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Minitab 14 Quality Statistics

A person without data is merely expressing an opinion.

Created by Paul White - Aston Martin Six Sigma Department

Introduction

Name Department Six Sigma / Minitab experience Why are you here today?
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Training Topics

What is Six Sigma? Introduction to Minitab Version 14 Manipulation of data Basic statistics Graphs Quality tools Measurement System Analysis R & R Control charts Normality testing Capability analysis Hypothesis Testing
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What is Six Sigma?


The function of a statistician is to make predictions, and thus to provide a basis for action W.E Deming

Is 99% Good Enough?


3.8-Sigma 99% Good
20,000 lost articles of mail per hour Unsafe drinking water for almost 15 minutes each day 5,000 incorrect surgical operations per week 1 missed putt per 9 holes of golf 10,700 defects per million opportunities

6-Sigma 99.99966% Good


Seven articles lost per hour Unsafe drinking water one minute every seven months 1.7 incorrect operations per week

1 missed putt per 163 years

3.4 defects per million opportunities


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Goals of Six Sigma


Reduce defects. Improve process capability. Improve customer satisfaction. Increase shareholder value. This ensures we are competitive, provides future security and opportunity for growth.

100% Inspection
100% Inspection Does it work?

F-Test Finished files are the results of many years of sceintific studies combined with the experience of many years of effort

F-Test
How many did you see? Have another look!

F-Test Finished files are the results of many years of sceintific studies combined with the experience of many years of effort

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F-Test

Did anyone change their mind?

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F-Test Finished files are the results of many years of sceintific studies combined with the experience of many years of effort

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F-Test

Did you spot anything else?

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F-Test
F-Test Finished files are the results of many years of sceintific studies combined with the experience of many years of effort

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100% Inspection
100% Inspection Does it work?

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DMAIC Improvement Model

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Introduction to Minitab
Statisticians are people with tears wiped from their eyes

Introduction to Minitab

The 3 Minitab views - session folder, worksheet folder, project folder. 3 types of data entry numbers, text and dates. Importing text from other sources Creating, opening and saving projects and worksheets.

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Session and Worksheet Folders

The 2 main windows in Minitab The session folder & worksheet folder.
Select different views using icons

Session folder

Worksheet folder

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Project Folder

Multiple worksheets can be opened within the Select project manager same project.

File /New / New worksheet

Multiple worksheets

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3 Types of data

Minitab stores numbers, text and dates.

Numbers No symbol in column header, right aligned in cell

Date D in column header, left aligned in cell

Text T in column header, left aligned in cell

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Numeric Data Types


Attribute Variable

Caliper NO-GO GO

SHIPPING ORDER
QTY 1 3 10 2 UNIT $10.00 $1.50 $10.00 $5.00 DESCRIPTION TOTAL $10.00 $4.50 $10.00 $10.00

Error

Time

FAIL

PASS

TEMPERATURE

Thermometer
Electrical Circuit

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e Advantage of Variable Data

Attribute vs Variable Data

Variable

ibu Attr

te

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Attribute vs Variable Data


Variable Data Available earlier in the process, before defects occur. Illustrates short term trends allowing immediate action. A small amount of data is required to draw conclusions (minimum 30 individual readings). Attribute Data Defect related, only after the fault has occurred. Only illustrates long term trends. A large amount of data is required to draw conclusions (minimum 50 subgroups) Sometimes this is the only data available.
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Importing text from other sources

Easiest way is to copy & paste. However, an import function is available: File / other files / import special text.
Select data from another source (such as Excel) and copy to clipboard. Select destination cell in Minitab and paste from clipboard

Tip! Always title each column in the cell below the column reference number. this will make later analysis easier to interpret as the graphs will include your column description.

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Saving projects and worksheets

Save projects to correct destination.

File / Save project as

Change default saving location

Rename with relevant filename and date

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Manipulating Data
Facts are stubborn things, but statistics are more pliable

Manipulating Data

Erasing columns and rows Stacking columns and rows Transposing columns

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Erasing data

Erasing columns and rows

Select column and right click mouse

Delete cells

Tip! Undo function is available on the toolbar


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Stacking columns
Data / Stack / Stack Columns

Select columns to stack

Select stacked destination and subscripts

Click OK

Tip! Always store subscripts when stacking data, this will copy the column description to the adjacent data cell. This makes future analysis easier, to discriminate between data sets.

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Transposing data

Switch the data pattern from columns to rows.

Data / Transpose columns

Select columns to transpose

Select destination option

Click OK

Tip! If your data is already in Excel you can use the paste special function to transpose from columns to rows and vice versa! Use Minitab & Excel interchangeably to conduct data analysis.
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Basic Statistics
Statistics should be used the way a drunk uses a lamp post, more for support than enlightenment

Basic Statistics

Descriptive statistics Inferential statistics Graphical summary

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Descriptive Statistics

Stat / Basic statistics / display descriptive statistics.

Stat /Basic statistics / Display descriptive statistics

Select variables, click OK

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Descriptive Statistics

Descriptive statistics describe the sample we have gathered, tells us what is.

Session window output

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Measures of Average
Mean:
Calculated average. Sum of all individual values, divided by the number of samples.

Mode:
Most frequently occurring value.

Median:
The middle number when the values are sequentially arranged.
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Measures of Average
Mean

5, 5, 4, 2, 1, 1, 4, 5, 3, 2.
Mean = 3.2
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Measures of Average
Mode

5, 5, 4, 2, 1, 1, 4, 5, 3, 2.
Mode = 5

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Measures of Average
Median

5, 5, 4, 2, 1, 1, 4, 5, 3, 2.
Median =

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Measures of Average
Median

1, 1, 2, 2, 3, 4, 4, 5, 5, 5.
3+4 2 = 3.5
Median = 3.5
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Measures of Average

5, 5, 4, 2, 1, 1, 4, 5, 3, 2.
Mean = 3.2 Mode = 5 Median = 3.5
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Graphical Summary

Stat / Basic statistics / Graphical summary.

