Competitive Enterprise Institute. "The Law of the Sea Treaty:
Impeding American Entrepreneurship and Investment,” http://cei.org/pdf/6151.pdf)
Moreover, the LOST could set a bad regulatory precedent for the commercial development of space. The U.N.’s Moon Treaty,
which is technically in force, mimics the LOST’s common heritage rhetoric, but establishes no institutional regulatory framework.
Subjecting private space exploration and development to a LOST-like system would discourage private ventures. With the only
economically viable private space operations limited to launching satellites, the impact of an intergalactic LOST might seem
slight. Nevertheless, serious entrepreneurs are entering the industry.15 Making a profit while exploring space is a daunting enough
prospect. Attempting to do so when subject to an aggressive regulatory agency likely would be impossible. Mankind would lose
not only new technologies, but the very possibility of reaching the heavens. Many of LOST’s costs are obvious, and reason enough
to reject the treaty. But the agreement’s potentially greatest costs are unknown today. By punishing entrepreneurship directed at
transforming the great frontiers of the oceans and space, LOST threatens potentially enormous losses well into the future. The
exact impact of the regulatory regime might be unpredictable, since the treaty’s exact operation is not certain. But the magnitude of
the loss would be enormous.
Tumlinson 03 (Richard- President of Space Frontier Foundation, “Future of NASA,” FDCH Congressional Testimony, Oct 29,
lexis)
Our first possible choice, and the one lots of folks sometimes seem to believe is inevitable, is the worst. It's what might happen if we keep on rolling along and do
nothing about conserving our natural resources or accessing new. The characterization we see in popular culture and films such as the Matrix, the Terminator
series, and other dark dystopian images. It is an apocalyptic vision, the result of a time when all the world's cultures rush to create consumer societies such as those
in Europe, Japan and the USA. Eventually our excesses exceed our limits and we end up with a polluted and stripped world whose
environment collapses, bringing down whole societies, leading to war, famine, the end of global culture, and the dawn of a new
dark age. Our second choice is to attempt to sustain the human race on this one world through rationing of resources - at the cost of personal freedom - as we
anesthetize ourselves with virtual realities and sensory distortions. . . Under the heavy hand of global Big Brother, our lives, actions, and even our very thoughts
will be monitored and controlled. Imagination and innovation will be seen as threats to order and safety. Risk will be avoided at all cost. Perhaps we will
eventually become so physically and intellectually passive that we finally load ourselves into banks of virtual electronic realities
and pass the eons in a bliss of pretend adventures and paradises uncounted, until some global catastrophe such as an asteroid strike
sends us into oblivion. Or there's the third choice, opening the High Frontier of space and breaking out into the galaxy. Celebrating the spirit of exploration
and individuality, we begin to truly explore and open the space around us to human settlement. Turning debates between free enterprise
technologists and protectors of the Earth on their heads, we unleash the power of human imagination to create ways to
harvest the resources of space, not only saving this precious planet, but also blazing a path to the stars. This is a tomorrow where life is exciting,
new possibilities open up each day, and humanity spreads outwards, as the harbinger of life to worlds now dead. This future is characterized by new ideas and
cultures spreading every where, the entire human race engaged in spreading life to the stars and a future that is ever expanding and hopeful. Opening the space
frontier will also change what it means to be an American. The effect of the space frontier on America will be profound. Our pioneering past will at last have a
direct link to our future. Our heritage will be connected with our tomorrow in a visible and exciting way. The paths blazed by Daniel Boone, Davy Crockett and
Lewis and Clark will continue onward and upward across the stars. The spirit of family will be resurrected as the frontier ethics of hard work and familial support
are reinforced through the simple need to survive and prosper in a hostile environment. Our relationship to the rest of the world will change, as we throw open the
doors to a better tomorrow for all, and as we always do, offer to hold those doors open for all and everyone to follow. Opening the frontier will change
what it means to be a human being. We will become a multi-planet species, assuring our survival, and that of the life forms for
which we are responsible. And a child living in such times will know why they are alive, and be able to see an unending and ever opening panorama of possibility
stretching out before them
32
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33
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Blunt 9/25/07 (Roy, House Republican Whip, "We need Colombia more than it needs us,"
http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=3E820BA6-3048-5C12-00BEE44C7D34B7B3)
But while opening this major new market to U.S.-manufactured goods, agriculture and services without a tariff would seem to be a “no-brainer,”
the long-term strategic imperative of establishing an economic partnership with Colombia far outweighs any economic benefits
that may accrue.
In fact, I believe the geopolitical impact of a free trade agreement with Colombia is more important for our citizens than it is for theirs.
Consider the context.
South America has come to be defined over the years by fluid politics and uneven economic performance — a
perfect breeding ground for radical ideologies to gain a foothold in the political process, and a perfect landscape for autocrats
like Hugo Chavez to influence his neighbors and spread his message of antipathy for the United States.
Not surprisingly, nearly every South American country has shifted away from the United States over the past decade — with the
noteworthy exception of Colombia.
We have an opportunity to reverse this dangerous trend and establish a stable foundation on which a policy of mutual
respect and regional cooperation can be built.
For his part, Colombian President Alvaro Uribe is determined to meet our country more than halfway in this endeavor, committing his nation down a path of institutional reform and
renewing his focus on fighting corruption and drug trafficking — a program that threatens his political career and puts his life in constant peril.
Unfortunately, neither Uribe’s commitment to reform nor the obvious strategic benefit of a stable Colombia has made much of an impression on the current Congress in Washington.
The majority in the House remains unconvinced by Uribe’s dramatic success in building new institutions of finance and security across his country.
This has thrust the nation into a political purgatory on Capitol Hill — with many insisting that no reform it initiates is good enough for their ever-changing standards of progress.
Remember, this is a nation with a murder rate that has fallen by nearly half since 2002, with violence targeted at union officials dropping off in some categories
by 90 percent.
It is a nation that
has taken the billions of dollars in U.S. security assistance and done something constructive with it, combining
foreign resources with competent local leadership to produce real results in the war on drugs — a reliable source of revenue for
terrorists.
We have a clear opportunity to consolidate these tremendous short-term gains and establish a long-term partner for peace
and prosperity in South America.
E. The impact is starvation, disease, genocide, and WMD warlordism around the globe
Manwaring 05 - Professor of Military Strategy @ U.S. Army War College. [Max G. Manwaring , Retired U.S. Army colonel and an Adjunct
Professor of International Politics at Dickinson College, VENEZUELA’S HUGO CHÁVEZ, BOLIVARIAN SOCIALISM, AND ASYMMETRIC WARFARE, October 2005, pg.
PUB628.pdf]
state failure is the most dangerous long-term security challenge
The Issue of State Failure. - President Chávez also understands that the process leading to
facing the global community today. The argument in general is that failing and failed state status is the breeding ground for instability,
criminality, insurgency, regional conflict, and terrorism. These conditions breed massive humanitarian disasters and major refugee
flows. They can host “evil” networks of all kinds, whether they involve criminal business enterprise, narco-trafficking, or some
form of ideological crusade such as Bolivarianismo. More specifically, these conditions spawn all kinds of things people in general do not like such as murder,
kidnapping, corruption, intimidation, and destruction of infrastructure. These means of coercion and persuasion can spawn further human
rights violations, torture, poverty, starvation, disease, the recruitment and use of child soldiers, trafficking in women and body
parts, trafficking and proliferation of conventional weapons systems and WMD, genocide, ethnic cleansing, warlordism, and criminal
anarchy. At the same time, these actions are usually unconfined and spill over into regional syndromes of poverty, destabilization, and
conflict.62
Peru’s Sendero Luminoso calls violent and destructive activities that facilitate the processes of state failure “armed propaganda.” Drug cartels operating throughout the Andean Ridge of
South America and elsewhere call these activities “business incentives.” Chávez considers these actions to be steps that must be taken to bring about the political conditions necessary to
establish Latin American socialism for the 21st century.63 Thus, in addition to helping to provide wider latitude to further their tactical and operational objectives, state and nonstate
actors’ strategic efforts are aimed at progressively lessening a targeted regime’s credibility and capability in terms of its ability and willingness to govern and develop its national territory
and society. Chávez’s intent is to focus his primary attack politically and psychologically on selected Latin American governments’ ability and right to govern. In that context, he
understands that popular perceptions of corruption, disenfranchisement, poverty, and lack of upward mobility limit the right and the ability of a given regime to conduct the business of the
state. Until a given populace generally perceives that its government is dealing with these and other basic issues of political, economic, and social injustice fairly and effectively, instability
and the threat of subverting or destroying such a government are real.64
But failing and failed states simply do not go away. Virtually anyone can take advantage of such an unstable situation. The tendency is
that the best motivated and best armed organization on the scene will control that instability . As a consequence, failing and failed states become dysfunctional
states, rogue states, criminal states, narco-states, or new people’s democracies. In connection with the creation of new people’s democracies, one can rest assured that
Chávez and his Bolivarian populist allies will be available to provide money, arms, and leadership at any given opportunity. And, of course, the longer dysfunctional,
rogue, criminal, and narco-states and people’s democracies persist, the more they and their associated problems endanger global
security, peace, and prosperity.65
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Daily Times 1/10/08 ("US business holds out hope for trade deals in 2008," http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?
page=2008%5C01%5C10%5Cstory_10-1-2008_pg5_41)
WASHINGTON: US business plans to push hard for approval of free trade deals with Colombia and South Korea this year, even though
leading Democratic presidential candidates oppose the two pacts, lobbyists said on Tuesday.
