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RISHAB
QM in Business
QM helps managers to
Identify, Collect, Interpret, Analyze, and Manipulating Data
Why?
Because managers need answers.
Why managers need answers?
Because managers have to take decisions.
Why managers need to take decisions?
Syllabus
Scales of Measurement: Nominal, Ordinal, Interval, and Ratio
Scale
Probability: Fundamentals, Addition Theorem, Multiplication
Theorem, Bayes Theorem, Random Variable
Probability Distributions: Binomial, Poisson and Normal
Distribution
Sampling and Sampling Distributions: Population, Sample, Types
of Sampling, Sampling Distributions, Standard Errors, Sampling from
Normal and Non-normal Population, Central Limit Theorem, Finite
Population Parameters
Syllabus
Estimation:
Point and Interval Estimation, Confidence Intervals, Interval
estimates of Mean and Proportion from Large Samples, Interval
Estimation using t-distribution, Sample size for estimating means
and proportions
Hypothesis: Null, Alternate Hypothesis, Steps of Formulating
Hypotheses
Testing of Hypotheses: Basic Concepts, Type I and Type II
Errors, One Tailed and Two Tailed Tests, One Sample Tests,
Hypothesis Testing of Means when Population Standard
Derivation is Known and when Unknown, Hypothesis Testing of
Proportions for Large Samples. Two Sample Tests for Equality of
Coverage
Chi-Square: Chi Square Test of Independence. and Goodness of
fit.
Analysis of Variance (One Way ANOVA): Test for Equality of
Means. Inference about a population variance and about two
population variances.
Bivariate analysis: Bivariate correlation and regression,
Coefficient of determination, assumptions in the regression
model, tests of significance for the correlation and regression
coefficients.
Syllabus
Time Series Analysis: Components of Time Series, Trend AnalysisMoving Average, Fitting linear and second degree trends, Seasonal
Variation (Computing using Ratio to Trend Method), Cyclical Variation.
Irregular Variation, Problems Involving All Four Components of Time
Series.
Decision Trees: Decision Tree Analysis-Expected value under risk,
under perfect information, and under sample information.
Linear Programming, Transportation and Assignment
problems: Formulating Linear Programming Problems, Graphical
approach, Formulation of Transportation and Assignment problems,
Solutions using Excel solver and other software.
Case Studies
ICICI Banks Get up to 100% Cash Back offer Real Foods
Solnyx Pharmaceuticals: The Atoxeril Clinical Trial
Care Hygiene
Roja Silks
Hindustan Foods
Ram Publishers
Best Fibre
Text Books
1. Louise Swift and Sally Piff (2010), Quantitative Methods for
business, management and finance, 3rd Edition, Palgrave Macmillan.
2. Anderson, Sweeney and Williams (2011), Statistics for Business
and Economics, 9th Edition, Cengage Learning
3. Levine, Stephan, Krehbiel and Berenson (2010), Statistics for
Managers, 5th Edition, PHI
Scales of Measurement
Nominal Scale
Ordinal Scale
Interval Scale
Ratio Scale
Nominal Scale
Tag
Ordinal Scale
Rank
Interval Scale
Difference
Ratio Scale
Proportion
True Zero
Scales of Measurement
Introduction to Probability
Experiments, Counting Rules, and Assigning Probability
Events and their probabilities
Basic Relationships of Probability
Conditional Probability
Bayes Theorem
0
The event
is very
unlikely
to occur.
.
5
Assigning Probability
Classical Method
Relative Frequency Method
Subjective Method
Classical Method
If an experiment has n possible outcomes, this method
would assign a probability of 1/n to each outcome.
Example
Experiment: Rolling a die
Sample Space: S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}
Probabilities: Each sample point has a
1/6 chance of occurring
Number of
Number
Polishers Rented of Days Probability
.10
4
0
.15
6
1
4/40
.45
18
2
.25
10
3
.05
2
4
1.00
40
Subjective Method
When economic conditions and a companys
circumstances change rapidly it might be
inappropriate to assign probabilities based solely on
historical data.
We can use any data available as well as our
experience and intuition, but ultimately a probability
value should express our degree of belief that the
experimental outcome will occur.
The best probability estimates often are obtained by
combining the estimates from the classical or relative
frequency approach with the subjective estimate.
Complement
Complement of
of an
an Event
Event
Union
Union of
of Two
Two Events
Events
Intersection
Intersection of
of Two
Two Events
Events
Mutually
Mutually Exclusive
Exclusive Events
Events
Compliment of an Event
The
The complement
complement of
of event
event AA is
is defined
defined to
to be
be the
the event
event
consisting
consisting of
of all
all sample
sample points
points that
that are
are not
not in
in A.
A.
cc
The
complement
of
A
is
denoted
by
A
The complement of A is denoted by A ..
Event A
Venn
Diagram
Ac
Sample
Space S
Event A
Event B
Sample
Space S
Event A
Event B
Intersection of A and B
Sample
Space S
Addition Law
The
The addition
addition law
law provides
provides aa way
way to
to compute
compute the
the
probability
probability of
of event
event A,
A, or
or B,
B, or
or both
both AA and
and BB occurring.
occurring.
The
The law
law is
is written
written as:
as:
P(A B) = P(A) + P(B) P(A B
Event A
Event B
Sample
Space S