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6-1
Outline
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
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1 n
vi
= n i1
n 1 2
n s X
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1 n
( X i X )u i
n i1
1 =
1 n
2
(
X
X
)
n i1 i
p
Xu
2X
= u Xu = u
,
Xu
X
X X u
where Xu = corr(X,u). If assumption #1 is correct, then Xu =
0, but if not we have.
Copyright 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
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u
1 + Xu
X
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Before:
After:
Difference:
Y = 1X1
So:
Y
1 =
, holding X2 constant
X 1
2 = Y , holding X1 constant
X 2
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min b ,b ,b
0
2
[Y
(b
b
X
b
X
)]
i 0 1 1i 2 2i
i1
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RegressionwithrobuststandarderrorsNumberofobs=420
F(2,417)=223.82
Prob>F=0.0000
Rsquared=0.4264
RootMSE=14.464
|Robust
testscr|Coef.Std.Err.tP>|t|[95%Conf.Interval]
+
str|1.101296.43284722.540.0111.95213.2504616
pctel|.6497768.031031820.940.000.710775.5887786
_cons|686.03228.72822478.600.000668.8754703.189
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ui
Yi = Y + ui
i
ui
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i
n k 1 i 1
RMSE =
1 n 2
ui
n i 1
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ESS
SSR
R =
= 1
,
TSS
TSS
2
i 1
i 1
i1
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R and R ctd.
2
n 1 SSR
Adjusted R : R = 1
n k 1 TSS
2
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= 698.9 2.28STR,
R2 = .05, SER = 18.6
(2)
What precisely does this tell you about the fit of regression
(2) compared with regression (1)?
Why are the R2 and the R 2 so close in (2)?
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Number of obs =
420
F( 1,
418) =
19.26
Prob > F
= 0.0000
R-squared
= 0.0512
Root MSE
= 18.581
------------------------------------------------------------------------|
Robust
testscr |
Coef.
Std. Err.
t
P>|t|
[95% Conf. Interval]
--------+---------------------------------------------------------------str | -2.279808
.5194892
-4.39
0.000
-3.300945
-1.258671
str | (dropped)
_cons |
698.933
10.36436
67.44
0.000
678.5602
719.3057
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
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is consistent:1
1 E (1 )
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. What are the implications of (1) or (2) for the interpretation of the
coefficients?
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Imperfect multicollinearity
Imperfect and perfect multicollinearity are quite different despite the
similarity of the names.
Imperfect multicollinearity occurs when two or more regressors are
very highly correlated.
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