“I see these trade agreements as getting done in 2008 and it’s our commitment to trying to get them done,” Thomas Donohue,
president of the US Chamber of Commerce, said at a news conference to lay out the group’s legislative agenda for the year.
But even if the White House can persuade congressional leaders to schedule votes on the agreements, Donohue acknowledged they might just
barely squeak through.
“A trade agreement that’s passed by one vote is as good as a trade agreement that’s passed by a hundred votes,” Donohue said. The Bush administration
hopes to add to its trade record by winning approval of those two agreements as well as one with Panama before President George W. Bush
leaves office in January 2009.
With anti-trade sentiment running high in the Democratic Party, presidential candidates Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, New York Sen. Hillary Clinton and former
North Carolina Sen. John Edwards have all come out against the pacts.
The pact with Panama faces problems because the head of that country’s legislature is wanted in the United States on charges of killing a US soldier in 1992.
However, the Bush administration hopes that issue will be resolved when the lawmaker’s term as president of Panama’s National Assembly ends in September.
All three agreements were signed before the White House’s “fast-track” trade promotion authority expired in June 2007.
That law requires lawmakers to vote within 90 legislative days on any trade agreements that Bush sends to Congress, which has yet to happen with these three
pacts. Bush administration officials say they want to work out an agreement with congressional leaders, rather than forcing the trade deals down Congress’ throat.
Wishful thinking: Donohue argued whoever is elected president should be grateful to have Congress approve the agreements this year so they don’t have to contend
with them early in 2009.
“Hopefully, they’ll pass the word that that’s what they’d like Congress to do,” Donohue said.
But Thea Lee, policy director for the AFL-CIO labor federation, which opposes the Colombian and South Korean agreements, said that was wishful thinking.
“We do not have any indications from any of the Democratic presidential candidates that they are interested in getting the pending FTAs ‘out of the way’ this
year,” Lee said.
“Quite the contrary. I think they are all committed to addressing the deep problems in our trade policy — and that won’t be a quick fix in an election year,” she
added.
Lee said she’d also seen no indications that congressional leaders would consent to a vote on the trade deals.
But Frank Vargo, vice president for international economic affairs at the National Association of Manufacturers, said he shared
Donohue’s optimism. With hard work, “there is a a good chance Congress will realize we are better off with these deals than
without them, and that the cost to the United States of rejecting them is just too high in terms of both economic and strategic impacts,” he said.
Reuters
35
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Aznar 5/31/07 (Jose Maria, Distinguished Scholar at Georgetown University, Heritage Foundation Reports, lexis)
Trade is a wonderful tool for freedom and progress.
I praise the efforts of President Bush's Administration to strengthen the commercial links
with Latin America.
Free trade with Latin America is a goal worthy of investing political capital. Free trade is hated both by Latin American
populists and by a part of the left in the United States and Europe. But we know that free trade is a decent policy. It drives progress
through freedom of choice.
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Irritating Republicans before the Colombia FTA vote dooms its chances of passage
Hitt 1/17/08 (Greg, Staff, Wall St Journal, "Socks Burden Bush's Trade Goals,"
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120053667769496451.html?mod=googlenews_wsj)
WASHINGTON -- Even as it pushes for passage of a free-trade deal with Colombia, the Bush administration is mulling whether to curb imports
from another Latin American trading partner, Honduras. The strategic commodity at issue: socks.
That the administration would consider such a move is evidence of President Bush's struggle to sustain momentum for liberalizing trade, even as public doubts are
growing about the benefits of integrating the U.S. economy into the global marketplace. Democratic and Republican presidential candidates are courting votes with
promises to help American workers confront the challenge posed by cheap goods from low-wage nations.
The dispute over Honduran socks shows the nitty-gritty side of trade policy, which often is less about debates over open borders and free investment that take place
at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, than it is about narrow disputes over specific products made in locales blessed with influential lawmakers.
The decision on Honduran sock imports, which could come this week, is rooted in the fight to win passage of the U.S. trade pact with Central America -- the
Central American Free Trade Agreement, or Cafta -- and commitments made to win the support of an Alabama lawmaker who has made a priority of protecting
sock makers from foreign competition.
David Spooner, a top-ranking Commerce Department official, said the government is studying all "relevant information pertaining to imports of socks from
Honduras" and "will make a decision based on the merits." He declined further comment.
The issue is sensitive in part because the White House doesn't want to rile lawmakers ahead of the vote on the Colombia free-trade
deal. The administration could irritate some key Republican lawmakers if it can't finesse the Honduran sock challenge, which Mr.
Bush hardly needs, given his larger problems with the Democratic-controlled Congress.
37
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Hakim 10/27/07 (Peter, President @ Inter-American Dialogue, "Ratifying the Colombia-US FTA,"
http://www.thedialogue.org/page.cfm?pageID=32&pubID=1059)
Last May, the Administration and Congressional Democrats were able to reach accord on the long-standing Democratic demand that labor standards be
incorporated into trade treaties. As a result, US unions dropped their opposition to free trade deals with Peru and Panama—which will likely allow the Peruvian
pact to be approved within the next weeks. The important point is that, despite fundamental differences, Republicans and Democrats can
sometimes find common ground on trade matters. It should certainly be possible on the Colombia FTA. After all, Colombia is
widely acknowledged as one of the US’s closest allies in Latin America—and since 1998, a broad bipartisan coalition has
supported a Colombian aid package of some $600 million a year to fight drugs and guerrillas.
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Thomson 12/10/07 (John, international businessman and former diplomat, Wash Times, "Rolling Back Hugo Chavez's
"Revolution," http://frontpagemagazine.com/Articles/Read.aspx?GUID=3D5B4AA6-DFE8-4157-96F2-8936F6040657)
Mr. Chavez has committed to effect the changes he needs to achieve one-man rule and dictate as long as he wishes; moreover, he
remains fully committed to strengthen and extend his Bolivarian Revolution throughout Latin America.
With five countries — Argentina, Bolivia, Ecuador, Nicaragua, Venezuela — effectively within his orbit, the next targets are Peru
and Colombia. Fortunately, Peru has been supported by the recently approved free trade agreement with the United States.
Colombia is more gravely threatened for two reasons: proximity to Venezuela and congressional opposition to its own free trade
pact. Bowing to opposition by the AFL-CIO, purportedly because of "human rights concerns," Democratic congressional leadership has so far refused to schedule
a vote for the agreement, playing directly into Mr. Chavez' and Colombian leftists' claims that Washington is no friend of Colombia.
Almost since coming to power, Mr. Chavez has curried relations with FARC, the murderous Colombian communist guerrilla and narcotics trafficking organization.
FARC troops maintain bases in the Venezuelan jungle bordering Colombia and their leaders have safe haven homes in Caracas (FARC "Foreign Minister" Rodrigo
Granda carries Venezuelan identification and is a registered voter).
Chavez functionaries have developed a plan to give some 2 million permanent resident visas to Colombian illegal immigrants in return for voting their way in
2010, and Venezuelan medical vans, manned by Cuban doctors, offer free care to Colombians across the border.
In addition, the would-be Venezuelan president-for-life has close relations with leaders of Colombia's far left Polo Democratico Party, which finished second in last
year's presidential elections and in October elected its second successive mayor of the country's capital, Bogota.
Mr. Chavez has boasted of spending as much $5 billion — more if necessary — to have his favored candidate win Colombian presidential elections in 2010, and
everything suggests that between his FARC and Polo Democratico allies he has a powerful supporting infrastructure.
