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S S
SAPA Attacks
S
XX
AZ DEF Forces
XX
58
S S
XX
84
- 4x DIVs: 2 x up, 2 x back - ME: (Est.d) East coast towards oilfields and Baku - SE: Screens ME western flank - SAPA support with SPF
XX
88
XX
18
IFC
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KNOWN FACTS
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Time Zone Delta (Z+4 hrs) CJFSOCC located in BAKU commanded by the Deputy Cdr SOCEUR
CJSOAC located in BOLSHIYE commanded by the 352nd SOG/CC, made up of two JSOADs (North and South) located in BOLSHIYE and NAKICHEVAN
2/75 RGR located in NAKICHEVAN commanded by the BN Cdr serving as the strategic reserve for QRF/CBRNE RF. It is supported on a rotational basis by both JSOADs rotary-wing assets. JSOTF-HQ is located in BAKU and is currently focused on FID with Azerbaijani forces.
Individual ODAs are currently performing FID training with AZ Brigades and aiding government forces in SAPA intel collection
All coalition SOF forces have returned to their home countries. KDP in western AH will support JTF / JSOTF kinetic / non-kinetic options / operations
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ASSUMPTIONS
Limited Smart weapon supply will
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require Eyes-on atk of trgts and immediate BDA. Due to German mission in NK SAPA/FKM present min threat Atk pri. is (1) SSM, (2) Qazvin Qazvin is chemical production facilities w/i Ah.
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JFSOCC
BAKU
2/75 RGR
NAKICHEVAN
QRF
JSOTF-A
BAKU
JSOAC
BOLSHIYE
FOB 102
NAKICHEVAN
NSWTU-2
BAKU
D, 96th CA
BAKU
JSOAD-N
BOLSHIYE
JSOAD-S
NAKICHEVAN
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Task Organization
CJSOTF
ARSOF NSWTU-2
NSWTU-2 (HQ) 2 X SEAL PLT 1 X Mark-V Det AZ SF Co. 7 SOS 321 STS 67 SOS
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JSOAC
352 SOG (HQ)
2-75 RGR
D-96-CA BN
21 SOS
4 SOS 99 SOS UCAV 193 SOW 88 SOS 160 SOAR
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FOB 02
ODA 041 16th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 042 14st AZ Artillery Bde ODA 043 15th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 044 8th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 051 - In Iraq with NILE Tm
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Operations (SO) in Joint Operations Area (JOA) Caspian IOT defend Azerbaijan against an Ahurastan (AH) attack and Destroy AH offensive WMD capabilities.
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COGs / DP
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JSOTF COG: - CST TGO / JFACC firepower / AZ Def forces (Synergy against AH)
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Effects analysis
Impediments
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Desired Effects
Destroy AH WMD capability (1st Strike on TBM Marshalling) PEL #1,4,3 Oil reserves intact Develop/support efforts with Kurdish forces in West AH AZ has cap to defend its borders (future) Force AH to react to multiple scenarios perceived coalition threats inside AH teritory; AH deploy to perceived threats away from AZ boarder. Convince AH divisions to w/d from AZ boarder: PEL #6 Influence AH people that AH govt is corrupt, evil, and non-protective. Influence AH to halt production of WMD: PEL #3
IADS/ADA (location/access); AH CBT PWR AH CBT PWR; lack of CFLCC forces; attrition of AZ forces AH govt; geographic challenges AH cbt pwr; lack of CFLCC forces; attrition of AZ forces AH OBJ inside AZ; threat not crediable in south
