Professional Documents
Culture Documents
June 2012
Disclaimer
The information contained in this presentation may include statements which constitute forwardlooking statements, within the meaning of Section 27A of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Such forward-looking statements involve a certain degree of risk and uncertainty with respect to business, financial, trend, strategy and other forecasts, and are based on assumptions, data or methods that, although considered reasonable by the company at the time, may turn out to be incorrect or imprecise, or may not be possible to realize. The company gives no assurance that expectations disclosed in this presentation will be confirmed. Prospective investors are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forwardlooking statements, due to a variety of factors, including, but not limited to, the risks of international business and other risks referred to in the companys filings with the CVM and SEC. The company does not undertake, and specifically disclaims any obligation to update any forwardlooking statements, which speak only for the date on which they are made.
The Company
Shareholder Structure before and after the Equity Offering (April 2012)
BNDESPar 30.42(1)
Level III
NYSE 48%
Bovespa 52%
EQUITY OFFERING
Position as of May 31, 2012. BNDESPar has 21% linked to a Shareholders Agreement with Votorantim Industrial S.A. during the first 3 years (until October 2012) and 11% during the following 2 years (from October 2012 to October 2014). (2) Free Float 40.1% + Treasury 0.06%
Highlights
Listed on Novo Mercado, highest level of Corporate Governance at BM&FBovespa
Only 1 class of shares 100% voting rights 100% tag along rights (Brazilian corporate law establishes 80%) Board of Directors with minimum 20% independent members Financial Statements in International Standards IFRS Adoption of Arbitration Chamber
Fiscal Council
Board of Directors
Executive Officers
A Winning Player
Net Debt
Net Debt/EBITDA Pro Forma Net Debt/EBITDA(2)
R$ billion
X X
Port Terminal
Pulp Unit
Source: Fibria (1) As of March 30, 2012, including 50% of Veracel and excluding forest partnership areas (114 thousand ha). (2) Considers the proceeds of the Equity Offering and BPM sale in the total amount of R$1.6 billion
(1) Veracel
is a jointure venture between Fibria (50%) and StoraEnso (50%) with a total capacity of 1.1 million t/year
Fibrias Strategy
Industry Outlook(1)
Paper & Board 402 million t
5,250
Ilim
Mercer IP
Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp (BSKP) Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp (BHKP) Unbleached Kraft Pulp (UKP) Mechanical
ENCE
37% Acacia/Other 10 million t 63% Eucalyptus 17 million t
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Paper&Board, Recycled Fiber and Pulp: RISI | Market Pulp, Hardwood and Eucalyptus: PPPC Special Research Note Feb 2012 considers 2011 demand Hawkins Wright January 2011
123
37
85 422
41 457
42 428
33 400
57 341
68 291
50 277
55 257
30%
300 200
100
(1) (2)