President Alvaro Uribe has waged an all-out war on narcotics and terrorism — even sending specialist army troops to aid in Afghanistan's war on
drugs — ranking his government as the United States' closest Latin American ally. Failure to approve the U.S.-Colombian free
trade agreement will hurt democracy gravely, not just in Colombia but throughout the entire region.
Fauriol and Weintraub 95 (Georges and Sidney, director of the CSIS Americas Program + Dean Rusk Professor at the
Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs at Univ. of Texas, Washington Quarterly, Summer)
Carnegie Commission on Preventing Deadly Conflict 95 (October, "Promoting Democracy in the 1990's,"
http://wwics.si.edu/subsites/ccpdc/pubs/di/1.htm)
This hardly exhausts the lists of threats to our security and well-being in the coming years and decades. In the former Yugoslavia nationalist aggression tears at the stability of Europe and
could easily spread. The flow of illegal drugs intensifies through increasingly powerful international crime syndicates that have made common cause with authoritarian regimes and have
utterly corrupted the institutions of tenuous, democratic ones.Nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons continue to proliferate. The very source of
life on Earth, the global ecosystem, appears increasingly endangered. Most of these new and unconventional threats to security are
associated with or aggravated by the weakness or absence of democracy, with its provisions for legality, accountability, popular sovereignty, and
openness. LESSONS OF THE TWENTIETH CENTURY The experience of this century offers important lessons. Countries that govern themselves in a truly
democratic fashion do not go to war with one another. They do not aggress against their neighbors to aggrandize themselves or glorify their
leaders. Democratic governments do not ethnically "cleanse" their own populations, and they are much less likely to face ethnic insurgency. Democracies do not sponsor
terrorism against one another. They do not build weapons of mass destruction to use on or to threaten one another. Democratic countries form more reliable,
open, and enduring trading partnerships. In the long run they offer better and more stable climates for investment. They are more environmentally responsible because
they must answer to their own citizens, who organize to protest the destruction of their environments. They are better bets to honor international treaties since they value legal obligations
and because their openness makes it much more difficult to breach agreements in secret. Precisely because, within their own borders, they respect competition, civil liberties, property
rights, and the rule of law, democracies are the only reliable foundation on which a new world order of international security and prosperity can be built.
39
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Office of the US Trade Representative 07 ("The Case for the U.S.-Colombia Trade Promotion Agreement,"
http://www.ustr.gov/assets/Document_Library/Fact_Sheets/2007/asset_upload_file782_13309.pdf)
America’s two-way trade with Colombia reached $16 billion in 2006, making Colombia our fifth
1. Open a significant new export market.
largest trading partner in Latin America and our largest export market for U.S. agriculture products in South America. In 2006, total
U.S. goods exports to Colombia reached $6.7 billion. The U.S.-Colombia Trade Promotion Agreement will further open this dynamic and growing
economy to American goods and services. It will provide particular benefits to U.S. farmers and ranchers by immediately eliminating
Colombia’s duties on high quality beef, cotton, wheat, soybeans, key fruits vegetables and many processed foods upon
entry into force of the agreement.
2. Level the playing field for American business, farmers, ranchers and workers. America’s market is already open to imports from Colombia. In 2006, for
example, 92 percent of U.S. imports from Colombia entered the United States duty-free under our most-favored nation tariff rates and various preference programs,
such as the Andean Trade Preference Act (ATPA) and the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP). The U.S.-Colombia trade agreement will give
American businesses, farmers, ranchers and workers similar access to this important market. Upon entry into force of the agreement, over 80
percent of U.S. exports of consumer and industrial goods to Colombia will enter duty-free immediately. The Agreement also will provide substantial
new opportunities for U.S. farmers’ and ranchers’ agricultural exports, and resolve sanitary and phytosanitary barriers to
agricultural trade with Colombia. In addition, the agreement will remove barriers to U.S. services, provide a secure and predictable legal framework for
investors, and strengthen protection for intellectual property, workers and the environment.
Wiebe 00 (Keith, US Dept of Agriculture, "7.1 Sustainable Resource Use and Global Food Security,"
http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/arei/ah722/arei7_1/7-1sustain9-20.pdf)
Sustainable resource use refers to a pattern of resource use that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability to meet the needs of the future
(World Commission on Environment and Development, 1987; Hrubovcak, Vasavada, and Aldy, 1999). Food security is among the most basic of these needs, and
agriculture is one of the most important of the activities by which resources are used to achieve food security (see “Glossary”).
U.S. agriculture is central to this relationship. The U.S. currently produces about a third of the world=s coarse grain, half of its
soybeans, and accounts for about two thirds of world trade in those commodities (as well as a third of world trade in wheat) -- numbers that are
projected to remain steady over the next decade (ERS, 1998). The U.S. has also accounted for about half of world food aid in cereals in recent
years (FAO, 1999). The issue of sustainability will be considered in greater depth after a review of concepts and trends in resource use and food security.
Calvin 98 (William, Theoretical Neurophysiologist – U Washington, Atlantic Monthly, January, Vol 281, No. 1, p. 47-64)
Plummeting crop yields would cause some powerful countries to try to take over their neighbors or distant lands--if only because their
armies, unpaid and lacking food, would go marauding, both at home and across the borders. The better organized countries would attempt to use
their armies, before they fell apart entirely, to take over countries with significant remaining resources, driving out or starving their
inhabitants if not using modern weapons to accomplish the same end: eliminating competitors for the remaining food. This would
be a world-wide problem--and could lead to a Third World War.
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Office of the US Trade Representative 07 ("The Case for the U.S.-Colombia Trade Promotion Agreement,"
http://www.ustr.gov/assets/Document_Library/Fact_Sheets/2007/asset_upload_file782_13309.pdf)
Colombia has been a steadfast partner in combating narcotics trafficking and countering
5. Anchor longstanding ties with a vital regional ally.
regional terror groups. The Colombian people support the U.S.-Colombia free trade agreement in large numbers. An Invamer-Gallup
Poll published in El Tiempo May 4, found Uribe’s approval rating reached 75 percent. The Colombian Congress voted 55 to 3 in favor of the agreement showing
that the Colombian people are confident that stronger ties to the U.S. will make them more secure, stable and prosperous. Approval and implementation of
the U.S.-Colombia free trade agreement will be a critical signal of America’s support for the Colombian people, who have chosen
to strengthen ties with the United States in the belief that reciprocal market access will contribute to the overall growth and
development of their nation.
41
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National Association of Manufacturers 07 ("American Manufacturers Support the Colombia Free Trade Agreement,"
http://www.nam.org/hidden/pdf/Level_the_Playing_Field_Colombia.pdf)
The U.S.-Colombia Free Trade Agreement will level the playing field for American manufacturers. Colombia is a market
that presents significant export opportunities for manufacturers. Over the past fifteen years, Colombia’s GDP has expanded by an annual
average of 4.2%.
The national security impact of this trade agreement cannot be overstated. Colombia is a crucial friend and ally whose long-term commitment to democracy and
openness is key in a region where some nations are hostile to the United States. Swift passage of this agreement will bolster President Uribe’s efforts to continue to
improve Colombia’s reforms.
Due to the Andean Trade Preferences Act, over 90% of Colombia’s exports to the U.S. enter our market duty free – they face no tariffs. Half of Colombia’s exports
to the United States are crucial raw materials that are in high demand in the United States – oil and other energy stocks.
U.S. manufactured goods exports to Colombia have been steadily increasing the past few years. In 2006, manufacturers exported $6.7
billion in manufactured goods to Colombia, a 24% increase from 2005. According to the Department of Commerce, 6,763 small and medium companies exported
manufactured goods to Colombia in 2005, representing 84% of total U.S. manufacturing exporters.
However, U.S. manufactured goods exports to Colombia face tariffs averaging approximately 15 percent. While Colombia enjoys
almost completely open and duty-free access to the United States, our ability to export to their market remains limited. Passage of
the U.S.-Colombia Free Trade Agreement levels the field and provides American manufacturers with preferential
treatment over competitors around the world.
