Khalil Shikaki

Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research

June2014

Data
Poll conducted between 5 and 7 June 2014
Representative sample of 1270 respondents
In the West Bank, Gaza Strip, and East
Jerusalem
Face to face interviews
Margin of error is 3%
Implications for the peace process

Majority in sees reconciliation not closing door to
negotiations
Majority wants conciliation government to accept
international conditions
Majority believes Hamas indirectly accepts
international conditions when joining the PLO

Disarming factions in the Gaza Strip
Reconciliation Aftermath:
implications for the peace process
54%
62%
59%
52%
63%
59%
52%
54%
53%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
GS WB TOTAL
continued negotiations gov't and existing agreements Hamas and PLO commitments
Reconciliation Aftermath:
implications for the peace process
Disarm factions in Gaza
15%
16%
12%
19%
33%
5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
1 Only after
signing a peace
agreement with
Israel
2 Only after the
ending of the siege
and blockade of
the Gaza Strip
3 Only after the
upcoming
legislative and
presidential
elections
4 Now, having
formed a
reconciliation
government
5 I oppose the
dissolution of the
armed groups in
the Gaza Strip
under any
circumstances
6 DK/NA
36) The Palestinian Authority in the West Bank has dissolved all armed groups that belonged to political
factions or parties. Now after reconciliation, under what conditions you think armed groups in the Gaza Strip
should be dissolved?
Reconciliation Aftermath:
implications for the peace process
Disarm factions in Gaza
17%
49%
34%
14%
50%
36%
16%
49%
35%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1 Only after signing a peace
agreement with Israel
2,3,4 5 I oppose the dissolution of the
armed groups in the Gaza Strip
under any circumstances
36) The Palestinian Authority in the West Bank has dissolved all armed groups that belonged to
political factions or parties. Now after reconciliation, under what conditions you think armed groups
in the Gaza Strip should be dissolved?
WB
GS
Total
Implications for the two-state solution


West Bankers support two-state solution, not
Gazans
All view it as impractical
All reject one-state solution
Reconciliation Aftermath:
implications for two-state solution
47%
58%
54%
62%
60%
61%
24%
36%
31%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
GS WB TOTAL
2-state solution is it practical? one-state solution
Implications for Palestinian options

Majority supports joining international
organizations
Majority supports non violence
Majority opposes return to armed intifada
Majority opposes dissolution of the PA

Reconciliation Aftermath:
implications for Palestinian options
88%
71%
48%
42%
77%
67%
37%
36%
81%
69%
41%
38%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
international non-violence armed intifada dissolve PA
GS WB TOTAL
Implications for Plan B Going international

An overwhelming majority favors going to the ICC
even if leads to PA collapse
Majority opposes UNSC imposing borders on two
sides
Majority opposes UN trusteeship on WBGS
Majority does not believe the international
community will impose sanctions on Israel even if
occupation lasts much longer
Reconciliation Aftermath:
implications for Plan B going
international
81%
73%
76%
39%
44%
42%
48%
44%
46%
37%
29%
32%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
GS WB TOTAL
Go to ICC
UNSC to set/impose borders
UN trusteeship
international community will impose sanctions on Israel