Overview

Motivation
Basic Knowledge
Approach
Bayesian Belief Network

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Bhaskart Roy 14CS60R25

Motivation

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Bhaskart Roy 14CS60R25

Motivation
Now Software is everywhere to make
peoples life more easier , faster and
secure.
High reliability is now fundamental
requirement of any software. Specially for
security system where any fault means to
destruction of the system.

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Bhaskart Roy 14CS60R25

Motivation
The quality of a software is directly
proportional to the reliability of the
software.
So if we can predict early enough the
reliability of the software then it will be
more cost effective to fix the bugs.

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Bhaskart Roy 14CS60R25

Basic
Knowledge

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Bhaskart Roy 14CS60R25

What is Software Reliability

The probability of failure-free software
operation for a specified period of time in a
specified environment .
Reliability of a software is inversely
proportional to the complexity of the
software.
Reliability is closely related to defects
which are committed in the development
phases are present in the software after
test phase is completed.

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Bhaskart Roy 14CS60R25

Residual Defects
Residual defects are the defects that are
remain in the software after testing phase is
completed.
Residual defect is a direct factor to the
software reliability.

13/09/15

Bhaskart Roy 14CS60R25

Approach

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Bhaskart Roy 14CS60R25

Approach
2

1
Seed bugs in software

Take residual defects as

variable and construct
Bayesian Belief Network

Run test cases using

testing coverage metrics
and record number of
defects found

Find Residual defects from

step 1 and 2

Predict reliability from

Bayesian belief network

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Bhaskart Roy 14CS60R25

Bayesian Belief
Network (BBN)

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Bhaskart Roy 14CS60R25

10

Definition
Bayesian Belief
Network:
BBN is a composition
of Directed Acyclic
Graph(DAG) and
Conditional
Probability
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node conditional
probability is
calculated and store
it in a table called
Conditional
Probability

Table(CPT).
P() is CPD of
where is set of
parents of .

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11

Bayesian Approach To Probability

Bayesian Probability : A persons degree
of belief in event X. Personal probability.
Unlike classical probability, Bayesian
probabilities benefit from but do not require
repeated trials - only focus on next event.

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Bhaskart Roy 14CS60R25

12

Belief Computation
Two types. Both are NP-Hard problem.
Belief Revision

Model explanatory/diagnostic tasks

Given evidence, what is the most likely
hypothesis to explain the evidence?
Belief Updating
Queries
Given evidence, what is the probability of
some other random variable occurring?

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Bhaskart Roy 14CS60R25

13

Belief Updating
The probability computation of a desirable node or query variable
given a model is known or evidence as probabilistic inference
Find P(Q=q|E= e)
Q the query variable
E set of evidence variables
X1,, Xn are network variables exceptP(q,
Q, E

P(q | e) =

P(q, e)
=

e)
P(e)

P(q, e, x1,, xn)

x1,, xn

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Bhaskart Roy 14CS60R25

14

Design
Right from the start, youll have access to
beautiful, widescreen themes that you can
easily change to match your style. Every
theme comes with a variety of color variants
that you can mix and match.
New features like Merge Shapes and a colormatching Eyedropper open up new
possibilities for your designs.
Line up your layouts, photos, and diagrams
perfectly in seconds with alignment guides
and smart guides.

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15

Impress
The improved Presenter View has new tools to keep you
in control. The new Auto-Extend instantly applies the
right settings for you, so you can focus on speaking
instead of your display.
Slide zoom Help focus your audience on your ideas. Just
click to zoom in and out on a specific diagram, chart or
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Slide Navigator A feature that enables the user to
visually browse for and navigate to other slides without
leaving Slide Show view. Your audience only sees the slide
youre presenting.

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Bhaskart Roy 14CS60R25

16

Work Together
Edit with others from different PCs at
the same time and have conversations
with improved commenting.
Sharing online is simple. Even if your
audience doesnt have PowerPoint,
simply project to their browser with
Present Online.
Work together with others at the same
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desktop or PowerPoint Online.

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17

Intuitively design beautiful

PowerPoint
2013

presentations, easily share and work

together with others and give a
professional performance with
advanced presenting tools.

Find out more at the PowerPoint Getting Started Center

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Bhaskart Roy 14CS60R25

(Click the arrow when in Slide Show 18

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