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n
0 t
t
t
) k 1 (
CF
NPV
PRESENT VALUE INTEREST FACTOR AT r%=1/(1+r)^n
21
What is Project Ls NPV?
Year CF
t
PVIF@10% PV of CF
t
0 -100 1 -$100
1 10 0.909 9.09
2 60 0.8264 49.59
3 80 0.7513 60.11
NPV
L
=
Rs.18.79
NPV
S
= Rs.19.98
22
Rationale for the NPV method
NPV = PV of inflows Cost
= Net gain in wealth
If projects are independent, accept if the
project NPV > 0.
If projects are mutually exclusive, accept
projects with the highest positive NPV, those
that add the most value.
In this example, would accept S if mutually
exclusive (NPV
s
> NPV
L
), and would accept
both if independent.
23
24
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
1. Also called the time-adjusted rate of return.
2. It is the minimum rate that could be paid for the
money invested in a project without losing
money.
3. It is also described as the discount rate that
results in a projects net present value equaling
zero.
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
IRR is the discount rate that forces PV of inflows
to be equal to cost, and the NPV = 0:
25
n
0 t
t
t
) IRR 1 (
CF
0
Rationale for the IRR method
If IRR > WACC, the projects rate of
return is greater than its costs. There is
some return left over to boost
stockholders returns.
26
Calculate IRR using the
previous example
Calculate IRR using the previous example
27
IRR Acceptance Criteria
If IRR > k, accept project.
If IRR < k, reject project.
If projects are independent, accept both
projects, as both IRR > k = 10%.
If projects are mutually exclusive, accept
S, because IRR
s
> IRR
L
.
28
The higher the internal rate
of return, the more desirable
the project.
When using the internal rate of return method to
rank competing investment projects, the
preference rule is:
Internal Rate of Return Method
30
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Spreadsheet Approach
1. Input
A B
1 Year of cash flow Cash flow
2 0 Rs.-94,554
3 1 30,000
4 2 30,000
5 3 30,000
6 4 30,000
7 5 42,000
8 IRR =IRR(B2:B7,0.08)
31
2. Output
A B
1 Year of cash flow Cash flow
2 0 Rs.-94,554
3 1 30,000
4 2 30,000
5 3 30,000
6 4 30,000
7 5 42,000
8 IRR 0.20
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Spreadsheet Approach
Differences Between Net Present Value and
the Internal Rate of Return Models
The net present value model gives explicit
consideration to investment size. The internal
rate of return does not.
The net present value model assumes all net
cash inflows are reinvested at the discount rate.
The internal rate of return model assumes all
net cash inflows are reinvested at the projects
internal rate of return.
Other Capital budgeting Techniques:
Profitability Index:
The profitability index, or PI, method compares the present
value of future cash inflows with the initial investment on a
relative basis.
Therefore, the PI is the ratio of the present value of cash
flows (PVCF) to the initial investment of the project.
= PV
Initial Investment
33
Capital budgeting Techniques:
Profitability Index cont:
Decision Criterion
In this method, a project with a PI
greater than 1 is accepted, but a
project is rejected when its PI is less
than 1.
34
Capital budgeting Techniques:
Average Rate of Return
- Non discounting method:
- ARR = Average annual profits
- Average Investment
- Where average investment =
- (Initial outlay+scrap value)/2
- & Average annual profits =
- sum of annual profits/ no. of years.
35
NPV Profiles
A graphical representation of project NPVs at
various different costs of capital.
k NPV
L
NPV
S
0 $50 $40
5 33 29
10 19 20
15 7 12
20 (4) 5
36
Drawing NPV profiles
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
5 10 15 20 23.6
NPV
($)
Discount Rate (%)
IRR
L
= 18.1%
IRR
S
= 23.6%
Crossover Point = 8.7%
S
L
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
37
Comparing the NPV and IRR
methods
If projects are independent, the two methods
always lead to the same accept/reject decisions.
If projects are mutually exclusive
If k > crossover point, the two methods lead to the
same decision and there is no conflict.
If k < crossover point, the two methods lead to
different accept/reject decisions.
38
Reasons Why NPV profiles cross
Size (scale) differences the smaller project
frees up funds at t = 0 for investment. The higher
the opportunity cost, the more valuable these
funds, so high k favors small projects.
Timing differences the project with faster
payback provides more CF in early years for
reinvestment. If k is high, early CF especially
good, NPV
S
> NPV
L
.
39
Capital Budgeting Techniques:
A good method of investment appraisal must:
Take time value of money into account.
Use cash flows instead of profits
Use all cash flows.
Take into account cost of capital of the firm.
40
Accounting Rate of Return
The accounting rate of return is the average
annual increase in net income that results
from acceptance of a capital expenditure
proposal divided by the initial investment or
the average investment in the project.
Accounting Rate of Return
Cake Shoppe purchased a vehicle and equipment
costing Rs.90,554. It has a disposal value of Rs.8,000
at the end of 5 years.
Annual net cash inflow from operations Rs.30,000
Less average annual depreciation:
[Rs.90,554 Rs.8,000]/5) 16,511
Average annual increase in net income Rs.13,489
43
Accounting rate of
return on initial
investment
Average annual increase
in net income
Initial investment
=
Accounting rate of
return on initial
investment
=
Rs.13,489
Rs.94,554
= 0.1427
44
Accounting rate of
return on average
investment
Average annual increase
in net income
Average investment
=
Accounting rate of
return on average
investment
=
13,489
53,277
= 0.2532
([94,554 + 12,000])/2
Rs.94,544 = initial investment, Rs.12,000 =
disinvestment
Present value index
A frequent criticism of NPV, when it is used to
rank proposals, is that it fails to adjust for the
size of the proposed investment
To overcome this difficulty, managers may
rank projects on the basis of each projects
present value index, which is computed as the
present value of the projects subsequent cash
flows divided by the initial investment.
Present value index
Present value index =
Present value of subsequent cash flows
Initial investment