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Confidential Draft

Project Jaguar

Presentation to the Board of Directors


May 10, 2014

Goldman Stanley
Table of Contents

Executive Summary 3

Jaguar Valuation 5

Potential Strategic Partners 25

Process Recommendations 38

Appendix 43

Goldman Stanley 2
Executive Summary

Goldman Stanley 3
Executive Summary

As of May 9, 2014, Jaguars share price and valuation multiples have more than doubled over the last twelve months

Even at its current levels, however, Jaguar is still undervalued relative to peer specialty pharmaceutical companies, and
on an intrinsic, cash-flow basis

Given its prominence in the market, the record healthcare M&A activity in the first half of this year, and the soaring
interest in tax inversion deals, Jaguar could make for an attractive acquisition candidate

Such a strategy would allow Jaguar to maximize shareholder value, expand its geographic reach and distribution
channels, and acquire more resources for future research & development efforts and/or M&A activity

Given Jaguars unique attributes, we believe a purchase premium above 50%, implying a share price of ~$200+, is
possible with the proper positioning and process

We recommend a highly targeted process focused on the most likely (Tier 1) potential partners, along with an
outreach to Tier 2 potential partners while discussions with Tier 1 partners are ongoing

Goldman Stanley 4
Jaguar Valuation

Goldman Stanley 5
Valuation Summary Operating Scenarios

Base Case Management Case

Peak Xyrem Revenue $2.0 billion in FY 20 $4.2 billion in FY 21

Xyrem Revenue After Peak $300 million / year $377 million / year

Xyrem Generics Entrance Year FY 20 FY 21

Annual Price Increases CAGR of 6%; max of ~$79,000 CAGR of 11%; max of
Through Peak Revenue in FY 21 ~$122,000 in FY 21

Increases from 7% in FY 13 to Increases from 7% in FY 13 to


Xyrem Market Penetration
19% in FY 23 24% in FY 23

Steady between 54-56% until Steady between 55-57% until


EBITDA Margins
generics enter generics enter

Goldman Stanley 6
Summary of Valuation Implications

Jaguar appears to be undervalued by 50%+ in the Management Case and 10-


#1 Implied Valuation
20% in the Base Case

Comparable Also point to the same result Jaguar trades below the median EV / EBITDA
#2
Companies multiple of peer companies

Discounted Cash Flow Produces the highest implied valuation, primarily because Jaguars value is
#3
(DCF) Analysis heavily dependent on Xyrem pricing 5-10 years into the future

Similar M&A deals imply a much lower valuation, but we believe these
#4 Precedent Transactions
multiples are less relevant due to the lack of comparable deals

Goldman Stanley 7
Base Case Financial Projections
($ USD in Millions except for $ per Share Figures)

Projected
Income Statement: Units: FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
Revenue:
Existing Products:
Xyrem Sales: $M $ 578.6 $ 766.6 $ 975.1 $ 1,205.9 $ 1,447.1 $ 1,709.4 $ 1,975.3 $ 276.3 $ 301.4 $ 301.4
Erwinaze Sales: $M 203.4 234.2 266.6 300.7 336.7 346.8 385.8 397.3 439.6 452.7
Defitelio Sales: $M 57.8 79.8 107.1 140.7 182.0 209.3 240.7 276.9 318.4 366.1
Other Sales and Royalties: $M 142.0 156.2 168.7 182.1 193.1 204.7 214.9 225.6 234.7 244.0
Risk-Adjusted Pipeline Drug Sales:
JZP-110 Sales: $M - - - 18.1 43.4 76.9 88.9 135.6 152.3 196.1
JZP-386 Sales: $M - - - - - - - - - -
Total Revenue: $M 981.8 1,236.7 1,517.4 1,847.6 2,202.3 2,547.1 2,905.6 1,311.7 1,446.4 1,560.5
Revenue Growth: % 12.5% 26.0% 22.7% 21.8% 19.2% 15.7% 14.1% (54.9%) 10.3% 7.9%

Operating Income (EBIT): $M 266.7 563.2 716.8 895.2 1,088.2 1,286.5 1,477.1 549.9 616.9 674.2
Operating (EBIT) Margin: % 27.2% 45.5% 47.2% 48.5% 49.4% 50.5% 50.8% 41.9% 42.6% 43.2%

Net Income: $M $ 178.8 $ 430.6 $ 556.6 $ 719.2 $ 877.5 $ 1,054.8 $ 1,211.2 $ 450.9 $ 505.8 $ 552.8
Effective Tax Rate: % 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0%

Diluted Shares Outstanding: $M 64.4 67.5 70.6 73.9 77.4 81.0 84.8 88.8 92.9 97.2
Diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS): $ as Stated $ 2.77 $ 6.38 $ 7.88 $ 9.73 $ 11.34 $ 13.02 $ 14.29 $ 5.08 $ 5.44 $ 5.68

