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of an industry. It requires you to rate the attractiveness of an industry on a 5-point scale for several factors relating to each of the five forces in Porters model. (A 7-point scale would be better, but the 5-point scale is easier to use.) It provides the anchors at the two ends of the scale for each factor with examples of industries corresponding to the anchors. You will note that we have included separate sections in the template for exit barriers and government. The former contributes to rivalry among competitors (and is, therefore, not a sixth force). The latter, according to some, should be treated as the sixth force, although Porter says the effect of government on an industry is felt through one or more of the five forces. If you want, you can attach different weights to different forces and also to different factors within each force. If an industry has different segments which are structurally different, you can separately analyze the attractiveness of each segment. You can also analyze the changes in industry structure by using the template at two different points of time (for instance, today and five years from now) to obtain greater insight into likely opportunities and threats that you can expect from the industry environment. To reduce the element of subjectivity, you can get the attractiveness evaluated by several colleagues and arrive at average scores. Even the weights of different factors and forces could be based on the opinion of your colleagues and you could attach greater weight to the opinion of colleagues with greater expertise. Use your creativity to benefit from this tool. Table 1: Rivalry among competitors High rivalry implies low attractiveness of the industry for the incumbent firm
Attractiveness Low 1 No. of competitors Industry growth Fixed cost Differentiation Switching cost Openness of terms of sales Excess capacity Large Grocery store Vinyl record Steel Sugar Diskette Used car 2 3 4 High 5 Wide bodied jetliner Small Remarks
Large
Small
Strategic stakes
High
Part-time coaching
Low
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2000 by Deepak K. Sinha, Indian Institute of Management Bangalore, Bannerghatta Road, Bangalore 560076..
Use the remarks column to annotate your evaluation. As a rule of thumb, industries in which the combined market share of the largest four firms (called 4-firm concentration ratio) exceeds 70% are very profitable. Concentration ratios between 60%-70% are associated with average and those below 60% with low profitability. The 4-firm concentration ratio in the wide bodied jetliner industry is 100% and in the grocery store business almost zero. Thus, you can support the evaluation of your industry by giving the 4-firm concentration ratio. Table 2: Barriers to exit High barriers to exit implies low attractiveness of the industry for the incumbent
Attractiveness Low 1 Assets specialization Cost of exit Government restrictions High Steel 2 3 4 High 5 Automotive gears Tea stall Grocery store Small Remark
High High
Small Small
Table 3: Barriers to entry High barriers to entry implies high attractiveness of the industry for the incumbent
Attractiveness Low 1 Economies of scale Product differentiation Brand identity Switching cost Access to channels of distribution Capital requirement Access to technology Access to raw material Government protection Small Low Tea stall Sugar 2 3 4 High 5 Oil refinery Beer Large High Remark
Small Easy
Large Restricted
Easy
Restricted
None
Public bus in UK
Substantial
Table 4: Threat from substitutes High threat of substitutes implies low attractiveness of the industry for the incumbent
Attractiveness Low 1 Availability of close substitutes Switching cost High Fountain pen 2 3 4 High 5 AIDS medicine Customized Software Suburban trains in Mumbai TransAtlantic flight Low Remark
Low
Diskette
High
Substitutes price-value
Better
Vinyl record
Worse
High
Vinyl record
Low
Table 5: Bargaining power of buyers High bargaining power of buyers implies low attractiveness of the industry for the incumbent firm
Number of buyers Availability of substitutes Switching cost Buyers threat of backward integration Industrys threat of forward integration Contribution to quality Small Air bags for cars Fountain pen Attractiveness Low 1 2 3 4 High 5 Toothpaste Large Remark
Many
Few
Low High
High Low
Low
Oil refinery
High
Low
High
High
Housing
Low
Low
Luxury cars
High
Table 6: Bargaining power of suppliers High bargaining power of suppliers implies low attractiveness of the industry for the incumbent firm
Number of suppliers Availability of substitutes Switching cost Suppliers threat of forward integration Industrys threat of backward integration Contribution to quality Contribution to cost Industrys importance to supplier Small PC Attractiveness Low 1 2 3 4 High 5 Tea stall Large Remark
Few
PC
Tea stall
Many
High High
PC PC
Low Low
Low
Petrol pumps
Garment retailers
High
High
PC
Low
High
Oil refining
Low
Low
Vinyl record
High
Table 7: Government actions Government actions may make the industry more or less attractiveness for incumbents
Attractiveness Low 1 Industry protection Industry regulation (pollution, etc.) Customs and tariff restrictions abroad Low Tea stall 2 3 4 High 5 Public bus in UK Software High Remark
High
Chemicals
Low
High
Garment
Software
Low
Table 8: Overall assessment Relative weights in percentages may be attached to each of the forces based on expert opinion to give a realistic overall assessment
Barriers to entry Rivalry among competitors Barriers to exit Power of buyers Power of suppliers Threat of substitutes Government action Overall attractiveness Attractiveness Low 1 2 3 4 High 5 Remarks Relative Weights