Vargo 10/1/03 (Franklin, International Economic Affairs National Association of Manufacturers, FDCH, lexis)
I would like to begin my statement with a review of why manufacturing is vital to the U.S. economy. Since manufacturing only represents about 16 percent of the
nation's output, who cares? Isn't the United States a post-manufacturing services economy? Who needs manufacturing? The answer in brief is that the United
States economy would collapse without manufacturing, as would our national security and our role in the world. That is
because manufacturing is really the foundation of our economy, both in terms of innovation and production and in terms of
supporting the rest of the economy. For example, many individuals point out that only about 3 percent of the U.S. workforce is on the farm, but they
manage to feed the nation and export to the rest of the world. But how did this agricultural productivity come to be? It is because of the tractors and combines and
satellite systems and fertilizers and advanced seeds, etc. that came from the genius and productivity of the manufacturing sector.
Similarly, in services -- can you envision an airline without airplanes? Fast food outlets without griddles and freezers? Insurance companies or banks without
computers? Certainly not. The manufacturing industry is truly the innovation industry, without which the rest of the economy could not
prosper. Manufacturing performs over 60 percent of the nation's research and development. Additionally, it also underlies the
technological ability of the United States to maintain its national security and its global leadership. Manufacturing makes a
disproportionately large contribution to productivity, more than twice the rate of the overall economy, and pays wages that are
about 20 percent higher than in other sectors. But its most fundamental importance lies in the fact that a healthy manufacturing sector truly
underlies the entire U.S. standard of living -- because it is the principal way by which the United States pays its way in the world.
Manufacturing accounts for over 80 percent of all U.S. exports of goods. America's farmers will export somewhat over $50 billion this year, but
America's manufacturers export almost that much every month! Even when services are included, manufacturing accounts for two-thirds of all U.S. exports of
goods and services.
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Negroponte 5/22/07 (John, Deputy Secretary of State, "Helping Colombia is in our national interest,"
http://bogota.usembassy.gov/pr_017_22052007.html)
In addition to extending Plan Colombia, President Bush has asked Congress to approve a free-trade agreement with Colombia this year. If
passed, an FTA
would further investment and growth and help more Colombians climb out of poverty. If Congress does not act, the
conflict in Colombia is likely to intensify, undermining years of bilateral effort that are finally paying off. That would be a
tragedy, particularly at a critical moment in defining the future U.S. role in the Americas. An FTA with Colombia, as well as Peru
and Panama, will underscore our commitment to help the region's people conquer poverty, achieve social justice and live their lives in peace.
--Further escalation of the Colombian civil war results in regional conflict escalation and a weakening
of US leadership
Rabasa and Chalk 01 (Angel and Peter, Foreign Policy Analysts @ RAND, Colombian Labyrinth: The Synergy of Drugs
and Insurgency and Its Implications for Regional Stability, www.rand.org/publications/MR/MR1339/)
Colombia’s crisis has developed into a serious security concern for its neighbors. Panamanians feel helpless to prevent the use of their territory
by Colombian factions. Ecuadoreans are conscious of the vulnerability of their country’s vital oil installations in the Oriente, within striking distance of the
Colombian border, and fear that the Colombian drug-production problem could metastasize in Ecuador. All are concerned about refugee flows from Colombia.
A
further deterioration of security in Colombia would pose a serious threat to the security and stability of neighboring states
and drive a greater regionalization of the conflict. So far the response of most of Colombia’s neighbors, as noted above, is to try to insulate
themselves from the consequences of the Colombian conflict. However, efforts to control the borders are unlikely to be successful, given the
remoteness and inaccessibility and the lack of government infrastructure in much of the border area.
The widening of Colombia’s conflict would severely test the viability of the existing regional security architecture and of U.S.
leadership in hemispheric security institutions. The states most threatened by the spillover of the conflict would seek U.S. assistance and leadership.
Others could try to work out an accommodation with the guerrillas. The United States would be confronted by the choice of leading a coalition-building effort to
stabilize the regional environment, letting events take their course, or deferring to initiatives led by other parties (for instance, Brazil) and accepting a
commensurate loss of regional influence.
43
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Asnar 07 (Jose Maria, fmr Spanish Prime Minister, "The Case for the Colombia FTA,"
http://www.hacer.org/current/US429.php)
Colombia faces immense difficulties and if it, and Western liberal democracies, are to triumph over terrorism, we need to
pull together. This means strengthening both security and economic development. If, on the other hand, the West turns its
back, it will send a devastating message not only to Colombians but to the wider world.
Colombia has been a democracy for many years now. There is no doubt that, like any human endeavor, it is imperfect. But Colombians have long demonstrated
their desire to preserve the freedom it provides and to improve on it. This hasn't been easy, because the narcoterrorists have used unspeakable brutality against
civilians in the hope of destroying their dream.
In the past, groups like the FARC enjoyed a spurious international legitimacy, based on a false perception that they were fighters for social justice. Those days are
over. As a friend of Colombia, I was honored in my capacity as president of the Spanish government for me to ensure that FARC was included on the European
Union's list of terrorist organizations in 2002.
If there was ever any doubt regarding the FARC's true intentions, this dissipated entirely in 2002 when then-President Andrés Pastrana, with democratic support,
was forced to abandon his good-faith effort toward establishing a dialogue with the terrorist organization. By refusing to come to the table, the FARC showed its
complete lack of scruples, and that it is only motivated by an overwhelming thirst for power and a desire to continue its crime-based activities.
Since then Mr. Uribe has been elected twice -- once in 2002 and again in 2006 -- precisely because he promised that, under the rule of law and democracy, he
would employ all of the weapons available to the state to defeat terrorism. This is also the wish of those who took to the streets of Colombia just last week.
Mr. Uribe also has another anti-democratic challenge coming from Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez and his hemispheric project to spread what he calls "21st
century socialism." Mr. Chávez's ideology despises Western values and wherever it has taken root, freedom has begun to recede. It is a threat to the entire region
and it is no coincidence that its proponents are allies of the FARC, which regards Colombian democracy as a foe that must be defeated.
Colombia needs its friends, not least because these enemies of freedom are powerful and well-equipped. Cocaine consumption in rich countries is the main source
of financing for the FARC, a fact that makes support for Mr. Uribe's efforts both an ethical obligation for Western democracies and also in their own interests. Plan
Colombia, an initiative to combat narcotrafficking begun during the administration of President Clinton with support from Europe, recognizes this obligation.
President Bush continues to support the plan.
Colombia also has to strive to reduce peasant dependency on growing coca crops by fostering economic development. Integrating Colombia into the world
economy will boost economic growth and serve to consolidate democratic capitalism. This is why it is unbearably cynical for U.S. politicians to cite the failings of
the Colombian democracy as an excuse to kill the U.S.-Colombia Free Trade Agreement.
The U.S. would commit a grave strategic error, one that would have dire consequences, should it reject the FTA with
Colombia. As a former head of government, I am perplexed as to how blocking the FTA from Washington could possibly make sense. Is it worth lashing out at
the Colombian people, damaging U.S. security interests and handing a victory to the FARC simply to punish Mr. Bush? What about the consequences that
are bound to accumulate when the U.S. abandons its best South American friend? Does the U.S. wish to push Colombia toward the path of 21st
century socialism led by Mr. Chávez?
If Western values are to prevail in Latin America against terror and anti-democratic authoritarianism, Europe and the U.S. must
adopt a clear strategy of supporting democratic capitalism. This includes policies that strengthen security and encourage trade
openness and commercial integration. Closing the door on Colombia, either on the security front or on trade, will strike at
the very heart of the cause for freedom in Latin America. The moment has come to demonstrate that the friends of freedom, Colombia's friends,
are both strong and wise.
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McCaffrey 11/20/07 (Barry, adjunct prof of international affairs @ West Point, Wash Post, lexis)
The proposed free-trade agreement with Colombia has stalled in Congress.
The success and stability of Colombia and the Pan-American
region depend on our ability to recognize the importance of this agreement to the United States, to Colombia's economy, to
human rights progress and to enhanced U.S. national security.
This fall I spent several days in Colombia, meeting with President Ãlvaro Uribe and other high-ranking officials in the government and military. I visited refugee
camps, economic development zones and counter-drug operations. The Colombia I recently visited is drastically different from the place I visited seven years ago
when I served as the U.S. national drug czar.
Colombia's transformation from a failing state in 2000 to a progressive democracy today is a U.S. foreign policy triumph. In less than a decade, Colombia's national
leaders have made significant achievements reducing violence and the number of illegal groups, as well as improving the country's human rights situation. The
murder rate is at its lowest in 20 years, and kidnappings have decreased by 80 percent. Among the illegal armed groups that have plagued Colombia, 45,000
fighters have been demobilized. The three principal narco-guerrilla groups (AUC, FARC, ELN) have lost nearly all of their political credibility and have suffered
more than 13,000 desertions. In addition, the economy has grown robustly, unemployment has declined significantly, and foreign investment has increased
dramatically. Colombia's human rights record also continues to improve. The level of violence against union members and the number of politically motivated
homicides are still unacceptable, but the rates of such incidents are down significantly.