EBITDA: $M $ 527.1 $ 695.5 $ 847.8 $ 1,029.8 $ 1,224.0 $ 1,410.1 $ 1,606.8 $ 665.0 $ 734.9 $ 795.1
EBITDA Margin: % 53.7% 56.2% 55.9% 55.7% 55.6% 55.4% 55.3% 50.7% 50.8% 51.0%

Goldman Stanley 8
Management Case Financial Projections
($ USD in Millions except for $ per Share Figures)

Projected
Income Statement: Units: FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
Revenue:
Existing Products:
Xyrem Sales: $M $ 773.7 $ 1,083.1 $ 1,455.7 $ 1,902.2 $ 2,391.3 $ 2,959.2 $ 3,551.1 $ 4,218.7 $ 376.8 $ 376.8
Erwinaze Sales: $M 203.4 234.2 266.6 300.7 336.7 346.8 385.8 397.3 439.6 452.7
Defitelio Sales: $M 57.8 79.8 107.1 140.7 182.0 209.3 240.7 276.9 318.4 366.1
Other Sales and Royalties: $M 142.0 156.2 168.7 182.1 193.1 204.7 214.9 225.6 234.7 244.0
Risk-Adjusted Pipeline Drug Sales:
JZP-110 Sales: $M - - - 28.5 71.7 133.2 159.8 253.1 292.7 387.8
JZP-386 Sales: $M - - - - - - - - - -
Total Revenue: $M 1,176.9 1,553.3 1,998.0 2,554.3 3,174.8 3,853.2 4,552.3 5,371.6 1,662.1 1,827.6
Revenue Growth: % 34.9% 32.0% 28.6% 27.8% 24.3% 21.4% 18.1% 18.0% (69.1%) 10.0%

Operating Income (EBIT): $M 380.8 754.7 1,003.9 1,312.6 1,657.1 2,044.0 2,424.9 2,870.7 739.4 825.0
Operating (EBIT) Margin: % 32.4% 48.6% 50.2% 51.4% 52.2% 53.0% 53.3% 53.4% 44.5% 45.1%

Net Income: $M $ 272.4 $ 587.6 $ 792.0 $ 1,061.5 $ 1,344.0 $ 1,675.9 $ 1,988.4 $ 2,353.9 $ 606.3 $ 676.5
Effective Tax Rate: % 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0%

Diluted Shares Outstanding: $M 64.4 67.5 70.6 73.9 77.4 81.0 84.8 88.8 92.9 97.2
Diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS): $ as Stated $ 4.23 $ 8.71 $ 11.21 $ 14.36 $ 17.37 $ 20.69 $ 23.45 $ 26.52 $ 6.53 $ 6.96

EBITDA: $M $ 642.0 $ 888.6 $ 1,137.7 $ 1,452.2 $ 1,800.7 $ 2,179.4 $ 2,571.1 $ 3,030.4 $ 860.0 $ 949.4
EBITDA Margin: % 54.6% 57.2% 56.9% 56.9% 56.7% 56.6% 56.5% 56.4% 51.7% 52.0%

Goldman Stanley 9
Revenue and EBITDA: Management Case vs. Base Case
($ USD in Billions)

Revenue Projections
$6.0 B $5.4 B
$5.0 B $4.6 B
$3.9 B
$4.0 B
$3.2 B
$3.0 B $2.6 B Management
$2.0 B $1.8 B Base
$2.0 B $1.6 B $1.7 B
$1.2 B
$1.0 B

$0.0 B
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23

EBITDA Projections
$3.5 B
$3.0 B
$3.0 B
$2.6 B
$2.5 B $2.2 B
$2.0 B $1.8 B
$1.5 B Management
$1.5 B $1.1 B
$0.9 B Base
$0.9 B $0.9 B
$1.0 B $0.6 B
$0.5 B
$0.0 B
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23

Goldman Stanley 10
Projected Xyrem Sales Pricing vs. Patient Growth
($ USD in Millions)

Goldman Stanley 11
Valuation Summary Base Case
($ USD in Dollars as Stated)
Jaguar Current Share Price(1):

Public Company Comparables:


LTM EV / Revenue:
2014-12-31 E EV / Revenue:
2015-12-31 E EV / Revenue:
LTM EV / EBITDA:
2014-12-31 E EV / EBITDA:
2015-12-31 E EV / EBITDA:
LTM Reported P / E:
2014-12-31 E Reported P / E:
25th to Median
2015-12-31 E Reported P / E:
Median to 75th
Precedent Transactions:
LTM EV / Revenue:
LTM EV / EBITDA:
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis:
7.0% - 9.0% Discount Rate, (1.0%)
1.0% Terminal FCF Growth Rate:
$0.00 $50.00 $100.00 $150.00 $200.00 $250.00 $300.00
Implied Share Price

