Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Partha@ParthaGhosh
Partha S Ghosh
How do you sense the State of Health of
our Planet?
50,000
Tons by 2050
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
1980 1990 2003 2010 2020 2025 2050
Boston Analytics Research
1. Energy Information Administration (http://www.eia.doe.gov) Year
Partha S Ghosh
How Hot will Boston be?
60
50
39.3
40
31.5
30 25.5
20 15.7 17.7
9.5
10
0
1961 to 1990 2010 to 2039 2040 to 2069 2070 to 2099
Projections
Lower emissions Higher
emissions
Boston Analytics Research
1. Union of Concerned Scientists, Joan Mclaughin/Globe Staff
Partha S Ghosh
Global Warming is Lethal?
Changes in
l Rise in Sea level
activities
land use, , 3%
9% Reductions in the ozone
Agricultura layer
l practices,
14% Increased intensity and
Energy use
frequency of extreme
and weather events
Chlorofluo production
r , 57% Impacts on agriculture
ocarbons,
17% Spread of disease
Greenhouse Gases (GHG e.g. CO2)
Boston Analytics Research
1. Causes of Global Warming (http://library.thinkquest.org/26026/Statistics/causes_of_global_warming.html)
Partha S Ghosh
Sea level is expected to Rise: How much?
345.0
300.0
250.0 212.7
200.0
150.0 116.7
100.0
54.9 56.2
38.0
50.0 17.1 23.8
4.8 13.0
0.0
2000 2025 2050 2075 2100
Conservative Scenario High
Scenario
Boston Analytics Research
1. Estimates of Future Sea Level Rise, John S. Hoffman`
Partha S Ghosh
Annual loss of Forest land 16.2 Mn Hectares
Annual Change in Forest Area (000 ha per year) 1990 to 2005)1
Europe 1,538
Asia 211
-8,053 South
America
-8,415 Africa
-16,184 World
Partha S Ghosh
In fact the US has lost considerable forest area
1620 1920
Partha S Ghosh
Dynamics of Deforestation and Ecology: Require
Repurposing our Chemical Engineering Knowledge
Less CO2 taken in
Burning Trees adds even more
CO2
Less photosynthesis takes
HYDROSPHERE ATMOSPHERE
place
Increased risk of fire
GEOSPHERE BIOSPHERE
Soil Erosion
Partha S Ghosh
Powerful Forces at Work?
Changing
Ecology
65 Increasin
Billion g
Tons of Populatio
CO2 Risin n
Equit
g y
Temperatur
e Increasin
Deforestati
g Sea
on
Level
Finite
Resources
Partha S Ghosh
Powerful Forces at Work: Clash of Perspectives?
Changing
Digitization Wall Street
Ecology
requirements Expectations
65 Billion
Increasing
Tons of
CO2
Population
Rising CO2 Equity
Temperature
Deforestation
Increasing
Sea
Level
Finite
Resources
Partha S Ghosh
Most of the world is still in the early stage of Economic
development
120
Canada
US
Energy Consumption
100
(000 KWHr / Capita)
80% of
80 Global
Population
60 Russia France
Germany Japan
Kazakhstan Czech
Italy UK
40 Republic
Ukraine
Thailand Malaysia
20 Romania
Brazil
China
Indonesia Turkey Egypt Philippines
India 0
0 5000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000
GDP / Capita (US$)
10000
1. Energy Information Administration - EIA (http://www.eia.doe.gov/)
Boston Analytics Research Partha S Ghosh
Future Natural Gas requirement of Asia
Partha S Ghosh
If China & India consumes energy @ 25% of US/capita
total energy consumption will increase by 41.6 T KwHr
150 41.6
Energy Consumption
130.8
(Trillion KWHr)
100
50
0
Actual
Estimated*
Partha S Ghosh
* Per capita energy consumption of the selected countries is 25% of US per capita energy consumption
Old Path or New Path: Time to Choose?
Plastic Consumption per capita in Selected Countries vs.
GDP per capita (2003)1,2,3
Plastic Consumption per capita (in
140
Developing and R2 = 0.8631
120 Moderately Developed Germany US
Countries
Singapore Japan
100
80 Canada
60
Malaysia
40
Hungary Highly
20 Thailand Developed
China Poland Countries
kg)
Indonesia
0 India
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000
*
1973 Yom
Kipper War
Partha S Ghosh
Cleary we are at the End of a Long Era?