The illegal production of cocaine and heroin remains a major challenge for Colombia. However, more than 525 drug traffickers have been extradited during the
Uribe administration -- by far the most extraditions ever from any country to the United States. The effectiveness of the counter-drug campaign is clear: 66 percent
of Colombia's opium production has been eliminated.
Ãlvaro Uribe is an extremely popular leader. This Harvard- and Oxford-educated lawyer has accomplished near political miracles in successfully negotiating with
criminal groups. Acts of terrorism have decreased 63 percent during his tenure. All of Colombia's major roads are open for civilian travel for the first time in the
country's modern history. Uribe has also left his mark on the legal system. He has moved jurisdiction for human rights abuses from military to civil courts and
appointed the first civilian (and woman) to head the military justice system.
Colombia has made great strides in recent years, but, as with any entity undergoing tremendous change, the roots of political and
economic progress are still shallow. Significant disruption could compromise the country's future.
Approving the free-trade agreement would enable Colombia to continue on its positive course.
Consider three reasons this agreement is necessary:
First, Colombia is an independent, free-market, democratic and long-standing ally of the United States. The value of a relationship
with such a strategically located country cannot be underestimated. Aid to Colombia has been supported by a bipartisan congressional majority in
the Bush administration and in administrations past. Abandoning Colombia now would jeopardize its security and be a catalyst for
human rights regression.
Second, failure to pass the agreement would cast Hugo Chavez and the Venezuelan regime as the best alternative model for Latin
America. Such a choice would weaken Colombia's thriving democracy.
Third, the terms of the agreement would further decrease unemployment by 2 percent -- eliminating potential threats posed by
additional fighters who are demobilized. Hunger is an enemy that has produced thousands of illegal drug cultivators, but the
agreement would help ensure that they have legal, productive employment.
We are facing an unprecedented opportunity to reinforce a U.S. foreign policy triumph that involves a valued ally. Colombia already possesses duty-free access to
U.S. markets, thanks to congressional approval of the Andean Trade Preference Act. The benefits of the proposed free-trade agreement lie in its
mandate for economic openness, the rule of law and transparency -- elements that are critical to Colombia's long-term growth,
stability and security.
Uribe has worked effectively and at great personal peril to combat violence and poverty while promoting economic development.
He has improved the lives of his fellow citizens and the security of our hemisphere. We have a strategic and moral obligation to
stand behind his successful leadership of a nation at war -- a nation that is only three flying hours from Miami.
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Rumsfeld 12/2/07 (Donald, fmr Sec of Defense, The mart Way to eat Tyrants Like Chavez,"
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/11/30/AR2007113001800.html)
With diplomatic, economic and communications institutions designed for a different era, the free world has too few tools to help prevent Venezuela's once vibrant
democracy from receding into dictatorship. But such a tragedy is not preordained. In fact, we face a moment when swift decisions by the United
States and like-thinking nations could dramatically help, supporting friends and allies with the courage to oppose an aspiring dictator
with regional ambitions.
The best place to start is with the prompt passage and signing of the Colombian free trade agreement, which has been languishing
in Congress for months. Swift U.S. ratification of the pact would send an unequivocal message to the people of Colombia, the
opposition in Venezuela and the wider region that they do not stand alone against Chávez. It would also provide concrete
economic opportunities to the people of Colombia, helping to offset the restrictions being imposed by Venezuela -- and it would strengthen
the U.S. economy in the bargain.
US-Colombia FTA is key to US and Colombian security and prosperity, strengthens pro-democracy
Uribe, and counters Chavez
Roberts and Walser 1/7/08 (James and Ray, Research Fellow @ Senior Policy Analyst for Latin America @ Heritage,
"Latin America: A Wish List for 2008," http://www.heritage.org/Research/LatinAmerica/wm1767.cfm)
Congress approves the U.S.–Colombia Trade Promotion Agreement. Colombia would join Canada, Chile, Mexico, Peru, the countries of Central
America, and the Dominican Republic as the latest U.S. trade and investment partner in the Western Hemisphere to have its own TPA. This would strengthen
Colombian President Álvaro Uribe, a staunch ally of the United States and supporter of market-based democracy. President Uribe has
been fighting with great courage and success since 2002 to build a more democratic, stable, and prosperous Colombia. To bolster prosperity and security
for both the United States and Latin America (and to counter Hugo Chávez's illusory promises of "21st Century Socialism" and the
Bolivarian Alternative for the Americas), Congress has the opportunity to assist and engage one of America's closest friends in the
Andean region and to strengthen an important economic link. Failure to close the trade deal in 2008 will reflect poorly on the reliability of the U.S.
as a friend and partner in the Americas.
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Roberts 8/17/07 (James, Research Fellow @ Heritage, "The U.S.–Colombia Trade Promotion Agreement: Don’t Let Progress
Fall Victim to D.C. Politics," http://www.heritage.org/Research/LatinAmerica/wm1588.cfm#_ftnref13)
The foot-dragging in Congress is ironic, because the United States would benefit most from ratification of the U.S.–Colombia Trade
Promotion Agreement—as it was originally negotiated. Colombia already has considerable access to the U.S. market under the Andean Trade Preference Act
and other legislation. The TPA agreement would open Colombia’s market to American services, consumer and industrial products, and
agricultural exports. In addition, the original TPA assured that Colombia would strengthen protection of U.S. intellectual property
rights and investments.[11] The TPA agreement is also good for U.S. national security. The 9/11 Commission recommended
that U.S. government counterterrorism strategy include economic policies that provide opportunities for people to live in
more open societies, thereby improving the lives and futures of their families.[12]
Conclusion
As President Uribe tries to reduce poverty and income inequality in his country by opening up to the global economy, next-door neighbor Hugo Chavez is
tightening a noose around Colombia. Former Spanish President Jose Maria Aznar, himself no stranger to the tragic consequences of
terrorism, recently noted that by turning its back on Colombia in its hour of need, the United States would send a
"devastating message not only to Colombians but to the wider world."[13] The U.S.–Colombia Trade Promotion Agreement
serves both U.S. and Latin American interests and will create new economic opportunities for citizens in both countries. It will
also strengthen U.S. national security and provide, through economic growth, additional resources for the Colombian government
to fight terrorists and cocaine traffickers. Congress should immediately ratify all four trade agreements as originally negotiated and restore full funding to
Plan Colombia. The Bush Administration and the U.S. business community should use the TPA agreements to begin a new era of economic engagement with Latin
America.
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Blunt 9/25/07 (Roy, House Republican Whip, "We need Colombia more than it needs us,"
http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=3E820BA6-3048-5C12-00BEE44C7D34B7B3)
But in a world where trade is an essential tool of diplomacy — a tool that can be used to secure real economic and geopolitical
goals — it’s disappointing that members of Congress who claim to favor the use of soft power to cultivate friendships around the
world nonetheless seem unwilling to pursue commerce and investment as a key element of that strategy.
Such is the strategy that has come to direct our foreign policy in much of Latin America as of late, with the United States forging formal
trade agreements with Mexico, Central America and Chile — and likely agreements with Peru and Panama.
To cut out from this policy our friends in Colombia — our closest and most cooperative ally on the continent — would send a terrible
message to the region and represent an enormous loss of investment and strategic position in our own hemisphere.
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Mead 92 (Walter Russell, Fellow @ Council on Foreign Relations + Fmr Member of Board of Directors @ New Perspectives
Quarterly, New Perspectives Quarterly, Summer, p. 28)
But what if it can't? What if the global economy stagnates—or even shrinks? In that case, we will face a new period of
international conflict: South against North, rich against poor. Russia, China, India—these countries with their billons of people
and their nuclear weapons will pose a much greater danger to world order than Germany and Japan did in the 30's.
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National Association of Manufacturers 07 ("American Manufacturers Support the Colombia Free Trade Agreement,"
http://www.nam.org/hidden/pdf/Level_the_Playing_Field_Colombia.pdf)
The national security impact of this trade agreement cannot be overstated. Colombia is a crucial friend and ally whose long-term
commitment to democracy and openness is key in a region where some nations are hostile to the United States. Swift passage of
this agreement will bolster President Uribe’s efforts to continue to improve Colombia’s reforms.
