NUCLEAR

THREAT:
THE
FOURTH
WORLD
WAR WILL
NEVER
HAPPEN
• On May 31, 1945, sixteen men met in the
office of Secretary of War Henry L. Stimson.
The sixteen men were there to make
decisions about a weapon the average
American had never heard of--the atom bomb.
They picked future targets for "The Bomb."
They were not talking about "just another
weapon." What they were discussing was "a
new relationship of man to the universe," as
said by Stimson. Humankind, the Secretary
seemed to be saying, was at the most critical
turning point in its entire recorded history.
 ORIGION AND DEVELOPMENT…

1896: Antoine Henri Becquerel discovered

radioactivity in uranium
1902 :Marie and Pierre Curie isolated a
radioactive metal called radium
1995:Albert Einstein published his theory of
relativity.
1939:Albert Einstein wrote a letter to the
American President" it may become possible
to set up nuclear chain reactions in a large
mass of uranium... This new phenomenon would
also lead to the construction of bombs...
 …..A single bomb of this type, carried by
boat or exploded in a port, might very
well destroy the whole port together
with some of the surrounding territory.“
In later years Einstein deplored
"I made one great mistake in my life”
• 1945: American airplane, dropped the
first atomic bomb ever used in warfare
on Hiroshima, Japan,
 THE NUCLEAR AGE…
The Nuclear Age has given birth
to shapes and forms that have become
icons for modern society.
• Nuclear fission and the chain reaction:
An atomic bomb gets its destructive
power from a sudden release of energy,
created by nuclear fission.
• Nuclear fusion: Most modern nuclear
devices are hydrogen bombs, also known
as thermonuclear weapons.
 THE NUCLEAR POWERS…
• The United States,
• Russia,
• China,
• Great Britain,
• France,
• Israel,
• India,
• Pakistan,
• North Korea
 THE REAL POWER…
• Russia and U.S. has 90% of total world's
strategic nuclear weapons
• Russia is the only nation which can now, or in
the foreseeable future, completely destroy
the United States
• China could attack The U.S. with no more than
a couple dozen warheads, and this is unlikely
to change anytime soon
• North Korea might be able to attack this
country with perhaps a half-dozen nuclear
warheads
• Russia threatens this country with an attack
of more than 1,500 nuclear warheads.
 ACCINDENTAL NUCLEAR WAR…

• Danger of a nuclear-armed North Korea

and possibly Iran
• The growing power of China as the
ultimate threat
• Danger of accidental nuclear war with
Russia
However, this only means that the
danger of accidental nuclear war in any
given year is very small, but not non-
existent.
 ASSYMETRIC SITUATION…
1.About 50% of the United States nuclear
arsenal on alert The United States also has a
nuclear force of bombers. About 85% of
Russia's nuclear weapons on alert.
2 .To lack of funds, Russia's early warning
system of satellites and radars are operating
far below standard, and thus are not very
reliable.
3. Both the United State and Russia can launch
a surprise attack with their ICBMs, but only
the U.S. can launch a surprise attack with its
submarine SLBMs.
• Russian generals have more autonomy from
their political leaders than do American
generals.
• And most dangerous of all, the Russians,
unlike the Americans, have a computer-
controlled semiautomatic launch system called
Perimeter
• The danger of an accidental launch should be
apparent to all. A simple mechanical and/or
electrical malfunction could start a nuclear
war. The danger is even greater because this
system is twenty years old and no longer fully
reliable. The Russians are aware of the danger
and that is why the system has never been
turned on
 SMALL CHANCES…

• All above illustrates that the danger of

accidental nuclear war, though obviously very
small on a yearly basis (otherwise it would
already have occurred), is very real. Unless
this danger is reduced to zero, the odds of
accidental nuclear war will slowly but surely
accumulate upwards to an eventual certainty.
If nothing changes, and at this point there is
no indication that it will, then sooner or later
the world will experience its first nuclear war.
INDIAN NUCLEAR STRATEGY…

• India demonstrated its nuclear

capability on May 18, 1974,
• It was China’s growing assertion of
power in South and South-East Asia.
• China has been a potential security
threat ever since its aggression against
India in October 1962
• China’s ambition to emerge as the Asian
superpower has made it assert itself in
Asia.
 SOLUTIONS TO PROBLEM…
• The solution can be implemented both easily
and quickly and at no financial cost or loss of
security. The solution can be stated in three
words: nuclear strategic stability…
• LOW Strategy: LOW. launch under attack
strategy, but it is the same thing. Simply put,
this strategy mandates that once either
nation's early warning satellites and radars
have determined that a nuclear attack is
underway.
• for the world to be safe, both the United
States and Russia must abandon their current
counter-force nuclear strategy.
• The greater strategic stability becomes, the
less becomes any advantage of either nation
for launching a first strike, and thus the less
either side would fear a first strike by the
other side
• Secure in the deep abyss of the ocean depths,
nuclear submarines, with a virtual limitless
fuel supply,
• Eliminate all first-strike weapons.
 CONCLUSION…
• The only way whole world can survive is if we
enter into discussions with all and attempt to
find common ground. All peoples on this planet
have families that they love and care for. We
all have other common needs such as food,
shelter, medical care and education.
• Only this thinking can save the world
because third world war would be a nuclear
• Only,………..and result is well known.
THANKS