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MARCH
2013
Electrical Machinery
Contents
Advantage India Market overview and trends Growth drivers Success stories: BHEL, L&T Opportunities Useful information
MARCH
2013
Electrical Machinery
Advantage India
MARCH
2013
2013E
Growing demand
Opportunities
Power demand is estimated to reach 3 lakh MW by 2021 Government programmes aimed at providing electricity to over one lakh rural areas and 22.6 million households below poverty line will also boost demand for power
Planned power capacity addition of around 1 lakh MW by 2017 will provide significant opportunities Replacement or brownfield expansion could provide significant opportunities as well
Advantage India
Increasing investments
Policy support
Electrical machinery sector is delicensed; 100 per cent FDI is permitted Significant number of SEZs have been approved for the sector Due to policy support, cumulative FDI of USD3.1 billion (1.7 per cent of total FDI inflows) has flown into the country between April 2000 to November 2012
Source: Edelweiss estimates, Ministry of Power, Aranca Research
The sector has witnessed increasing entry of global players through the JV route Existing players are planning huge capacity expansion over the next few years
2011
BTG manufacturing capacity: 19 GW
Notes: BTG - Boiler, Turbine & Generator, GW - Giga Watt E - Estimate, FDI - Foreign Direct Investment, JV - Joint Venture, SEZ - Special Economic Zone
ADVANTAGE INDIA
Electrical Machinery
Contents
Advantage India Market overview and trends Growth drivers Success stories: BHEL, L&T Opportunities Useful information
MARCH
2013
Electrical Machinery
Electrical machinery has three major segments
MARCH
2013
Electrical machinery
Generation machinery
Transmission machinery
Distribution machinery
Boilers
Transformers
Switch gears
Turbines
Control gears
Generators
Electrical Machinery
BTG market is experiencing strong growth in the country (1/2)
MARCH
2013
The generation equipment segment garnered revenues of USD7.6 billion in FY12 The market expanded at a CAGR of 28.4 per cent over FY08-12
CAGR 28.4%
Note: CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate 2.8 4.2
5.5
3.4
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
Electrical Machinery
BTG market is experiencing strong growth in the country (2/2)
MARCH
2013
Boilers is the major segment, accounting for 67.9 per cent of the total revenues in FY12 Turbines accounted for 21.3 per cent, while generators accounted for the remaining 10.8 per cent
10.8%
21.3%
Electrical Machinery
Other major segments - transmission and distribution machinery (1/2)
MARCH
2013
Production of transformers rise at a CAGR of 9.6 per cent during FY08-11 By Feb FY12, production of transformers stood at 105.4 million KVA Domestic transformer industry has the capability to manufacture the whole range of power and distribution transformers including transformers used for HVDC transmission upto 500 KV
CAGR 9.6%
85.2 73.3 71.9
96.6
Notes : HVDC - High Voltage Direct Current KVA - Kilo Volt Ampere FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12*
Electrical Machinery
Other major segments - transmission and distribution machinery (2/2)
MARCH
2013
The production of switch and control gears has expanded at a CAGR of 6.9 per cent during FY08-11 The switch gear industry in India manufactures entire voltage range from 240 KV to 800 KV Significant advances have been made in control gears due to major developments in the field of technology
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
Electrical Machinery
Electrical machinery exports on a rise (1/2)
MARCH
2013
Exports of electrical machinery increased to USD2.4 billion in FY11 from USD2.0 billion in FY08 Transformers and generators were the primary drivers of the increase in exports
2.6
2.4 2.3
1.2
Source: Ministry of Commerce, Aranca Research Notes: * - FY12 data is from April - September 2011
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Electrical Machinery
Electrical machinery exports on a rise (2/2)
MARCH
2013
According to EEPC, exports of electrical machinery and related items stood at USD4.5billion in FY11 Exports of electrical power equipment & parts, valued at USD3.9 billion in FY11, constituted the largest share
11%
3% Electric power equipment & parts Boilers & Parts Transmission line towers & parts 86%
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Electrical Machinery
Notable trends in the electrical machinery sector
MARCH
2013
Upgrading technology
Industry players are upgrading their transmission capacities to the next higher voltage system of 765 kilovolts (KV), and are gearing up to supply transformers and related equipment of this class
Indian manufacturers are becoming more competitive with respect to their product designs, manufacturing and testing facilities Investments in research & development (R&D) in the electrical machinery industry are amongst the largest in Indias corporate sector
Increasing competitiveness in the industry and changing consumer demands have led to new versions of products being launched in the market Players are entering into strategic alliances and tie-ups with technology suppliers to upgrade capabilities