Stat / Basic Statistics / Graphical Summary

Select variable

Click OK

Tip! Note the confidence level of 95% in the option window. This applies to the inferential statistics that will be displayed in the graphical summary.

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Graphical Summary

Descriptive statistics describe the sample we have gathered, tells us what is. Inferential statistics allows us to infer about the population, tells us what probably is. Inferences are never definite, only stated with a degree of confidence.
Summary for Tool 1
A nderson-D arling N ormality Test A -S quared P -V alue M ean S tD ev V ariance S kew ness Kurtosis N M inimum 1st Q uartile M edian 3rd Q uartile M aximum 9.922 9.915 9 5 % C onfidence Inter vals
Mean Median 9.90 9.95 10.00 10.05 10.10 10.15

0.19 0.902 10.014 0.321 0.103 -0.003050 -0.106782 50 9.310 9.800 10.025 10.240 10.839 10.105 10.126 0.400

Normality test

Descriptive statistics

9.6

10.0

10.4

10.8

95% C onfidence Interv al for M ean 95% C onfidence Interv al for M edian 95% C onfidence Interv al for S tD ev 0.268

Inferential statistics

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Standard Deviation

Standard Deviation refers to the collective deviation of the entire data set

High Standard Deviation High Variability

Low Standard Deviation Low Variability

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Standard Deviation
5.26, 6.96, 5.90, 6.47, 6.14. xbar = 6.146 r = 1.70

r = 6.96 5.26 = 1.70 xbar = 6.146


-0.006

x
0.324

x
0.814

x-0.246 x
-0.886

x 7

5.26

5.5

5.9

6.14

6.47

6.5

6.96
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Standard Deviation
Calculating standard deviation is best shown in table format: (xbar = 6.146) Data x - xbar (x xbar)2

5.26 6.96 5.90 6.47 6.14


S=

-0.886 0.814
-0.246 0.324 -0.006

0.784996 0.662596 0.060516 0.104976 0.000036 = 1.61312

(x X) n-1

_2

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Standard Deviation
We can now use the formula: S=

S=

(x X) n-1 1.61312 4

_2

S=

0.40328

S = 0.635 (to 3 s.f.)


Tip! The square of the standard deviation is the variance.
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Normal Distribution
The distribution of area as a percentage:
0.135% 99.73% 95.44% 68.26% 0.135%

-3s

-2s

-1s

+1s

+2s

+3s

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Graphical Summary

Descriptive statistics describe the sample we have gathered, tells us what is. Inferential statistics allows us to infer about the population, tells us what probably is. Inferences are never definite, only stated with a degree of confidence.
Summary for Tool 1
A nderson-D arling N ormality Test A -S quared P -V alue M ean S tD ev V ariance S kew ness Kurtosis N M inimum 1st Q uartile M edian 3rd Q uartile M aximum 9.922 9.915 9 5 % C onfidence Inter vals
Mean Median 9.90 9.95 10.00 10.05 10.10 10.15

0.19 0.902 10.014 0.321 0.103 -0.003050 -0.106782 50 9.310 9.800 10.025 10.240 10.839 10.105 10.126 0.400

Normality test

Descriptive statistics

9.6

10.0

10.4

10.8

95% C onfidence Interv al for M ean 95% C onfidence Interv al for M edian 95% C onfidence Interv al for S tD ev 0.268

Inferential statistics

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Graphs
A picture tells a 1,000 words

Graphs

Time series plot Histogram

Boxplot
Editing graphs Update graphs in real time
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Time Series Plot

Graph / Time series plot

Graph / Time Series Plot

Select simple option

Tip! Minitab 14 allows multiple time series plots on one chart if required!

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Time Series Plot

Graph / Time series plot


Select variable to plot Select time scale

Select stamp

Select stamp column

Click OK
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Tool 1
10.0 10.5 11.0 9.5

01/01/2006 05/01/2006

10/01/2006

Time Series Plot

15/01/2006

20/01/2006

Time Series Plot of Tool 1

Time series plot displays the trend over time

Date
25/01/2006 30/01/2006 04/02/2006 09/02/2006 14/02/2006 19/02/2006
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Histogram

Graph / Histogram.

Graph / Histogram

Select simple option

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Histogram

Graph / Histogram.

Select variable to graph

Click OK

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Histogram

A histogram shows the distribution of the data.


Histogram of Tool 1
16 14 12

Frequency

10 8 6 4 2 0 9.4 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.2 Tool 1 10.4 10.6 10.8

Tip! When copying graphs into other file formats, such as the 6 Panel template. Use edit / paste special and paste the graph as a picture to reduce the file size.

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Boxplot

Graph / Boxplot

Graph / Boxplot

Select Multiple Ys - Simple Option

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Boxplot

Graph / Boxplot

Select variables

Click OK

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Boxplot

A boxplot is a birds eye view of a histogram.


Boxplot of Tool 1, Tool 2, Tool 3
14 13 12 11

Whisker Median Inter quartile range middle 50%

Data

10 9 8 7 6 Tool 1 Tool 2 Tool 3

Tip! A boxplot is a very good tool to compare multiple distributions.


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Editing Graphs

Minitab 14 allows advanced graphical editing features.

Double click graph on area to be edited (as per Excel approach)

Use options box to edit graphical features

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Editing Graphs

Minitab 14 allows advanced graphical editing features.


Boxplot of Tool 1, Tool 2, Tool 3
14 13 12 11

Data

10 9 8 7 6 Tool 1 Tool 2 Tool 3


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Update Graphs in Real Time

Minitab 14 allows graphs to be updated as the data source changes.


A green cross indicates that the graph reflects the data source
If the data source changes, a yellow circle indicates that the graph does not reflect the data source.

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Update Graphs in Real Time

Graphs can be updated automatically or upon request.

Right click graph and select update graph now

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Update Graphs in Real Time


A green cross indicates that the graph has been updated.

Tip! The update graph function can be used on all graphs in the graph menu (except stem & leaf) and all control charts!