All market data as of May 9, 2014


Given that Jaguars revenue growth, EBITDA growth, and EBITDA margins exceed those of its peer
companies, we believe a valuation in the 75th percentile to maximum of the set is justified

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 12


Valuation Summary Management Case
($ USD in Dollars as Stated)
Jaguar Current Share Price(1):

Public Company Comparables:


LTM EV / Revenue:
2014-12-31 E EV / Revenue:
2015-12-31 E EV / Revenue:
LTM EV / EBITDA:
2014-12-31 E EV / EBITDA:
2015-12-31 E EV / EBITDA:
LTM Reported P / E:
2014-12-31 E Reported P / E:
25th to Median
2015-12-31 E Reported P / E:
Median to 75th
Precedent Transactions:
LTM EV / Revenue:
LTM EV / EBITDA:
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis:
7.0% - 9.0% Discount Rate, (1.0%)
1.0% Terminal FCF Growth Rate:
$0.00 $50.00 $100.00 $150.00 $200.00 $250.00 $300.00
Implied Share Price

All market data as of May 9, 2014


The rest of this discussion will utilize the Management Case projections; these figures imply a
valuation closer to $200 per share

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 13


Jaguar Comparable Public Companies
Specialty Pharmaceutical Companies That Sell Primarily Branded Drugs, with LTM Revenue Between $500 Million and $2 Billion

($ USD in Billions)

Comparable Public Companies Revenue and EBITDA, CY 2014E CY 2015E(1)


$3.0 B

$2.5 B

$2.0 B
CY 2014E
$1.5 B
CY 2015E
$1.0 B

$0.5 B

$0.0 B

$1.4 B
$1.2 B
$1.0 B
$0.8 B
$0.6 B
CY 2014E
$0.4 B
CY 2015E
$0.2 B
$0.0 B
($0.2 B)
($0.4 B)
($0.6 B)

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 14


Jaguar Comparable Public Companies
Specialty Pharmaceutical Companies That Sell Primarily Branded Drugs, with LTM Revenue Between $500 Million and $2 Billion

Comparable Public Companies Growth and Valuation Multiples, CY 2014E CY 2015E(1)

Revenue Growth, CY 2014E - CY EBITDA Growth, CY 2014E - CY


2015E 2015E
120% 111% 160%
137%
100% 140%
120%
80%
100%
60% 80%
38% 60%
40% 32% 38% 41%
23% 21% 18% 40%
22%
20% 11% 14% 10%
6% 20%
NM NM
0% 0%

CY 2015E Revenue Multiples CY 2015E EBITDA Multiples


14.0 x 100.0 x
11.6 x 11.6 x 90.0 x 85.8 x
12.0 x
80.0 x
9.7 x
10.0 x 70.0 x
8.0 x 60.0 x
5.9 x 50.0 x
6.0 x 4.8 x 40.0 x
4.1 x
4.0 x 3.4 x 30.0 x 22.7 x
20.5 x
1.9 x 20.0 x
2.0 x 9.2 x 10.2 x 6.8 x 10.0 x
10.0 x NM
0.0 x 0.0 x

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 15


Jaguar Precedent Transactions
North American Pharmaceutical Sellers with Between $200 Million and $2 Billion In LTM Revenue, Jan. 1, 2009 May 9, 2014

($ USD in Millions)

Jaguar - Comparable M&A Transactions Operating Metrics Valuation Multiples


Transaction Transaction EV / EV /
Equity Enterprise LTM LTM LTM LTM
Acquirer Name Target Name Date Value Value Revenue EBITDA Revenue EBITDA
Mallinckrodt plc Questcor Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 2014-04-07 $ 5,291 $ 4,802 $ 891 $ 517 5.4 x 9.3 x
Forest Laboratories Inc. Aptalis Holdings Inc. 2014-01-08 2,900 2,900 688 315 4.2 x 9.2 x
Shire Pharmaceutical Holdings Ireland Limited ViroPharma Inc. 2013-11-11 4,200 4,097 430 59 9.5 x 69.0 x
Salix Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Santarus, Inc. 2013-11-07 2,600 1,980 338 82 5.9 x 24.3 x
Endo Health Solutions Inc. Paladin Labs Inc. 2013-11-05 1,600 1,348 264 93 5.1 x 14.5 x
Akorn, Inc. Hi-Tech Pharmacal Co., Inc. 2013-08-27 640 536 231 48 2.3 x 11.3 x
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International, Inc. Medicis Pharmaceutical Corporation 2012-09-03 2,600 2,329 764 191 3.1 x 12.2 x
TPG Capital, L.P. Par Pharmaceutical Companies Inc. 2012-07-16 1,900 1,976 1,035 237 1.9 x 8.3 x
Novartis AG Fougera Pharmaceuticals Inc. 2012-05-02 1,525 1,525 429 173 3.6 x 8.8 x
Takeda Pharmaceuticals U.S.A., Inc. URL Pharma, Inc. 2012-04-11 800 800 600 76 1.3 x 10.5 x
Genomma Lab Internacional SAB de CV Prestige Brands Holdings, Inc. 2012-02-21 834 1,263 403 119 3.1 x 10.6 x
Nestl Health Science S.A. Prometheus Laboratories Inc. 2011-05-24 745 659 519 139 1.3 x 4.7 x
Pfizer Inc. King Pharmaceuticals LLC 2010-10-12 3,600 3,225 1,565 349 2.1 x 9.2 x
Endo Pharmaceuticals Holdings Inc. Qualitest Pharmaceuticals 2010-09-28 1,200 1,176 309 58 3.8 x 20.2 x
Celgene Corporation Abraxis BioScience, Inc. 2010-06-30 2,923 2,789 397 (23) 7.0 x NM
Astellas US Holding, Inc. OSI Pharmaceuticals Inc. 2010-05-16 4,000 3,414 441 176 7.7 x 19.4 x
Dainippon Sumitomo Pharma America Holdings, Inc. Sepracor, Inc. 2009-09-03 2,600 2,347 1,334 306 1.8 x 7.7 x
GlaxoSmithKline plc Stiefel Laboratories, Inc. 2009-04-20 3,050 3,450 900 288 3.8 x 12.0 x

