Global

warming is
over:
Geologic,
oceanograp
hic, and
solar
evidence for
global
 Glacier fluctuations, global climate
change, and ocean temperature changes

 Glacier advances and retreats provide both

long term and short term records of
climate change.
 Glacier fluctuations match global climate
changes.
 Ocean temperature changes match glacier
oscillations and global climate changes
Glacier fluctuations on Mt. Baker, WA

Little Ice Age

global glacier

advance

disproves Mann

‘hockey stick’

claim
 Little
Ice Age
glacial
margin,
Mt.
Baker,
WA
Fluctuating glacial margins, Little Ice Age
(1600 AD to 1979)
 Boulder Glacier, Mt. Baker
1940 to 1956 1956 to 1979
 GLACIER FLUCTUATIONS

CLIMATE CHANGES

PDO-AMO MODE CHANGES

WHAT DRIVES PDO-AMO MODES?

PDO COLD MODE (1945-77) PDO WARM MODE (1977-98
PDO switch
from cool
mode to
warm mode
in 1977
 Change from global cooling to global
warming in 1977 (the Great Climate Shift)
with no change in CO2
Greenland oxygen isotope record of warm
and cool periods, 1480 to 1950 AD
 Solar effects and climate change

Global climate changes

correlate well with
changes in:
• Solar irradiance.
• Numbers of sunspots and
sunspot cycle length.
• Production of 10Be and 14C
in the atmosphere from
radiation.
No correlation between CO2 and global climate.
Excellent correlation between solar variation
and global climate
Solar cycle length and temperature
Solar irradiance and global temperature
 Sun
spots
Sunspots, auroras, and 14C production rates
Maunder Minimum
Virtually no sun spots occurred during the Little Ice Age
Global cooling occurs during times of few
sunspots and low solar irradiance
Where are we headed during the coming century?
IPCC predicts 1°F increase in global temp by 2011 and up to
10 °F by 2100, but no warming since 1998 and 1°F cooling
this year was the largest global temp change ever recorded
IPCC predicted
1°F warming
per decade

Global climate
has cooled
since 1998
IPCC Model Predictions vs Actual temp
2008 temperatures in the U.S.
THE CLIMATE IS COOLING, NOT WARMING
 What
happened to
global
warming?

46” of snow in
two weeks in N.Y.
Setting up of
the PDO cold
phase assures
global cooling
for the next
~30 years.
Past and predicted PDO
Projected global temp to 2100
Cycle 24 prediction
Cycle 23/24 resembles the Dalton Minimum
Sun spot cycle 23 resembles cycle 4 which
preceded the Dalton Minimum
Solar cycle 24 may be colder than the
1880-1915 cold period
 Sun spot cycles of the Dalton Minimum
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/solar-cycles-with-3.png?w=520&h=281
What does this global cooling mean?
 Continuation of ongoing
10-yr cooling trend and
500 yr climate pattern.
 Follows ocean SST
patterns exactly.
 IPCC model predictions
were badly wrong
 Shows that ‘global
warming’ is over.
 CO2 did not cause
‘global warming.’
Minnesota, April, 2008
Facts: No correlation between C02 and
global warming in the past.
1. Half of the warming in the past century
occurred before CO2 began to rise sharply.

• For 30 years after CO2 began to soar, global

cooling occurred, rather than warming.
• Of the 25 past periods of global warming, only
the last one (the past 30 years) corresponds to
rising CO2

96% of global warming periods in the past

500 years have no correlation with CO
 Computer simulations

Blistering future is forecast

One study projects that by 2100, temperatures of 117 in LA,
Chicago, 115, Kansas City 116, Delhi 120, Baghdad 122, Belem
Brazil 121, France 118. (AP)

Computer models have predicted sharply rising global temp,

but global cooling since 1998 has invalidated the models used
for forecasting global climate change.
 Evidence that ‘global warming’ is a
continuation of natural climatic cycles
 The geologic record of past climate changes shows
consistent patterns for the past 1000 years, all well
before increased atmospheric CO2.
 Temperature records in the Greenland ice core for the
past 500 years show a 27-year cycle of alternating warm
and cool periods.
 The warm period for the past 30 years exactly fits the
pattern of climate changes for the past several centuries.
 During the past century, each period of global warming
or cooling corresponds exactly to PDO switches
 Implications
 Global warming is over—expect 30 years of global
cooling, perhaps severe (2-5°F).
 Atmospheric CO2 is not the cause of global warming.
Reducing emissions is important, but spending trillions of
dollars will not change global climate.
 Beginning this year, global cooling will cause crop failures
and serious food shortages.
 Cooling will increase energy demands, especially in high
latitude regions.
 Drought areas should experience some relief.
 The Earth’s population (6
billion) will increase 50% (3
billion) by 2050. The doubling
time for population is 38 yrs.
 Huge demands will be
placed on natural resources
(e.g., food, energy, oil, water)
will be exacerbated by global
cooling.
Dogma is an impediment
to the free exercise of
thought. It paralyses
the intelligence.
Conclusions based upon
preconceived ideas are
valueless. It is only the
open mind that really
thinks

Patricia Wentworth, 1949,

Latter End