Government of India is encouraging the adoption of super critical technology for thermal power plants due to its efficiency and reduced emissions During the 12th Five Year Plan, 60 per cent of the total additional power is expected to be generated by supercritical technology
Source: Department of Heavy Industries Annual Report 2008-09, Aranca Research
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Electrical Machinery
Key players
Company
MARCH
2013
Revenues (FY12)
Products
Engineering & Construction, Cement, Electrical & Electronics
USD11.1 billion
USD10.4 billion
USD2.5 billion
Power Generation and Distribution equipment, Transportation Systems, Communication and Healthcare Products
ABB Ltd
USD1.6 billion
USD2.3 billion
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Electrical Machinery
Key electrical manufacturing plants across India
NORTH: Delhi, Uttarakhand and Haryana are the main hubs for electrical manufacturing in North India
MARCH
2013
Central: Madhya Pradesh hosts manufacturing units for Crompton Greaves and BHEL
Major Electrical Manufacturing Plant WEST: Maharashtra and Gujarat host manufacturing units for major players SOUTH: Tamil Nadu and Karnataka are hubs for electrical manufacturing in South India
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Electrical Machinery
Contents
Advantage India Market overview and trends Growth drivers Success stories: BHEL, L&T Opportunities Useful information
MARCH
2013
15
Electrical Machinery
Growth drivers of electrical machinery sector
MARCH
2013
Demand-side drivers
Growth drivers
Policy
Investment
GROWTH DRIVERS
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Electrical Machinery
Increasing power demand leading to capacity augmentation
MARCH
2013
Indias energy requirement expanded at a CAGR of 6.8 per cent over FY06-12 to 937.2 billion units The rising demand for energy has led to increasing capacity addition for power generation
CAGR: 6.8 %
690.6
631.8 739.3
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
GROWTH DRIVERS
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Electrical Machinery
Capacity augmentation resulting in increasing demand for electrical machinery
MARCH
2013
Increasing investments in capacity has resulted in rising demand for power generation and transmission equipment The increase in capacity during the 11th Five Year Plan (FY07-12) stood at 44.8 thousand MW by the end of 11th Five Year Plan The figure is more than five times the corresponding one in 1990 (8.1 MW)
Capacity addition for power generation in the recent Five Year Plans (000 MW)
44.8
FY90
FY97
FY02
FY07
FY12*
GROWTH DRIVERS
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Electrical Machinery
Favourable policies have aided the sector
MARCH
2013
Delicensing
The electrical machinery industry has been delicensed; 100 per cent FDI is allowed in the sector This facilitated the entry of global majors into the electrical machinery industry in India
Government has removed tariff protection on capital goods Government has lowered custom duties on a range of equipments
The government has an ambitious mission of Power for all by 2012 and a planned capacity addition of 120 GW in the 12th Five Year Plan Through the Accelerated Power Development Reform Programme, the government plans to provide reliable, affordable and quality power The government has cleared significant number of SEZs for the engineering sector across the country; electrical machinery is a part of the sector Delhi Mumbai Industrial Corridor being developed across seven states could boost engineering sector
Source: Ministry of power Annual report 2010-11, Aranca Research Notes: SEZ - Special Economic Zone, FDI - Foreign Direct Investment
SEZ
GROWTH DRIVERS
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Electrical Machinery
Special Economic Zones (SEZs) will promote exports
Developer
M/s Essar Hazira SEZ Gujarat Industrial Development Corporation Ltd (GIDC) N.G. Realty Pvt Ltd E. Complex Pvt Ltd Dishman Infrastructure Ltd Ansal Properties and Infrastructure Ltd
MARCH
2013
Location
Hazira, Gujarat Gandhinagar, Gujarat Ahmedabad, Gujarat Amreli, Gujarat Ahmedabad, Gujarat Sonepat, Haryana
Product
Engineering Electronic products Engineering Engineering Engineering Engineering
Gurgaon, Haryana
Sonepat, Haryana Shimoga, Karnataka Mangalore, Karnataka Satara, Maharashtra
Engineering
Engineering Engineering Port-based for high-tech engineering products Engineering
Pune, Maharashtra
Patiala, Punjab Kanchipuram, Tamil Nadu Erode, Tamil Nadu Kanpur, Uttar Pradesh
Engineering
Engineering Engineering Engineering Engineering
Source: SEZ India, Aranca Research
GROWTH DRIVERS
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Electrical Machinery
Foreign investments flowing in; rise in M&A activity (1/2)
MARCH
2013
Cumulative FDI inflows over FY00 - 1H FY13 stood at USD3.1 billion FDI inflows more than doubled over FY08-12 and expanded at a CAGR of almost 28.5 per cent
Cumulative FDI inflows from Apr 2000 (USD billion) CAGR 28.5%
2.4 2.2 1.5 1.1 3.0 3.1
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
H1FY13
GROWTH DRIVERS
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Electrical Machinery
Foreign investments flowing in; rise in M&A activity (2/2)
MARCH
2013
Legrand has acquired the switch gear business of Indo Asian Fusegear at a price of USD127.6 million Target
ZIV Group Schneider Electric Infra ltd
M&A deals
Acquirer
Crompton Greaves Energy Grid Automation Ltd.