PPPC Special Research Note Feb 2012 considers 2011 demand Source: Mill Cash and Delivery: Hawkins Wright July 2011 Report | SG&A, Maintenance Capex and Financial Expenses: Fibrias estimates | Fibria 1Q12 figures
10
Pulp Price
Historical Pulp Price FOEX BHKP Europe (US$/t)
2.500
1.000
700
1.500
600
500
3 months
400
5 months
500
3 months
300
4 months
200 May-98 Dec-98 Jun-99 Jan-00 Aug-00 Mar-01 Sep-01 Apr-02 Nov-02 Jun-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Feb-05 Sep-05 Apr-06 Oct-06 May-07 Dec-07 Jul-08 Jan-09 Aug-09 Mar-10 Oct-10 May-11 Nov-11 Jun-12
0 May-98 Dec-98 Jun-99 Jan-00 Aug-00 Mar-01 Sep-01 Apr-02 Nov-02 Jun-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Feb-05 Sep-05 Apr-06 Oct-06 May-07 Dec-07 Jul-08 Jan-09 Aug-09 Mar-10 Oct-10 May-11 Nov-11 Jun-12
On December 27th, FOEX BHKP Index increased for the first time since June, indicating that Fibrias strategy to increase its pulp price in December was appropriate. 11
170
150 130 110 90 70 50 Rupia: 2%
Cost Structure
Global producers have been impacted by: Wood: cost of land and minimum wage growth above inflation Chemicals / energy / water: global demand for commodities add pressure on main raw materials On top of that, Brazilian producers have also been impacted by: Freight: low governmental investment in infra-structure (ports, roads, etc) and higher oil prices Labor: cost in Brazil in dollar terms is higher than in some developed countries
12
Global Presence
Fibrias Commercial Strategy
Differentiation: Customized pulp products to specific paper grades Sole supplier to key customers Long term contracts Competitive logistics set up
25%
N.America
Europe
41%
Nyon Miami
Csomd
24%
Asia
Hong Kong
L.America
10%
So Paulo
Fibria Offices
13
Easy access to the most efficient transportation network: rail, barging and road
Portocel: specialized port for the pulp and paper industry Innovative shipping model
Client
Port
Sea Freight
14
54%
North America
5% 2%
54%
93%
Asia
19% 42%
Tissue Specialties Printing & Writing
39%
Source: Fibria 4Q11 Earnings Results, PPPC, RISI and Fibria.
15
Tissue
54%
24%
4%
Specialities
24%
14%
3%
Newsprint
0%
Containerboard
8%
5%
Others
11%
3%
16
17
18
Forest Competitiveness
Fibria : Forest Competitiveness
45
30 - 40 years
11 10
25
25
25
15
15 - 25 years
10 - 12 years
12 - 15 years
8 5
Brazil (eucalyptus)
Indonesia
S.Africa
Chile
Portugal / Spain
USA / Canada
Finland / Sweden
70's
80's
90's
00's
Yield (m3/ha/year)
Source: ABRAF, STCP, Poyry and Fibria. Note: Pulp trees differ depending on the country: Indonesia acacia, S.Africa tropical and temperate eucalyptus, Chile temperate eucalyptus, Portugal/Spain temperate eucalyptus, USA/Canada aspen, Finland/Sweden betula.
19
1,500
1,000
Other Brazilian pulp mills Portugal Finland Canada France/ Spain Sweden 20 Chile South Africa
China
10
Source: PYRY
20
20
21
Industry Outlook
World chemical market pulp shipments to capacity
102% 101% 94% 92% 87% 88% 83% 87% 92% 87% 88%87% 85% 82% 81% 92% 102% 100% 99% 96% 90% 90%90% 90% 88% 86% 87% 91% 91% 88% 88% 90% 87% 88% 84% 87% 86% 87% 84% 82% 86% 87% 98%
96%
85%
85%
82%
85% 85%
85%
Aug-10
Nov-10
Aug-11
Oct-10
Dec-10
Nov-11