Maximum $ 4,802 $ 1,565 $ 517 9.5 x 69.0 x


75th Percentile 3,144 859 275 5.3 x 14.5 x
Median $ 2,154 $ 480 $ 156 3.7 x 10.6 x
25th Percentile 1,284 399 78 2.1 x 9.2 x
Minimum 536 231 (23) 1.3 x 4.7 x

Goldman Stanley 16
Jaguar DCF Analysis Free Cash Flow Projections
($ USD in Millions)

Projected Normalized
Unlevered Free Cash Flow Projections: Units: FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24

Revenue: $M $ 1,176.9 $ 1,553.3 $ 1,998.0 $ 2,554.3 $ 3,174.8 $ 3,853.2 $ 4,552.3 $ 5,371.6 $ 1,662.1 $ 1,827.6 $ 1,919.0
Annual Revenue Growth Rate: % 34.9% 32.0% 28.6% 27.8% 24.3% 21.4% 18.1% 18.0% (69.1%) 10.0% 5.0%
Operating Income (EBIT): $M 380.8 754.7 1,003.9 1,312.6 1,657.1 2,044.0 2,424.9 2,870.7 739.4 825.0 964.2
Annual Operating Margin: % 32.4% 48.6% 50.2% 51.4% 52.2% 53.0% 53.3% 53.4% 44.5% 45.1% 45.0%

Less: Taxes, Excluding Effect of Interest: $M (68.5) (135.8) (180.7) (236.3) (298.3) (367.9) (436.5) (516.7) (133.1) (148.5) (173.6)

Net Operating Profit After Tax (NOPAT): $M 312.3 618.8 823.2 1,076.4 1,358.8 1,676.1 1,988.4 2,353.9 606.3 676.5 790.6

Total Adjustments for Non-Cash Charges: $M 265.3 138.0 137.9 143.7 147.7 139.4 150.3 163.9 124.7 128.5 29.0

Total Changes in Operating Assets & Liabilities: $M (32.4) (57.4) (53.3) (67.1) (75.8) (84.7) (87.2) (103.0) 453.0 (21.5) (11.0)
% Change in Revenue: % (10.6%) (15.2%) (12.0%) (12.1%) (12.2%) (12.5%) (12.5%) (12.6%) (12.2%) (13.0%) (12.0%)

Less: Capital Expenditures: $M (14.1) (20.2) (28.0) (38.3) (50.8) (65.5) (81.9) (102.1) (33.2) (38.4) (38.4)
% Revenue: % 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.1% 2.0%

Annual Unlevered Free Cash Flow: $M 531.1 679.3 879.8 1,114.6 1,379.9 1,665.3 1,969.5 2,312.7 1,150.8 745.1 770.3
Unlevered Free Cash Flow for Remaining Quarters: $M 464.7 679.3 879.8 1,114.6 1,379.9 1,665.3 1,969.5 2,312.7 1,150.8 745.1 770.3
Present Value of Free Cash Flow: $M 453.2 621.5 744.8 873.2 1,000.3 1,117.0 1,222.4 1,328.2 611.6 366.4 350.5

Normal Discount Period: Year Frac. 0.647 1.647 2.647 3.647 4.647 5.647 6.647 7.647 8.647 9.647 10.647
Mid-Year Discount Period: Year Frac. 0.323 1.147 2.147 3.147 4.147 5.147 6.147 7.147 8.147 9.147 10.147

