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Fundamentals of Corporate

Finance
by
Robert Parrino, Ph.D. & David S. Kidwell, Ph.D.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

CHAPTER 11
Cash Flows and Capital
Budgeting

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Quick Links
Calculating Project Cash Flows
Estimating Cash Flows in Practice
Important Concepts for Cash-Flow Calculations
Forecasting Cash Flows
Special Cases

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Calculating Project Cash


Flows
The Importance of Capital Budgeting
In capital budgeting, we estimate the NPV of the

cash flows that a project is expected to produce in


the future.
All of the cash-flow estimates are forward looking.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Calculating Project Cash


Flows
Incremental Free Cash Flows
The cash flows we discount in an NPV analysis

are the incremental after-tax free cash flows


which refers to the fact that these cash flows
reflect the amount by which the firms total aftertax free cash flows will change if the project is
adopted. See the equation below.
FCFproject = FCFwith

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

project

FCF without project (11.1)

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Calculating Project Cash


Flows
Incremental Free Cash Flows
The term free cash flows refers to the fact that the

firm is free to distribute these cash flows to


creditors and stockholders because these are the
cash flows that are left over after a firm has made
necessary investments in working capital and
long term assets.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Calculating Project Cash


Flows
The FCF Calculation
FCF = [(Revenue Op Exp D&A) x (1 t)]

+ D&A Cap Exp Add WC

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

(11.2)

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Calculating Project Cash


Flows
The FCF Example
The truck you are considering to purchase for your
business will increase revenues $50,000 and
operating expenses $30,000 in the next year.
Depreciation and amortization charges for the truck
will equal $10,000 next year, and your firms
marginal tax rate will be 35 percent. Capital
expenditures will be $3,000 and no working capital
will be needed. Calculate the free cash flow.
FCF=[($50,000 - $30,000 - $10,000)(1-0.35)]
+ $10,000 - $3,000 - $0 = $13,500
Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 11.1: The Free CashFlow Calculation

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Calculating Project Cash


Flows
The FCF Calculation
We first compute the incremental cash flow from

operations (CF Opns), which is the cash flow that


the project is expected to generate after all
operating expenses and taxes have been paid.
We then subtract the incremental capital

expenditures (Cap Exp) and incremental


additions to working capital (Add WC) required for
the project to obtain FCF.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 11.2: FCF Calculation


Worksheet

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Exhibit 11.3: Completed FCF


Calculation Worksheet

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Calculating Project Cash


Flows
The FCF Calculation
The FCF is therefore a measure of the after-tax

cash flows from operations over and above what


is necessary to make any required investments.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Calculating Project Cash


Flows
The FCF Calculation
The idea that we can evaluate the cash flows

from a project independently of the cash flows for


the firm is known as the stand-alone principle. It
is another way of saying that we can treat the
project as if it is a stand-alone firm that has its
own revenue, expenses, and investment
requirements.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Calculating Project Cash


Flows
The Cash Flows from Operations
Note that the incremental cash flow from

operations, CF Opns, equals the incremental net


operating profits after tax (NOPAT) plus the
incremental depreciation and amortization (D&A)
associated with the project.

We exclude interest expenses when calculating

NOPAT because the cost of financing a project is


reflected in the discount rate that is used in the
NPV calculation.
Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Calculating Project Cash


Flows
The Cash Flows from Operations
We use the firms marginal tax rate (t) to calculate

NOPAT because the profits from a project are


assumed to be incremental to the firm.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Calculating Project Cash


Flows
The Cash Flows from Operations
We add incremental depreciation and

amortization (D&A) to NOPAT when calculating


CF Opns because, as in the accounting statement
of cash flows, D&A represents a non-cash charge
that reduces the firms tax obligation.
However, since D&A is a non-cash charge, we
have to add it back to NOPAT in order to get the
cash flow from operations right.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Calculating Project Cash


Flows
Cash Flows Associated with Investments
Once we have estimated CF Opns, we simply

subtract cash flows associated with required


investment to obtain FCF for a project in a
particular period.
Investments can be required to purchase long-

term tangible assets, intangible assets, or to fund


current assets.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Calculating Project Cash


Flows
FCF versus Accounting Earnings
The impact of a project on a firms overall value or

on its stock price does not depend on how the


project affects the companys accounting
earnings. It depends only on how the project
affects the companys free cash flows.