US-Colombia FTA approval is key to promoting continued progress regarding the rule of law
Some say Colombia should do more to combat abuses and prosecute perpetrators of violence before Congress moves forward with the U.S.-Colombia TPA.
Improving the rule of law in Colombia is vital, but delaying approval of the U.S.-Colombia TPA is not the answer. Delaying
approval will not solve Colombia’s internal problems – which Colombia’s government, under the leadership of President Alvaro
Uribe, continues to address with significant success. Delaying approval will undermine the U.S.-Colombia relationship, which
has been a significant factor in promoting Colombia’s progress.
Office of the US Trade Representative 07 ("The Case for the U.S.-Colombia Trade Promotion Agreement,"
http://www.ustr.gov/assets/Document_Library/Fact_Sheets/2007/asset_upload_file782_13309.pdf)
3. Strengthen peace, democracy, freedom and reform. In 2000, much of Colombia was controlled by three terrorist groups and ruthless narcotics trafficking cartels.
With U.S. assistance and trade preferences under ATPA, the Colombian people are transforming their nation. They have achieved solid
progress in economic growth, social development, and reducing violence and illegal activities. The progress made is real but
critical challenges remain. The terrorist and paramilitary groups are weakened but not defeated. Violence continues to threaten all sectors of
Colombian society as well as cause displacement and economic hardship. The people of Colombia are addressing these problems aggressively and decisively,
but need the continued help of the United States. The U.S.-Colombia free trade agreement is a critical tool to provide licit jobs and
economic alternatives to violence. Colombia is a vibrant democracy, with a history of free elections, a free press, and solid opposition political parties.
Since President Uribe took office in 2002, Colombia has increased the size of its security forces and re-established a state presence in every municipality in the
country. Uribe’s strong approval ratings -- over 70 percent in recent polls – shows that this sustained commitment to improving Colombia’s record in human rights
and workers’ rights is broadly shared in Colombia.
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Palmer 6/10/08 (Doug, Reuters, "Colombia still sees chance US will OK trade deal,"
http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSN10369661)
WASHINGTON, June 10 (Reuters) - Colombia still sees a chance the U.S. Congress will approve a bilateral free trade
agreement caught up in an election-year fight between President George W. Bush and House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Colombian
officials said on Tuesday.
"When I go back and report to Colombia, I'll probably tell them ... the mood seemed optimistic," even though no firms dates were offered for a vote or
even a congressional hearing on the trade pact, Colombia Trade Minister Luis Guillermo Plata said.
"I think the agreement could have been killed, you know, a month, two months ago and it wasn't. I think we're still optimistic ...
this is alive and very much alive and it could become a reality hopefully in the near future," Plata said.
He spoke with reporters after two days of meetings with senior Bush administration officials and Republican and Democratic staff members of the Senate Finance
Committee and the House Ways and Means Committee, which have jurisdiction over trade agreements.
Separately, a Colombian newspaper reported on Tuesday that Republican presidential candidate John McCain was planning a trip to Colombia in early July.
A spokesman for McCain declined to comment and a spokeswoman for the Colombian embassy said she could not confirm the report.
McCain favors approval of the free trade agreement, which would lock in Colombia's current duty-free access to the U.S. market while eliminating barriers to U.S.
exports and making other business-friendly reforms.
Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama has argued, like many other Democrats, that Colombia needs to reduce violence and murders of union members
before Congress votes on the free trade pact.
Plata conceded Colombia has more work to do to stop killings and put murderers in jails. But union member homicides have already declined to 26 in 2007, from
196 in 2002 while the successful prosecution of those cases have risen, he said.
"How good is good enough?" Plata said, expressing doubt that an even lower number of union member homicides in 2007 would have persuaded critics to support
the pact.
In April, Bush ignored Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid's advice and submitted the Colombia agreement to Congress under longstanding "fast track"
procedures requiring it to be approved or rejected within 90 days.
Pelosi responded by pushing through a rule change that allowed her to indefinitely delay action on the pact.
Since then, the Bush administration has accused Pelosi of effectively killing an agreement with one of the United States' staunchest allies in Latin America unless
she schedules a straight up-or-down vote on the pact.
Pelosi has not completely ruled out a vote this year but has said that would only be possible after Congress takes action to help U.S. workers struggling
with the impact of the housing crisis and high oil and food prices.
Colombian Ambassador Carolina Barco told reporters she was optimistic negotiations between the White House and Congress
on domestic economic concerns could produce the "appropriate" environment for a House vote on the trade pact.
Colombian officials remain hopeful that Congress will pass the Colombian FTA
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52
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In a gently veiled attack at Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, President Bush urged Congress to end a political spectacle and
pass the Columbia free trade agreement. Pelosi, supported by several Democrats and Republicans, has waged a strong opposition to the treaty that the
Bush Administration hoped would have taken effect late last year.
"Congress has an opportunity to strengthen these efforts, and I strongly urge them to send a clear and sound message to the
people of Colombia and the region that we stand with them by passing the Colombia free trade agreement," said the president.
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Truth about Trade & Technology 6/11/08 ("Colombia trade deal stalled in Congress,"
http://www.truthabouttrade.org/content/view/11866/54/)
The Colombian trade minister Luis Plata is in Washington this week. He's lobbying lawmakers for their vote to approve the treaty
that the White House signed almost two years ago.
Congressional Democrats have shown no signs of changing their minds about that deal, even though analysts say most of the
provisions seem to favor the United States.
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Wirth, Gray, and Podesta 03 (Timothy, Boyden, and John, President of the United Nations Foundation and a former U.S.
Senator from Colorado, partner at Wilmer, Cutler & Pickering and served as Counsel to former President George H.W. Bush, Fmr
Chief of White House Staff, Foreign Affairs, July/August, lexis)
Unfortunately, energy policymaking in the United States in recent years has been neither decisive nor strategic. U.S. energy policy
is reminiscent of Mark Twain's quip about the weather: everyone talks about it, but no one does anything. This inertia has deep
roots. Vested interests -- in the oil, utility, and transportation industries, for example -- have been powerful economic and
political players, protecting the status quo and brooking little interference from the outside. Similarly, the environmental
lobby has proved itself able to block proposals it opposes but less successful in advancing initiatives it favors. As a consequence,
little progress has been made toward breaking the gridlock.
America's inability to develop a farsighted, purposeful energy policy is a reflection of the political climate as well. Too often,
complex energy issues have been reduced to pithy sound bites. Every decade or so, Washington enacts a "comprehensive" energy
policy, but with few exceptions these measures do little but affect energy practices on the margin, and U.S. strategic interests are
kicked down the road.
Energy policies are extremely controversial—they always seem to offend everyone and please no one
Cohen 04 (Stephanie, Associate Editor @ New Atlantis, New Atlantis, Spring, lexis)
More often than not -- to James Madison’s delight -- big energy bills die a congressional death. No single faction is able to
impose its vision of the energy future on the country as a whole, and the effort to please every faction often degenerates into
incoherence. It ends up pleasing no one and offending nearly everyone. The Bush energy initiative is so far no exception, and
after three years of debate, no comprehensive energy legislation has emerged, despite Republican control of both Congress and the
White House.
But while pro-energy-production Republicans solidified their hold on Congress and a former oilman was sent back to the White
House, lobbyists say winning a long-sought national energy policy is hardly a slam-dunk.
Crafting energy legislation is "hard work," said Charlie Drevna, the director of advocacy for the National Petrochemical and
Refiners Association (NPRA). "Large, comprehensive energy bills aren't easily passed."
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Gvosdev 04 (Nikolas, executive editor of The National Interest and a senior fellow at The Nixon Center., "At the Intersection of
Energy and Foreign Policies," National Interest, Winter,
http://www.inthenationalinterest.com/Articles/Vol2Issue49/Vol2Issue49Energy-Gvosdev.html)
Joe Barnes, Amy Jaffe and Edward L. Morse, writing in a related article in this energy supplement, observed that “there is, in
short, no easy or perfect fix to our energy dilemmas. Any post-9/11 reassessment of our energy strategy must accept this reality.
But it should focus on measures that will allow us to achieve practical progress instead of on risky, expensive alternatives that
continue to ignore the demand side of our energy quandary. All that is lacking is the political will—and leadership—necessary
to move beyond what could be called, without exaggeration, a policy of denial.” This is the crucial point. To deny that energy
considerations will play a much greater role in shaping a country’s perception of its domestic and foreign policy interests is
foolhardy. This does not mean that energy becomes the only consideration, but it does suggest that efforts to compartmentalize
energy questions will be more difficult to achieve. There will be an energy dimension to U.S. relations with Europe, Russia,
China, India and other major powers.
