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Today's Technical Trading Points

30/12/2008 8:01 (CET)

Today's Trading Points Technical Strategy ( Short- Medium Term)
MARKET LAST Sup.3 Sup.2 Sup.1 KEY Res.1 Res.2 Res.3 Trend 5DCHG Strategy Entry 1st profit 2nd profit Stop Derived
FIXED INCOME
Euro Bund (10yr), Mar 09 125.51 123.75 124.48 124.87 125.21 125.61 125.95 126.68 È 0.71% Go Long> 125.57 126.71 Go Short< 124.82 122.86
Euro BOBL (5yr), Mar 09 116.58 115.55 115.98 116.22 116.41 116.65 116.84 117.27 È 0.70% Go Long> 116.660 116.970 Go Short< 115.940 115.480
Euro Schatz (2yr), Mar 09 107.580 107.230 107.380 107.475 107.530 107.625 107.680 107.830 È 0.27% Go Long> 107.590 107.790 Go Short< 107.240 107.090
30 Yr US T-Bonds, Mar 09 140 27/32 138 3/32 139 18/32 140 7/32 141 141 22/32 142 15/32 143 29/32 * 0.11% Go Long> 141 28/32 144 20/32 Go Short< 139 129 19/32
10 Yr US T-Notes, Mar 09 127 28/32 125 11/32 126 17/32 127 5/32 127 23/32 128 11/32 128 29/32 130 3/32 Ê 0.75% Go Long> 128 22/32 129 30/32 Go Short< 126 20/32 122 6/32
3 mth Euribor, Mar 09 97.770 97.665 97.710 97.735 97.755 97.780 97.800 97.845 È 0.17% Go Long> 97.790 97.880 Go Short< 97.580 97.500
YIELD
U.S. Ten Year Note Yield 2.069 1.872 1.989 2.045 2.106 2.162 2.223 2.340 * -4.79% Go Long> 2.298 2.750 Go Short< 2.036 1.836
U.S. Five Year Note Yield 1.461 1.162 1.303 1.378 1.444 1.519 1.585 1.726 È 2.04% Go Long> 1.570 1.815 Go Short< 1.327 1.234
German Ten Year Yield 2.900 2.781 2.846 2.873 2.911 2.938 2.976 3.040 * -2.55% Go Long> 3.060 3.145 Go Short< 2.880 2.807
German Five Year Yield 2.263 2.122 2.205 2.234 2.289 2.317 2.372 2.455 Ê -7.67% Go Long> 2.337 2.512 Go Short< 2.250 2.201
CURRENCIES - Majors
EUR/USD 1.4003 1.3191 1.3630 1.3778 1.4069 1.4217 1.4508 1.4947 Ê 0.52% Go Long> 1.4377 1.4678 Go Short< 1.3912 1.3895
USD/JPY 90.29 88.40 89.40 90.04 90.40 91.04 91.40 92.40 È -0.75% Go Long> 91.35 92.44 Go Short< 89.50 83.81
EUR/JPY 126.42 120.46 123.93 125.10 127.40 128.57 130.87 134.34 * -0.24% Go Long> 129.75 130.18 Go Short< 126.18 125.24
GBP/USD 1.4452 1.3742 1.4129 1.4261 1.4516 1.4648 1.4903 1.5290 Ê -1.83% n Go Long> 1.4805 1.5016 Go Short< 1.4378 1.4211
EUR/GBP 0.9689 0.9273 0.9481 0.9578 0.9689 0.9786 0.9897 1.0105 È 2.44% Go Long> 0.9804 0.9894 Go Short< 0.9586 0.9205
GBP/JPY 130.48 124.86 128.14 129.31 131.42 132.59 134.70 137.98 * -2.61% Go Long> 139.20 143.70 Go Short< 130.19 125.81
USD/CHF 1.0566 0.9886 1.0227 1.0423 1.0568 1.0764 1.0909 1.1250 Ê -2.96% Go Long> 1.0717 1.1089 Go Short< 1.0366 1.0141
EUR/CHF 1.4796 1.4294 1.4579 1.4686 1.4864 1.4971 1.5149 1.5434 Ê -2.43% Go Long> 1.5048 1.5280 Go Short< 1.4753 1.4593
Dollar Index 81.140 76.771 78.698 79.691 80.625 81.618 82.552 84.479 * -0.12% Go Long> 81.558 83.518 Go Short< 79.631 77.688
CURRENCIES - Scandies
USD/DKK 5.3216 4.9705 5.1335 5.2415 5.2965 5.4045 5.4595 5.6225 È -0.54% Go Long> 5.3534 5.5992 Go Short< 5.1879 5.0616
USD/SEK 7.8523 6.7534 7.2452 7.5705 7.7370 8.0623 8.2288 8.7206 Ê -2.05% Go Long> 7.9041 8.2105 Go Short< 7.6480 7.3227
EUR/SEK 10.9953 10.1962 10.5799 10.7863 10.9636 11.1700 11.3473 11.7310 Ê -1.50% Go Long> 11.3390 11.5840 Go Short< 10.9662 10.7010
USD/NOK 7.0955 6.6412 6.8545 6.9933 7.0678 7.2066 7.2811 7.4944 È -0.01% Go Long> 7.3150 7.5130 Go Short< 6.8085 6.5400