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Quality Tools
Statistics may be defined as a body of methods for making wise decisions in the face of uncertainty W.A.Wallis

Quality Tools

Pareto chart Cause and Effect Diagram Multi-Vari Chart

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Quality Tools

Stat / Quality Tools / Pareto chart

Stat / Quality Tools / Pareto Chart

Select columns for labels and frequencies

Click OK

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Quality Tools

Pareto charts are based on the 80 / 20 rule. Used to prioritise focus.


Pareto Chart of Characteristic
350 300 250 200 150 100 50
Widget Air Vent Poor Fit Camber adjustment Rear bumper poor fit Glovebox poor fit Wind noise Frt Door Water leak Rr Door Paint Defect - LH door Fascia - Poor Fit Flat battery Other
Characteristic

100 80 60 40 20 0

Cumulative frequency
Percent

Count

Faults

Count Percent Cum %

100 31.2 31.2

39 12.1 43.3

25 7.8 51.1

23 7.2 58.3

22 6.9 65.1

21 6.5 71.7

20 6.2 77.9

20 6.2 84.1

19 5.9 90.0

17 5.3 95.3

15 4.7 100.0

Results

Tip! Pareto charts should also be produced using COPQ for each defect.

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Cause & Effect Diagram

Conduct team brainstorm Stat / Quality tools / Cause & Effect Diagram
Stat / Quality Tools / C&E Diagram

Enter causes in columns or text

Click OK

Tip! Use 5 why analysis to drill down to root cause. Minitab 14 allows multiple sub branches to be entered in the option box.

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Cause & Effect Diagram

Use C&E to understand relationship between inputs and outputs.


BIW Door Panel
Measurements Material Personnel

G auge calibration N o gauge R&R N o measurement procedure

Burr on panel P anel dimensions Damaged panels

N ew Labour M aterial Handling P oor training

Panel Distortion
P oor lighting Temperature Humidity S tandardised Work S tock Rotation Build sequence S hims missing Location peg damage Wear on tool

Environment

Methods

Machines

Tip! The Six Sigma team should score the relationship between inputs & outputs using the C&E matrix to prioritise team focus.

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Multi-Vari Chart

Graphical analysis of means for different factors. Stat / Quality tools / Multi-Vari Chart
Stat / Quality Tools / MultiVari Charts

Enter response variable (y) and factor levels (x)

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Multi-Vari Chart

Stat / Quality tools / Multi-Vari Chart


Multi-Vari Chart for Torque by Supplier - Tool Number
56 55 54 53
Supplier Atlas Copco Bosch

Mean values displayed for each factor level

Torque

52 51 50 49 48 1 2 Tool Number 3

Displays main effects and interactions.

Multi-Vari charts can be used during a screening DOE to reduce KPIVs to the critical few.
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Measurement Systems Analysis


When you can measure what you are talking about and express it in numbers, you know something about it. But, when you cannot express it in numbers, your knowledge is of the meagre and unsatisfactory kind Lord Kelvin

Measurement Systems Analysis

MSA Overview Attribute Gauge R&R Variable Gauge R&R

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Measurement System Analysis

The purpose of Measurement System Analysis (MSA) is to ensure the information collected is a true representation of what is occurring in the process. MSA is the evaluation of measurement system variation in comparison to process variation.
Process Variation Measurement System Variation

MSA validation is required before commencing data collection.


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Measurement System Analysis


R

& R Repeatability and reproducibility.

Repeatability
Same

refers to the inherent variability of the measurement system.


operator Same part Same condition

Repeatability

is the within variation.


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Measurement System Analysis


R

& R Repeatability and reproducibility.

Reproducibility

refers to the variation that occurs when different conditions are used to take the measurement.
Different

operator Different parts Different conditions


Reproducibility

is the between variation.


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Measurement System Analysis


R

& R Repeatability and reproducibility.

Reproducibility

refers to the variation that occurs when different conditions are used to take the measurement.
Different

operator Different parts Different conditions


Reproducibility

is the between variation.


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Data Types
Attribute Variable

Caliper NO-GO GO

SHIPPING ORDER
QTY 1 3 10 2 UNIT $10.00 $1.50 $10.00 $5.00 DESCRIPTION TOTAL $10.00 $4.50 $10.00 $10.00

Error

Time

FAIL

PASS

TEMPERATURE

Thermometer
Electrical Circuit

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Attribute Gauge R & R Exercise


Scenario The process to stamp dots on a domino is highly variable. RFT data is required to evaluate process performance. Measurement system must be validated first.

Study Method 2 operators 2 measurements per operator 7 samples

N.B Only 7 samples used due to time constraints. A minimum of 30 samples required for Six Sigma projects.
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Attribute Gauge R & R Exercise


Measurement Procedure No. 1

Visually inspect all dominoes to identify samples with dots smaller than the master sample. Any non-conformance is considered a reject. Colour is of no consequence. You have been allocated 15 seconds to inspect each sample.

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Attribute Gauge R & R Exercise

Is the measurement system repeatable and reproducible?

What can be done to improve the measurement system?

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Attribute Gauge R & R Exercise


Measurement Procedure No. 2

Inspect all dominoes with the gauge provided. Ensure there are no spots smaller than the master sample. Any non-conformance is considered a reject. Colour is of no consequence.

You have been allocated 30 seconds to inspect each sample.

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Attribute Gauge R & R Exercise


Stat

/ Quality Tools / Attribute Agreement Analysis

Stat / Quality Tools / Attribute Agreement Analysis

Enter study information

Select data, samples and appraisers Click OK

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Attribute Gauge R & R Output


Graphical Output
Assessment Agreement
Date of study: Reported by: Name of product: 13/10/2006 Paul White BIW Panel Distortion

Session Window
Attribute Gage R&R Study Attribute Gage R&R Study for Result Within Appraiser Assessment Agreement
95.0% C I P ercent

Within Appraisers
100

80

Appraiser # Inspected # Matched Percent (%) Eric 7 7 100.0 ( 65.2, 100.0) John 7 7 100.0 ( 65.2, 100.0)

95.0% CI

Percent

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# Matched: Appraiser agrees with him/herself across trials.


