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PROBABILITY
Q3. A survey at a US
hospital showed the most
popular names for baby girls
are: Emily, Haley, Kayla and
Samantha. The most
popular middle names for
baby girls are Anne,
Elizabeth and Marie. How
many possible names can be
generated using the first
Theorem
of Total Probability
(Rule of Elimination)
If the events constitute a
partition of the sample space such
that P( for , then for any event A
of S,
=
Bayes'
Rule:
Binomial
Probability
In a binomial experiment (also
called Bernoulli trial), there are
two mutually exclusive outcomes,
often referred to as success and
failure.
The probability of an event, p,
occurring exactly r times in n
trials is
where q the probability of failure
and is equal
to 1 p
Negative
Binomial Probability
A negative binomial experiment is
one in which the properties are
the same as those for a binomial
experiment except that the trials
will be repeated until a fixed
number of successes occur.
The probability that the rth
success occurs on the nth trial is
Geometric
Probability
This is a special case of a negative binomial
experiment where r = 1.
The probability that the first success occurs
on the nth trial is
Q21. An oil company conducts a geological
study that indicates that an exploratory oil
well should have a 20% chance of striking
oil. What is the probability that the first
strike comes on the third well drilled?
A.0.128
C. 0.859
B. 0.792
D. 0.106
Probability
AHypergeometric
Multinomial
Probability:
Poisson
Distribution:
Experiments yielding numerical values
of a random variable X, the number of
occurrences during a given time interval
or in a specified region, are often called
Poisson experiments.
Mathematical Expectation
This is what you would expect
the outcome of an experiment
to be on the average.
Q25. In making 100 draws from
an ordinary deck of cards
(replacing the card drawn
before making the next draw),
what is the expected no. of
times that a heart is drawn?
0.25
0.5
0.15