Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Strategic
Decision
Making
MAGISTER PSIKOLOGI
UNIVERSITAS PADJADJARAN
Mandiri
POLRI
Profesional
Dipercay
a
EKSTERNA
L
Ideologi
Sosial
Politik
Ekonomi
Budaya
Kamdagri
IMPLEMENTASI STRATEGI
EVALUASI
&
KENDALI
Misi
INTERNAL
Tujuan
Strategi
Kebijaka
n
Program
SDM
Struktur
Proses
Leadership
Infrastruktur
Anggara
n
Prosedu
r
Kinerja
Umpan balik
Decision making
Decision making is a complex, cognitive
process often defined as choosing a
particular course of action. Websters
definitionto judge or settleis
another view of decision making.
OR
a systematic cognitive process in which
there must be an identification of
alternatives.
Decision taking
Judgments selected from two or more
alternatives, it is final step of decision making.
Problem solving:
- is part of decision making. A systematic process
that focuses on analyzing a difficult situation,
problem solving always includes a decisionmaking step
OR
- is a process whereby a dilemma is identified
and corrected.
Problem :
- A present unsatisfactory state that needs to be
changed to a desired state as soon as possible
OR
- Some deviation from the expected standard
which prevent the achievement of objectives.
Strategic Management
Principle
Effective strategy-making
begins with a vision of
where the organization
needs to head!
Types of decisions
A- Routine decisions:
is the decision made when problems are
relatively well defined and common and
when established rules, policies, and
procedures can be used to solve them.
B- Adaptive decisions:
is the decision made when problems and
alternative solutions are somewhat unusual
and only partially understood.
C- Innovative decisions:
is the decision made when problems are
unusual and unclear and creative solutions
DECISION
Decision....
DECISIONS
Kualitas seorang
PEMIMPIN
ditentukan oleh
seberapa baik dan
berkualitasnya
keputusankeputusan yang ia
hasilkan.
INFORMATION
Keputusan yang
baik akan sangat
bergantung
kepada kualitas
informasi yang
dimiliki oleh
pengambil
keputusan
DATA
Kualitas informasi
akan sangat
bergantung
kepada seberapa
baik data diolah,
sehingga menjadi
sebuah informasi.
Decision....
Merupakan hal yang sulit untuk memetakan
seluruh elemen permasalahan secara konseptual
Tanpa dibantu oleh suatu pendekatan dan teknik
pengambilan keputusan yang baik, hal-hal yang
penting sering menjadi terabaikan.dan tidak
jarang, hal-hal yang tidak penting justru
ditonjolkan
Oleh karenanya, tetap menjaga berbagai
elemen, kriteria serta alternatif berada pada
I
II
III
15
Strategy Formulation
Mission Statement
Operating Objectives
18
Effectiveness
of Analysis Tools
63.1
SWOT analysis
52.4
Competitor profiles
45.5
Financial analysis
31.4
Win/loss analysis
War gaming
Scenario development
21.9
19.2
Conjoint analysis
15.8
Simulating/modeling
15.4
10
20
30
40
50
60
Percent Rating Each Tool Extremelu or Very Effective
Source: Mc Kinsey, 2008
%
70
SWOT
Analys
is
((SWOT)
)
Analysis
An assessment of the organizations strengths,
weaknesses, opportunities, and threats
Strengthscompetitive advantages or core
competencies
Weaknesseslimitations on competitive capability
Opportunitiesfavorable conditions in the
environment
Threatsconditions or barriers to reaching
objectives
((SWOT))
Strength | Weakness |Opportunities |
Threats
Simplicit
y
Lower
Cost
Flexibilit
y
Integratio
n&
Synthesis
Collaborati
on
STRENGTH
WEAKNESS
SWOT
OPPORTUNITIES
THREAT
Overview
SWOT Template
SWOT ANALYSIS
INTERNAL
Strenghts
Weakness
EXTERNAL
Opportunitie
Threat
s
A SWOT MATRIX
INTERNAL FACTOR
EXTERNAL FACTOR
Strenghts
Opportuniti
es
Strenghts
D
Threat
Weakness
Opportuniti
es
Weakness
C
Threat
STRENGHTSWEAKNESS
M
A
T
C
H
CONVERT
OPPORTUNITIES
THREAT
Source: Reproduced from Nigel F. Piercy, Market-Led Strategic Change. Copyright 1992, p. 371, with
permission from Elsevier Science.
Situational Analysis
STRENGHTS
Internal
WEAKNESS
OPPORTUNITIES
Externa
l
THREAT
SWOT Analysis
S
1.
2.
3.
Internal
Environment
O
External
Environment
Strengths
Opportunities
1.
2.
3.
Weaknesses
1.
2.
3.
Threats
1.
2.
3.
Where are we
now?
Where do we want
to go?
How do we get
there?