New energy policies will be contentious and will require capital expenditure
McFarlane and Lovins 5/18/03 (Robert and Amory, National Security Advisor to President Reagan + CEO of Rocky
Mountain Institute, “We Can Take Politics Out of Energy Policy,” www.rmi.org/images/other/Energy/S03-
03_PoliticsOutOfPolicy.pdf)
America did the same thing last year with national energy policy. The House and Senate wrote divergent bills that trainwrecked.
This year, they’re doing it again, only worse. Titanic lobbying campaigns, baroque legislative packages, tight votes, and
rancorous debate will again exhaust everyone, buy lots of pork, but barely address one of the gravest risks to the nation’s
security, health, and prosperity.
56
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Quincy Herald-Whig 9/1/04 ("LaHood reaches beyond district lines to aid QU," www.whig.com/292569883584935.php)
He said he is frustrated that the federal energy bill will probably be held in limbo by Democrats in the Senate until after the
election. He said Democrats don't want to give President Bush a chance to hold a Rose Garden bill signing ceremony, even
though they may agree with many of the provisions in the bill.
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Cohen 04 (Stephanie, Associate Editor @ New Atlantis, New Atlantis, Spring, lexis)
To take the term "conservatism" in its political meaning is to see that conservatives seek to preserve what works; they seek to advance gradually along a path of
incremental discovery rather than acting in radical new directions. The Republican idea of energy development is mired in awe at the steady
cadence of industrial achievement; in a philosophy of nature that celebrates man’s powers of development; and in a belief that
economic growth depends on expanding opportunities for oil, natural gas, coal, and nuclear power by improving existing
technology and limiting government interference. It is a philosophy founded on what is more than what might be in the future, on current demands
and opportunities more than future dreams and future nightmares. The Republican energy strategy is about "active exploration" throughout the
hemisphere; it is a policy of muscular development over idle or "romantic" plan-making. It takes a certain pleasure in man’s superiority over the world
he inhabits; it assumes or aims to demonstrate that environmental worries are misguided or overstated; and it believes that gradual
technological progress will ameliorate the ecological problems that actually exist.
The Republican philosophy is premised on the possibility of protecting the environment without destroying existing industry rather
than protecting the environment from existing industry. "I am not an enemy of conservation," Ronald Reagan declared in 1980. "I wouldn’t be called a conservative
if I were." But despite Reagan’s assurances and Bush’s recent proposals, Republicans are overwhelmingly viewed as the party of production and Democrats as the
party of conservation. Indeed, many Republicans actively identify themselves as enemies of the "conservation movement," in an
attempt to portray themselves as the only real defenders of American progress and prosperity. The Republican Party is filled with many "industrial
devotees," primarily from coal, oil, and coastal states, who seek to advance production as the first order of business.
Attempts to regulate fossil fuels are highly unpopular—Republicans have deep ties to the fossil fuel
industry AND labor has a strong interest in keeping the fossil fuel industry strong
Golden 99 (Dylan, J.D. candidate at UCLA School of Law, 17 UCLA J. Envtl. L. & Pol'y 171, lexis)
Alternative fuels have already begun a dramatic fall in price and economies of scale should prompt an even faster fall in the price
of alternative fuels as research and development continues. 78 Representatives from both parties who hail from fossil fuel states
have an interest in blocking this legislation. 79 Additionally, while the fossil fuel industry has ties to the Republican party, labor
has a strong interest in keeping the industry strong because many members of the Coal Miners Union would lose their jobs
following a shift to alternative fuel sources. 80 These concerns are unlikely to override the industry's willingness to sit on the side-lines in order to
receive the substantial subsidy for fossil fuel research and development through DOE. Indeed from the stand-point of international competition these research and
development subsidies are a boon to the United States energy industry across the board:
DOE's energy R&D investments cover a broad array of resources and technologies to make the production and use of all forms of energy - including solar and
renewables, fossil, and nuclear - more efficient and less environmentally damaging. As the President's Committee of Advisors on Science and Technology has
noted, Federal R&D support can help develop these technologies that benefit society by cutting emission rates of greenhouse gases, acid rain precursors, and air
pollutants. These investments not only lay the foundation for a more sustainable energy future but also open major international markets for manufacturers of
advanced U.S. technology. 81
Legislative attempts to reduce fossil fuel consumption evoke a tremendous backlash amongst
Republicans and Democrats, from small states and large—empirically proven with the CAA
Reilly 89 (William, Administrator, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Summer, 6 Yale J. on Reg. 351, lexis)
Nevertheless, those efforts were only a faint foreshadowing of the work that we have to do in the 1990s and beyond as we try to solve environmental problems on a
global scale. As we face global warming trends, destruction of stratospheric ozone, and depletion of tropical rain forests, the political hurdles are daunting. If we
thought it was difficult to convince Democrats and Republicans, large and small states, and high and low sulfur coal areas of the
need to agree on a Clean Air Act in 1970, wait until we try to convince all of the nations of the world that they should cut down on
fossil fuel use to stop global warming. Yet that is exactly what we have to do if we are to manage the global environment in the years ahead. And there is no
precedent for this multinational cooperation. We face a huge job in trying to overcome the political, economic, religious, and cultural differences that have
separated nations for hundreds of years. Given these problems, we absolutely cannot act unilaterally. We must bring the rest of the world along. To do that, I think
we must demonstrate by the effectiveness of our environmental actions here at home that we deserve a leading role in global environmental protection.
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Scully 10/1/04 (Malcolm, Editor @ Large, The Chronicle of Higher Education, lexis)
While the group's report -- National Energy Policy -- gave lip service to the concepts of conservation and energy self-sufficiency,
he says, a close reading "reveals something radically different." The policy "never envisions any reduction in our use of
petroleum," Klare writes. "Instead it proposes steps that would increase consumption while making token efforts to slow, but not
halt, our dependence on foreign providers."
Given the Bush administration's close ties to the oil-and-gas industry, such an outcome may have been inevitable, Klare says. But
even an administration without such links would find it politically risky to move to a radically different energy policy. Like
his predecessors, he notes, President Bush "understood that shifting to other sources of energy would entail a change in lifestyle
that the American public might not easily accept. ... And so he chose the path of least resistance."
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Caplan 01 (Christina, J.D. candidate, University of California at Berkeley School of Law, 28 Ecology L.Q. 169)
Given the environmental risks of deregulation, Congress now has a prime opportunity to address the ozone transport problem in
the context of electricity restructuring. Legislation can avoid [*211] the lengthy delay and uncertainty associated with
rulemaking, regional negotiations, litigation, and other efforts. At the moment, restructuring legislation is a much sounder arena in
which to address air pollution problems than environmental legislation, such as CAAA or reauthorization. Legislation to amend or
reauthorize the Act was unlikely to be supported in a presidential election year, 226 particularly in light of the hostility that the
Republican majority has shown toward action on air pollution issues. 227 The Republicans have been especially opposed to any
action on the issue of climate change. 228 Given the direct link between global warming and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from
fossil fuel-fired utilities, it is possible that any effort to address utility emissions in an environmental context would be seen as
another "back-door" attempt to implement the Kyoto Protocol. 229 Rather than directly open up ozone transport issues to a bitter
fight within Congress, the safer route appears to be in restructuring legislation.
Merely bringing up the issue of global warming sets off a firestorm of ideological outrage
Lutter 03 (Randall, resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, is now chief economist at the Food and Drug
Administration. “ARE THERE ANY COST—EFFECTIVE GREENHOUSE GAS CONTROL POLICIES THAT POLITICIANS
MIGHT LIKE?,” May, www.cpc-inc.org/library/files/4_luttermay0.pdf)
The United States has to date adopted only voluntary carbon emission controls partly because conservatives object to any carbon
emission controls, believing that current technology has made unfettered fossil fuel use essential to economic prosperity.
Conservatives fear that emission controls effective at forestalling climate change will be so widespread as to constitute wasteful
large-scale central planning of important parts of the economy. Quite a few extant environmental programs throw lots of money at
relatively small problems.43 Moreover, for decades, recessions have tended to follow increases in energy prices. Since the threat
posed by climate change to Americans is uncertain, distant, and arguably small, how can it justify reductions in the use of the
energy sources that are so critical to economic prosperity?
