Professional Documents
Culture Documents
PRAVEEN THAKUR
WRD, IIRS DEHRADUN
Dams,
Spillways,
Road and railway bridges,
Culverts,
Urban drainage systems,
Flood plain zoning,
Economic evaluation of flood protection projects etc.
Hydraulic head
(in meters)
Small
Between 12 and 30
Large
Greater than 30
Greater than 60
Small
100-Year Flood
Large
Definitions
Assumptions and data requirement
Plotting positions
Commonly used distributions in flood
frequency analysis
Parameter estimation techniques
Goodness of fit tests and
Estimation of T year flood and confidence
limits
DEFINITIONS
x xi / N
(1)
i 1
g)
S X ( ( xi x) 2 / N 1) 0.5
i 1
(2)
h)
i 1
( N 1)(N 2) S x
(3)
i) Coefficient of kurtosis (Ck) : The coefficient of kurtosis
is Ck measures the peakedness or flatness of the
frequency distribution near its centre and an unbiased
N ( x x)
estimate of it is given by
N
Ck
i 1
( N 1)(N 2)(N 3) S x
(4)
Pr (X x ) 1 - Pr ( X x)
Pr (X x ) 1/T
Data Requirement:
The data used for analysis should not have any effect of
man made changes.
Changes in the stage discharge relationship may render
stage records non-homogeneous and unsuitable for
frequency analysis.
It is therefore preferable to work with discharges and if
stage frequencies are required then most recent rating
curve is used.
PLOTTING POSITIONS
NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION
EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION
LOG PEARSON TYPE-II DISTRIBUTION
LOG PEARSON TYPE-III DISTRIBUTION
GUMBELS DISTRIBUTION
Year
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
Peak(m)
89.44
84.54
86.74
87.24
87.24
87.64
87.21
87.84
87.37
87.42
87.51
87.10
86.90
87.24
87.49
88.20
88.49
87.22
87.55
87.47
87.37
Total
S.D
Mean
Flood
level
dis. order
89.440
88.490
88.200
87.840
87.640
87.550
87.510
87.490
87.470
87.420
87.370
87.370
87.240
87.240
87.240
87.220
87.210
87.100
86.900
86.740
84.540
1835.220
0.877
87.391
Rank
(m)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
Return
Period (T)
22.000
11.000
7.333
5.500
4.400
3.667
3.143
2.750
2.444
2.200
2.000
1.833
1.692
1.571
1.467
1.375
1.294
1.222
1.158
1.100
1.048
P=m/(N+1)
T=1/P
89.0
88.5
88.0
87.75
87.5
87.0
650
86.5
200
300
400
500
600
DISCHARGE (cumecs)
700
800
SDV =
yT
yT - yn
---------Sn
yT
T
- [LN * LN ------- ]
T- 1
Return period
Yn
Sn
SDV =
Cs
N (z - )3
=
And xT
Antilog (zT)
THANKS