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An Overview
Why Sample?
Why Sample?
Samples
are taken to obtain information about populations. estimators are computed to estimate parameters of the the population from which the sample was drawn.
Sample
Advantages
Complete
enumeration of all sample units in the entire universe is often unnecessary to obtain reasonably accurate results.
Advantages
An
examination of the entire population is often too costly, too time-consuming, and impractical (.if not impossible).
Advantages
In
the case of destructive testing, the sample elements or units must be destroyed or must be consumed to obtain necessary measurements.
Precision
The
standard error [se] is a measure of precision. A smaller se, other things remaining the same, means more precision .....that is, less variance in the sampling.
Sample Size
for a mean
n = z2 2 / e2
where: e, the sampling error, is the difference between sample mean and population mean
[e is expressed in units]
Sample Size
for a proportion n = [z2 p (1 p)] / e2
where: e, the sampling error, is the difference between sample proportion and population proportion
Sample Size
Errors
Sampling
(internal) Error
The fact that a sample was taken, the sample statistic is expected to deviate from the population parameter.
Errors
Non-Sampling
(external) Error
Errors
Bias
Errors
The
sampling error refers to the extent to which the sample values on some variable of importance to the research differ from those of the population from which it was drawn.
Simple Random
with
Stratified
When
the population is heterogeneous overall, but within it there are homogeneous populations (strata) the population is stratified.
Systematic
Selecting
a random sample, as opposed to the simple random selection technique. Select the K-th item. Draw every I-th item.
Cluster
Another
modified random sample design -- requires that the sample unites be grouped in clusters in the universe. Not grouped by homogeneous strata in the population.
Multistage
The
Multistage - An Example
The president of Supermarkets, Inc. decided to sample purchases at 150 stores in the US. The first stage is to select, on the basis of clustering (save travel time), 15 of the 150 stores.
Multistage - An Example
The researcher recommends that cash register files be randomly selected at each of the 150 stores. [second stage]
Then select every 20th purchase in a file using a random start. [final stage]
Simple Random
Strengths/Weaknesses basic, simple, often costly must assign a number to each element in target population
Stratified
How to Select divide population into groups that are similar within and different between variable of interest
Strengths/Weaknesses with proper strata, can produce very accurate estimates. less costly than simple random sampling must stratify target population correctly
Stratified
One of the main reasons for using a stratified sample is that stratifying has the effect of reducing sampling error for a given sample size to a level lower than that of a simple random sample of the same size.
Stratified
This is so because of a very simple principle: the more homogeneous a population is on the variables being studied, the smaller the sample size needed to represent it accurately. Stratifying makes each sub-sample more homogeneous by eliminating the variation on the variable that is used for stratifying.
Systematic
How to Select select every K-th element are from a list after a random start
Strengths/Weaknesses produces very accurate estimates when elements in population exhibit order used when pop. size not known simplifies selection process
Cluster
How to Select randomly choose clusters and sample all elements within each cluster
Strengths/Weaknesses with proper clusters, can produce accurate estimates useful when sample frame not available or travel costs high must cluster target population correctly
Convenience
in Dining Commons at dinner in Student Union between classes in classes in which you are enrolled data available on the www friend knows somebody who...
Mini-Cases
Working as a team determine best sampling technique and explain decision
Scenario 1
You have been hired by the County of Sacramento to estimate the percentage of registered voters that favor issuing a bond in order to finance the construction of a new bike trail along the Sacramento River. You want no more than a 4 percentage point error margin, at the 95% confidence level. How would you conduct such a survey using a simple random sample?
Scenario 1
When
(continued)
going over your sampling design with the county Parks Director, you are asked whether you think a stratified sample would be appropriate? What is your reply? Why? about a systematic sample?
What
Travel Vouchers
Scenario #2
o
The State of California has hired you to estimate the number of travel vouchers for legislators that have been filed incorrectly. The vouchers have been filed as they are processed.
Which sampling technique would you recommend and why?
Light Rail
Scenario #3
Light Rail has hired you to determine whether passengers like the convenience of using the light rail system.
Which sampling technique would you recommend and why? Other concerns that might be investigated?
Trucks
Scenario #4
Marketers,
Inc., has hired you to determine why so many young drivers, both male and female, prefer owning a pickup truck as compared to an automobile.
sampling technique would you recommend and why?
Which
Merit Pay
Scenario #5
You
have been hired to determine how faculty at a local university feel about the following statement: the union is seeking to obtain a moratorium on merit pay.
sampling technique would you recommend and why?
Which
Questions?
References
Levine,
David, et al. Statistics for Managers, Second Edition. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice-Hall, 1999.
Duane R., et al. Applied Social Research New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1986.
Monette,