Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Goals
Intermediate Monetary
Instruments
Policy
Targets
Discretion
Instruments refer to the policy options the
Fed has to control the supply of money
Reserve Requirements
Reserve Requirements
This is the most influence the ability of
often used banks to create new loans
instrument! which affects the broader
aggregates (M1,M2,M3)
Monetary Policy goals address the central banks
agenda in general terms
Price Supply
Price Supply
Quantity of
Oranges
Targets can be broadly classified into either Price
Targets or Quantity Targets
Target
Range
Price Supply
Quantity of
1000Lbs Oranges
Suppose that the Fed wants to lower its
target to 4% (expansionary monetary policy)
M2 Multiplier = 8
4%
Md(y,t)
M
P
Change in M2 = $2,000
Suppose that the Fed is Targeting the
Interest Rate at 5%
M2 Multiplier = 8
Change in M2 = $1,000
During the late 70s, the federal reserve changed its policy
from an interest rate target to a money target. The money
target was abandoned in the mid eighties.
Rules vs. Discretion
Should the Federal Reserve pre-commit to a particular course of
action?
US Treasury
A Gold Standard has two rules: Assets Liabilities
The government sets an
200 oz. Gold $10,000 (Currency)
official price of gold ($35/oz)
@ $35/oz
The government guarantees
$7,000 (Gold)
convertibility of currency into
gold at a fixed price $3,000 (T-Bills)
During most of the gold standard era, the Government had a reserve
ratio of around 12%
By committing to convertibility at $35 an ounce, the government
restricted its ability to increase/decrease the money supply
US Treasury (P = $35%)
US Treasury (P = $35%)
Price Supply
Assets Liabilities
Demand
Q
Reserve Ratio = 70%
s
M
k (i, t ) y
P
With a (relatively) fixed supply of money, prices remained stable in the
long run
The gold standard and the supply of gold:
US Treasury (P = $35%)
Price Supply
Assets Liabilities
Q
Reserve Ratio = 70%
From time to time, new gold deposits were discovered. This increased
supply would push down the market price. In response, households
would buy the cheap gold and sell it to the Treasury for $35. This would
increase the money supply.
The gold standard and the business cycle:
US Treasury (P = $35%)
Price Supply
Assets Liabilities
Q
Reserve Ratio = 70%
i i S
Ms
4% 4%
I + (G-T)
Md
M Loanable
Funds
P
During the late 90s, rapid income growth and productivity raised
consumer spending (savings falls) and raised investment spending.
Higher spending raised the demand for money. As unemployment
dropped to 4.5% (above capacity), prices began to rise.
Case study: Productivity Growth during the
late 90s
i
i S
Ms
4% 4%
I + (G-T)
Md
M Loanable
Funds
P
4% 4%
I + (G-T)
Md
M Loanable
Funds
P
4% 4%
I + (G-T)
Md
M Loanable
Funds
P
Lowering the Fed funds target allowed the fed to increase the money
supply and stimulate spending.
Stock Market Crash
Beginning of Recovery?
Recession of 2001