40

20

Between Appraisers Assessment Agreement # Inspected # Matched Percent (%) 95.0% CI 7 7 100.0 ( 65.2, 100.0) # Matched: All appraisers' assessments agree with each other.

0 Eric Appraiser John

Graph displays actual % result and 95% confidence interval

Session window displays detailed results

Tip! A Kappa statistic is available to determine correlation within & between appraisers.
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Attribute Gauge R & R Summary

A typical Attribute Gauge R&R Study includes: 1 to 3 operators (measurement takers) 30 samples 2 to 3 trials (measurements) of each sample by each operator Samples that are typical of the process (pass & fail) An acceptable study is where 100% agreement between each operator and the Master Attribute has been achieved (if a Master Attribute is included). Analysis of the results from a failed study can identify where improvements need to be made: Operator training Standardised inspection process Measurement Procedure
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Variable Gauge R & R

R&R studies are conducted to ensure the data collected is a true representation of what is occurring in the process. The purpose of variable gauge R&R studies are to calculate the amount of measurement system variation in comparison to the process variation and the process tolerance.

A typical variable gauge R&R Study includes: 1 to 3 operators (measurement takers) 10 samples 2 to 3 trials (measurements) of each sample by each operator Samples that are typical of the process (in spec & out of spec)

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Variable Gauge R & R Exercise


Scenario Gandalfs Castle has been under siege from the Orcs for several days and he seems to be losing the battle. The main problem is that Gandalfs long range weapons the catapults keep missing the Orcs who are sheltering behind a ridge 200m away. They keep shooting either too long or too short. Gandalf wants to improve the accuracy of his catapults. But, before he can improve the accuracy Gandalf must ensure he can measure the distance repeatedly & reproducibly. Exercise Conduct variable r&r study on catapult shot length. 10 shots (or samples), 2 operators, 2 measurements per operator Record results on flip chart.
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Variable Gauge R & R Exercise

Stat / Quality Tools / Gage Study / Gage R&R Study (Crossed)

Stat / Quality Tools / Gage Study / Gage R&R Study (Crossed)

Tip! A Nested Gage R&R Study is available for a destructive measurement study.

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Variable Gauge R & R Exercise

Stat / Quality Tools / Gage Study / Gage R&R Study (Crossed)

Enter part no. Operator & Measurement Data

Tip! Always enter the process tolerance via the options box. It is imperative to compare measurement system variation against the process variation & the process tolerance.
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Variable R & R Pass Criteria


Gage R&R Study ANOVA Method Gage name: Tin Foil Reported by: Paul White Date of study: 16th February 2006 Tolerance: 0 +/-0.05 Source Total Gage R&R Repeatability Reproducibility Part-to-Part Total Variation Variance 19.62 17.73 1.89 1212.92 1232.55 StdDev (SD) 4.4299 4.2110 1.3752 34.8270 35.1076 %Contribution (of Variance) 1.59 1.44 0.15 98.41 100.00 Study Var (5.15*SD) 22.814 21.687 7.082 179.359 180.804 %Study Var (%SV) 12.62 11.99 3.92 99.20 100.00

% Contribution must be < 9%

Source Total Gage R&R Repeatability Reproducibility Part-to-Part Total Variation

% Study Variation must be < 30%

Distinct categories must be >=5

Number of distinct categories = 11

Tip! Gauge calibration does not negate the requirement to conduct an MSA. Calibration confirms the gauge is accurate, MSA ensures the whole measurement system is repeatable and reproducible.

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Variable R&R Pass Criteria

% Contribution Measurement System Variation as a percentage of Total Observed Process Variation (Variance)

% Study Variation

Measurement System Standard Deviation as a percentage of Total Observed Process Standard Deviation (using Standard Deviation)

% Tolerance Measurement Error as a percentage of Tolerance

Number of Distinct Categories Less than 5 indicates Attribute conditions


% Contribution R Y G
> 9% Unacceptable
2-9% Acceptable < 1% Good

% Study Variation (Process Control) R Y G


> 30% Unacceptable 11-30% Acceptable < 10% Good

% Tolerance (Product Control) R Y G


> 30% Unacceptable 11-30% Acceptable < 10% Good

# of Distinct Categories R Y G
< 5 Unacceptable
5-10 Acceptable > 10 Good

It is desirable to have ALL indicators

Green
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Variable R & R Diagnostic Graphs

Review the diagnostic graphs to identify sources of measurement system variation.


Gage R&R (ANOVA) for Measurement
Gage name: Date of study : V ernier 13/06/2006
Components of Variation
100
Percent
% Contribution % Study Var

Reported by : Tolerance: N/A

Paul White

Overall health of Measurement System

Measurement by Part
200

50

100

Repeatability & gauge linearity


1 2 3 Part 4 5

0 Gage R&R Repeat Reprod Part-to-Part

R Chart by Operator
30 1 2 200 UCL=17.32 _ R=5.3 LCL=0
Sample Range

Measurement by Operator

Repeatability

15

100

Reproducibility across operators


1 Operator 2

Xbar Chart by Operator


200
Sample Mean

2 200 _ _ UCL=109.4 X=99.5 LCL=89.5


Average

Operator * Part Interaction


Operator 1 2

Reproducibility

100

100

Reproducibility across parts

3 Part

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Catapult MSA

Analyse MSA data collected from catapult


Discuss results with team Present findings to class

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Variable Gauge R & R Summary

A typical Variable Gauge R&R Study includes: 1 to 3 operators (measurement takers) 10 samples 2 to 3 trials (measurements) of each sample by each operator Samples that are typical of the process.

An acceptable study is where the total gauge R&R is less than 30% of the process spread or tolerance. Distinct categories must be > = 5.

