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UNIVERSITY OF BUCHAREST

Flood risk assessment using GIS. Study case from Romania


Diana-Alexandra GHEORGHE

Flood risk assessment using GIS. Study case from Romania

GEOGRAPHIC POSITION

Flood risk assessment using GIS. Study case from Romania

GENERAL PRESENTATION OF THE AREA

Physical map

Hydrographic network

Bistria River
Main tributary rivers: Bicaz, Tarcu, Cracu and Trotu Mean flow: 35 66 m3/s Upstream of Izvorul Muntelui Lake, ice dams forms every year (end of winter-spring) Entire Bistrita channel was completely modified after building the hydro plant of Stejaru-Bicaz 8 more hydroplants (dams) build on Bistrita stream The biggest lake - Izvorul Muntelui Lake:
Build in 1961 Dam hight: 127 m Volum: 1.230 mil. m3

Human settlements map

Flood risk assessment using GIS. Study case from Romania

METODOLOGY

Topographic map 1:25.000 (1980s) Ortophotoplans (2005) CORINNE Land Cover 2000 Topobathymetric data for Izvorul Muntelui Lake Digital Elevation Model (DEM) Cross sections extracted from DEM Hydrological data ArcGIS 9.3. with HEC GeoRAS add-in HEC-RAS 4.1. (hydrological modeling)

Modeled two scenarios of dam failure for Izvorul Muntelui


25% dam area failure 50% dam area failure

Analyzed the worst case scenario (50% dam failure), at the maximum flood extent Considered the natural channel of Bistrita, neglecting the secondary manmade channels.

Flood risk assessment using GIS. Study case from Romania

RESULTS

Flood wave gets from upstream (Izvorul Muntelui Dam) to downstream (confluence between Bistrita and Siret) in 36 hours The flood wave does not mitigate at the confluence point with Siret

Water depth map

Water depth varies between 0 and 111 m Lower values towards Bistrita Valley slopes Greater values lake areas

Flood map maximum flood level

-Flood extent: 150 m and 1 km -Affected: aprox. 70 localities, from which 4 cities (Bicaz, Piatra-Neam, Buhui, Bacu)

Means of communication maximum flood level

- Affected: railway between Moldavia and Transylvania; several national and county roads - Isolated areas

Landuse map maximum flood level

Affected: - Arable land

- Pastures - Forest

Piatra-Neamt City maximum flood level

Flood risk assessment using GIS. Study case from Romania

CONCLUSIONS

The study area is highly vulnerable to floods A dam failure at Izvorul Muntelui would have a severe impact on the area:
Over 50 localities affected, including Piatra-Neamt and Bacau Several national roads and railways would be closed, leaving isolated areas High moisture in soil for long time

The study is going to be continued, focusing on quantitative aspects and on measuring the effects of this kind of flood in the area (downstream part of Bistrita stream)

Thanks to Prof. Daniela Nistoran from Politehnica University hydrological modeling

Thank you!

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