Type
Acquisition Acquisition
Year
2012 2012
Alstom T&D India Grid Equipments Ltd Ltd Indian Hume Pipe Co Ltd Esab India Ltd ECE Industries Ltd.
Acquisition
2012
Acquisition
2012
Colfax Corporation
Acquisition
2012
GROWTH DRIVERS
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Electrical Machinery
Bright prospects lure global majors
Global majors entering through JV
MARCH
2013
Companies in JV
Joint Venture Indian Partner Foreign Partner
L&T - MHI BGR - Hitachi
Capacity (MW)
4,000 4,000 3,000 2,000
L&T - MHI
51%
49%
Thermax - Babcock
BGR - Hitachi
70/74%
30/26%
Thermax - Babcock
51%
49%
51%
Toshiba - JSW
25%
75%
GB Engineering - Ansaldo
15%
85%
BGR - Hitachi
4,000
Source: Edelweiss Research, Aranca Research Notes: JV - Joint Venture, MHI - Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
GROWTH DRIVERS
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Electrical Machinery
Contents
Advantage India Market overview and trends Growth drivers Success stories: BHEL, L&T Opportunities Useful information
MARCH
2013
24
Electrical Machinery
BHEL - Mainstay of the electrical machinery industry (1/2)
MARCH
2013
Salient features
One of the largest engineering and manufacturing companies with Navratna status
CAGR: 21.7%
One of the major integrated power plant equipment (IPPE) manufacturers in the world
Profit-making company since 1971-72 Installed base of more than 115,000 MW 15 manufacturing units, two subsidiaries and seven joint ventures Accounted for over 59 per cent of India's total installed generating capacity in FY12
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
H1FY13
Net sales increased by more than 2.5 x over FY07-12; this amounted to a CAGR of 21.7 per cent
Source: Company reports, Aranca Research Note: Navratna is the title given to nine Public Sector Enterprises by the Government of India having comparative advantages
During H1FY13, net sales stood at USD3.95 billion against USD3.68 billion in H1FY12
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Electrical Machinery
BHEL - Mainstay of the electrical machinery industry (2/2)
MARCH
2013
Boiler efficiency
Golden Peacock Award 2011 for Occupational Health and Safety (2011)
Better PLF
Essar Steel Infrastructure Excellence Award (2011) DSIJ Gentle Giant Award from the Government of India (2011)
Notes: PLF - Plant Load Factor, Navratna is one of the designations given to public sector enterprises based on their profitability and there by granted certain autonomy
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Electrical Machinery
L&T - One of Indias leading players in the sector (1/2)
MARCH
2013
Salient features
Indias largest E&C company, with interests in projects, infrastructure development, manufacturing, IT & financial services CAGR: 24.6%
9.1 7.6
Enjoys AAA rating with stable outlook from CRISIL and LAAA from ICRA
5.2 3.7
7.0
5.2
Turnover increased by three-fold over FY07-12, thereby registering a CAGR of 24.6 per cent
In H1FY13, net sales increased to USD5.2 billion as against USD4.3 billion in F1HY12
Notes: E&C - Engineering & Construction
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 H1FY13
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Electrical Machinery
L&T - One of Indias leading players in the sector (2/2)
MARCH
2013
(2012)
20%
CNBC TV18 Infrastructure Excellence Award (2012) National Award for Export Excellence (2012) ICC Corporate Governance and Sustainability Vision Award 2012 (2012) 11%
EBITDA (E&C)
Recurring PAT
Sales
Order book
* FY 12 performance
2011
Notes: CRISIL - Credit Rating and Information Services of India Ltd ICRA - Investment information and credit rating agency of India CSR - Corporate Social Responsibility
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Electrical Machinery
Contents
Advantage India Market overview and trends Growth drivers Success stories: BHEL, L&T Opportunities Useful information
MARCH
2013
29
Electrical Machinery
Growth opportunities in electrical machinery industry
MARCH
2013
