Mission Analysis

J-3

CFSOCC (Proposed) Mission

CFSOCC conducts Special Operations (SO) 24 April 2013 in Joint Operations Area (JOA) Caspian IOT enforce procedures that will promote peace & stability of the region.

CFSOCC (Proposed) CDRs Intent

Purpose: Transition from HIC to Stability, Reconstruction, & Support Operations. Key Task: SOF extraction, IOT meet UN timeline for Phase 5 closing HIC DEMOB or Relocate Kurds? FID with ADF against SAPA, IOT facilitate legitimacy of AZ forces & provide a safe & secure region through PKO in the region SO/CMO, IOT provide a safe & secure region in AZ PR/CSAR, IOT repatriate separated U.S. personnel End State: Secure, stable region with a legitimate AZ government

Task Organization: CJFSOCC CASPIAN

JFSOCC BAKU

2/75 IN
BOLSHIYE

QRF

SULAYMANIYAH JSOTF-AZ BAKU BOLSHIYE

JSOTF-IZ

JSOAC

NILE

FOB 101 (-) BOLSHIYE FOB 102

NSWTU-2
BAKU

D, 96th CA
BAKU

JSOAD-N
BOLSHIYE

JSOAD-S
NAKICHEVAN

SULAYMANIYAH

CFSOCC JOA Caspian

JSOAC JSOAD-N FOB 01(-) Bolshiye Airport

CFSOCC CJSOTF-AZ NSWTU-2 D-96th CA

CJSOTF-IZ NILE

JSOAD-S FOB 02 TF SOAR TF RGR Nakichevan Airport

p. 152

Current ODA Disposition

JSOTF-AZ CST/DA-TGO: 17 ODAs
ODB 010 Mission Support ODA 011 5th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 012 1st AZ Artillery Bde ODA 013 10th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 014 -1st AZ Anti-Armor Bde ODA 015 2nd BCT 1AZ ID ODA 016 1st BCT 1AZ ID ODB 020 Mission Support ODA 021 1st AZ Division ODA 022 11th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 023 6th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 024 2nd AZ Arty Bde ODA 025 7th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 026 12th AZ Mech In Bde ODB 040 Mission Support ODA 041 - 16th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 042 - 14st AZ Artillery Bde ODA 043 - 15th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 044 - 8th AZ Mech In Bde ODA 045 - SR/DA-TGO ODA 046 SR/DA (SAPA)

JSOTF-IZ UW/DA-TGO : 12 ODAs

NILE - KDPI ODB 050 - Donboli Tribe Cell ODA 051 - Donboli Tribe Cell ODA 052 - Shikak Tribe Cell ODA 053 - Korahsunni Tribe Cell ODA 054 - Mamash Tribe Cell ODA 055 - Herki Tribe Cell ODA 056 - Haydaran Tribe Cell ODB 060 Mission Support ODA 061 - SR/DA-TGO ODA 062 - SR/DA-TGO ODA 063 - SR/DA-TGO ODA 064 - SR/DA-TGO ODA 065 - SR/DA-TGO ODA 066 - SR/DA-TGO

JSOTF-AZ
SEAL PLT A SR/DA-TGO SEAL PLT B SR/DA-TGO

Task & Purpose

Future Task Organization

CFSOCC
ARSOF
1 SF BN

AFSOF
352 SOG MC-130 (4) MH 53 (6)

NAVSPECWAR
NSWTU (SDV & SBU)

Task & Purpose

Centers Of Gravity
CJSOTF
FID linkage W/ AZ CMO in SAPA regions PoI networks in the AOR

Enemy
SAPA
Political advisors in the DPC Support Networks

Critical Vulnerabilities
SAPA
Political advisors in the DPC will be targeted during SO, CAO,& CMO Support Networks will be targeted during SO, CAO,& CMO SAPA has no sanctuary No external SPT

Facts & Assumptions

Facts
10 (+) yrs SOF SA/FID presence Solid relationship with people & AZ Military Successful UW operations with Kurds, through C2 & nonlethal assistance

Assumptions
Return to FID with familiar units Quality networks with PoI in the region Will get JIACG SPT for COIN & Kurds

Constraints & Limitations

Constraints
Adhere to Moscow Peace agreement

Limitations
Integrated Ops will be politically sensitive and limited by HN capability

Specified & Implied Task

Specified
EXFIL all SOF from AH in 48 Hrs
SR/DA/TGO UW

Implied
ISR HUMINT IO/PSYOPS CMO/CAO LNOs

SO COIN (FID) PR/CSAR BPT address UW (Kurds) BPT conduct NEO

Essential Tasks
SO COIN SR/DA PR/CSAR

Risk Assessment
Tactical
Civil Uprising Human Rights Violation within HN Military AH interdiction of ODA exfiltration

Accidental
RW crash Environmental/ Weather casualty

Questions?