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BACKGROUND
BACKGROUND
2004 Indian
Ocean
Tsunami
BACKGROUND
TS ONDOY
BRGY. GUINSAUGON
LANDSLIDE
TS SENDONG
Why Contingency
Planning?
For natural hazards, almost 38% of natural
disasters occurs in ASIA; almost 60% of the
worlds victims of natural disasters came
from ASIA, and around the 50% of financial
loss is also from ASIA.
world
Why Contingency
Planning?
Why Contingency
Planning?
Why Contingency
Between 1970 toPlanning?
2009, the Philippines incurred
Why Contingency
Planning?
Limited Resources
Why do we need to
conduct Contingency
Planning?
We cannot avoid
them, but we can
mitigate their effects
through timely,
effective and
responsive
PLANNING.
Q.
Why do we need to
conduct Contingency
Planning?
to save lives
Q. Why conduct
Contingency
A.Planning?
To assist in:
Mobilizing effective actions and
resources for emergency
response;
Generating commitment among
parties involved to act in a
coordinated manner
before the emergency occurs; and
Designing a concrete and
continuous plan until the
emergency occurs and which can
be discontinued when the hazard
is
a
sudden
occurrence
demanding
immediate
action
that may be due to epidemics,
natural
or
technological
catastrophes, strife or any other
Issues related
to
Emergencies
BACKGROUND
AP
Planned
events
like
fiestas,
anniversaries, etc.
SPO
NSE
response
Issue No. 1:
RESPONSE
R
s RESPONSE
Time shortage
i
ESSE
s
e
i
N
s
O P
Cr pon
P
S
RESPONSE
RESPONSE
ON
RE
RESPONSE
res
RESPONSE
RESPONSE
SE
E
RESPONSE
S
N
O
P
S
RESPONSE
E
R
EMERGENCY
r
Before
y
c
n
e
g
r
Eme
Crisi
s
esp
on
se
is
Cr
is
response
GENERAL INDIFFERENCE
BRIEF PERIOD
OF INTENSE
INTEREST
BACK TO NORMAL
PNP
AFP
LDRRMCs
NDRRMC
Emerging
Old Needs
Needs
UN
Communities
NGOs
Red cross
Scen
ar io
Plan
vt
Kn
ow
ledg
Gov
ern
m
R
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n
eB
as e
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inge
ncy
Plan
ning
Scen
ar io
cy
ingen
Cont
ing
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C
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Scen
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n
Scen
ar io
Plan
Kno
C er
Partn
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ar io
Scen
Age Base
wled
gency
&A
ctiv
itie
s
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n
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ing
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Scen
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ities
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Plan &
iv
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cti
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ari
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ledge
Base
Pla
n
Contin
gency
C
Plan
Plann
ing
Scena
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Pl a
n
Scen
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Plan
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rio
Scena
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Plan
n
Pla
Scenar
io
ari
o
unclear objectives
Major
problems
Faced by
emergency
managers
massive needs
limited resources
security and safety issues
poor communications
/confusion
extreme importance
of decisions
others???.
What is
Contingen
cy
Planning?
CR
H
N
U
12 1
0
1
& RA
RA 10121:
A management process that
analyzes specific potential
events
or
emerging
situations
that
might
threaten society or the
environment
and
establishes arrangements in
advance to enable timely,
effective and appropriate
responses to such events
and situations.
. . . CP as a Critical Input to
DRRM Initiatives
CONTINGENCY
PLANNING
Preparing for
Effective Response
Input to
DRRM Initiatives
Root Causes
Hazard Analysis
Triggering
Factors
EWS
R= H x V
C
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
A
B
R= H x V
c
Pre-emergency stages
Prevention
Mitigation
Activities
designed to
provide
permanent
protection from
disasters - or
reduce
the intensity /
frequency of a
hazardous
event so that it
does not
become a
disaster
Measures taken
in advance
of a disaster
aimed at
reducing its
impact on
society and
the
environment
hazard
risk
R=HxV
C
Preparedne Contingenc
ss
y
The ability to
predict
all kinds of
emergencies
and to
prepare
people to
react
appropriately
during and
following
such possible
vulnerability
events
The ability to
rapidly
respond to
and cope
with the effect
of specific
emergency
and achieve
peoples
readiness
to react
appropriatel
readiness
y
When to Do
Contingency
Planning?
