Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Forwards, futures, and options are collectively known as derivatives What is a derivative?
Why are derivatives useful?
They help eliminate the price risk inherent in transactions that call for future delivery of money, security, or a commodity.
Objectives: to Understand
The nature of currency futures and options contracts and how they are used to manage currency risk & to speculate on future currency movements The difference between forward & futures contracts The difference between futures & options contracts The factors that determine the value of an option
Currency Futures
Currency futures
Futures Contracts
A futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell a specified quantity of a specified asset at a certain point in the future at a price agreed upon today In the case of currencies, it is an agreement to buy/sell a specified quantity of a specific currency at a pre agreed upon exchange rate at a certain time in the future
Currency Futures
Trade on an organized exchange Futures contracts are standardized with regard to the following The asset on which you trade a futures contract
The contract size Size [A&C$100K, 62.5k, 125k, 12.5m] Euro = 125,000 , British Pound = 62,500
Delivery arrangements Daily price movement limits-limit up and limit down Position limits Mark to Market on a daily basis
Clearinghouse as counter-party High leverage instrument Daily settlement Margin requirements
Meaning
It is a derivative instrument Definition is the same as currency forward Forwards are traded over the counter Futures are traded in organised exchanges (separate financial futures exchanges) Futures are transacted through brokers Traded only in a limited number of currencies
Features
Standardised terms Clearing house Margin system Closing of futures
Standardised terms
Contract size is standardised Example: 62,500 Sterling; 125,000 Euro; 100,000 Can Dollar Chicago Mercantile exchange Date of delivery is predetermined Third Wednesday of Jan, March, April, June, July, Sept., Oct., Dec.
Clearing house
Each exchange has a clearing house Clearing house arranges for delivery of asset and payment of money Clearing house becomes the counter party to the original parties
Original parties: buyer and seller Clearing house becomes counter party to buyer (to deliver the asset) Clearing house becomes the counter party to the seller (to make payment)
A. Margin
Sometimes called the deposit, the margin represents security to cover any loss in the market value of the contract that may result from adverse price changes. This is the cost of trading in the futures market.
Margin system
There are 3 types of margins Initial margin, maintenance margin and variation margin Initial margin to be paid upfront Balance is marked to the market every day Maintenance margin to be maintained throughout the duration of the contract Variation margin (shortfall in margin) to be remitted promptly
FUTURES CONTRACTS
Available Futures Currencies:
1.) British pound 5.) Euro
FUTURES CONTRACTS
B. Forward vs. Futures Contracts Basic differences:
1. Trading Locations 2. Regulation 3. Frequency of delivery 4. Size of contract 5. Delivery dates 6. Settlement Date 7. Quotes 8. Transaction costs 9. Margins 10. Credit risk
Forwards
Borne by Counter-Parties Negotiable Agreed on at Time of Trade. Payment at Contract Termination Negotiable Negotiable Cannot Exit as Easily: Must Make an Entire New Contrtact Negotiable Negotiable Collateral is negotiable Delivery takes place
How Much to Trade: What Type to Trade: Margin Typical Holding Pd.
Customized Standardized Banks, brokers, Banks, brokers, MNCs. Public MNCs. Qualified speculation not public speculation encouraged. encouraged. Compensating Small security bank balances or deposit required. credit lines needed. Handled by Handled by individual banks exchange & brokers. clearinghouse. Daily settlements to market prices.
Regulation
Self-regulating
Commodity Futures Trading Commission, National Futures Association. Mostly settled by offset. Negotiated brokerage fees.
March 19
3. Incurs $3000 loss from offsetting positions in futures contracts.
FUTURES CONTRACTS
B. Speculating
Assume a speculator buys a JUNE contract at $459.40 by depositing the required margin of $3,500. One gold contract = 100 troy ounces, it has a market value of $45,940. Hence margin is: $3,500/45,940 = 7.62%
B. Speculating (continued)
1. If Gold contract goes up to $500/ounce by May, then:
Profit = $500 - $459.40 = $40.60*100 Return = $4060/$3500 = 116%
B. Speculating (continued)
3. Assume the speculator shorts by selling the JUNE contract. If price decreases then:
Receives: (459.40 - 410) = 49.40*100 Profit: $4940 Return: 4940/3500 = +141%
FUTURES CONTRACTS
Advantages of futures: Disadvantages of futures:
1.) Smaller contract size 2.) Easy liquidation 3.) Well- organized and stable market.
1.) Limited to 7 currencies 2.) Limited dates of delivery 3.) Rigid contract sizes.
