CCS Technology

Roadmap: Potential
and Future Challenges
Sean McCoy
CCS: Perspectives for the Southern
African Region
Johannesburg, South Africa
31 May 2011

OECD/IEA 2011

Messages today
1. The CCS Roadmap presents an

ambitious goal for CCS deployment

2. More projects are needed if CCS

Roadmap targets are to be met

3. Critical challenges need to be addressed

globally if CCS is to play a significant

role in reducing emissions
OECD/IEA 2011

CCS is needed to meet emissions

reduction targets

Source:
IEA ETP, 2010
BLUE Map Scenario
OECD/IEA 2011

The IEA CCS Roadmap sets an ambitious growth path

Source:

IEA CCS Roadmap, 2009

OECD/IEA 2011

A global challenge for a global technology

CCS
CCS will
will be
be required
required in
in all
all regions
regions of
of the
the
world
world in
in power,
power, industry
industry and
and upstream
upstream
Source:

IEA CCS Roadmap,

2009
OECD/IEA 2011

CCS is not just clean coal

Coal
Coal power
power makes
makes
up
up around
around only
only 40%
40%
of
of stored
stored emissions
emissions
in
in 2050
2050

Source:

IEA CCS Roadmap,

2009
OECD/IEA 2011

An investment challenge
Need to mobilise

five trillion USD

investment in
underlying facilities,
CO2 capture plant,
transport and
storage between
2010 and 2050
This averages to 125
billion USD per year
capital investment in
CCS
Total investment in
CCS is 11% of the

Source:

IEA CCS Roadmap,

2009
OECD/IEA 2011

Messages today
1. The CCS Roadmap presents an

ambitious goal for CCS deployment

2. More projects are needed if CCS

Roadmap targets are to be met

3. Critical challenges need to be addressed

globally if CCS is to play a significant

role in reducing emissions
OECD/IEA 2011

Integrated CCS projects are operating today

Weybur
n
Sleipne
r

In Salah

Snohvit

Rangely

Three dedicated storage projects are

operating; two other projects capture CO2
from industrial sources for storage via
OECD/IEA 2011

More projects are needed in global pipeline

Year

2015

2020

2030

18

100

850

OECD

72%

50%

49%

Non-OECD

28%

50%

51%

Number of Projects

In 2010, the GCCSI estimated there are

approximately 80 large-scale integrated
projects (LSIP) in various stages of planning
About half are EOR projects
Of planned non-EOR projects, only one, the
Gorgon Project in Australia, is likely to be in
operation for 2020

OECD/IEA 2011

Projects are needed in non-OECD countries

2020 Roadmap goal is 100 projects50 in
OECD countries, 50 in non-OECD countries
Region

Operating
Projects

Projects in Advanced
Planning or Construction1

Projects in EarlyPlanning Stages2

OECD

6 (71%)

22 (71%)

27 (71%)

Non-OECD

2 (29%)

9 (29%)

11(29%)

31

38

Total

Defined as those projects in the Define or Execute stages (GCCSI, 2010)

Defined as those projects in the Evaluate or Identify stages (GCCSI, 2010)

1
2

OECD/IEA 2011

Messages today
1. The CCS Roadmap presents an

ambitious goal for CCS deployment

2. More projects are needed if CCS

Roadmap targets are to be met

3. Critical challenges need to be addressed

globally if CCS is to play a significant

role in reducing emissions
OECD/IEA 2011

The critical challenges to meeting Roadmap goals are not purely

technical

Technology
Financing
Legal and regulatory
Public education and engagement
International collaboration

OECD/IEA 2011

Financing Actions and Milestones

Demonstrate a global, sustained commitment to reducing

emissions
Increase funding for CCS to an annual average investment of
USD 3.5 4 billion between 2010 and 2020 in OECD countries
Increase funding for CCS to an annual average investment of
USD 1.5 2.5 billion between 2010 and 2020 in non-OECD
countries (e.g. through CCS in the CDM/NAMA)
Establish incentives to accelerate commercial CCS
deployment beyond the demonstration phase
Fund longer-term R&D
Additional investment of 2.5 3 trillion between 2010-2050
OECD/IEA 2011

Legal and Regulatory Actions and

Milestones
Existing legal and regulatory frameworks

should be reviewed and adapted for CCS

demonstration by 2011 in OECD countries
and by 2015 in all countries
International legal issues need to be
resolved by 2012
All countries should have a legal and
regulatory framework suitable for large-scale
CCS deployment by 2020
OECD/IEA 2011

Public Education and

Engagement
Actions
and
Milestones
Provide greater
(and
earlier) information on projects
Expand government CCS education and engagement
efforts; including early information about planned
projects
Formalize international CCS public education and
engagement network by 2010
Develop a public engagement and communication
toolkit by 2011
Apply the toolkit to all large-scale CCS projects
OECD/IEA 2011

International Collaboration
Actions and Milestones
Grow CCS collaborative efforts, particularly in RD&D

GCCSI, IEAGHG, CSLF, CO2CRC, USRCSP, NACAP

etc.
Create regional collaborative efforts to identify
regional CO2 storage and transport planning needs
Expand capacity building efforts in non-OECD
countries with fossil fuel economies such as China,
India, South Africa
Create new CCS collaborative efforts for the most
important industrial sectors by 2012
OECD/IEA 2011

The next five to ten years are critical to progress for CCS and
climate change mitigation

1. The CCS Roadmap presents an

ambitious goal for CCS deployment

2. More projects are needed if CCS

Roadmap targets are to be met

3. Critical challenges need to be addressed

globally if CCS is to play a significant

role in reducing emissions
OECD/IEA 2011

Thank-you!
Sean McCoy, Ph.D.
International Energy Agency
Energy Analyst, Legal & Regulatory Issues
Telephone: +33 (0)1 40 57 67 07
Email: sean.mccoy@iea.org
Web: www.iea.org/ccs/legal.asp

OECD/IEA 2011