((SWOT))
Vision , Mission
and Goal
strategie
The Scanning
Enviroment
al
Scanning
Internal
Scanning
Process
External Scanning
Competitor
Customer
Supplier
Technology
Political
Economic
Legal
Sociocultural
Analysis
Analysis
Strenghts
Weakness
Opportuniti
es
Threats
((SWOT)
)
analysis
Tactical plans
Plans that specify the details of how an
organizations overall objectives are to be achieved
Short-term plans
Plans that cover less than one year
Long-term plans
Plans that extend beyond five years
Strategic Planning
Strategic plans
Apply broadly to the entire organization
Establish the organizations overall objectives
Seek to position the organization in terms of
its environment
Provide direction to drive an organizations
efforts to achieve its goals.
Serve as the basis for the tactical plans.
Cover extended periods of time
Are less specific in their details
Tactical Planning
Tactical plans (operational plans)
Apply to specific parts of the
organization.
Are derived from strategic objectives
Specify the details of how the overall
objectives are to be achieved.
Cover shorter periods of time
Must be updated continuously to meet
current challenges
Directional plans
Flexible plans that set out general
guidelines
Go from here to there (outcome-focus)
Standing plan
A plan that is ongoing and provides
guidance for repeatedly performed
actions in an organization
Customer satisfaction policy
Competitive intelligence
Accurate information about competitors
that allows managers to anticipate
competitors actions rather than merely
react to them
SWOT: Identifying
Organizational Opportunities
Using SWOT
Analysis to
Formulate
Strategy
Evaluating
Organizational
Strengths
Evaluating
Organizational
Weakness
Evaluating an
Organizations
Opportunities
and Threats
Using SWOT
Analysis to
Formulate
Strategy
Organizational strengths
are skills and abilities enabling an
organization to conceive of and
implement strategies.
Evaluating
Organizational
Strengths
Distinctive competencies
are useful for competitive advantage
and superior performance.
Evaluating
Organizational
Weakness
Evaluating an
Organizations
Opportunities
and Threats
Using SWOT
Analysis to
Formulate
Strategy
Sustained competitive advantage
occurs when a distinctive competence
cannot be easily duplicated.
is what remains after all attempts at
strategic imitations have ceased.
Evaluating
Organizational
Strengths
Evaluating
Organizational
Weakness
Evaluating an
Organizations
Opportunities
and Threats
Using SWOT
Analysis to
Formulate
Strategy
Organizational weaknesses
Skills and capabilities that do not enable
an organization to choose and implement
strategies that support its mission.
Evaluating
Organizational
Strengths
Competitive disadvantage
A situation in which an organization fails
to implement
strategies being implemented by
competitors.
Evaluating
Organizational
Weakness
Evaluating an
Organizations
Opportunities
and Threats
Using SWOT
Analysis to
Formulate
Strategy
Organizational opportunities
Areas in the organizations
environment that may
generate high performance.
Organizational threats
Are areas in the organizations
environment that make it
difficult for the organization to
achieve high performance.
Evaluating
Organizational
Strengths
Evaluating
Organizational
Weakness
Evaluating an
Organizations
Opportunities
and Threats
A strength is something an
institution does well or a
characteristic that enhances its
competitiveness
Identifying
Resource
Strengths
and
Competitive
Capabilities
A weakness is something
an institution lacks, does
poorly, or a condition
placing it at a disadvantage
Resource weaknesses
relate to
Deficiencies in know-how or
expertise or competencies
Lack of important physical,
organizational, or intangible
assets
Missing capabilities in key
areas
Identifying
Resource
Weaknesses
and
Competitive
Deficiencies
Identifying an
Institution
Opportunities
Enviroment
al Scanning
Strategi
Formulati
on
Strategi
Implementi
on
Evalutatio
n and
Control
External
Analysis
Oppotuniti
es
Threats
Identify the
organization
s current
mission,
goals, and
strategies
Formulate
Strategies
Internal
Analysis
Strenghts
Weakness
Implement
Strategies
Evaluate
Results
WHAT MIGHT
WE DO?
(external opportunities
and threats)
STRATEGY
WHAT DO WE
WANT TO DO?
(organizational and
individual values)
WHAT DO OTHERS
EXPECT US TO DO?
(stakeholder
expectancies)
WHAT CAN
What new
WE DO?
capabilities
do we
(strengths and
wantweaknesses)
to develop?
WHAT MIGHT
How
do we
WE
DO?
create new
(external
opportunities
possibilities?
and
threats)
STRATEGY
What
doDO
we WE
WHAT
need
to TO DO?
WANT
learn to care
(organizational
and
about? values)
individual
WHAT
DO partner
OTHERS
How
do we
US TO DO?
toEXPECT
build shared
(stakeholder
expectancies?
expectancies)
Purpose of
SWOT Analysis
Help decision makers share and compare ideas
Bring a clearer common purpose and
understanding of factors for success
Organize the important factors linked to
organizations success and failure.