2.
LATER,
1.
when we
have more
As early
as right NOW? informatio
n?
3.
JUST BEFORE
the event, to
4.
maximise
RIGHT AFTER
information?
the exact
damage is
known?
EARTHQUAKE
WAR
Planned
events
like
fiestas,
anniversaries, etc.
Is
Contingency
Planning
Different
From
Other
Yes, most planning
is generic
in nature,
but Contingency Plans address
Plans?
specific hazards and
specific actions to
be taken should the hazard occur.
Disaster
Mngmt. Planning
Contingency
Planning
Operations
Planning
When to Do
Planning Period
(annual, bi-annual, etc.)
Before Emergency
(normally done after
EWS or before a
planned event)
Immediately following
the emergency; part of
ICS
More specific
Scope of Plan
All hazards
Specific hazard,
projected in a worst
case scenario
Actual disaster
operations
Long-term,
globally attuned
Actual
Allocation
Estimated
Quantified
Precise
Planning Level
Managerial level
Actual/On-site or field
level
Long-term
Developing
Utilizing
Focus
Plan Execution
Relationships
PLANNING
Planning, but no
interagency meetings
Better planning
through interagency
Meetings
Mixed ?
Mixed
No planning,
no interagency
meetings
PROCESS
Interagency meetings,
but no
real planning
Where is
Contingency
Planning in
the Disaster
Risk Reduction
Management
Framework?
NDRRM
FRAMEWORK
Contingency
Planning
Plan
Action!
Early warning
Particular risks
Hazards
Rapid assessment
Monitoring
Analysis
Regular Assessment
DECLARATION
OF STATE OF
EMERGENCY
HEIGHTENED
ALERT
SPECIFIC
PREPAREDNESS
GENERAL
PREPAREDNESS
Is
Contingency
Planning
Important?
Yes
But why? And how can it
be done to increase its
importance?
Contingency
Planning:
The People
Who should be
involved?
PLANNING
(P/M/BPDO, Financial Group,Brgy.
Chairman, Secretary, Treas.)
- Relief/Food, Health/Nutrition,
Many heads
are better
than one
should participate in
Contingency Planning
Generating Scenarios
(Anatomy of emergency)
Setting policies
and sectoral objectives
Predicting Needs
Employ indicators
Identify Gaps
Taking stock
Of Resources
Contingency
Cycle
FORMULATIO
N
ENDORSEMEN
T
ASSESSMEN
T
ACTIVATION
Scanning the
Environment
according to needs
Command, Control &
Coordination
Public Information (IEC)
& Media Relation
Communication
Registration
Logistics & Transport
Quantity or Rate
Food
500 gm/person/day
Water
7.5 L/person/day
Site Space
Shelter
Latrine
Family Kits
Blanket
1 piece/person
SECTORAL ARRANGEMENTS
B. Sectoral Planning
(Describing the general situation in the
sector)
R= H x V
c
R= H x V
c
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
rday
ocil
agara
FLOODS
It
is better to plan
when
it
is
not
needed, than not to
have planned when it
was necessary.
Form 1
Hazard
Remark
s
Flood
Sitio
Puting
bato
located
near the
river
banks
Tsunami
Seabed
disturba
nce in
West
Valley
Fault
Landslide
Steep
slopes/
denuded
mountain
Average
4.5
3.5
RISK RATING
Probability
Impact
1. Most unlikely
Negligible
2. Unlikely
Minor
3. Likely
Moderate
4. Very Likely
Severe
5. Almost Certain
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Impact Scale
1
Negligible
2
Minor
3
Moderate
4
Severe
5
Devastating
Minor or no
injury
Minor injury
no lost
time
Several
injuries
some time
lost
Serious
Multiple
injuries
fatalities &
long time lost injuries
very long
time lost
Minor or no
damage to
property
Limited loss
and/or
damage to
property
Significant
loss and/or
damage to
property
Major loss to
property
Catastrophic
loss to
property
Little or no
Up to one
Up to one
Between 1 or Greater than
delay in normal days delay
week delay in 2 months
2 months
functioning
in operations operation
delay in
delay
operation
Probability / Likelihood
2
Unlikely
3
Likely
4
Very Likely
The event
could occur
at some time,
but probably
will not
The event
might
occur at
some time,
and
probably
will
The event
will probably
occur in
most or
many cases
5
Almost Certain
The event is
expected to
occur in many
or most cases
Hazard
RISK RATING
Probability
Average
1.
