Professional Documents
Culture Documents
PRESENT WORTH
ANALYSIS
Economic Criteria
Projects are judged against an economic criterion.
Situation
Criterion
Fixed input
Maximize output
Fixed output
Minimize input
Neither fixed
Maximize difference
(output-input)
3
Criterion
Fixed input
Amount of
Maximize
capital available present worth of
fixed
benefits
Fixed output
$ amount of
benefit is fixed
Minimize
present worth of
costs
Neither fixed
Neither capital
nor $ benefits
are fixed
Maximize net
present worth
(NPV)
4
Situation Example
Criterion
Fixed
input
Fixed
output
20,000 ft2
building
available
Neither
fixed
Equivalence
Equivalence Example
What uniform series over periods [1,8] is equivalent
at 15% to the following cash flow profile?
End of Period
Cash Flow
$100
$200
$100
$300
Equivalence Example
What uniform series over periods [1,8] is equivalent
at 15% to the following cash flow profile?
End of Period
Cash Flow
$100
$200
$100
$300
Solution:
Answer: $94.86
8
Example 3.25
For what interest rate are the two cash flow diagrams
equivalent?
10
11
Example 4.1
Three production machines are being considered.
The pertinent data are as follows:
14
Present Worth
Future Worth
Annual Worth
Capitalized Worth
Discounted Payback Period
Payback Period
Incremental Methods
16
Applying
Present Worth Techniques
Analysis period must be considered
Useful life of the alternative equals the analysis
period
Alternatives have useful lives different from the
analysis period
The analysis period is infinite, n =
17
18
PW (i %) At (1 i )
i 0
(bring all cash flows back to time zero and add them
up!)
19
Example 5.2
A $500,000 investment in a surface mount placement
machine is being considered. Over a 10-year planning
horizon, it is estimated the SMP machine will produce
net annual savings of $92,500. At the end of 10 years,
it is estimated the SMP machine will have a $50,000
salvage value. Based on a 10% MARR and a present
worth analysis, should the investment be made?
PW = -$500K + $92.5K(P|A 10%,10) + $50K(P|F 10%,10)
= $87,650.50
=PV(10%,10,-92500,-50000)-500000
= $87,649.62
20
Maximize PW j (i %) A jt (1 i )
j
i 0
21
Example 5.3
Two design alternatives (A & B) are being considered for a new
ride (The Scream Machine) at a theme park in Florida.
Alternative A requires a $300,000 investment and will produce
net annual revenue of $55,000/yr. Alternative B requires a
$450,000 investment and will produce net annual revenue of
$80,000/yr. At the end of the 10-yr planning horizon, both
designs will have negligible salvage values. Based on a 10%
MARR, which should be chosen? (The do nothing alternative
is feasible and assumed to have a PW of $0.)
PWA(10%) = -$300,000 + $55,000(P|A 10%,10) = $37,951.35
=PV(10%,10,-55000)-300000 = $37,951.19 > $0
(A is better than doing nothing)
PWB(10%) = -$450,000 + $80,000(P|A 10%,10) = $41,565.60
=PV(10%,10,-80000)-450000 = $41,565.37 > PWA
(B is better than A)
22
Example 5.3
Two design alternatives (A & B) are being considered for a new
ride (The Scream Machine) at a theme park in Florida.
Alternative A requires a $300,000 investment and will produce
net annual revenue of $55,000/yr. Alternative B requires a
$450,000 investment and will produce net annual revenue of
$80,000/yr. At the end of the 10-yr planning horizon, both
designs will have negligible salvage values. Based on a 10%
MARR, which should be chosen? (The do nothing alternative
is feasible and assumed to have a PW of $0.)
PWA(10%)
= -$300,000
+ $55,000(P|A
10%,10) = $37,951.35
How
does
PW change
with changing
MARR? =PV(10%,10,-55000)-300000 = $37,951.19 > $0
(A is better than doing nothing)
PWB(10%) = -$450,000 + $80,000(P|A 10%,10) = $41,565.60
=PV(10%,10,-80000)-450000 = $41,565.37 > PWA
(B is better than A)
23
24
25
Example 5.5
Two investment alternatives (1 & 2) are available, with
the CFDs shown below. They are one shot
investments. Using a 15% MARR, which should be
chosen?
PW1(15%) = -$4,000 + $3,500(P|A 15%,4) + $1,000(P|F 15%,4)
PW1(15%) = $6,564.18
PW2(15%) = -$5,000 + $1,000(P|A 15%,6) + $1,000(P|G 15%,6)
PW2(15%) = $6,721.26
26
Example 5.5
Two investment alternatives (1 & 2) are available, with
the CFDs shown below. They are one shot
investments. Using a 15% MARR, which should be
chosen?
PW1(15%) = -$4,000 + $3,500(P|A 15%,4) + $1,000(P|F 15%,4)
PW1(15%) = $6,564.18
PW2(15%) = -$5,000 + $1,000(P|A 15%,6) + $1,000(P|G 15%,6)
PW2(15%) = $6,721.26
27
Multiple Alternatives
Find Present worth for all alternatives and the one with
greatest PW will be the best alternative.
28
Example 5.10
Three investments are available, but only one can be pursued:
invest $10,000 and obtain $5,000/yr for 2 yrs, plus $1,000
after 5 yrs; invest $10,000 and receive $5,000, $4,000,
$3,000, $2,000, and $1,000 over the next 5 yrs; invest
$10,000 and receive $2,500/yr for 5 yrs, plus $10,000 after 5
yrs? using PW and a MARR of 10%?