India currently operates 19 atomic reactors which produce 4,780 MW of electricity and has set an ambitious target of generating 63,000 MW nuclear power by 2032 With many bilateral nuclear agreements in place, India is expected to become a major hub for manufacturing nuclear reactors and associated components The Indian Government proposes to add 3,380 MW of nuclear power capacity by 2012 as part of its capacity addition programme in the 11th Five-Year Plan
Market-oriented reforms (such as the target of Power for all by 2012 and plans to add 78 GW of capacity by 2012 and another 92 GW by 2017) provide high incentives for capacity addition in power generation, which would increase the demand for electrical machinery Foreign participation in the development and financing of generation and transmission assets, engineering services, equipment supply and technology collaboration in nuclear and clean coal technologies is expected to increase
Power transmission in India, which is currently carried out largely in the 220 KV and 400 KV range, is expected to move up to a higher range of 765 KV and high-voltage direct current This presents a significant opportunity to manufacturers with capabilities in high-voltage (HV) to develop technology that can handle the need of such high voltages in the country
Source: Aranca Research
Notes: KV - Kilo Volts
High-voltage technology
OPPORTUNITIES
30
Electrical Machinery
Contents
Advantage India Market overview and trends Growth drivers Success stories: BHEL, L&T Opportunities Useful information
MARCH
2013
31
Electrical Machinery
Industry associations
MARCH
2013
Indian Electrical & Electronics Manufacturers Association ( IEEMA) 501, Kakad Chambers, 132, Dr Annie Besant Road, Worli, Mumbai - 400018. Tel: +91-22-2493 0532, +91-22-2493 0532 / 6528 / 6529 Fax: +91-22-2493 2705 mumbai@ieema.org Engineering Export Promotion Council (EEPC) Vanijya Bhawan, 1st Floor International Trade Facilitation Centre, 1/1, Wood Street, Kolkata, West Bengal - 700016. Phone: 91-33-22890651, 22890652 Fax: 91-33-22890654 E-mail: eepc@eepcindia.org
USEFUL INFORMATION
32
Electrical Machinery
Glossary
MARCH
2013
BTG: Boilers, Turbines, Generators BHEL: Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited CAGR: Compounded Annual Growth Rate CEA: Central Electrical Authority DHI: Department of Heavy Industries E&C: Engineering & Construction EEPC: Engineering Export Promotion Council FDI: Foreign Direct Investment FY: Indian financial year (April to March) GW: Giga Watt HVDC: High Voltage Direct Current KV: Kilo Volts KVA: Kilo Volt Ampere L&T: Larsen and Toubro MHI: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries PLF: Plant Load Factor SEZ: Special Economic Zone USD: US Dollar; Conversion rate used: USD1= INR 48
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Electrical Machinery
Disclaimer
MARCH
2013
India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF) engaged Aranca to prepare this presentation and the same has been prepared by Aranca in consultation with IBEF. All rights reserved. All copyright in this presentation and related works is solely and exclusively owned by IBEF. The same may not be reproduced, wholly or in part in any material form (including photocopying or storing it in any medium by electronic means and whether or not transiently or incidentally to some other use of this presentation), modified or in any manner communicated to any third party except with the written approval of IBEF. This presentation is for information purposes only. While due care has been taken during the compilation of this
presentation to ensure that the information is accurate to the best of Aranca and IBEFs knowledge and belief, the content is not to be construed in any manner whatsoever as a substitute for professional advice. Aranca and IBEF neither recommend nor endorse any specific products or services that may have been mentioned in this presentation and nor do they assume any liability or responsibility for the outcome of decisions taken as a result of any reliance placed on this presentation. Neither Aranca nor IBEF shall be liable for any direct or indirect damages that may arise due to any act or omission on the part of the user due to any reliance placed or guidance taken from any portion of this presentation.
DISCLAIMER
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