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Odell 04 (Peter, Prof Emeritus of International Energy Studies @ Erasmus Univ., Why Carbon Fuels Will Dominate the 21st
Century’s Global Energy Economy, p. 124)
Whichever way is used to secure the production of electricity from renewables - based on the objective of internalising all environmental costs
- the end result is unacceptable to most of the general public. So much so, indeed, that the desired objectives of the policy
makers become politically unacceptable and so threaten future elected governments. In essence, the potentially offsetting
benefits of switching from carbon to renewable energy sources are so far in the future as to be of minimal interests to today's
electorates. This effectively inhibits progress towards the use of so-called "sustainable" energy provision, even in the world's richer countries, let alone in the
much larger number of poor countries.
Conservatives and the energy industry oppose ANY attempt to increase US commitment to renewables
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WASHINGTON, D.C. - American voters strongly favor funding federal research and development programs for renewable energy
sources and energy-efficiency measures over programs for nuclear power and fossil fuels, according to a new public opinion
survey, "America Speaks Out on Energy," released today by a coalition of nearly 40 business, environmental, consumer,
governmental, and energy policy organizations. In addition, most voters say they would be more likely to support a candidate for
Congress who shares their energy priorities. And more than 70 percent of them recognize global warming or climate change as a
threat, while better than three- quarters want to do something about U.S. dependency on foreign oil. The 100-page, 13-question
survey was commissioned by the Sustainable Energy Budget Coalition, and conducted in early December 1995 by
Research/Strategy/Management, Inc. of Lanham, Maryland, headed by Dr. Vincent Breglio, a noted Republican pollster who has
worked for Presidents Reagan and Bush and the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll. The survey results have an overall margin of error
of plus or minus 3.1 percent.
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Bush Good—Links—RPS
Republicans and fossil fuel states oppose federal RPS proposals—they see renewable use as a states
rights issue
Opponents of a federal renewable portfolio standard, among which are the Bush administration and representatives of fossil fuel
producing states, say that it should be up to states to decide how much renewable energy they want to use.
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Scharf and Williamson 3/1/04 (Adria and Thad, Dollars and Sense)
One huge political obstacle stands in the way of weaning the U.S. economy from fossil fuels: the all-but-certain opposition of
leading energy corporations and other industries with vested interests in the status quo. Corporate interests have aggressively
attacked environmentalists (starting with Rachel Carson) and environmental legislation at every turn over the past five decades,
their opposition all too often proving deadly to even modest environmental reform proposals. (See "Industry Attacks on Dissent,"
Dollars & Sense, March/April 2002.)
Any attempt to sever the US from foreign oil consumption will be vociferously opposed by the Bush
administration and the military and energy industries
Freeman 3/1/04 (Robert, Writer on Economics + Education, "Will The End of Oil Mean The End of America?,"
www.commondreams.org/views04/0301-12.htm)
We should harbor no illusions, however, that adopting such a strategy will be easy. The military and energy industries in which the
Bush family is so heavily invested will vigorously resist such a policy. And the energy bill now making its way through Congress
is nothing so much as a testament to the death grip the energy industry holds on the American people. It provides tens of
billions of dollars of subsidies and giveaways to energy companies while actually encouraging more intensive energy use. As the
poster boy of these leviathans, President Bush expressed their sentiments best: “We need an energy policy that encourages
consumption.” What more need be said?
Massively influential US energy companies vociferously oppose any attempt to move towards a post-
petroleum economy
Klare 10/21/04 (Michael, professor of Peace and World Security Studies at Hampshire College and defense correspondent of
The Nation, "Crude Awakening," www.thenation.com/doc.mhtml?i=20041108&c=3&s=klare)
§ America's political leaders, like those of most other countries, are far too committed to the industrial status quo to provide the
energetic and visionary leadership needed to commence the global transition to a post-petroleum economy. Moreover, the large US
energy companies--which often exercise great influence over the nation's political leaders--are determined to prevent this transition
for as long as they possibly can.
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Politicians are reluctant to take steps to reduce oil demand because it alienates the public
West 7/23/04 (Robinson, former assistant secretary of the interior, is chairman of PFC Energy, strategic advisers on
international oil and gas, Wash Post, lexis)
Virtually every thoughtful policymaker knows that there is a serious problem in energy, but they are afraid to act. The U.S.
government can do little to increase oil supply, but steps can be taken to reduce demand. Getting between Americans and their cars
is the third rail of American politics. But if the American people refuse to accept some modest discomfort now, they will almost
certainly be dealing with higher prices and serious economic disruption later. The obvious solution is for politicians to gather their
courage and tackle demand.
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Members of Congress from oil-producing/refining states and the oil industry oppose efforts to
promote the use of ethanol
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Pro-nuclear policies incite burning controversies over issues such as nuclear waste
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Rosa and Meyer 01 (Eugene A and Edward R, professor of sociology and Professor of Natural Resource & Environmental
Policy in the Thomas S. Foley Institute for Public Policy and Public Service, Washington State University, The Public Perspective,
Nov/Dec, lexis)
Then, in the first quarter of 1982, coinciding with the Reagan administration's military buildup (including the deployment of cruise
and Pershing missiles in Western Europe) and the public demonstrations it generated, opposition leaped forward by 12%. Unlike
after TMI, support never rebounded. In virtually all subsequent surveys the ratio of opposition to support was consistently two to
one or larger -- a near-perfect reversal of attitudes at the beginning of the time series. The April 1986 Chornobyl accident in the
Ukraine produced an increase in opposition that was remarkably slight, but the disaster further crystallized the decade-long
resistance to nuclear power.
Four recent polls show how opposition to nuclear power has evolved since Chornobyl. A March 1999 Sustainable Energy
Coalition survey of registered voters found 60% opposed to and 26% in favor of building more nuclear power plants. A March
2001 Gallup poll of all adults found less but still majority opposition (51% to 44%).
Two 2001 polls by ABC News/Washington Post sustain the conclusion that opposition to the building of nuclear power plants is
still the majority position. In the January poll, 60% were either somewhat or strongly opposed while 37% were somewhat or
strongly favorable. A June poll revealed some relaxing of opposition but still showed a majority (52%) opposed while 41% were in
favor.
American public has deep concerns about nuclear power, especially after 9/11
Rosa and Meyer 01 (Eugene A and Edward R, professor of sociology and Professor of Natural Resource & Environmental
Policy in the Thomas S. Foley Institute for Public Policy and Public Service, Washington State University, The Public Perspective,
Nov/Dec, lexis)
The American public more generally is still deeply concerned about the nation's failure to find a solution to the problem of nuclear
waste, and a sizable minority has lingering concerns over the safety of nuclear plants. Each of these concerns -- the first emerging
because of the sizable amount of bomb grade material in stored, high-level waste, and the second because of the potential for
malevolent actions by terrorists -- can only have been heightened by the recent terrorist attacks against the United States.
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Rosa and Meyer 01 (Eugene A and Edward R, professor of sociology and Professor of Natural Resource & Environmental
Policy in the Thomas S. Foley Institute for Public Policy and Public Service, Washington State University, The Public Perspective,
Nov/Dec, lexis)
But this awareness and concern about global warming does not translate directly into support for nuclear energy as an alternative
to the burning of fossil fuels, the major source of carbon emissions. Putting the two issues together, a September 1998 poll
conducted by Research/Strategy/Management for the Sustainable Energy Coalition asked respondents to assess "various ideas [that
had] been offered for dealing with the pollution that causes climate change." Surprisingly, 55% of respondents were strongly or
somewhat opposed to the use of nuclear power, while 42% favored or strongly favored it.
The conclusion by Rhodes that nuclear power has regained public support, which has appeared elsewhere in recent media
coverage, appears remarkably premature. There are indications in the available time series that the longstanding mood of strong
opposition to nuclear power is softening, but that opposition, it is clear, is far from the melting point where it is replaced by
majority support. This conclusion is sustained especially in the case of the local siting of nuclear facilities.
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Anderson 02 (William, adjunct scholar of the Mises Institute, teaches economics at Frostburg State University, "The Oil
Dependency Myth," http://www.mises.org/fullstory.aspx?control=861&id=73)
If Feldstein and other "energy independence" advocates wish to ask us to believe that domestically produced oil will not be held
hostage to politics, they are either naive or stupid. The single most powerful lobby in Washington, D.C., is the green lobby, and
environmentalists are much more hostile to the energy needs of our economy than are even the most anti-American Middle
Easterners. Obtaining crude oil means someone has to drill, and most oil-producing or potential oil-producing lands in this country
are the property of the national government, which means that by definition, drilling and exploration in those areas will be
determined by the political process.
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