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by Blank and
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CHAPTER 7
Rate of Return
Analysis: Single
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Chapter 7 Learning Objectives
DEFINITION follows
DEFINITION
1 784.53
2 547.51
Unpaid loan
3 286.79 balance is now
“0” at the end of
4 0 the life of the
loan
1 784.53
2 547.51
3 286.79
4 0
P=$-1,000
4 +315.47 -286.79(1.10)+315.47= 0
4 +315.47 0
•PW(-CF’s) = PW(+CF’s)
•PW(-CF’s) - PW(+CF’s) =0
•AW(-CF’s) = AW(+CF’s)
•AW(-CF’s) - AW(+CF’s) = 0
02/19/10 Authored by Don Smith, Texas A&M University 2004 23
7.2 ROR using Present Worth
0 1 2 3 4
5
-
•$1,000
Assume you invest $1,000 at t = 0: Receive
$500 @ t=3 and $1500 at t = 5. What is the
ROR of this project?
•Investment balances
at the i* rate
•The time t = 10
balance = 0 at i*
•As it should!
CHAPTER VII
Section 7.3
Cautions when using the
ROR Method
Section 7.3
Cautions when using the
ROR Method
•Important Cautions to
remember when using the ROR
method……
−100% < i ≤ +∞ *
0 $2,000 +
1 -$500 -
2 -$8,100 -
3 $6,800 +
Result: 2 sign changes in the Cash
Flow
•Alternatively:
•If the ACF in year “0” < 0
•And….
•One sign change in the ACF series then
•Have a unique i* value!
•Important Observations
•The IB’s for the terminal year (3) both
equal 0
•Means that the two i* values are valid
ROR’s for this problem
•Note: The IB amounts are not all the
same for the two i* values.
•IB amounts are a function of the
interest rate used to calculate the
investment balances.
02/19/10 Authored by Don Smith, Texas A&M University 2004 59
7.4 PV Plot of 7.4
250.000
200.000 i* = 7.47%
150.000 i*=41.35%
PV - $$
100.000
50.000
0.000
Interest
-50.0000.00 0.20 0.40 Rate 0.60
-100.000
-150.000
250.000
PV < 0
200.000 If the
150.000 MARR is
between
100.000
the two i*
50.000 values this
0.000 investmen
t would be
-50.0000.00 0.20 0.40 0.60
rejected!
-100.000
-150.000
+$8,000
0 1 2 3 4
5
-$10,000
Determine the ROR as….
•Analysis reveals:
Year Cash Flow
0 -$10,000
1 $0
2 $8,000 i* = 16.82%/year on
3 $0
4 $0
the unrecovered
5 $9,000 investment balances
Sum $7,000 over 5 years
ROR-Guess 0%
ROR 16.82%
• i* = 16.82% +$9,000
+$8,000
0 1 2 3 4
5
Question: Is it reasonable to
-$10,000 assume that the +8,000 can be
invested forward at 16.82%?
• Remember …….
•ROR assumes reinvestment at
the calculated i* rate
•What if it is not practical for the
+$8,000 to be reinvested forward
one year at 16.82%?
The Project
Firm
Returns
back
• Cash Flow is :
Year Cash Flow
0 $2,000
1 -$500
2 -$8,100
3 $6,800
• IB(7.468%) • IB(41.352%)
Inv Bal Inv Bal
i-rate 7.468% i-rate 41.352%
$0
-$1,000 0 1 2 3
-$2,000
-$3,000
-$4,000
-$5,000
-$6,000 Under-
Years recovered
$2,000
PB's - $
$0
0 1 2 3
-$2,000
-$4,000
-$6,000
-$8,000
Years Under-
recovered
• c = 20%
•Positive IB’s are reinvested at 20% -
•Not at the computed i* rate
•Now, what is the modified ROR – i’?
•Must perform a recursive analysis
•Let Ibj = Fj
• F3 =-5820(1+i’) + 6800
•Since N = 3, F3 = 0
• -5820(1+i’) + 6800 = 0
• i’ = [6800/5820] –1
• i’ = 16.84% given c = 20%
•If MARR = 20% and i’ = 16.84% this
investment would be rejected
•Reduced the problem to a single
conditional ROR value.
•Let IBj = Fj
•Now, under-recovered
02/19/10 Authored by Don Smith, Texas A&Mbalance
University 2004 87
7.5 Recursive IB’s are….
• -6327.39(1+i’) + 6800 = 0
•(1+i’) = 6800/6327.39
A = +$20/6 months
0 1 2 3 4
39 40 …. ….
….
$800
Setup is:
•0 = -$800 +20(P/A,i*,40 + $1000(P/F,i*,40)
•Solve for i*
•Manual or computer solution yields:
i*=2.87%/6 months
•Nominal ROR/year = (2.87%)(2) = 5.74%/yr,
C.S.A.
•Effective ROR/year = (1.0287)2 – 1 =
5.82%/yr
02/19/10 Authored by Don Smith, Texas A&M University 2004 93
Chapter 7 Summary
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