2.
3.
4.
Most unlikely .
1. Negligible
Unlikely
2 Minor
Likely
3. Moderate
Very Likely
4. Severe
5. Almost Certain
5.
Devastating
I M PAC T
Devastating
Impact
AREA 1
aAREA
AREA 3
Severe
AREA 4
Moderate
Minor
AREA 5
Negligible
Most Unlikely
Unlikely
Likely
Very
Likely
Almost
Certain
P R O B AB I L I T Y
Scanning the
Environment
1.2 HAZARD IDENTIFICATION / RISK ASSESSMENT
RAN
K
HAZARD
Flood
Landslide
Flood
Earthquake
2.5
Drought
Storm surge
3.5
Tsunami
Typhoon
44
REMARKS
Group 2
Risk Rating
Probability
Impact
1. Most unikely
2. Unlikely
3.Likely
4. Very Like;
5. Almost Certain
1. Neglibility
2. Minor
3. Moderate
4. Severe
5. Devastating
AVERAGE
Form 2-A
EARLY
WARNING
Clog canals
Heavy rainfall
associated with high
tide
Non compliance with
the law
TRIGGERING
FACTORS
-Turbidity and
speed of water flow
-Observed rainfall
in the Manual and
digital rain gauge
Improper garbage
disposal
Illegal cutting of
trees
Typhoon
ROOT
CAUSES
Warm sea surface
temperature of 26.5
C
Moisture content of
the air
Inter-tropical
convergence zone
Low pressure area
EARLY
WARNING
PAGASA Weather
advisory
TRIGGERING
FACTORS
Global warming
resulting to climate
change
Discoloration of the
sky during sunrise Geographical
and sunset
location of the
Philippines
Swelling of the sea
Animal behavior
TSUNAMI
ROOT
CAUSES
Earthquake/Seabed
disturbance
EARLY
WARNING
TRIGGERING
FACTORS
Thunderous sound
ROOT
CAUSES
Earthquake/Seabed
disturbance
TSUNAMI
EARLY
WARNING
Receding sea
water
White caps on sea
waves
Thunderous sound
TRIGGERING
FACTORS
Earthquake with
intensity 6 and
above
Storm Surge
EARLY
WARNING
TRIGGERING
FACTORS
ROOT
CAUSES
Movement of fault
zone
Earthquake
EARLY
WARNING
TRIGGERING
FACTORS
Shaking
Presence of active
fault such as
Central Mindoro,
Central Mindoro,
Lubang and
Aglubang river fault
Animal behavior
Form 2-B
NON-STRUCTURAL
IEC on Hydrometeorological
hazards
Issuance of Brgy . Ordinance on
illegal cutting of trees
Livelihood programs for the Ips
Decloging of canal
Mangrove planting
Strict implementation of PD
1067 for 40meters easement
along shorelines
And 3 meters easement along
riverbanks
Brgy Ordinance on non use of
plastic
Strict implementation of
Form 3
SITUATIONS
Floods
Description of Event
Death/Injury
Affected Population
Effects on Properties
and Livelihood
Response Capabilities
SCENARIO
Bad Case
Worse Case
Worst Case
10 meters of water
level
1 injured
4 injured2 deaths
8 injured
10 death
Purok 1 and 2
With 200 families
5 partially damaged
houses
8 totally damaged
houses
Rice and corn
plantation severely
damaged
5 pigs drowned
10 partially damaged
houses
20 totally damaged
houses
Rice,corn ,coconut
plantation severely
damaged, seaweeds
plantation washout
Pigs and poultrys
drowned
2 partially damaged
houses
1 totally damaged
houses
1 hectares of rice
submerged in water
BDRRMC
1 Elem sch
1 Natl H Sch damaged
1 covered court
daamged
2 roads not passable
MDRRMC/PDRRMC
RDRRMC/NDRRMC
Form 4
Event to Plan For: Floods
To
Where
Brgy
tubura
n
Brgy.