Accounting earnings can differ from cash flows for

a number of reasons, making accounting


earnings an unreliable measure of the costs and
benefits of a project.
Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Using Excel Performing Arts


Center Project

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Using Excel Performing Arts


Center Project (Formula Setup)

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Calculating Project Cash


Flows
FCF versus Accounting Earnings
Accounting earnings also reflect non-cash

charges, such as depreciation and amortization,


which are intended to account for the costs
associated with deterioration of the assets in a
business as those assets are used.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Estimating Cash Flows in


Practice
Five General Rules for Incremental Cash-Flow
Calculations
Rule 1: Include cash flows and only cash flows in

your calculations. Do not include allocated costs


or overhead unless they reflect cash flows.
Rule 2: Include the impact of the project on cash

flows from other product lines. If the product


associated with a project is expected to cannibalize
or boost sales of another product, you must include
the expected impact of the new project on the cash
flows from the other product in the analysis.
Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Estimating Cash Flows in


Practice
Five General Rules for Incremental Cash-Flow
Calculations
Rule 3: Include all opportunity costs. By

opportunity costs, we mean the cost of giving up


another opportunity.

Rule 4: Forget sunk costs. Sunk costs are costs

that have already been incurred but all that matters


when you evaluate a project at a particular point in
time is future investment and what you expect to
receive in return for that investment; this means
that past investments are irrelevant.
Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Estimating Cash Flows in


Practice
Five General Rules for Incremental Cash-Flow
Calculations
Rule 5: Include only after-tax cash flows in the

cash-flow calculations. The incremental pre-tax


earnings of a project only matter to the extent that
they affect the after-tax cash flows that the firms
investors receive.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 11.4: Adjusted FCF


Calculations and NPV

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Estimating Cash Flows in


Practice
Nominal versus Real Cash Flows
Nominal dollars are the dollars that we typically

think of. They represent the actual dollar amounts


that we expect a project to generate in the future,
without any adjustments.

When prices are going up, a given nominal dollar

amount will buy less and less over time.


Real dollars represent dollars stated in terms of

constant purchasing power.


Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Estimating Cash Flows in


Practice
Nominal versus Real Cash Flows
As stated in the equation below, we can write the cost

of capital, k as:
1 + k = (1 + Pe)(1 + r)
(11.3)
Where:
k is the nominal cost of capital
Pe is the expected rate of inflation
r is the real cost of capital
It is important to make sure that all cash flows are

stated in either nominal dollars or real dollars.


Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Estimating Cash Flows in


Practice
Nominal versus Real Cash Flows Example
A project will require an initial investment of
$50,000 in year 0 and will produce FCFs of
$20,000 a year in years 1 through 4. With a 15
percent nominal cost of capital, the NPV of the
project is:
$20,000
$20,000
$20,000
$20,000
NPV= -$50,000 +
+
+
+
1.15
(1.15)2
(1.15)3
(1.15)4
= -$50,000 + $17,391 + $15,123 + $13,150 + $11,435
= $7,099
Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Estimating Cash Flows in


Practice
Nominal versus Real Cash Flows Example - Continued
Using Equation 11.3 when the expected rate of
inflation is 5 percent we can calculate the real cost
of capital as:
1 k
1.15
r
1
1 0.09524,or 9.524%
1 Pe
1.05

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Estimating Cash Flows in


Practice
Nominal versus Real Cash Flows Example - Continued
The real cash flows for the project are as follows:
Year 0
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
$20,000
$20,000 $20,000
$20,000
-50,000
1+0.05
(1+0.05)2 (1+0.05)3
(1+0.05)4
-50,000 =$19,047.6 =$18,140.6 =17,276.8 =$16,454.0

$19,047.6 $18,140.6 $17,276.8 $16,454


NPV =-$50,000+
+
+
+
2
3
1.09524 1.09524
1.09524
1.09524 4
=-$50,000+$17,391+15,123+13,150+$11,435 = $7,099
Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Estimating Cash Flows in


Practice
Taxes and Depreciation
A progressive tax system, which we have in the

United States, is one in which the marginal tax


rate at low levels of income is lower than the
marginal tax rate at high levels of income.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 11.5: U.S. Tax Rate


Schedule

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 11.6: U.S. Corporate


Tax Rate Schedule

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Estimating Cash Flows in


Practice
Taxes and Depreciation
One especially important difference from a capital

budgeting perspective is that the depreciation


methods allowed by GAAP differ from those
allowed by the IRS.
The straight-line depreciation method illustrated

earlier in this chapter in the performing arts center


example is allowed by GAAP and is often used
for financial reporting.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Estimating Cash Flows in


Practice
Taxes and Depreciation
An accelerated method of depreciation, called

the Modified Accelerated Cost Recovery System


(MACRS), has been in use for U.S. federal tax
calculations since the Tax Reform Act of 1986
went into effect.

