Professional Documents
Culture Documents
• Biological Mechanism?
2000 2050
Morristown NHP, New Jersey
Systems Model
Deer
+ Population − Predation Risk
Death Fraction
Birth Fraction
Forest Cover
80 1000
PF
800
60 DP
600
40
400
20 200
0 0
0 20 40 60 80 100
Year of Simulation
Role o f R efug es & Pa rks
• Parks and Refuges played a major
role in re-establishing deer across
the Great Lakes Region
URBA
N
RURA
L
Suitable
OD
CO
VE
FO
R
WATER
What Theory Doesn’t Tell Us
• These are “no crash” irruptions because
food and water are not limiting…only
cover is limiting.
• “Damage” to vegetation
• Lyme Disease
Legend
DVC locations
DVA Locations
Open Water
Developed, Open Space
Grassland/Herbaceous
Woody Wetlands
Emergent Herbaceous Wetlands
field: 0.7%
Developed, Medium Intensity
Developed, High Intensity
Barren Land
Deciduous Forest
Evergreen Forest
Mixed Forest
Shrub/Scrub
Grassland/Herbaceous
Pasture/Hay
Cultivated Crops 4,600
2,300 0 4,600 9,200 13,800 18,400
Meters
Woody Wetlands
Emergent Herbaceous Wetlands
Urban – Suburban Green Space
± 0 0.5 1 2 3 4
Kilometers
Lyme Disease
Lyme
Disease is
the number
one
reported
vector-
borne
disease in
the US.
The Opt ions
• Manage the
“impact” only
– Exclusion or
shunting
• Manage the
population
– Direct reduction
– Fertility Control
Man ag in g Imp act
• Excluding deer from protected
areas has been the long-standing
first response to increasing
numbers
16,581
32,285 Processing
Site/Equip Prep
Training
36,359 Equip/Supplies
15,972 Shooting Team
Security
5,000 20,250