Analysis of the results from a failed study can identify where improvements need to be made: Standardised inspection process Operator training Measurement Procedure
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Summary MSA
At conclusion of the MSA, the Six Sigma team should know:

The measurement system is capable of gathering data that accurately reflects variation in the process. If there is measurement error, how big it is and a method of accounting for it. Measurement increments are small enough to show variation. Sources of measurement error have been identified

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Control Charts
Statistics is not a discipline like physics, chemistry or biology where we study a subject to solve problems in the same subject. We study statistics with the main aim of solving problems in other disciplines." - C.R. Rao

Control Charts

Introduction to Control Charts Control Limits In Control Out of Control Attribute control charts Variable control charts
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Control Charts

A control chart is a run chart with upper and lower control limits (not specification limits).
Control charts are used to detect and monitor process variation over time. Distinguishes between special and common cause. Data must be collected in real time.

It is important to record the voice of the process. Ensure all process events / changes are logged.
Can be used as a reference point to evaluate the impact of process changes. Serves as a tool for ongoing control.
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Control Limits

Control limits are calculated from the data from the process.
Upper Control Limit

9 8 7 5 4 3 2 1

Average

+/- 3 S.D 99.73%

Lower Control Limit

Control limits are not specification limits!

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In Control
A process is in control when all of the values are randomly spread between the control limits. To be in control means the process is consistent.

9 8 7 5 4 3 2 1

102

Out of Control
A process is out of control when one value exceeds the control limits. This is special cause variation.

9 8 7 5 4 3 2 1

103

Out of Control
A process is out of control when 9 readings fall on one side of the process average but inside the control limits. This out of control condition indicates a process shift.

9 8 7 5 4 3 2 1

104

Out of Control
A process is out of control when 6 readings in a row, display a continuous trend in an upward or downward direction. This out of control condition indicates process drift / wear.

9 8 7 5 4 3 2 1

SPC charts require real time data collection.


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Out of Control Rules

Tools / Options / Control Charts / Define Tests

Tools / Options/ Control Charts / Define Tests

Tests for special cause

Tip! Minitab uses Nelsons Test for Special Cause as they improved on the Western Electric Rules by aligning the probabilities of false alarm rates.

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Control Chart Selection


Start Attribute Is data Attribute or Variable? Variable

Attribute

Variable

Defects or Defective?

Is the subgroup sample size greater than 10?

Yes

Average & Standard Deviation - Xbar & S

Defective

Defects

No

Is the subgroup sample size contstant?

Is the amount of opportunities for defect contstant? Yes No

Is the subgroup sample size greater than 1

Yes

Average & Range - Xbar & R

Yes

No

No Individual & Moving Range - I & MR

p-chart

np-chart

u-chart

c-chart

Tip! There are other control charts available for special situations. A Cusum chart can be used when trying to detect small fluctuations in a process.

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P Chart

Stat / Control Charts / Attribute Charts / P-Chart

Stat / Control Charts / Attribute Charts/ P-Chart Select column with defective amounts

Select column with subgroup sample sizes in. I.e. Daily or weekly volume

Select OK

Tip! Use the scale options to display the date on the chart x-axis.
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P Chart

A P Chart displays the proportion defective.


P Chart of No of cars with Defective Vent
0.4
1

0.3

Proportion

UCL=0.2338 0.2 _ P=0.1097

0.1

0.0
22/01/2006 24/01/2006 26/01/2006 28/01/2006 30/01/2006 01/02/2006 03/02/2006 05/02/2006 07/02/2006 09/02/2006

LCL=0

Date Tests performed with unequal sample sizes

Tip! The P Chart is based on the Binomial distribution pass or fail.


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U Chart

Stat / Control Charts / Attribute Charts / U-Chart

Stat / Control Chart / Attribute Charts / U Chart


Select column with defects data

Select column with subgroup sample sizes in. I.e. Daily or weekly volume

Click OK
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U Chart

A U Chart displays the no of defects per unit.


U Chart of No of Air Vents Defects
0.6
1

Sample Count Per Unit

0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0


22/01/2006 24/01/2006 26/01/2006 28/01/2006 30/01/2006 01/02/2006 03/02/2006 05/02/2006 07/02/2006 09/02/2006

UCL=0.2732 _ U=0.1300 LCL=0

Unequal subgroup sample sizes will create castellated control limits

Date Tests performed with unequal sample sizes

Tip! The U Chart is based on the Poisson distribution how many defects per item.
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Variable Control Charts


Accuracy describes Centering Precision describes Spread

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Individual & Moving Range Chart

Stat / Control Chart / Variables for Individuals / I&MR

Stat / Control Chart/ Variables for Individuals / I&MR

Select column with measurement data

Click OK

Tip! Always title your chart using the Labels option box. charts should have a title to aid reader interpretation.

All
113

Individual & Moving Range Chart

I & MR chart shows the trend of individual data readings over time.
I-MR Chart of Tool 1
11.0 U C L=11.039

10.5 10.0 9.5 9.0


01/01/2006 06/01/2006 11/01/2006 16/01/2006 21/01/2006 26/01/2006

_ X=10.014

LC L=8.988 Date
31/01/2006 05/02/2006 10/02/2006 15/02/2006

Displays the trend over time of individual readings. This part of the chart shows the accuracy of the process .

Individual V alue

1.2

U C L=1.260

0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0


01/01/2006 06/01/2006 11/01/2006 16/01/2006 21/01/2006 26/01/2006

__ M R=0.386

LC L=0 Date
31/01/2006 05/02/2006 10/02/2006 15/02/2006

Displays the difference between consecutive readings. This part of the chart shows the precision of the process .

M oving Range

Tip! I & MR charts should be used to control process parameters (something that does not leave with the vehicle) I.e. Oven temperature, humidity, etc.
114

Average & Range Chart

Stat / Control Chart / Variables for Sub-Groups / Xbar & R

Stat / Control Chart/ Variables for Sub-Groups / Xbar & R

Select column with measurement data

Select subgroup size

Click OK
115

Average & Range Chart

Xbar & R chart shows the average reading per subgroup over time.
Xbar-R Chart of Tool 1
10.50 10.25 10.00 9.75 9.50 1 2 3 4 5 Sample U C L=1.629 6 7 8 9 10 LC L=9.569 _ _ X=10.014 U C L=10.458

Displays the trend over time of the subgroup average readings. This part of the chart shows the accuracy of the process .

