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Gwen Andrews Vice President, Power & Environmental Policies, Asia & Oceania
ALSTOM GRID
Global power market forecast New Power Plant Orders in GW p.a, medium term
Av 230/260 GW p.a
Europe Russia & Cis
China
NAM
India
Other renewable Solar Wind Hydro Nuclear Conventional Steam Plant GT Plant
Highest demand in emerging countries Growing share of CO2-free across the globe.
Post-combustion
(New + retrofit)
Oxy-combustion
(New + retrofit)
Pre-combustion
(New only)
Source: Vattenfall
Chilled Ammonia
Advanced Amines
NER300
Datang- China Oxy 350 MWe lignite, Post 350 MWe eq. coal
Selected for receiving EEPR funding
Under construction
2nd
Gen
Reserve funding
2 Gen
90%
90%
>99.9%
20
90%
>99.5%
15
Realistic limit
10
90%
>99.7%
**
Pilot operation confirm CO2 capture works and performances are improving
300
Reference case
200
100
65
0
84
20 15
H yd ro
20 15
N uc le ar
in d
in d
ol ar P
er m
ns ho r
G T
H ar dc oa l
ffs
C C
ol ar Th er m
C C S
C C S
eo th
ho re
al
al
Technical - technical performance has been proven - costs of energy penalty an issue
Storage
- Regulation of ownership, operation and monitoring of storage - Policy regulation to encourage CCS (eg, emissions performance standards) - Regulation to avoid stranded assets (eg, CCS ready standards)
The biggest challenge is to find a means of financing the large scale demonstrations that will allow the technology to become commercialised Capital costs will need to be shared by governments, as the investment required for capture, transport and storage is too large to be borne by utilities during the demonstration phase
A method must be found to cover the operating costs of CCS demonstration plants as well
- carbon pricing may cover some of the shortfall where it exists
- value of 300 million permits from the New Entrant Reserve in the EU ETS
- money identified upfront, time given for consortia to bid, possible US: project proposals assessed by DOE: - AEP Mountaineer had received $330 million - but could not get rate relief from the West Virginia state China: early days and the process is ad hoc - international funding is necessary - special tariff is necessary regulator competitive bidding
Equally, it requires complex and co-ordinated support from government and financial partners