Economic Development Curves
High
Information
Revolution
Productivity of Society
Industrial Revolution 2
(Internal Combustion
Engine)
Industrial Revolution 1
(Steam Engine)
2
Low
0
Time
0
5
Partha S Ghosh
~
2
The Essential Points:
1. Indeed Challenging & Interesting times
ahead
Partha S Ghosh
Mega Challenge = Managing a Mega Transition
to avoid Mega disruption
1350 1900 2005 ~2010 2050
PROBLEMS
OPPORTUNITIES
Holistic Approach Renewable and
Energy Clean Energy
Source
Ecology Equity
Energy ,Food
and Health for All
Sustainable Economic
Developed
Partha S Ghosh
Scope of the Field?
Chemical Industrys Future (?): Two Strategic Vectors
Balance?
Conservation
driven
Balance of Ecology
Future Chemical
Engineer
Consumption
driven Perspective?
P Balance of Economic Holistic/Integrative
oi Advance Solution
nt
Partha S Ghosh
S
ol
ut
Expanded Field?
Chemical Industrys Future (?): Two Strategic Vectors
Balance?
Conservation
Energy Transportation
System Management
u ture Chemic al
F
New E gineer
n
Chemistry Recycling
of Waste
for the
Car
Agro based
Recyclin Chemical
g Lighter
Industry
Today Product
Improve
s Proces
Consumption functionaliti
d
es Intensificatio
n
s
Perspective?
Point Balance of Economic Advance Holistic
Solution Solutio
n
Partha S Ghosh
Strategic Direction of Chemical Industry
Positive
Create New Investment in Next
generation
Game Knowledge Intensive
Energy/Materials
Balance of
Solutions: Small is
Ecology
beautiful
Energy Efficient
consumption
Negative
Negative Positive
Balance of Economic Progress
Partha S Ghosh
Mega Challenge = Managing a Mega Transition
to avoid Mega disruption
1350 1900 2005 ~2010 2050
Thermodynamics
Chemical Industrys
Knowledge Asset (How far?)
Kinetics
Extraordinary (How fast?)
Knowledge base
Size Reduction
(Rooted in the early
Stages of (Surface Properties ?)
Industrial
Revolution)
Transport Phenomena
(Flow Mechanisms?)
Partha S Ghosh
And Look for Mega possibilities @ the Intersection of
Conventional Engineering & New Technologies
Current
2 Scale
1. Efficiency
Raw materials 2. Conservation
3. Recycling
Micro Nano
Cellular /Nano Scale
3 Level
functionalities
Microscopic
Perspective
Partha S Ghosh
The Promise of Chemical Industry has to be
applied in Multiple Scales
Three Scales of Knowledge Application
Holistic /Tera Scale
Perspective
Large Scale Systems Dynamics Tera Scale
Issues
1 Global Ecological Balance ?
Energy Balance ?
of
Social Structures ?
ss
Scales of Engagement
ce Current
ro es
2 P lin Scale
on ip
ti c
1. Efficiency
Raw materials
a
iz di s 2. Conservation
3. Recycling
l
c ia le Micro Nano
o
Cellular /Nano
S ti p Scale
3 Level
ul
M
functionalities
Microscopic
Perspective
Partha S Ghosh
New technologies could indeed trigger a New Era
Process Industry Reconfiguration
Nano Information
Technologies
Technology
10011000101110
Upstream Downstream
Partha S Ghosh
Towards an Agro cell based Economic
Revolution?
Development of a More Sustainable Economic Model
High
Towards improved
Information new
Productivity of Society
socioeconomic
Revolution
structures with a
new agro based
Industrial Revolution 2 revolution
(Internal Combustion Symbiosis
Engine) of Multiple Disciplines
A Genomics / Biosciences
g Unit operations
r
Bio Catalyst
o
- Convergence technologies
c (4 Cs)
Low e
Time
l
l
Partha S Ghosh
B
a
s
For Example: An Agro Complex?
Resource Critical Issues Resource Industry Critical Issues
Industry Increase in yield (kg / hectare) Chemical Industry
Cereal Crops Quality and consistency?
Fruits Vegetables
Distribution system?
Food and Down stream value addition Flowers
Dyes and
Tea and branding?
1. Selection: The
selection process
involves the finding 2. Testing: In the
wild trees which testing phase,
possess the desired researchers try to find
traits (e.g. pest those parent trees
resistance, superior that carry the best
growth or form etc) genes for the desired
characteristics
Partha S Ghosh
Biocatalysts: Using enzymes as catalysts for synthesis
in mild conditions?
Biocatalysis in the Manufacture of Polymers1
Enzymes act as
biocatalysts enabling
precision polymer
synthesis
Partha S Ghosh
Development and fine tuning of Biofuels
Technologies could open up new vistas
UUUssse
Thermochemical Conv.