Mar-11
Dec-11
Sep-10
Fev-11
Jan-11
Jan-12
May-10
May-11
Mar-12
Apr-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
Feb-12
Abr-12
May-12
Jun-10
Jul-10
Jun-11
Jul-11
Aug-10
Mar-11
Aug-11
Jan-11
Jan-12
Mar-12
Nov-10
Dec-10
Fev-11
Nov-11
Dec-11
Sep-10
Oct-10
Apr-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
Feb-12
May-11
May-10
Apr-10
1000
900 800
50 45 40 35 30 25 20 Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct-10 Oct-11 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Feb-08 Feb-09 Feb-10 Feb-11 Feb-12 Jun-12
days
32
Abr-12
Jun-11
Jun-10
Jul-10
Jul-11
Inventories
22
Industry Outlook
Market pulp: world demand growth (%) China: Eucalyptus pulp shipments ('000 t)
Average 305 ktons Average 193 ktons 539 Average 251 ktons 420 294 247 220 216 191
458 368
307
7% 2% -3%
238
318 332 323 311 300 310 299 283 256 233 247 242229 202 222 232 224 219 198 200 198 152 163 161 141 152 138 153 125 100
650
US$920/t
300
Jun-12
Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Abr-12 Mai-12 Source: PPPC World 20 Chemical Market Pulp
Total
North America
-8% Europe
Latin America
-6% Japan
China
Europe: US$ 800/t North America: US$ 860/t Asia: US$ 700/t
Source: RISI
23
% Annual growth
2009
23.5 21.4 91% 28.1 24.8 88% 17.0 15.9 93%
2010
23.8 '000 tons 22.3 93% 28.6 25.0 87% 17.6 15.9 90%
2011
25.2 23.0 91% 29.9 26.7 89% 18.9 17.2 91%
2012
25.5 23.0 90% 30.5 26.4 87% 19.8 17.9 93%
2013
25.6 23.4 91% 32.3 27.5 85% 21.7 18.9 87%
2011/2013
0.8% 0.9%
BSKP
Demand Ratio
Supply
3.9% 4.7%
BHKP
Demand Ratio
Supply
7.2% 4.8%
BEKP
Demand Ratio
BSKP: Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp | BHKP Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp | BEKP: Bleached Eucalyptus Kraft Pulp Source: PPPC and Fibria
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Main Projects
Project Eldorado Arauco / Stora Suzano Fibria Trs Lagoas II CMPC Guaba II Klabin Paran APP South Sumatra Suzano Piau Cenibra Belo Oriente II Country Brazil Uruguay Brazil Brazil Brazil Brazil Indonesia Brazil Brazil Capacity 1.5 Mt 1.3 Mt 1.5 Mt 1.5 Mt 1.5 Mt ~1.0 Mt 1.5 Mt 2.0 Mt 1.5 Mt 800 kt Timing 4Q2012 2Q2013 4Q2013 3Q2014 4Q2014 2015 2015/16 2Q2016 2016 Status Confirmed Confirmed Confirmed Unconfirmed Unconfirmed Unconfirmed Unconfirmed Unconfirmed Unconfirmed
25
Financial Highlights
26
Liquidity Events
The equity offering and other liquidity events in 2012 will contribute to reduce leverage, in line with Fibrias strategy to optimize its capital structure
225 1,340
Equity Offering*
BPM sale**
Total
27
1Q12 Performance
1Q12 Results
1Q12 Pulp production (000t) Pulp sales (000t) Net revenues (R$ MM) Pro Forma EBITDA1 (R$ MM) EBITDA margin (%) Financial results (R$ MM) Net income (loss) R$ MM) 1,332 1,313 1,274 377 30% 192 (10) 4Q11 1,299 1,408 1,399 390 28% (142) (358) 1Q11 1,319 1,259 1,548 607 39% 11 389 1Q12 vs 4Q11 3% -7% -9% -3% 2 p.p. 1Q12 vs 1Q11 1% 4% -18% -38% -9 p.p. -
1Q11
1Q12
30%
377
1Q11
4Q11
1Q12
1Q11
4Q11
1Q12
28
Debt
Key Indicators