Dilecnchys Obj and influence Dilenchys current govt influence Govt control/Dilenchys obj
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CST/FID C2
NACHIVAN
8th MB ODA 044 ADF JTF-CASPIAN JFLCC JFSOCC JSOLE
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JFACC
BAKU
1st BCT 2nd BCT ODA 015 ODA 016 1st AZ ID
JSOAC
EAST
5th MB 10th MB ODA 011 ODA 013
CENTRAL
11th MB 6th MB ODA 022 ODA 023
WEST
7th MB 12th MB ODA 025 ODA 026
NORTH
15th MB 16th MB ODA 025 ODA 026
1ST AAB
ODA 014
ODA 012
ODA 024
ODA 024
II JSOAC 1
FOB
10
JSOAD-N
FOB 01: CLOSE T: Conduct CST P: To prevent AH from securing oil fields
FOB 02: DEEP/REAR T: to conduct Special Operations P: to disrupt AH and SAPA offensive operations AOB 50 (Deep) - UW AOB 60 (Rear) - COIN JSOAC T: Support SO in theater P: to provide air movement and IO support for SOF
50
14
SF X 42 AZ
60
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JFSOCC
AOB
16
X 41 AZ
SF
15
SF X 43 AZ
XX 21 AZ 1 22 11
JSOTF
SF
CA
96 NSWTU-2
X 12
26
SF
AZ
SF X 24 AZ
SF
X AZ 1 12 X
SF
AZ 1 X 14
SF
AZ
II 2 II
FOB10
X 25 JSOAD-S 7
SF
AZ
X 23 SF AZ
II
SOAR 8 44 X
SF
AZ
XX 84 XX
5 X
10
13 SF AZ
JSOA
AOB
58 XX 88
XX
AZ 11
SF
AZ
I SOF
SALMAS
18 407
X
A
SEAL
SEAL
SF
NILE
Begins: O/O (C+7) Ends: JFACC determined TF-Nail (C+21) FOB 01: CLOSE T: Conduct CST P: To prevent AH from securing oil fields FOB 02: DEEP/REAR T: to conduct Special Operations P: to disrupt AH and SAPA offensive operations (COIN) AOB 50 (Deep) AOB 60 (Rear) JSOAC T: Support SO in theater P: to provide air movement and IO support for SOF NSWTU-2 T: Conduct amphib raid in east P: Deceive AH forces 2/75 T: Conduct DA raid on OBJ TIGER P: Deceive AH forces IO: FX: Deceive AH forces; create Perceived threats
II JSOAC 1
FOB
10
JSOAD-N
14
SF X 42 AZ
60
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JFSOCC
AOB
16
X 41 AZ
SF
15
SF X 43 AZ
XX 21 AZ 1 22 11
JSOTF
SF
CA
96 NSWTU-2
X 12
26
SF
AZ
SF X 24 AZ
SF
X AZ 1 12 X
SF
AZ 1 X 14
SF
AZ
II 2 II
FOB10
X 25 JSOAD-S 7
SF
AZ
X 23 SF AZ
II
SOAR
X 44 X 8
SF
AZ
XX 84 XX
5 X
10
13 SF AZ
OBJ Tiger
JSOA
50
58 XX 88
XX
AZ 11
SF
AZ
I SOF
AOB
SALMAS
18 407
X
A
SEAL
SEAL
51
SF
NILE
II JSOAC 1
FOB
10
JSOAD-N
FOB 01: CLOSE T: Conduct CST P: To prevent AH from securing oil fields
FOB 02: DEEP/REAR T: to conduct Special Operations P: to disrupt AH and SAPA offensive operations (COIN) AOB 50 (Deep) AOB 60 (Rear) JSOAC T: Support SO in theater P: to provide air movement and IO support for SOF
50
14
SF X 42 AZ
60
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JFSOCC
AOB
16
X 41 AZ
SF
15
SF X 43 AZ
XX 21 AZ 1 22 11
JSOTF
SF
CA
96 NSWTU-2
X 12
26
SF
AZ
SF X 24 AZ
SF
X AZ 1 12 X
SF
AZ 1 X 14
SF
AZ
II 2 II
FOB10
X 25 JSOAD-S 7
SF
AZ
X 23 SF AZ
II
SOAR 8 44 X
SF
AZ
XX 84 XX
5 X
10
13 SF AZ
JSOA
AOB
58 XX 88
XX
AZ 11
SF
SALMAS
18 407
SF
NILE
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RISKS
Location of JSOTF forces in NK
Limited JSOTF recovery assets (1 x
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RGR Co w/ STS and RW capability) IO / Deception plan fails to create credible threat in SE and West JSOTF not ME in phases II - IV Inability to F3 all WMD tipped TBMs
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ISSUES
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- JSOTF not ME in phases II IV; must be supported command in JTF - Ability of JSOTF to strategically influence / defeat AH WMD production (Kinetic / Non)