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DEVELOPMENT
ROBERTO N. PADUA
DAISY R. PALOMPON
TRAINING OUTLINE
LECTURE 1: THEORY
1.1 Some common terminologies
1.2 The Set of Assumptions or Axioms
LECTURE 2: Propositions
EXAMPLE OF A THEORY
There is a dead man ( a human rights lawyer) shot three times with four
wounds: a through-and-through shot on the palm of his hand going
straight through between the eyes, a wound at the back of his head, and a
gunshot wound through the anus. Going through the wounds, the
detective found that the palm and between-the-eye wound did not have
any gunpowder residue (GSR) but the wounds at the back of the head and
in the anus had sufficient amounts of GSR. These mean that the latter
wounds (the back of the head and the anal wounds) were close-range
wounds ( i.e. the shooter fired within mere inches from the points of entry).
The expensive watch of the victim was missing and deep scratches in the
left arm to the palm were found but no blood was observed indicating that
the watch had been taken post-mortem when the heart stopped pumping.
(from Angel Flight, Connelly (2002))
Could the first shot be the anal wound? If the first shot
were the anal wound, then the victim would still be
alive by Axiom 3. This was delivered at close range
because of the amount of GSR found. Then, that means
that the next shot would have to be the back-of-thehead shot because the other possibility (the long range
shot) would require a ridiculous move on the part of
the suspect: running from a wounded man and then
shooting at a distance, and then going back to deliver
the back-of-the-head shot. Hence, the firing sequence
if the first shot was the anal wound would be:
Proof of proposition 3
The last shot was the anal shot which was no
longer necessary because the man was
already dead. This means that whoever was
the perpetrator had anger issues against the
dead human rights lawyer by Axiom 4. Hence,
this was crime of rage.
Main Theory
All the propositions lead to the following main
theory:
Theory: The killer is a person known to the
victim personally, has an outstanding issue
with the victim, has no need for money and
has sufficient training in marksmanship.
Given this theory, we can now proceed as follows: List down all the acquaintances of
the victim. From this list, enumerate those with known issues against the victim (this
would be smaller subset of the first set). From the preceding list, enumerate all those
who are going to gain most from the death of the victim (this would further delimit the
previous set). Finally, from this last list enumerate all those with trai ning on
marksmanship and shooting.
Acquaintance
PROPOSITIONS
TESTABLE HYPOTHESES
CHARACTERISTICS OF A THEORY
1. ABSTRACTNESS
Abstract concepts are independent of a specific
time and place. Because scientific statements
must predict future events, they cannot be
specific to past events. Research Scientists prefer
theories that are as general as possible to time
and
place.
Abstract concepts are independent of specific
circumstances or conditions. This independence
permits efficiency in understanding and
predicting future events.
2. RELEVANCE
Empirical relevance refers to meeting two
conditions of observation:
1. Theories must be falsifiable. The distinguishing
feature of science, in contrast with other
epistemologies, is that its statements can, in
principle, be rejected through observation.
2. Theories must be supported by observations.
When theories receive strong empirical support,
then we gain confidence in them, which allows us
to build safe bridges, send satellites into orbit,
design effective crime prevention programs, etc.
FROM ARROGANCE-COMPETENCE...
It can be rooted in the past: an out-of-shape,
fast-food addict with a glorious, football
youth. (Katz, 2007)
Axiom 1: People build their arrogance from
different foundations.
WORKSHOP 1
1. Choose a problem situation in your own field
of interest.
1.1 Cull out at least five (5) assumptions or
axioms that you can use to derive an
explanation (theory) to the problem situation
you have identified.
LECTURE 3: PROPOSITIONS
NON-SEQUITURS
Our everyday language is filled with nonsequiturs or that which does not follow.
Example:
If it rains then I will bring an umbrella.
Non-Sequitur:
It did not rain, therefore, I will not bring an
umbrella.
WORKSHOP 2
Go back to your topic and the list of axioms
you have enumerated:
Write down at least five (5) propositions that
you think logically flow from the assumptions
and which build an explanation of the
phenomenon in question.
EXAMPLE:
Here are the propositions we obtained from the human rights
lawyer problem:
Proposition 1. The first shot was a long-range shot and fatal.
Proposition 2. The correct firing sequence is:
long range shot back-of-the-head shot anal shot
Proposition 3. The correct firing sequence shows that the crime is a
crime of rage.It is , therefore, not a random killing.
Proposition 4. The crime did not involve hold up nor theft.
Proposition 5. The killer is a skilled marksman and have had training
on the use of guns.
Proposition 6. The killer and the victim know each other.
FIRST THEORY
From these six(6) propositions, we have a
FIRST THEORY:
Theory: The killer is a person known to the
victim personally, has an outstanding issue
with the victim, has no need for money and
has sufficient training in marksmanship
SECOND THEORY
Secondarily, we find that:
SECOND THEORY:
Knowing that the human rights lawyer dealt
with police brutality cases, the obvious
starting point satisfying all the criteria above
would be the police officers with issues
against the lawyer.
WORKSHOP 3:
From the list of axioms and propositions you
made for your topic, write down at least
two(2) theories to explain the phenomenon
under consideration.
WORKSHOP 5:
From the theory and the set of axioms you
made, write down testable hypotheses.
Design a study that would test all the
hypotheses you have endorsed.
ABSTRACT
(no more than 150 words)
Keywords:
1.0 Introduction
(no more than 8 paragraphs or no more than 700 words. Incorporate the study
objectives here)
2.0 Brief Literature Review
(review at least 5 studies here; no more than 800 words)
3.0 Research Design and Research Framework
(discuss the methodology that you followed here; brief discussion of the research
framework)
4.0 Results
(Present the set of assumptions and where they were derived, present the propositions,
and the theories)
5.0 Theory Validation
(state the hypotheses to be tested and the corresponding design to test them. Present
the results of the hypotheses testing).
6.0 References