5.6 (R$ million) Gross Debt Cash(1) Net Debt Pro Forma Cash(1) (2) Pro Forma Net Debt(2) 1Q12 11,031 2,066 8,965 3,631 7,400 4Q11 11,324 1,846 9,478 1.846 9,478 1Q11 10.256 2,297 7,959 2,297 7.959 1Q12 vs 4Q11 -3% 12% -5% 97% -22% 1Q12 vs 1Q11 8% -10% 13% 58% -7%
1.78 1.80
(1) Includes (2) Includes
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
1.80 1.79
1.69 1.75
1.67 1.70
1.63 1.67
1.56 1.60
1.85 1.63
1.88 1.80
1.82 1.77
closing average
the hedge fair value of R$115 million negative the proceeds from the equity offering and BPM sale which total R$ 1.6bn
(3) Last
(4) Includes
twelve months adjusted EBITDA the proceeds from the equity offering and BPM sale which total R$ 1.6bn
Highlights
Liability Management
6.5
Net Debt/EBITDA (x)
From June 30 2012 on, the net debt/EBITDA ratio for covenant purposes will be calculated In US Dollars
4.2 3.2
4.8
5.2
(1)
4.3
9.5 8.0
9.5 7.4
2009
Average LTM End of Period
(1)
2010
1.76 1.67
1Q11
1.73 1.63
2Q11
1.69 1.56
3Q11
1.65 1.85
4Q11
1.67 1.88
1Q12
1.70 1.82
2.00 1.74
FX Rate (R$/US$)
including the proceeds from the equity offering and BPM sale in the total amount of R41.6 billion
30
Recent Developments
Amount R$1.5 bn
Status
Mar 2011
May 2011
US$313 mn
Sep 2011
Equity Offering
R$1.360 bn
Apr 2012
2012
31
Investment Highlights
6 7
32
Backup
33
China
Chinas Hardwood Imports of BHKP by Country(1)
8,0 7,0 6,0 5,0 4,0 3,0 2,0 1,0 0,0
2010
2011
(Million tons)
2012
Effective Date Aug 2011 Sep 2011 Oct 2011 Oct 2011
1,9
2,3
1,4
Mar 2012
May 2012 Mid 2012 Q4 2012 Late 2012 2H2012
150
150 450 200 125 600 3,075
Pulp(2)
22% 17%
21%
22% 26%
16% 17%
19% 21%
9%7%
11% 9%
2009 Total
2010
2011
(1) PPPC Chinese Market Pulp Demand (2) PPPC World 20 December 2011 (3) Source: TerraChoice Monthly Report Mar 2012
Eucaplyptus
Hardwood
34
14,600
100
(%) of population not poor (McKinsey) (RHS)
31,986
13,600 12,600
11,600
10,600 9,600 8,600 7,600
27,200
6,600 5,600 4,600 3,600 2,600
50
Production (LHS) Consumption (LHS)
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
1,600
35
Tissue Market
Per Capita Consumption of Tissue by Region, 2010(1)
Kg/capita
25 20
23,5
15,6
25
14,6 11,2
15 10
20 15 10
5 0 W. Europe Oceania
3,6
5 0
1991 N.America Japan 1996 W.Europe China 2001 E.Europe Asia FE 2006 2009 NME Africa 2010 L.America Oceania
E. Europe
N&M East
N. America
L. America
Africa
Japan
China
(1)
RISI
36
Historical Ratings
S&P
Aracruz VCP (2007-08) / Fibria (2009 on) Aracruz
Moodys
VCP (2007-08) / Fibria (2009 on)
2005 2006
BBBBBB-
N.A. N.A.
2005 2006
Baa3 Baa3
N.A. N.A.
2007
BBB-
BBB
2007
Baa2
Baa3
2008
BBB
BBB
2008
Baa2
Baa3
2009
BB
BB
2009
Ba2
Ba1
2010
N.A.
BB
2010
N.A.
Ba1
2011
2012
N.A.
N.A.
BB
BB
2011
2012
N.A.
N.A.
Ba1
Ba1
37
Historical Ratings
Hardwood(1)
99% 93% 89% 93% 95% 91% 89% 91% 90% 91% 90% 94% 93% 95% 91% 86% 300 125 55 -45 -290 -265 -500 -240 -255 -400 -45 88% 88% 89%
285
235
195
275
255 115
-75
-1.125
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Net Increase / Closures (000 tons) Abertura / Fechamento de Capacidade (000 tons)
Source: Fibria (1) Net Increase / closures refer to Canada, Western Europe and USA.
38
Investor Relations
E-mail: ir@fibria.com.br Phone: +55 (11) 2138-4565 Website: www.fibria.com.br/ir
39