MACRS thus enables a firm to deduct

depreciation charges sooner, thereby realizing the


tax savings sooner and increasing the present
value of the tax savings.
Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 11.7: MACRS


Depreciation Schedules

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 11.8: MACRS


Depreciation Calculations

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Estimating Cash Flows in


Practice
Computing Terminal-Year FCF
The FCF in the last, or terminal, year of a project

often includes cash flows that are not typically


included in the calculations for other years.
For instance, in the final year of a project, the

assets acquired during the life of the project may


be sold and the working capital that has been
invested may be recovered.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Estimating Cash Flows in


Practice
Computing Terminal-Year FCF
The equation below shows that we can calculate
the additions to working capital (Add WC) as:
Add WC = Change in Cash and cash equivalents +

Change in Accounts receivable + Change in


Inventories Change in Accounts payable (11.4)
When an asset is expected to have a salvage
value, we must include the salvage value realized
from the sale (net of any tax consequences) of
the asset and the impact of the sale on the firms
taxes in the terminal-year FCF calculations.
Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 11.9: FCF


Calculations and NPV

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 11.10: FCF


Calculations and NPV

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Estimating Cash Flows in


Practice
Expected Cash Flows
It is important to realize that in an NPV analysis

we use the expected FCF for each year of the life


of the project.
Each FCF is a weighted average of the cash

flows from each possible future outcome, where


the cash flow from each outcome is weighted by
the estimated probability that the outcome will be
realized.
Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 11.11: Expected


FCFs for New Board Game

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Forecasting Free Cash Flows


Cash Flows from Operations
To forecast the incremental cash flows from

operations, we must forecast the incremental net


revenue, operating expenses, and depreciation
and amortization.
When forecasting operating expenses, analysts

often distinguish between variable costs, which


vary directly with unit sales, and fixed costs,
which do not.
Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Forecasting Free Cash Flows


Investment Cash Flows
Capital expenditures forecasts reflect the

expected level of investment during each year of


the projects life, including any inflows from
salvage values and any tax costs or benefits
associated with asset sales.
Four working capital items are included in the

cash flow forecasts of an NPV analysis: cash and


cash equivalents, accounts receivable,
inventories, and accounts payable.
Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Special Cases
Projects with Different Lives
An efficient method of solving capital budgeting

problems involving two mutually exclusive


projects with different lives is to compute the
equivalent annual cost (EAC).
(1+k)t

EACi = kNPVi

(1+k)t -1

(11.5)

where k is the opportunity cost of capital, NPVi is


normal NPV of the investment i, and t is the life of
the investment.
Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Special Cases
Projects with Different Lives
Find the EAC of two options: mower A, which costs
$250 and is expected to last two years, and mower
B, which costs $360 and is expected to last three
years. The cost of capital is 10 percent.

EAC A (0.1)( $250)

(1 0.1)2

EACB (0.1)( $360)

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

$144.05
(1 0.1) 1
(1 0.1)3
$144.76
3
(1 0.1) 1
2

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Special Cases
When to Harvest an Asset
The optimal time to harvest is the point in time at

which the rate of increase in nominal NPV is no


longer greater than the cost of capital.
At this point in time, it becomes optimal to

harvest the trees and invest the proceeds in


alternative investments that yield the opportunity
cost of capital.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Special Cases
When to Replace an Existing Asset
Two fundamental questions: Do the benefits of

replacing the existing asset exceed the costs,


and if they do not now, when will they?
Solving this problem is simply a matter of

computing the EAC for the new asset and


comparing it with the annual cash inflows from
the old asset.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Special Cases
The Cost of Using an Existing Asset
The third rule of calculating incremental after-tax

cash flows is to include all opportunity costs that


are not always directly observable.
Sometimes they have to be computed by first

figuring the EAC for a given set of cash flows


and then adjusting the EAC by the appropriate
discount rate and time, if the EAC is not in
present-value form.

Chapter 11 Cash Flows and Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

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