Sample M ean

1.6
Sample Range

1.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 1 2 3 4 5 Sample 6 7 8 9 10 LC L=0 _ R=0.770

Displays the range for each subgroup. I.e. Difference between the highest & lowest reading within each subgroup. This part of the chart shows the precision of the process .

Tip! Xbar & R charts should be used to control process characteristics (something that leaves with the vehicle) I.e. Gap condition on a door, thickness of paint, wheel alignment etc.

116

Control Charts Summary

A control chart is a run chart with upper and lower control limits (not specification limits). Control charts are used to detect and monitor process variation over time. Distinguishes between special and common cause. It is important to record the voice of the process. Ensure all process events / changes are logged. Can be used as a reference point to evaluate the impact of process changes. Serves as a tool for ongoing control.
117

Normality Test
Are statisticians normal?

Normal Distribution

Data distribution characterized by a smooth, bell-shaped curve.

Normal Distribution

LSL

Target

USL
119

Normal Distribution
The distribution of area as a percentage:
0.135% 99.73% 95.44% 68.26% 0.135%

-3s

-2s

-1s

+1s

+2s

+3s

120

Normality Test

Stat / Basic statistics / Graphical summary.

Stat / Basic Statistics / Graphical Summary

Select variable

Click OK

Tip! Note the confidence level of 95% in the option window. This applies to the inferential statistics that will be displayed in the graphical summary.

121

Normality Test

It is imperative to conduct a normality test when assessing variable data. The normal distribution is described by the mean and standard deviation (the kurtosis & skewness provide additional info. about the shape of the curve). Control charts, process capability, 2 sample t-test and many other statistical procedures are based on the normal distribution.
Summary for Tool 1
A nderson-D arling N ormality Test A -S quared P -V alue M ean S tD ev V ariance S kew ness Kurtosis N M inimum 1st Q uartile M edian 3rd Q uartile M aximum 9.922 9.915 9 5 % C onfidence Inter vals
Mean Median 9.90 9.95 10.00 10.05 10.10 10.15

Normality test P-Value > 0.05 indicates a normal distribution

0.19 0.902 10.014 0.321 0.103 -0.003050 -0.106782 50 9.310 9.800 10.025 10.240 10.839 10.105 10.126 0.400

9.6

10.0

10.4

10.8

95% C onfidence Interv al for M ean 95% C onfidence Interv al for M edian 95% C onfidence Interv al for S tD ev 0.268

122

Typical Distributions

The shape has a bell shape. It is symmetric.

The shape has two humps. It is bimodal.

The shape has a long tail. It is not symmetric.

The shape is flat.

There are one or more outliers.

123

Normality Test

Always conduct a normality test on variable data before conducting any statistical procedures. I.e. Process capability, hypothesis testing etc.

124

Process Capability
A knowledge of statistics is like a knowledge of foreign languages or of algebra; it may prove of use at any time under any circumstances

Process Capability
What

is Process Capability?
Process Capability. Process Capability.

Attribute

Variable

Sigma

as a measure of capability.

126

Process Capability

Capability analysis is a measure of how well a process is meeting the expectations of the customer.
It provides a current performance baseline for the process. It can be used as a reference point to evaluate the impact of process changes.

It can be displayed by several indices dependent on the data type.

127

Capability Indices

ATTRIBUTE DATA

DPO

DPU

DPMO

Cp
VARIABLE DATA

Cpk

Pp

Ppk
128

Attribute Process Capability

50 readings are required to calculate attribute process capability.


Determine if failure mode is defective or a defect.

Defective: Item is pass or fail. Defects: Item has multiple defects.

If item is defective use:

Defects Per Million Opportunities (DPMO).

If defects per item are being assessed, use:

Defects Per Unit (DPU).

129

DPMO

Calculate DPMO to identify baseline process capability. Unit (N) Defect (D) Opportunity (O) DPMO
DPMO = Total number of defects Total units Opportunities per unit D DPMO = N O 1,000,000
DPMO levels the playing field between different complexity processes. I.e. The supplier of a bolt may only have 2 opportunities for failure whilst the supplier of the incar entertainment system will have multiple opportunities due to a highly complex process.
130

1,000,000

DPMO in Minitab

Six Sigma / Product Report

Select Six Sigma / Product Report

Enter defects, units & opportunities

131

DPMO in Minitab

Six Sigma / Product Report

DPMO Metric DPMO graphical representation

Short-Term Sigma

It is imperative that the opportunities for failure are kept constant in the measure and the improve phases to validate the before and after condition. I.e. We are comparing apples with apples.

132

Variable Capability Analysis


Always assess for a stable process and a normal distribution before calculating variable capability indices. Normal Data: Cp / Cpk Pp / Ppk Non-Normal Data: Why is data non-normal? If non-normality is to be expected, conduct a box-cox transformation.
Cp / Cpk & Pp / Ppk indices are based on the normal distribution. Therefore, it is imperative to assess for stability & normality before calculating capability.
133

Variable Capability Analysis


Variable process capability is the ability of a process output to fit between the maximum and minimum specification limits which have been defined by the customer/engineer.

Can this distribution from a process output fit between the specification limits of 5 1?

7
134

Variable Capability Analysis


Capability is an assessment of: process spread as a ratio of the process tolerance. Cp / Pp
LSL USL

Process spread

Tolerance

Cpk / Ppk is the location of the process mean with respect to both process specification limits.

LSL

USL

Mean
135

Cp Examples
LSL USL

Cp =

Cp =

Cp =

Cp = 0.5

Cp =

1
136

Cpk Examples
LSL

USL

Cpkl = 1
X

Cpku = 1

Cpkl = 5
X

Cpku= 1
Cpku = 3

Cpkl = 1
X

Cpkl = 0.5
X

Cpku= 0.5

Cpkl = 3

Cpku = -1
137

Cp Example
Lower Specification Limit

Cp = 3.70

Upper Specification Limit

nominal

-3s

+3s

138

Cp Example
Once
Lower Specification Limit Upper Specification Limit

nominal How many times does the total process spread (+/- 3 standard deviations) fit inside the total tolerance?