Annual Free Cash Flow Growth Rate: % 79.5% 27.9% 29.5% 26.7% 23.8% 20.7% 18.3% 17.4% (50.2%) (35.2%) 3.4%

Annual EBITDA: $M 642.0 888.6 1,137.7 1,452.2 1,800.7 2,179.4 2,571.1 3,030.4 860.0 949.4 989.1
Annual EBITDA Growth Rate: % 50.6% 38.4% 28.0% 27.6% 24.0% 21.0% 18.0% 17.9% (71.6%) 10.4% 15.0%

Goldman Stanley 17
Jaguar DCF Analysis Implied Share Price Calculations
($ USD in Millions except for $ per Share Figures)
Terminal Value - Multiples Method: Terminal Value - Perpetuity Growth Method:

Baseline Terminal EBITDA Multiple: 12.0 x Baseline Terminal FCF Growth Rate: 1.0%
Baseline Terminal Value: $ 11,393.4 Baseline Terminal Value: $ 11,393.4
Implied Terminal FCF Growth Rate: 1.0% Implied Terminal EBITDA Multiple: 12.0 x

PV of Terminal Value: 5,389.6 PV of Terminal Value: 5,389.6


Sum of PV of Free Cash Flows: 8,338.5 Sum of PV of Free Cash Flows: 8,338.5
Implied Enterprise Value: $ 13,728.1 Implied Enterprise Value: $ 13,728.1

% of Implied EV from Terminal Value: 39.3% % of Implied EV from Terminal Value: 39.3%

Plus: Cash & Cash-Equivalents(1): $ 251.4 Plus: Cash & Cash-Equivalents(1): $ 251.4
Plus: Equity Investments(1): - Plus: Equity Investments(1): -
Plus: Other Non-Core Assets, Net(1): - Plus: Other Non-Core Assets, Net(1): -
(1) (1)
Plus: Net Operating Losses : 71.4 Plus: Net Operating Losses : 71.4
(1) (1)
Less: Total Debt : (1,198.6) Less: Total Debt : (1,198.6)
Less: Preferred Stock(1): - Less: Preferred Stock(1): -
Less: Noncontrolling Interests(1): (17.6) Less: Noncontrolling Interests(1): (17.6)
Less: Unfunded Pensions(1): - Less: Unfunded Pensions(1): -
Less: Capital Leases(1): - Less: Capital Leases(1): -
Less: Restructuring & Other Liab. (1): - Less: Restructuring & Other Liab. (1): -
Implied Equity Value: 12,834.6 Implied Equity Value: 12,834.6

Diluted Shares Outstanding: 63.452 Diluted Shares Outstanding: 63.452

Implied Share Price from DCF: $ 202.27 Implied Share Price from DCF: $ 202.27
Premium / (Discount) to Current(1): 56.3% Premium / (Discount) to Current(1): 56.3%

Exercise Exercise
Type: Number: Price: Dilution: Type: Number: Price: Dilution:
Options A: 0.604 $ 7.37 0.582 Options A: 0.604 $ 7.37 0.582
Options B: 0.948 4.00 0.929 Options B: 0.948 4.00 0.929
Options C: 1.590 26.09 1.385 Options C: 1.590 26.09 1.385
RSUs: 1.164 1.164 RSUs: 1.164 1.164
Total: 4.306 4.060 Total: 4.306 4.060

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 18


Jaguar DCF Analysis Sensitivities
($ USD in Dollars as Stated)

Sensitivity - Terminal FCF Growth Rate vs. Discount Rate and Implied Share Price from DCF Analysis:

Terminal FCF Growth Rate:


20227.2% (2.0%) (1.5%) (1.0%) (0.5%) - 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0%
6.5% $ 207.35 $ 212.35 $ 218.01 $ 224.49 $ 231.96 $ 240.68 $ 250.98 $ 263.34 $ 278.44
7.0% 196.54 200.79 205.58 211.01 217.21 224.37 232.72 242.59 254.43
7.5% 186.76 190.41 194.49 199.08 204.28 210.23 217.09 225.09 234.54
8.0% 177.89 181.03 184.53 188.44 192.84 197.83 203.52 210.10 217.77
Discount Rate
8.5% 169.78 172.51 175.53 178.88 182.63 186.84 191.62 197.09 203.39
(WACC):
9.0% 162.34 164.72 167.34 170.23 173.45 177.04 181.08 185.66 190.90
9.5% 155.48 157.57 159.85 162.36 165.14 168.22 171.67 175.54 179.94
10.0% 149.14 150.98 152.98 155.17 157.57 160.24 163.19 166.50 170.22
10.5% 143.26 144.88 146.64 148.55 150.65 152.97 155.52 158.36 161.53

Sensitivity - Terminal EBITDA Multiple vs. Discount Rate and Implied Share Price from DCF Analysis:

Terminal EBITDA Multiple:


20227.2% 8.0 x 9.0 x 10.0 x 11.0 x 12.0 x 13.0 x 14.0 x 15.0 x 16.0 x
6.5% $ 192.32 $ 200.44 $ 208.56 $ 216.68 $ 224.80 $ 232.92 $ 241.04 $ 249.16 $ 257.28
7.0% 186.25 194.01 201.77 209.53 217.29 225.05 232.81 240.57 248.34
7.5% 180.42 187.84 195.26 202.68 210.10 217.52 224.94 232.36 239.77
8.0% 174.82 181.92 189.01 196.11 203.20 210.30 217.39 224.48 231.58
Discount Rate
8.5% 169.45 176.23 183.02 189.80 196.59 203.37 210.16 216.94 223.73
(WACC):
9.0% 164.28 170.77 177.26 183.75 190.24 196.74 203.23 209.72 216.21
9.5% 159.32 165.53 171.74 177.95 184.16 190.37 196.58 202.79 209.00
10.0% 154.54 160.49 166.43 172.38 178.32 184.26 190.21 196.15 202.09
10.5% 149.96 155.65 161.33 167.02 172.71 178.40 184.09 189.78 195.47

Goldman Stanley 19
Other Valuation Considerations
Results Implications and Examples

Jaguars corporate status in Ireland Salix Pharmaceuticals: Reduced tax


makes it an attractive candidate for a rate would increase CY2015E Net
tax inversion deal Income from ~$450 million to ~$567
million, and would add $2 billion to
Corporate Headquarters in
Effective tax rate of 18% vs. statutory companys Equity Value and
Ireland and Lower Effective
US rate of 35-40% could effectively Enterprise Value
Tax Rate
add billions in value for the right
acquirer $2 billion represents $31.52 per share
for Jaguar

Premiums Paid analysis for Actavis / Forest Labs: 31% premium


comparable transactions indicates paid over average 10-day price prior
per-share premium of 30-40% in to deal
Alternative Valuation recent deals
Methodologies May Provide Mallinckrodt / Cadence: 32%
Additional Insight Into Implied valuation is significantly premium paid over average 30-day
Jaguars Intrinsic Value higher than multiples analysis from price
comparable public companies and
precedent transactions Salix / Santarus: 39% premium paid
over average 30-day price

Goldman Stanley 20
Jaguars Corporate Structure Provides Advantages to Partners
Ireland
Italy

Jaguar Public Limited U.S.A.


Company Bermuda
Switzerland

Jaguar Investments I
Jaguar Italy S.p.A. Jaguar, Inc. Jaguar Financing I, Ltd.
Limited

Jaguar (EUSA Pharma Jaguar International III


Gentium S.p.A. JPI Commercial, LLC
USA) Inc. Limited

Gentium Gmbh Pharmelle LLC

AxCell Biosciences
Prostagen, Inc.
Corporation

Goldman Stanley 21
Other Valuation Considerations
Jaguar is also trading at a discount to recent stock price highs:

One-Year Price History, May 9, 2013 - May 9, 2014


$200.00 6M
$180.00
5M

Shares Traded (in Millions)


$160.00
$140.00
4M
Share Price

$120.00
$100.00 3M
$80.00
2M
$60.00
$40.00
1M
$20.00
$0.00 0M

Volume Traded Share Price

Given the stock price run-up over the past year, it may or may not be realistic to aim for the all-time high; however, the
valuation methodologies imply that a per-share price in that range is plausible

Goldman Stanley 22
Summary Profile of Equity Shareholders

Commentary:
Banks / Investment
Gross Common Share Count: 55,751,243(1) Banks: Other:
Individuals / 4% 2%
Major institutional investors represent Insiders:
approximately 40% of share ownership 4%

Largest institutional shareholders include:


Putnam: 6,102,213 (10.5%) Hedge Funds:
Fidelity: 5,333,862 (9.2%) 9%
Vanguard: 3,162,658 (5.5%)
Janus Capital: 2,709,782 (4.7%)

Insider ownership represents approximately 4%


of shares outstanding:
Seamus Mulligan (Director): 1,453,305 (2.5%)
Bruce Cozadd (CEO): 471,310 (0.8%)
Kathryn Falberg (ex-CFO): 95,137 (0.2%)
Investment
Managers:
Given the lack of activist investors and the high
percentage of shares held by traditional 81%
investment managers, the chances of a
challenge to a potential deal are low

Source: Company proxy statements, investor filings, and Capital IQ.