Currency Futures
Performance Bond or Initial Margin: The customer must put up funds to guarantee the fulfillment of the contract - cash, letter of credit, Treasuries. Maintenance Performance Bond or Margin: The minimum amount the performance bond can fall to before being fully replenished. Mark-to-the-market: A daily settlement procedure that marks profits or losses incurred on the futures to the customers margin account.
To hedge a foreign exchange exposure, the customer assumes a position in the opposite direction of the exposure. For example, if the customer is long the pound, they would short the futures market. A customer that is long in the futures market is betting on an increase in the value of the currency, whereas with a short position they are betting on a decrease in the value of the currency.
Price at which the contracts are settled at the close of trading for the day Typically the last trading price for the day
B. The Basis
...is the current cash price of a particular commodity minus the price of a futures contract for the same commodity.
BASIS = CURRENT CASH PRICE FP FP future price
Present
Time Maturity
C. Spreading
Combining two or more different contracts into one investment position that offers the potential for generating a modest profit
C. Spreading (continued)
Ex: Buy 1 Corn contract at 258
Sell (short) 1 Corn contract at 270 Close out by:
1. Selling the long contract at 264 2. Buy a short contract at 273
Profit:
Long: 264-258 = 6 Short: 270-273 = -3 Profit: = 6 -3 = 3 3 * 5000 bu. = $150 Net
Currency Options
CURRENCY OPTIONS
Definition: a contract from a writer ( the seller) that gives the right not the obligation to the holder (the buyer) to buy or sell a standard amount of an available currency at a fixed exchange rate for a fixed time period.
CURRENCY OPTIONS
Types of Currency Options: a. American exercise date may occur any time up to the expiration date. b. European exercise date occurs only at the expiration date.
CURRENCY OPTIONS
Exercise Price a. Sometimes known as the strike price. b. the exchange rate at which the option holder can buy or sell the contracted currency.
CURRENCY OPTIONS
Status of an option a. In-the-money
Call: Put: Spot > strike Spot < strike Spot < strike Spot > strike
b. c.
Out-of-the-money
Call: Put:
At-the-money
Spot = the strike
CURRENCY OPTIONS
The premium: the price of an
option that the writer charges the buyer.
CURRENCY OPTIONS
When to Use Currency Options 1. For the firm hedging foreign exchange risk a. With sizable unrealized gains. b. With foreign currency flows forthcoming. 2. For speculators - profit from favorable exchange rate changes.
CURRENCY OPTIONS
Option Pricing and Valuation
1. Value of an option equals a. Intrinsic value
b. Time value
2. 3. Intrinsic Value - the amount in-the-money Time Value - the amount the option is in excess of its intrinsic value.
CURRENCY OPTIONS
2. Intrinsic Value the amount in-the-money
3. Time Value the amount the option is in excess of its intrinsic value.
CURRENCY OPTIONS
4. Other factors affecting the value of an option a. value rises with longer time to expiration. b. value rises when greater volatility in the exchange rate.
5. Value is complicated by both the home and foreign interest rates.
CURRENCY OPTIONS
D. Using Forward or Futures Contracts: Forward and futures contracts are more suitable for hedging a known amount of foreign currency flow.
CURRENCY OPTIONS
E. Market Structure 1. Location a. Organized Exchanges b. Over-the-counter 1.) Two levels retail and wholesale
Currency Options
A currency option is a contract that gives the owner the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a currency at a specified price at or during a given time. Call Option: An option that gives the owner the right to buy a currency. Put Option: An option that gives the owner the right to sell a currency. How are currency options simultaneously both put & call options?
Currency Options
American Option: An option that can be exercised any time before or on the expiration date. European Option: An option that can only be exercised on the expiration date.
Currency Options
Exercise or Strike Price: The price (spot exchange rate) at which the option may be exercised. Option Premium: The amount that must be paid to purchase the option contract. Break-Even: The point at which exercising the option exactly matches the premium paid.
Currency Options
If the spot rate has not yet reached the exercise price [S<X], the option cannot be exercised and is said to be out of the money. If the spot rate equals the exercise price [S=X], the option is said to be at the money. If the spot rate has surpassed the exercise price [S>X], the option is said to be in the money.
Call Option
The holder of a call option expects the underlying currency to appreciate in value. Consider 4 call options on the euro, with a strike price of 92 ($/) and a premium of 0.94 (both cents per ). The face amount of a euro option is 62,500. The total premium is: $0.0094462,500=$2,350.
$1,400
Break-Even
92 0
92.5
88.15
-$1,100 -$2,350 Out-ofLoss the-money At In-the-money
93.5
Put Option
The holder of a put option expects the underlying currency to depreciate in value. Consider 8 put options on the euro with a strike of 90 ($/) and a premium of 1.95 (both cents per ). The face amount of a euro option is 62,500. The total premium is: $0.0195862,500=$9,750.