Analyze issues that have led to failure in the past
Provide linearity to the decision making process
allowing complex ideas to be presented
systematically.
Internal-External Analyses
Internal
Analysi
s
Externa
l
Analysi
s
Strengths: Operational
Definition
Something that we truly do
well,
Something that we excel at
versus the competition,
Something that we can build
on;
Something that truly
differentiates our organization,
A key metric that is improving,
etc.
Weakness: Operational
Definition
Opportunity: Operational
Definition
A favorable external
condition
Something (that we havent
acted on or taken advantage
yet) that could impact us
positively.
New things that can be done
to potentially improve the
organizationthat turn into
recommendations and
actions.
Threats: Operational
Definition
Something external to the
Strengths
Questions:
What
makes us
stand out
from
competitors
?
What
advantages
do we have
over other
organizatio
ns?
What are
the major
sources of
our
benefits?
Do we have
strong
image?
Do we have
a pool of
skilled
employees?
Is the
morale of
the
employees
high?
Have we
demonstrat
ed the
ability to
adapt and
change?
Are we able
to innovate?
Weakness
Questions:
What do
our society
complain
about?
What are
the least
effective for
the
organizatio
n?
In what
areas is the
organizatio
n not able
to recover
costs?
Which are
the weak
image?
Is the
regulations
effective?
Is the
organizatio
n not
focused?
Is the
organizatio
n able to
attract
talent?
What are
our biggest
expenditure
s?
Opportunity
Questions:
A favorable
external
condition
Threats
Questions:
Are our
competitors
becoming
stronger?
Are there
emerging
trends that
amplify our
weaknesses
?
What
obstacles
do we face?
Is changing
technology
threatening
our
position?
Do we see
other
external
threats to
the
organizatio
n's
success?
Internally,
do we have
financial,
developme
nt, or other
problems?
Environmental Scanning
Employing the TOWS Matrix
SO strategies
WO strategies
ST strategies
potential threats
WT strategies
avoid threats
TOWS Matrix
INTERNAL
FACTORS
(IFAS)
EXTERNAL
FACTORS
(EFAS)
Strengths (S)
Weaknesses (W)
Opportunities
(O)
Threats (T)
SO Strategies
WO Strategies
ST Strategies
WT Strategies
Source:Adapted from Long-Range Planning, April 1982, H. Weihrich, The TOWS MatrixA Tool for
Situational Analysis p. 60. Copyright 1982, with kind permission from H. Weihrich and Elsevier Science Ltd.
The Boulevard, Langford Lane, Kidlington OX5 1GB, UK.
TOWS Matrix
INTERNAL
FACTORS
(IFAS)
EXTERNAL
FACTORS
(EFAS)
(O)
List 5-10
External
Opportuniti
es
(T)
List 5-10
External
Threats
(S)
(W)
List 5-10
List 5-10
Internal strengthsInternal Weakness
SO Strategies
Use S to take
advantage of O
WO Strategies
Take advantage of O
by overcoming W
ST Strategies
Use S to avoid T
WT Strategies
Minimize W and avoid
T
TOWS Matrix
Strengths (S)
Weaknesses (W)
List 5 10 internal
strengths here
List 5 10 internal
weaknesses here
Opportunities (O)
SO Strategies
WO Strategies
List 5 10 external
opportunities here
Threats (T)
ST Strategies
WT Strategies
List 5 10 external
threats here
EXTERNAL
FACTORS
(EFAS)
INTERNAL
FACTORS
(IFAS)
Source:Adapted from Long-Range Planning, April 1982, H. Weihrich, The TOWS MatrixA Tool for
Situational Analysis p. 60. Copyright 1982, with kind permission from H. Weihrich and Elsevier Science Ltd.
The Boulevard, Langford Lane, Kidlington OX5 1GB, UK.
Environmental Scanning
Converting Analysis into Action
STRENGH
T
TURNIN
G
WEAKNE
SS
OPPORTU
NITIES
OPPORT
UNITIES
WEAKNE
SS
STRENGTHS
THREAT
TOWS
Matrix
From
Internal Analysis
(IFAS)
Opportunities:
1.
2.
3.
Strengths:
1.
2.
3.
SO Strategies
Use strengths to
take advantage
of opportunities
Threats:
1.
2.
3.
ST Strategies
Use strengths to
avoid threats
WO Strategies
WT Strategies
Weaknesses: Take advantage of
Defensive strategies
1.
opportunities by
to minimize
2.
overcoming
weaknesses and
3.
weaknesses
avoid threats
Source: Weihrich
TOWS Matrix
GRAND STRATEGY
O
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COMPETITIVE DEFENSIVE
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