Consumer
Consumer e
Hydrogen
Hydrogen
Residues
Residues
Gasification
Gasification Fuel
Fuel Cell
Cell
Syngas
Agricultural
Agricultural Pyrolysis Vehicles
Pyrolysis Methanol
Methanol Vehicles
Residues
Residues Liquif
Liquif &
& HTU
HTU
Bio-Oil
Bio-Oil
Fiber
Fiber Biochemical Conv. (Fischer-
(Fischer- Gasoline
Gasoline
Residues
Residues
Anaerobic
Anaerobic
Tropsch)
Tropsch) Vehicles
Vehicles
Cellulosic
Cellulosic Digestion
Digestion Biogas
Fermentation Biogas
Peren.
Peren. Crops
Crops Fermentation
&
&
Distillation
Distillation Diesel
Diesel
Energy
Energy Microbial
Microbial Ethanol Vehicles
Vehicles
Ethanol
Crops
Crops
Digestion
Digestion
Biodiesel
Biodiesel (Veg.
Oil
Oil Extraction
Extraction Oil(Veg.
Methyl
Crops
Crops Oil
Esters)
Methyl
Esters)
Partha S Ghosh
Cellulosic ethanol is on the horizon
Process Description Pilot plants
Fermentation Conventional ethanol from 2% of U.S. gasoline
sugars (corn, sugarcane) are demand currently
marginally energy positive. 100- comes from ethanol
110 gal/ton made this way from 7%
of corn
Partha S Ghosh
Biomass Energy development will require a full range of
conventional Chemical Technologies
Different Technologies to Harness Biomass Energy1,2
Biomass
Combustion of biomass to produce electricity
Combustion
Partha S Ghosh
Power & Energy: Large Scale Engineering
systems thinking is essential
BioEnergy
Residential Commercial
FuelMicroturbines
Cells
Reciprocating engines
Industrial
Partha S Ghosh
Solar Energy has the potential to address our growing
energy needs in an environmentally-friendly way
Basic Mechanisms of Solar Energy Conversion1
Fuel
Electricity Light
CO O H2
e e
Sugar
2 2
sc M
sc M
H2O
H2 O
O
2 Semiconductor/Liquid
Junctions
Boston Analytics Research
1.Global Energy Perspective, Nathan S. Lewis, California Institute of Technology,
Pasadena, CA Partha S Ghosh
Poor efficiency and intricate material processing
techniques are major issues with the solar cell
Photovoltaic
(PV) cells Polycrystalline Si
provide O H2 technology in
efficiencies as e semiconductors is
low as 25% 2 relatively
Require: New sc complex.
M
electrolytes and Flat Plate Si crystalline
catalysts to is better but yet
improve efficiency
H2 O
significant development
of the PV cell will be required
Semiconductor/Liquid
Junctions/Photovoltaic
Boston Analytics Research
1.Global Energy Perspective, Nathan S. Lewis, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA
2. Solar Energy: The Ultimate Renewable Resource, Bhavik Shah www.physics.rutgers.edu
3. Solar Energy Research at the Department of Energy. Big Deal!, Dan Preston, John Stechschulte, Alok Tayi and Dave Zahora -
www.mse.cornell.edu
Partha S Ghosh
Reducing cost of production of electricity by wind
turbines could be a significant challenge
Challenges in Using Wind as a Source of Power1,2,3,4
Varying wind
supply require
innovative Aerodynamic
storage characteristics of
solutions the blade:
Knowledge of fluid
dynamics and
lubrication to
improve efficiencies
Partha S Ghosh
Next Generation Nuclear plant design will require
significant Chemical Engineering Knowledge
Steam
Heat gives
Exchangers energy to
the turbine
Fission
zone
in the
reactor
Recycling
of steam
Partha S Ghosh
Particularly in recycling of Spent Fuel
Partha S Ghosh
Not Either Or, it is all about Unification
A D
H2 H2
CH4
Electrolizer Reformer
O2
B E
H2
Methanol
Suns
Rays Electrolizer
Biomass
Direct Methanol Fuel Cell
Photovoltaic Cells O2
Ethanol
Nuclear
Cylinder
H2 Tanker /Pipeline
Partha S Ghosh
Fuel Cells works by converting chemical energy to
electrical energy On Demand
Basic Mechanism of a Fuel Cell1
Partha S Ghosh
Fuel Cells have been around since the 19th century:
Could we take on the Challenge of commercialization ?