Profit
88.05 0 -$500
90
88.15
Spot Rate
-$9,750
Loss In-the-money At Out-of-the-money
Time Value is a function of: Time to expiration, volatility, domestic & foreign interest rate differentials
Value
Zt,t+n
St+n
The value of the futures contract is zero at maturity if the spot rate at maturity is equal to the current futures rate.
Consider now the value of an option to purchase one unit of foreign currency at that same price (i.e. a call option with a strike price X equal to Zt,t+n):
Value
St+n
The value of the call option begins increasing when the exchange rate becomes larger than the exercise price - when the option becomes in the money.
But were missing something. While a futures contract has an expected return of zero, the value of the option looks like it is always positive
Value
St+n
Hence, anyone taking the opposite side of the transaction (writing the option) will demand a price (C) that makes the expected value zero once again:
Value
St+n
Regardless of the outcome, the options value is reduced everywhere by the certain payment of its price.
The value of an option to sell one unit of foreign currency (a put option) at a strike price equal to a corresponding futures contract price will have similar properties:
Value
St+n
A currency swap is often the low-cost way of obtaining a liability in a currency in which a firm has difficulty borrowing. A pair of firms simply borrow in currencies they have relative advantage borrowing in, and then trade the obligations of their respective loans, thereby effectively borrowing in their desired currency.
Dell computers would like to borrow in Swiss Francs to hedge its ongoing cash flows from that country
Dell
SFr
Nestle would like to borrow in Dollars to hedge its sales to the U.S...
Dell
Nestle
SFr
But both firms are relatively unknown to the respective credit markets, and thus anticipate unfavorable borrowing terms.
Dell
Nestle
SFr
But an investment bank comes along and suggests that each borrow in the credit markets that are comfortable with them...
Dell
Nestle
I-Bank
SFr
and then the investment bank will give them sufficient cash flows each period to cover the obligations of these loans...
Dell
Nestle
$ $ I-Bank
Sfr SFr
in return for making the payments in the foreign currency that exactly match the other firms obligations.
Nestle
SFr
In other words, the swap effectively completes the market. Giving each firm access to the foreign debt market at reasonable terms.
Nestle
SFr
IRR
Key Points
1. A firm wishing to hedge foreign currency exposure has five main financial hedging tools which facilitate doing so: forward contracts, money market hedges, futures contracts, foreign currency options, and currency swaps.
2. Forward contracts have the benefit of being tailor-made, with quantities and timing matched to the needs of the firm. Forward contracts are typically quite costly over longer horizons, as the market becomes highly illiquid. 3. Money market hedges are equally flexible, but depend on a firm having equal access to domestic and foreign credit markets.
Key Points
4. Futures contracts, traded on highly liquid exchanges, have the benefit that they can be sold on the market before the maturity date. As a result, futures contracts are particularly useful for hedging exposures whose maturity is uncertain. 5. On the other hand, futures contracts are standardized in terms of timing and quantities, and therefore they rarely offer a perfect hedge. 6. Options contracts allow a firm to hedge against movements in one direction while retaining exposure in the other.
7. Options are particularly useful in hedging exposures that are highly uncertain with respect to timing and magnitude.
Key Points
8. Currency swaps offer firms the ability to borrow against long-term foreign currency exposures when access to foreign debt markets is costly.
9. Currency swaps converts a domestic liability into a foreign one via what are effectively a bundle of long-dated forward contracts between two firms. 10. The effective cost of a currency swap is its all-in cost the effective rate of interest that the firm ends up paying on the constructed foreign liability. 11. Currency swaps require only that firms have differential relative - rather than absolute - advantage in accessing debt markets.
Firms may purchase currency call options to hedge payables, project bidding, or target bidding.
They may also sell (write) call options on a currency that they expect to depreciate.
Profit = option premium buying (spot) price + selling (strike) price
They may also sell (write) put options on a currency that they expect to appreciate.
Profit = option premium + selling price buying (strike) price
Net Profit per Unit +$.04 +$.02 0 $1.50 $1.54 Future Spot Rate $1.46 $1.50 $1.54
$.02
$.02 $.04
$.04
Net Profit per Unit +$.04 +$.02 Futur e Spot Rate $1.46 $1.50 $1.54
0 $.02 $.04
$1.50
$.02 $.04
Closing of futures
Forward contract is settled on delivery date by delivery of asset and payment of money Futures can be closed:
Exchange of asset and cash on delivery date Cash settlement through a reverse trade on any day
Size mismatch
Mismatch between size of futures contract and size of cash transaction
Maturity and size mismatch Hedging with currency futures may not result in perfect hedge