Goldman Stanley (1) As of March 31, 2014 10-Q filing. 23
Valuation Conclusions

The companys margins and growth rates exceed those of its peer companies,
75th Percentile
#1 indicating that it should be valued in-line with the 75th percentile of the
Valuation is Justified
comparable company set

This price represents a 50%+ premium to Jaguars current share price; greater
#2 Goal: $200 / Share
upside might be possible with a highly complementary partner

Discounted Cash Flow Implied value is between $170 and $240 / share, based on a conservative
#3
(DCF) Analysis Discount Rate and Terminal Value and Managements financial projections

Premiums Paid Premiums Paid indicate a median 30-day average price premium of ~40%,
#4
Analysis implying a per-share value of $190 for Jaguar

Goldman Stanley 24
Potential Strategic Partners

Goldman Stanley 25
Potential Strategic Partners

Size, ability to pay, tax/corporate headquarters status, product/pipeline, and strategic fit should all be considered

US-headquartered partners are ideal since tax rates are highest there; several Canadian and Israeli companies could
also qualify since tax rates are also higher than those in the UK and Ireland

Both branded and generics companies should be considered, in light of recent M&A activity

Tier 1 Potential Partners Tier 2 Potential Partners

Market Cap: Significantly larger than Jaguar Closer to Jaguars size

Headquarters and Tax US-based with US corporate tax US-based with US corporate tax
Status: rates rates

Strategic Fit: Solid product and pipeline fit Solid product and pipeline fit

Goldman Stanley 26
Potential Strategic Partners

Tier 1 Potential Partners

Tier 2 Potential Partners

Goldman Stanley 27
Overview of Tier 1 Potential Partners
($ USD in Billions)
Potential Market Debt & Enterprise Leverage Strategic Ability to
Partner: Cap(1): NCI(1): Cash(1): Value(1): Ratio(1): Fit: Pay: Comments:
Primarily < $1B acquisitions
$36.3 $8.7 $0.3 $44.7 3.6 x in the past; rumors of
Actavis and Forest Labs
Primarily < $100 million
$84.6 $32.0 $19.8 $96.8 4.3 x acquisitions, except for $10
billion Onyx deal
Last deals over $1 billion
$81.7 $7.7 $7.1 $82.4 1.7 x took place 2-3 years ago;
smaller recent acquisitions
Last major deal was
$121.0 $10.1 $6.5 $124.6 1.4 x Pharmasset ($11 billion) two
years ago
Typically does only very
$281.0 $17.3 $29.4 $268.9 0.7 x small tuck-in deals

Has completed primarily


$62.9 $5.3 $5.2 $63.0 0.8 x smaller, tuck-in M&A deals
over the past 2-3 years
Last major deals were 5
$160.2 $30.8 $20.5 $170.5 1.9 x years ago; rumors of interest
in Cubist Pharmaceuticals
Mostly minor deals except
$44.0 $17.5 $0.6 $60.9 5.6 x for $8.7 billion acquisition of
Bausch & Lomb last year

No major recent deals;


$186.1 $37.5 $33.9 $189.6 1.7 x announced $10 billion buy-
back plan last year

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 28


Company Profile: Allergan
($ USD in Billions) Business Description Management Team
Allergan plc develops, manufactures, and distributes generic, Paul Bisaro Executive Chairman
branded, biosimilar, and over-the-counter (OTC) pharmaceutical Brenton Saunders CEO
products. It operates in three segments: North American Brands, Maria Hilado CFO
North American Generics and International, and Anda Distribution. James DArecca CAO
A. Robert Bailey CLO
The company also develops and out-licenses generic Jonathon Kellerman EVP
Allergan pharmaceutical products primarily in Europe through its third-party John Kelly EVP
Headquarters: Parsippany, NJ business, and it sells its generic and brand pharmaceutical products Sigurd Kirk EVP, Bus. Dev.
Employees: 21,600 primarily to drug wholesalers, retailers, and distributors.
Founded: 1983

Financial Information(1) Business Segments and Product Lines Key Partners


Market Cap: $36.3 North American Brands Provides patented and off-patent Amgen Biosimilar versions of
Cash: $0.3 trademarked pharmaceutical products primarily under the Herceptin, Avastin, Rituxan/Mab
Debt, Preferred & NCI: $8.7 Dalvance, Bystolic, Canasa, Carafate, Daliresp, Fetzima, Thera, and Erbitux
LTM Revenue: $9.4 Linzess, Namenda, Namenda XR, Saphris, Teflaro, Viibryd,
LTM EBITDA: $2.4 Actonel, Asacol HD, Atelvia, Delzicol, Doryx, Estrace Cream, Ironwood Pharmaceuticals
CY 2014E Revenue: $12.9 Enablex, Lo Loestrin Fe, and Minastrin 24 Fe brands. Commercial development of
CY 2014E EBITDA: $3.8 Linzessfor
CY 2015E Revenue: $13.5 North American Generics and International Develops,
CY 2015E EBITDA: $4.2 manufactures, and sells generic, branded generic, and OTC Sanofi-Aventis
pharmaceutical products.
One-Year Price History(1) Trevena Development of
$250.00 16 M
Anda Distribution Distributes generic and brand TRV027
14 M
pharmaceutical products primarily to independent pharmacies,
$200.00
12 M pharmacy chains and buying groups, and physicians offices.
Shares Traded (in Millions)