Gabawa
n
No. of
Pop.
Likely to
be
affected
(worst
case)
2,500
Assumpti
on/
Justificati
on
Characte
ristics
Houses
located
near the
coastal &
river
banks
Businessman,
fisher
folks,Dressma
ker, office
workers
Pop. Composition
# of
wome
n
500
# of
men
500
# of
childr
en
700
# of
PWD
300
# of
elderl
y
500
BDRRMC TO BE INVOLVED
Task/
Sector
Relief/Food
BHW
Tanod
Kagawa
d
BDRT
NGOs
Day
Care
worker
Communication
& Warning
kagaw
ad
Tanod
Religious
Sector
BPATS
Day
care
workers
Brgy.
Sec
Security
Tanod
Kagawa
d
Health
BHW
BNS
Kagawad
VBSI
Midwife
Transportation
NGO
Toda
Pump
boat
owner &
operator
Fisherfolk
s Ass.
BFARMC
Rehabilitation
Committ
ee on
Infra
Brgy.
Tanod
Brgy
Treasurer
BPATS
Com on
Agri
Com on
Livelihoo
d
Evacuation
Daycare
workers
School
Principal
Religious
sector
BHW
BNS
BRGY.
sEC
Search &
Rescue
BDRT
Fire suppression
BDRT
Sitio/Pur
ok
Leaders
Brgy.
Treasure
r
Lead
Committee on
Health
Chairman on
Peace & Order
BPATS
Pantawid
leader
BHW
Brgy. Chairman
Chair Committee
on Evac
Chair Com on
SAR
Tanod
Kagawad
Fire
volunteers
Committee on
Fire Control
SECTORAL ARRANGEMENTS
D. Needs and Activities Inventory
Sector: Relief/Food
Needs that will
Arise
Rice
Noodles
Sardines
Coffee
Sugar
Cooking Oil
Milk
Salt
Activities to
meet the Needs
BDRRMC Likely
to Undertake
the Activities
(By whom)
Coordinate with
NFA
Establish
coordination with
NGOs
Thru BDRRM
Fund
Forged
MOUs/MOAs
with grocery
store
Committee on
Relief
FORM 6
Timeframe
(By when)
As need arises
2014- 2016
SECTORAL ARRANGEMENTS
F. Resources
Inventory
Ex: Transportation
Sector: ________
FORM 7
Resources
Rescue
vehicle
Unit
unit
Number Location
2
Brgy Hall
BDRRMC
Remarks
Transportation
Committee
serviceable
SECTORAL ARRANGEMENTS
E. Sectoral Planning
Ex: Food
Sector: ________
Objectives: (1) To provide the basic needs of disaster
Form 8
victims No.
at the
of evacuation centers.
Item
Rice
1,000
persons
200
families
3kls/day/
family
Existing
Resources
120 sacks
Projected Needs
1
day
10
days
Gap
14
days
10
70
140
20
sacks sacks sacks sacks
for a
14day
opns.
Possible
Source
- 5%
LDRRMF
- fund
raising
- NGOs
Steps Forward
FORM 9
Activities
By whom
By when
Review of draft CP
BDRRMC
Revision of corrected CP
Submission to SB for
approval
Secretary and
treasurer /
Secretary and
treasurer
Printing of approved CP
Submission of copy of CP
to MDRRMC, DILG OCD
& COA
Testing of the Plan
Brgy. Treasurer
BDRRMC
MDRRMC/BDRRMC
Steps Forward
FORM 9
Activities
By whom
By when
Review of draft CP f
MDRRMC
Revision of corrected CP
MDRRMO
Submission to SB for
approval
MDRRMO
October 7, 2014
MDRRMO/MPDO
Printing of approved CP
Submission of copy of CP
to DILG & OC