139

Cp Example
Twice Once
Lower Specification Limit Upper Specification Limit

nominal How many times does the total process spread (+/- 3 standard deviations) fit inside the total tolerance?

140

Cp Example
3 times Twice Once
Lower Specification Limit Upper Specification Limit

nominal How many times does the total process spread (+/- 3 standard deviations) fit inside the total tolerance?
141

Cp Example
And 0.7
Lower Specification Limit

3 times Twice Once


Upper Specification Limit

nominal

How many times does the total process spread (+/- 3 standard deviations) fit inside the total tolerance?
142

Cp Example
Lower Specification Limit

Cp = 3.70

Upper Specification Limit

nominal

143

Cpk Lower Example


Once
Lower Specification Limit Upper Specification Limit

nominal

How many times does half the total process spread (3 standard deviations) fit between the mean and the lower specification limit?
144

Cpk Lower Example


Twice
Lower Specification Limit Upper Specification Limit

nominal

How many times does half the total process spread (3 standard deviations) fit between the mean and the lower specification limit?
145

Cpk Lower Example


3 Times
Lower Specification Limit Upper Specification Limit

nominal How many times does half the total process spread (3 standard deviations) fit between the mean and the lower specification limit?
146

Cpk Lower Example


4 Times
Lower Specification Limit Upper Specification Limit

nominal How many times does half the total process spread (3 standard deviations) fit between the mean and the lower specification limit?
147

Cpk Lower Example


5 Times
Lower Specification Limit Upper Specification Limit

nominal How many times does half the total process spread (3 standard deviations) fit between the mean and the lower specification limit?
148

Cpk Lower Example


Lower Specification Limit

Cp = 3.70 Cpkl = 5.00

Upper Specification Limit

nominal

149

Cpk Upper Example


Once
Lower Specification Limit Upper Specification Limit

nominal How many times does half the total process spread (3 standard deviations) fit between the mean and the upper specification limit?
150

Cpk Upper Example


Twice
Lower Specification Limit Upper Specification Limit

nominal How many times does half the total process spread (3 standard deviations) fit between the mean and the upper specification limit?
151

Cpk Upper Example


And 0.4
Lower Specification Limit Upper Specification Limit

nominal How many times does half the total process spread (3 standard deviations) fit between the mean and the upper specification limit?
152

Cp / Cpk Indices
Lower Specification Limit

Cp = 3.70 Cpku = 2.4

Upper Specification Limit

nominal

153

Group Exercise
Manually calculate Cp / Cpk
USL = 12 LSL = 8 Mean = 10.5 SD = 0.33
Cp =
Tolerance

6 x SD

Cpk L = Process Average - L.S.L.


3 x SD

Cpk U = U.S.L. - Process Average


3 x SD
154

Draw Process Capability

Use pencil & paper to draw the following distribution.


LSL = 8 Mean = 10.5 USL =12

10

11

12

13

1 Standard Deviation = 0.33


155

Relate Cp / Cpk to Archers Target


#1 #2

#3

#4

156

Normal Capability Analysis in Minitab

Stat / Quality Tools / Normal Capability Analysis

Select Stat / Quality Tools / Capability Analysis / Normal

Remember! It is imperative that stability and normality tests are conducted before calculating Cpk / Ppk indices.

157

Normal Capability Analysis in Minitab

Stat / Quality Tools / Capability Analysis / Normal

Select Column to assess

Enter subgroup size

Enter upper & lower spec. limits

Click OK

158

Normal Capability Analysis in Minitab

Stat / Quality Tools / Capability Analysis / Normal


Process Capability of Tool 1
LSL
P rocess Data LS L 8 Target * USL 12 S ample M ean 10.0137 S ample N 50 S tDev (Within) 0.331209 S tDev (O v erall) 0.322772

USL Within Overall


P otential (Within) C apability Cp 2.01 C P L 2.03 C P U 2.00 C pk 2.00 O v erall C apability Pp PPL PPU P pk C pm 2.07 2.08 2.05 2.05 *

Short Term Capability

Long Term Capability

8.4
O bserv ed P erformance P P M < LS L 0.00 P P M > U S L 0.00 P P M Total 0.00

9.0

9.6

10.2

10.8

11.4

12.0

E xp. Within P erformance P P M < LS L 0.00 P P M > U S L 0.00 P P M Total 0.00

E xp. O v erall P erformance P P M < LS L 0.00 P P M > U S L 0.00 P P M Total 0.00

For a process to be deemed capable, the Cpk must be >= 1.67 & the Ppk >= 1.33.
159

Cpk conversion to Sigma


To convert Cpk to Sigma we merely multiply the Cpk value by 3 to get the Sigma value. For example: Cpk of 1 = Sigma value of 3

Cpk of 0.5 = Sigma value of 1.5


By converting DPMO and Cpk to a Sigma value we can compare performance between attribute and variable processes.

The higher the Sigma value, the better the process.

160

Advantage of using Sigma


ATTRIBUTE DATA

DPO

DPU

DPMO

Cp
VARIABLE DATA

Cpk Ppk

Pp

}
161

Sigma is a universal measure of process performance.

Hypothesis Testing
Statistics is never having to say you are right

Hypothesis Testing

Hypothesis Testing Overview Hypothesis Testing - Proportions Hypothesis Testing Variances Hypothesis Testing - Means
163

Hypothesis Testing Overview

Provides objective solutions to questions which are traditionally answered subjectively.


Can be used to determine a difference in proportions, means and variances (standard deviation). Graphical analysis indicates a potential difference. Hypothesis testing infers a statistically significant difference (with a degree of confidence). A hypothesis test should always be conducted in the improve phase to validate the improvements to the baseline process capability.
164

Hypothesis Testing Roadmap


If P > 0.05, then fail to reject HO If P < 0.05, then reject HO Ensure the correct sample size is taken.
Levene's Test H O : 1 = 2 = 3 ... H A : i j fo r i j
(o r a t le a s t o n e is d iffe re n t)

Contingency Table HO: Data is normal HA: Data is not normal

START >>>

Variable or Attribute Data?