Major Challenges in Using a Fuel Cell1,2,3
O2 Fuel
H2O
H2 /CH3OH
Cell Chemical engineers can
experiment with different materials
Size and weight of fuel cells
Heat and electrode systems to come
Process Intensification to reduce size
up with cost-effective solutions
and weight of cell
Boston Analytics Research
1. www.howstuffworks.com
2. Changing the way America drives: WPI chemical engineer works on fuel-cell power, WPI News & Events
3. http://www.eere.energy.gov/hydrogenandfuelcells/fuelcells/fc_challenges.html
Partha S Ghosh
Heat Mining: Health & safety concerns due to materials
ejecting from the Earth are issues that will need attention
Challenges in Harnessing Geothermal Energy1,2,3,4
The steam coming out needs to
be purified before it drives the
turbine
Chemical engineers can design
a steam purification plant
Partha S Ghosh
Boston Analytics Research
1. www.darvill.clara.net/altenerg/geothermal.htm#more ,2.
www1.eere.energy.gov/geothermal/egs_animation_text.html
An Opportunity in search of Creativity: Nano
manufacturing will need committed work
Challenges of Nano-Manufacturing1,2,3
Partha S Ghosh
Shape Memory Alloys (SMAs) are materials that can
recover from strain when they are heated above a certain
temperature
Basic Mechanism of SMAs1
sh
As micro technologies develop macro systems solutions
will become more affordable
5,544
S o la r
41.1 4,053
Hydro
24.4 3,390
B io ma s s
12.5
O il 910
11.0
9.9 1,363
W ind
7.1
Different methods of 1,842
Coal IG CC
6.3 generating electricity from coal
Coal
1,345
6.1
CFB 1,511
4.1
Coal P F 2,118
Nuc lear
Note : *These are only indicative figures. Actually, electricity generation cost varies across different
territories as per the environmental and technological scenario.
Boston Analytics Research
1. The Cost of Generating Electricity, Royal Academy of Engineering, March 2004 (213.130.42.236/wna_pdfs/rae-summary.pdf)
a(htStp:/G/wwhwo.psbhpower.net/inprint/pbpubs/powerthenation/powerthenation.htm)
3. Solar Energy in SGM, Renewable Energy Modeling Series, Allen Fawcett, December 2004 (http://www.epa.gov/cleanrgy/pdf/fawcett-
The Essential Points:
1. Indeed Challenging & Interesting times
ahead
Partha S Ghosh
We have the tools: We need the commitment
to link Supply and Demand
Supply-Demand
Supply-Demand Dynamics
Dynamics
Demand
Supply
Clean Energy
New Materials
Six Sigma Power
Precision Controls
Efficiency of
Nanotechnology
Consumption
Life Sciences Ecological balance
Miniaturization/Process More advanced living
Intensification
and work spaces
Convergence / Broadband
Global Equity
infrastructure
Partha S Ghosh
The Chemical Engineer is a multi-disciplinary
engineer a Strategic Problem Solver
Transport Thermo-
Phenomenon dynamics Kinetics
Materials
Biology/Genetics Science
The Chemical Engineer
Computer Science
as , O, H Management/Economics
Fields of
Application
80%
10%
40% improvement
20%
0%
Lighting IC Engines Air Heaters Boilers
Conditioners
Devices
Equipments
0.11 0.05
0.06
645.0 10.3
Quadrillion Btu
554
.8
600
500
0
Reduction Reduction Reduction Reduction
400 2025 2025
in India in China in Western in US
Projected Projected
300 Europe
Energy Energy
200 Demand Demand after
Assumptions: Reduction
100 Energy intensity is reduced by 35% for India and China
Energy intensity is reduced by 20% for Western Europe (WE) and US
Partha S Ghosh
The Essential Points:
1. Indeed Challenging & Interesting times
ahead
Partha S Ghosh
The New horizons
Partha S Ghosh
beyond current framework of plant design and
engineering
Partha S Ghosh
Last 5,000 Years ..Future Possibilities..
Economics of Linear Economics of Closed
Mechanics: Extraction, Loop Harmony
Exploitation & Experimentation
Solar , Wind
Bio Mass Fuel Cells
Agro
New Energy
Clean and Power
Technologies
Water
Broadband
Clean Energy
Knowledge for
Recovery/Recycle
Partha S Ghosh
.. Chemical Engineering Education & Industry
has to Rekindle the Sprit of Enquiry
High
Renewability
intensity
Reconfigure
Current
processes
Low
Low High
Conservation
intensity
The Journey forward . . .
Toward a New
Integrated Vision
for Intelligent
Holistic Mass &
Energy
Balance Plays
Partha S Ghosh
It is not in the Seeming , it is in
the.but
being,even more in the
Becoming . . .
Lets wish for the best
Partha S Ghosh
Questions ???
Partha S Ghosh