PW ranking: 3,
2, 1
29
30
n=
A = Pi
Then:
Capitalized cost
P = A/i
This requires first computing the future cost into an
equivalent A.
31
CW (i ) AW (i ) / i
32
Example 5.11
Every 10 years the dome of the state capital building has to
be cleaned, sand blasted, and re-touched. It costs $750,000
to complete the work. Using a 5% MARR, what is the
capitalized cost for the refurbishment of the capital dome?
CC = $750,000 + $750,000(P|F 5%,10) + $750,000(P|F 5%,20) +
or
CC = $750,000(A|P 5%,10)/0.05 = $750,000(0.1295)/0.05 = $1,942,500
CC =PMT(5%,10,-750000)/0.05 = $1,942,569
or
CC = $750,000 + $750,000(A|F 5%,10)/0.05
CC = $750,000 + $750,000(0.0795)/0.05 = $1,942,500
CC =750000+PMT(5%,10,,-750000)/0.05 = $1,942,569
Recall, (A|P i%,n) = (A|F i%,n) + i
33
Example 5.12
A new highway is to be constructed. Asphalt paving will be
used. The asphalt will cost $150/ft, including the material and
paving operation. Due to heavy usage, the asphalt is
expected to last 5 yrs before requiring resurfacing. The cost
of resurfacing will be the same/ft. Paved ditches must be
installed on each side of the highway and will cost $7.75/ft to
install; ditches will have to be re-paved in 15 yrs at a cost
equal to the initial cost. Four pipe culverts are required/mile;
each costs $8,000 and will last 10 yrs; replacements will cost
$10,000, each, forever. Annual maintenance of the highway
will cost $9,000/mi. Cleaning each culvert will cost $1,250/yr.
Cleaning and maintaining each ditch will cost $3.75/ft every
year. Using a 5% MARR, what is the capitalized cost (CC)
per mile for the highway?
34
Example 5.13
How much will it cost to endow a $12,500
scholarship if the endowment earns 4.5%
interest?
CW = $12,500/0.045 = $277,777.78
36
Example
A new sewage treatment plant is being built. The
initial installation will cost $25 million. Experience
shows that major repair and renovation will have to
occur every 5 years at a cost of $7.5 million. Annual
operating and maintenance cost the first year will be
approximately $2.5 million; thereafter, O&M cost
increases at a rate of 5% per year. Based on a 5%
time value of money, what will be the capitalized cost
for the sewage treatment plant?
37
Solution to Example
CC = $25M + [$2.5M(F|A1 5%,5%,5) +
$7.5M](A|F 5%,5)/0.05
CC = $25M + [$2.5M(6.07753) +
$7.5M(0.18097)/0.05
CC = $107.138M
In solving these types of problems, look for the
repeating cycle [1,5]; convert all costs to a uniform
annual series; divide the annual cost by the TVOM;
add the result to the initial investment.
38
39
Example 5.15
In a developing country, two alternatives are being
considered for delivering water from a mountainous
area to an arid area. A pipeline can be installed at a
cost of $125 million; major replacements every 15
years will cost $10 million. Annual O&M costs are
estimated to be $5 million. Alternately, a canal can be
constructed at a cost of $200 million; annual O&M
costs are estimated to be $1 million; upgrades of the
canal will be required every 10 years at a cost of $5
million. Using a 5% MARR and a capitalized cost
analysis, which alternative should be chosen?
40
41
Quiz
Based on a 5% TVOM what is the capitalized
cost for an annual expenditure of $10,000?
Answer: $200,000
$10,000/0.05 = $200,000
42
Example
A firm is considering which of two mechanical devices
to install to reduce costs in a particular situation. Both
devices cost $1,000 and have useful lives of five
years and no salvage value. Device A can be
expected to result in $300 savings annually. Device B
will provide cost savings of $400 the first year but will
decline $50 annually. Device B will provide cost
saving of $400 the first year but will decline $50
annually, making the second year savings $350, the
third year savings $300, and so forth. With interest at
7%, which device should the firm purchase?
43
solution
PW(A)=-1000+300(P/A,7%,5)=1000+300(4.1)=230
PW(B)= -1000+400(P/A,7%,5) - 50
(P/G,7%,5)
= -1000 + 400 * 4.1- 50* 7.647 = 257.65
44
Example
Wayne County will build an aqueduct to bring water in
from the upper part of the state. It can be built at a
reduced size now for $300 million and be enlarged 25
years hence for an additional $350 million. An
alternative is to construct the full-sized aqueduct now
for $400 million. Both alternatives would provide the
needed capacity for the 50-years analysis period.
Maintenance costs are small and may be ignored. At
6% interest, which alternative should be selected?
45
Solution
For two stage:
PW OF COST= 300M +350M(P/F,6%,25)
300M +81.6M = 381.6
for one stage:
PW OF COST= 400
46
Example for
A Purchasing agent is considering the purchase of
some new equipment for the mailroom.
Two different manufacturers have provided
quotations. An analysis of the quotations indicates the
following:
Manufacturer
Cost
Useful life,
Salvage value
Speedy
$1,500
$200
Allied
1,600
$325
47
Solution
Speedy Pw of Cost=1500-200(P/F,7%,5)
=1500- 200(0.7130)
= 1500-143
Allied:
PW of cost= 1600-325(P/F,7%,5)
= 1600 -325 (0.7130)
=1600-232= $1368
48
Example
A city plans a pipeline to transport water from
a distance watershed area to the city. The
pipeline will cost $8 million and have an
expected life of seventy years. The city
anticipates it will need to keep the water line
in service indefinitely. Compute the
capitalized cost assuming 7% interest.
49