Attribute

1 or 2 Factor?

2 Factor

HO: FA Independent FB HA: FA Dependent FB Stat>Tables>Chi2 Test

Stat>Basic Stat>Normality Test or Stat>Basic Stat>Descriptive Statistics (graphical summary)

Variable

1 Factor 1-Proportion Test HO: P 1 = P t HA: P 1 P t


t = target

Stat>ANOVA> Homogeneity of Variance If HO is rejected, then you can go no further Fail to reject HO

2 or more levels

1, 2 or more levels?

Data not Normal

Is data normal?

1 Factor

1, 2 or more Factors?

1 or >1 Levels?

1 Sample 1 level to test

Stat>Basic Stat> 1-Proportion 2-Proportion Test

1 level

2 or more Factors Data Normal ANOVA or Multiple Regression 2 Samples 2 levels to test for each 2 levels Bartlett's Test HO: 1 = 2 = 3 ... HA: i j for i j
(or at least one is different)

2 levels or > 2 levels?

Test median or sigma?

HO: P 1 = P 2 H A: P 1 P 2 Stat>Basic Stat> 2-Proportion

2 levels only Mann-Whitney Test HO: M 1 = M2 HA: M1 M2 Stat>Non-parametric> Mann-Whitney 2 or more levels Test Medians

Test for sigmas Chi2 Test HO: 1 = t HA: 1 t


t = target

1, 2 or >2 levels?

More than 2 levels

Test for means

Stat>ANOVA>Homogeneity of Variance If sigmas are NOT equal, proceed with caution or use Welch's Test, which is not available in Minitab

1 level

1-Way ANOVA (assumes equality of variances) HO: m 1 = m 2 = m 3 ... HA: m i mj for i j


(or at least one is different)

Mood's Median Test (used with outliers) H O: M1 = M 2 = M 3 ... H A : M i M j for i j


(or at least one is different)

Stat>Basic Stat>Display Desc> Graphical Summary (if target sigma falls between CI, then fail to reject HO)

2 levels

Test for mean or sigma?

Test for means

Is Data Dependent?

Test for mean or sigma?

Test for means 1-Sample t Test HO: m1 = mt H A: m 1 m t


t = target

Stat>ANOVA>1-Way (then select stacked or unstacked data) No, Data is drawn independently from two populations Yes, Data is Paired

Stat>Non-parametric> Mood's test

1-Sample Wilcoxon or 1-Sample Sign HO: M 1 = Mt HA: M1 Mt


t = target

Kruskal-Wallis Test (assumes outliers) H O: M1 = M 2 = M 3 ... H A : M i M j for i j


(or at least one is different)

Test for sigmas

Test for sigmas

Stat>Basic Stat> 1-Sample t Chi2 Test HO: 1 = t H A: 1 t


t = target

Stat>Non-parametric> and either 1-Sample Sign or 1-Sample Wilcoxon

2-Sample t Test F Test HO: 1 = 2 H A: 1 2 Stat>ANOVA> Homogeneity of Variance HO: m1 = m2 HA: m 1 m 2 Stat>Basic Stat> 2-Sample t (if sigmas are equal, use pooled std dev to compare. If sigmas are unequal compare means using unpooled std dev)

Paired t Test HO: m1 = m 2 HA: m 1 m2 Stat>Basic Stat> Paired t

Stat>Non-parametric> Kruskal-Wallis

Courtesy of Jeff Railton and Andy Batty of Seagate Technology. Revised: June 23, 1999
(Hypothesis Roadmap E.vsd)

Stat>Basic Stat>Display Desc> Graphical Summary (if target sigma falls between CI, then fail to reject HO)

165

Hypothesis Testing Proportions

Stat / Basic Statistics / 2 Proportions

Stat / Basic Statistics / 2 Proportions

Enter trials (sample size) & events (defects) in the option box

Click OK
166

Hypothesis Testing Proportions

Stat / Basic Statistics / 2 Proportions

P-Value < 0.05 indicates a significant difference

Either accept, or fail to accept the null hypothesis. It is assumed there is no difference unless proven otherwise. I.e. Innocent until proven guilty!

167

Hypothesis Testing Variances

Stat / Basic Statistics / 2 Variances

Stat / Basic Statistics / 2 Variances

Enter variables to compare

Click OK

Always conduct a normality test before conducting a hypothesis test on variable data.
168

Hypothesis Testing Variances

Stat / Basic Statistics / 2 Variances


Test for Equal Variances for Tool 1, Tool 2
F-Test Test Statistic P-Value Test Statistic P-Value 0.04 0.000 57.07 0.000

Standard deviation & confidence interval

Tool 1

Lev ene's Test

P-Value < 0.05 indicates a significant difference

Tool 2

0.5 1.0 1.5 95% Bonferroni Confidence Intervals for StDevs

2.0

Tool 1

Tool 2

10 Data

11

12

13

14

Use the F-Test statistic for normal data and Levenes Test statistic for non -normal data.
169

Hypothesis Testing Means

Stat / Basic Statistics / 2 Sample t

Stat / Basic Statistics / 2 Sample t

Enter variables to compare

Select equal variances if applicable Select boxplot Click OK

Always conduct a normality and 2 variances test before conducting a 2 Sample T test. However, if the sample sizes are equal, the requirement to conduct a 2 variances test is not applicable.
170

Hypothesis Testing Means

Stat / Basic Statistics / 2 Sample t

P-Value >= 0.05 infers that the means are from the same population

If the P is low, the null must go!


171

Summary

What is Six Sigma? Introduction to Minitab Version 14 Manipulation of data Basic statistics Graphs Quality tools Measurement System Analysis R & R Control charts Normality testing Capability analysis Hypothesis Testing
172

Questions and Answers

Created by Paul White - Aston Martin Six Sigma Department


Sources: Ford Six Sigma Black Belt Training Material 2006 Ford Six Sigma Green Belt Training Material Version 5.0 Jaguar SPC Training Material 2004

173

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