Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Analysis of Financial
Statements
Topics in Chapter
Ratio analysis
Du Pont system
Effects of improving ratios
Limitations of ratio analysis
Qualitative factors
Required investments
Required investments
in operating capital
in operating capital
Value =
FCF1
(1 + WACC)1
FCF2
+
(1 + WACC)2
... + FCF
+
(1 +
WACC)
Weighted average
cost of capital
(WACC)
Market interest rates
Cost of debt
Cost of equity
Overview
Income Statement
2014
2015E
Sales
$5,834,400
$7,035,600
COGS
4,980,000
5,800,000
Other expenses
720,000
612,960
Deprec.
116,960
120,000
5,816,960
6,532,960
17,440
502,640
176,000
80,000
(158,560)
422,640
(63,424)
169,056
($ 95,136)
$ 253,584
5
2014
$
7,282
20,000
632,160
1,287,360
1,946,802
939,790
$2,886,592
2015E
$
14,000
71,632
878,000
1,716,480
2,680,112
836,840
$3,516,952
6
324,000
2015E
$
359,800
Notes payable
720,000
300,000
Accruals
284,960
380,000
1,328,960
1,039,800
Long-term debt
1,000,000
500,000
Common stock
460,000
1,680,936
Ret. earnings
97,632
296,216
Total equity
557,632
1,977,152
$2,886,592
$3,516,9527
Total CL
Total L&E
Other Data
Stock price
# of shares
EPS
DPS
Book val. per
sh.
Lease payments
Tax rate
2014
$6.00
100,000
-$0.95
$0.11
2015E
$12.17
250,000
$1.01
$0.22
$5.58
$40,000
0.4
$7.91
$40,000
0.48
Liquidity Ratios
$2,680
=
$1,040
= 2.58.
QR10 = CA - Inv.
CL
=$2,680 - $1,716
$1,040
= 0.93.
10
Comments on CR and QR
2015E
2014
2013
Ind.
CR
2.58
1.46
2.3
2.7
QR
0.93
0.5
0.8
1.0
11
12
Inv. turnover =
2011E 2010
Inv. T. 4.1
4.5
2009
Ind.
4.8
6.1
13
Comments on Inventory
Turnover
14
= $878
$7,036/365
= 45.5 days.
15
Appraisal of DSO
Sales
=
turnover
Net fixed assets
$7,036
=
= 8.41.
$837
Total assets
Sales
=
turnover
Total assets
$7,036
=
= 2.00.
$3,517
(More)
17
average. Good.
TA turnover not up to industry average.
Caused by excessive current assets (A/R and
inventory).
2015E
2014
2013
Ind.
FA TO
8.4
6.2
10.0
7.0
TA TO
2.0
2.0
2.3
2.5
18
19
Total liabilities
Debt ratio = Total assets
$1,040 + $500
=
=
43.8%.
$3,517
TIE =
6.3.
EBIT
Int.
$502.6
= expense =
$80
(More)
20
=
21
Recapitalizationimprovedsituation,but
leasepaymentsdragdownEC.
22
Profitability Ratios
Sales?
Assets?
23
Profit Margins
Net profit margin (PM):
NI
$253.6
PM = Sales = $7,036 = 3.6%.
Operating profit margin
(OM): EBIT
$503
OM =Sales =$7,036 = 7.1%.
(More)
24
Profit Margins
Gross profit margin
(GPM):
Sales
GPM =
COGS
=
Sales
(Continued)
$1,236
GPM =$7,036 = 17.6%.
$7,036
$5,800
$7,036
25
= 14.3%.
(More)
27
28
= 7.2%.
(More)
29
= 12.8%.
(More)
30
2014
2013
= $1.01.
= 12.
34
Ticker*
STI
MSFT
P/E
1.32
6.14
Drug
Electric Utilities
Semiconductor
s
PFE
DUK
INTC
5.87
10.14
4.01
Steel
Tobacco
S&P 500
NUE
MO
0.33
1.30
14.22
*Ticker is for typical firm in industry, but P/E ratio is for the
35
NI + Depr.
CF per share
=
Shares out.
$253.6 + $120.0
=
=
$1.49.
250
Price per share
P/CF =Cash flow per share
= $12.17
$1.49
= 8.2.
36
12.0
8.2
1.5
2014
-6.3
27.5
1.1
2013
9.7
8.0
1.3
14.2
7.6
2.9
39
0.6%
3.3%
23.9%
48.7%
76.5%
0.3%
0.7%
21.9%
44.6%
67.4%
0.4%
2.0%
25.0%
48.8%
76.2%
Ind.
0.3%
0.3%
22.4%
41.2%
64.1%
2013
2014 2015E
9.9% 11.2% 10.2%
13.6% 24.9%
8.5%
Ind.
11.9%
2.4%
9.3%
9.9% 10.8%
9.5%
32.8% 46.0% 29.6% 23.7%
22.0% 34.6% 14.2% 26.3%
45.2% 19.3% 56.2% 50.0%
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0%
41
2014
2015E
Ind.
Sales
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
COGS
83.4%
85.4%
82.4%
84.5%
Other
exp.
9.9%
12.3%
8.7%
4.4%
Depr.
0.6%
2.0%
1.7%
4.0%
EBIT
6.1%
0.3%
7.1%
7.1%
Int. Exp.
1.8%
3.0%
1.1%
1.1%
EBT
4.3%
-2.7%
6.0%
5.9%
Taxes
1.7%
-1.1%
2.4%
2.4%
NI
2.6%
-1.6%
3.6%
3.6%
43
44
2013
2014
2015E
Sales
0.0%
70.0%
105.0%
COGS
0.0%
73.9%
102.5%
Other exp.
0.0%
111.8%
80.3%
Depr.
0.0%
518.8%
534.9%
EBIT
0.0%
-91.7%
140.4%
Int. Exp.
0.0%
181.6%
28.0%
EBT
0.0%
-208.2%
188.3%
Taxes
0.0%
-208.2%
188.3%
NI
0.0%
-208.2%
188.3%
45
Analysis of Percent
Change Income Statement
46
Percentage Change
Balance Sheets: Assets
Assets
Cash
ST Invest.
AR
Invent.
Total CA
Net FA
TA
2013
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
2014
-19.1%
-58.8%
80.0%
80.0%
73.2%
172.6%
96.5%
2015E
55.6%
47.4%
150.0%
140.0%
138.4%
142.7%
139.4%
47
Percentage Change
Balance Sheets: Liabilities
&
Equity
Liab. &
2013
2014
2015E
Eq.
AP
Notes
pay.
Accruals
Total CL
LT Debt
Total eq.
0.0%
0.0%
122.5%
260.0%
147.1%
50.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
109.5%
175.9%
209.2%
-16.0%
179.4%
115.9%
54.6%
197.9%
48
Analysis of Percent
Change Balance Sheets
49
50
)(
Profit
margin
TA
turnover
NI
Sales
x
Sales
TA
)(
Equity
multiplier
TA
CE
) = ROE
= ROE
51
x
x
x
x
TA
CE
x
2.3
2.0
2.0
2.5
x
x
x
x
= ROE
2.2 = 13.2%
5.2 = -16.6%
1.8 = 13.0%
2.0 = 18.0%
52
Qualitative Factors