EUR/NOK 9.9387 9.6720 9.8054 9.8723 9.9388 10.0057 10.0722 10.2056 È 0.42% Go Long> 10.1765 10.4160 Go Short< 9.5485 9.3830
NOK/SEK 1.1062 1.0628 1.0866 1.0961 1.1104 1.1199 1.1342 1.1580 Ê -1.92% Go Long> 1.1297 1.1458 Go Short< 1.0979 1.0731
CURRENCIES Non majors
EUR/PLN 4.1300 3.8761 4.0076 4.0663 4.1391 4.1978 4.2706 4.4021 * 0.59% Go Long> 4.2119 4.3175 Go Short< 4.0604 3.9142
EUR/HUF 267.25 259.94 263.21 265.18 266.48 268.45 269.75 273.02 È 1.19% Go Long> 270.00 273.50 Go Short< 258.00 252.70
EUR/CZK 26.590 25.977 26.265 26.428 26.553 26.716 26.841 27.129 * 0.88% Go Long> 26.690 27.018 Go Short< 26.145 25.640
EUR/TRY 2.1256 2.0094 2.0716 2.0925 2.1338 2.1547 2.1960 2.2582 Ê 0.34% Go Long> 2.1762 2.1925 Go Short< 2.1054 2.0797
USD/ZAR 9.4954 8.9551 9.2449 9.3645 9.5347 9.6543 9.8245 10.1143 Ê -1.93% Go Long> 10.0755 10.3800 Go Short< 9.4152 9.0751
USD/CAD 1.2196 1.1860 1.2014 1.2111 1.2168 1.2265 1.2322 1.2476 * 0.02% SHORT 1.1863 1.1580 1.2255 1.2280
EUR/CAD 1.7080 1.6089 1.6624 1.6811 1.7159 1.7346 1.7694 1.8229 Ê 0.55% Go Long> 1.7513 1.7776 Go Short< 1.6876 1.6452
AUD/USD 0.6881 0.6619 0.6752 0.6801 0.6885 0.6934 0.7018 0.7151 È 1.13% Go Long> 0.7140 0.7369 Go Short< 0.6758 0.6615
NZD/USD 0.5790 0.5520 0.5650 0.5704 0.5780 0.5834 0.5910 0.6040 È 2.04% LONG 0.5922 0.5727 0.5538
STOCK MARKET INDICES FUTURES
S&P500, Mar 09 873 824 845 858 866 878 886 907 * 0.26% LONG 945 990 854 808
Nasdaq , Mar 09 1179 1091 1134 1155 1176 1197 1219 1261 Ê -1.42% LONG 1300 1349 1160 1070
DAX Index, Mar 09 4762 4529 4624 4684 4719 4779 4814 4909 È 0.62% LONG 5033 5202 4624 4223
FTSE , Mar 09 4334 4067 4170 4237 4273 4340 4376 4479 È 1.45% LONG 4605 4678 4155 3978
CAC40, Jan 09 3165 3009 3077 3115 3144 3182 3212 3279 * -0.77% LONG 3496 3577 3105 3034
Euro STOXX 50, Mar 09 2414 2320 2361 2384 2402 2425 2443 2484 * -0.66% LONG 2624 2707 2339 2264
STOCK MARKET INDICES
DJ Industrial Average 8484 8361 8432 8474 8503 8545 8575 8646 * -1.11% Close> 8787 9705 Close< 8347 7823
Nasdaq Composite Index 1510 1502 1514 1522 1527 1535 1540 1552 Ê -3.45% LONG 1663 1728 1478 1295
Nikkei 225 Index 8860 8466 8591 8669 8716 8794 8842 8967 È 1.56% LONG 9522 10329 8087 7591
COMMODITIES
Crude Light, Feb 09 39.71 30.58 35.25 37.63 39.92 42.30 44.59 49.26 È -0.50% Go Long> 45.65 51.57 Go Short< 32.40 29.66
ICE Brent C, Feb 09 40.25 30.57 35.60 38.07 40.63 43.10 45.66 50.69 * -1.95% Go Long> 46.70 52.10 Go Short< 36.20 26.97
RBOB Gasoline, Feb 09 90.90 69.32 81.12 86.48 92.92 98.28 104.72 116.52 * -2.07% LONG 106.40 87.50 82.60
GOLD, Feb 09 874.90 842.10 861.10 868.20 880.10 887.20 899.10 918.10 È 3.27% LONG 920.70 843.00 808.80

New update
The authors of this publication may hold positions for the account of the bank in the investments mentioned in the publication.
Technical Research:
Technical Analyst Klaus Ikast Direct + 45 45128501, kik@danskebank.com / kikast@bloomberg.net
Technical Analyst Kim Cramer Larsson Direct + 45 45128499, kimn@danskebank.com / klarsson@bloomberg.net

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Chart - EUR/USD
Pic 1

Chart - Euro Bund (10y) Future

Pic2

Source: "CQG © 2008”

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