10 M
Share Price

$150.00

8M

$100.00
6M

4M
$50.00
2M

$0.00 0M

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 29


Company Profile: Amgen
($ USD in Billions) Business Description Management Team
Amgen Inc., a biotechnology company, discovers, develops, Robert Bradway Chairman & CEO
manufactures, and delivers human therapeutics worldwide. It David Meline CFO
focuses on the treatment of illness in the areas of oncology, M. Balachandran EVP, Operations
hematology, inflammation, bone health, nephrology, cardiovascular, Anetta L. Such CAO
and general medicine. Diana McKenzie CIO
Cynthia Patton CCO
Amgen The company serves pharmaceutical wholesale distributors; and
Headquarters: California physicians or their clinics, dialysis centers, hospitals, and
Employees: 17,900 pharmacies, as well as consumers. It also develops various
Founded: 1980 products that are in various stages of clinical trials.

Financial Information(1) Business Segments and Product Lines Key Partners


Market Cap: $84.6 Neulasta A pegylated protein to decrease the incidence of Xencor Strategic collaboration
Cash: $19.8 infection associated with chemotherapy-induced febrile
Debt, Preferred & NCI: $32.0 neutropenia in cancer patients AstraZeneca, Takeda
LTM Revenue: $19.0 Pharmaceutical, UCB, Novartis,
LTM EBITDA: $7.6 NEUPOGEN A recombinant-methionyl human granulocyte Bayer Healthcare
CY 2014E Revenue: $20.2 colony-stimulating factor for reducing the incidence of infection Pharmaceuticals Collaborative
CY 2014E EBITDA: $9.1 as manifested by febrile neutropenia for patients with non- agreements
CY 2015E Revenue: $21.4 myeloid malignancies
CY 2015E EBITDA: $11.2
Enbrel Treatment for rheumatoid arthritis, plaque psoriasis,
One-Year Price History(1) and psoriatic arthritis in adult patients

Other Products EPOGEN (Dialysis), Aranesp (anemia),


$140.00 14 M

$120.00 12 M

XGEVA (prevention of skeletal problems), Prolia (osteoporosis),


Shares Traded (in Millions)

$100.00 10 M

Sensipar/Mimpara (chronic kidney disease), Kyprolis (lung


Share Price

$80.00 8M

$60.00 6M cancer), Nplate (thrombopoietic compound),Vectibix (human


$40.00 4M
monoclonal antibody), and BLINCYTO (leukemia)
$20.00 2M

$0.00 0M

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 30


Company Profile: Bristol-Myers Squibb
($ USD in Billions) Business Description Management Team
Bristol-Myers Squibb Company discovers, develops, licenses, Giovanni Caforio CEO
manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells biopharmaceutical Charles Bancroft CFO
products worldwide. Francis Cuss CSO
Paul Von Autenried CIO
It provides chemically-synthesized drugs or small molecules, and Anne Nielsen CCO
biologics in various therapeutic areas, including virology comprising Emmanuel Blin SVP
Bristol-Myers-Squibb human immunodeficiency virus infection (HIV); oncology; Joseph Caldarella SVP/Controller
Headquarters: New York neuroscience; immunoscience; and cardiovascular.
Employees: 25,000
Founded: 1887

Financial Information(1) Business Segments and Product Lines Key Partners


Market Cap: $81.7 Currently Available Products Baraclude (Chronic hepatitis Gilead Licensing agreements
Cash: $7.1 B); Daklinza (hepatitis C); Reyataz and Sustiva (HIV); Erbitux and co-development/co-promotion
Debt, Preferred & NCI: $7.7 (IgG1 monoclonal antibody); Sprycel (multi-targeted tyrosine agreements
LTM Revenue: $16.4 kinase inhibitor); Yervoy (metastatic melanoma); Abilify
LTM EBITDA: $4.3 (schizophrenia, bipolar mania disorder, and depressive disorder); Allergan Development and
CY 2014E Revenue: $15.9 Orencia (rheumatoid arthritis); Eliquis (stroke prevention in atrial commercialization
CY 2014E EBITDA: $4.0 fibrillation)
CY 2015E Revenue: $16.0 AstraZeneca, Pfizer Co-
CY 2015E EBITDA: $3.8 Development-Stage Products Opdivo (human monoclonal development and co-promotion
antibody for lung cancer, renal cell cancer, and melanoma agreement
One-Year Price History(1) Phase III trials); Beclabuvir (HCV Phase III trials); Elotuzumab
$60.00 40 M
(multiple myeloma Phase III trials); BMS-663068 (HIV-1) FivePrime, Ambrx, Adaptive,
$50.00
35 M
The Medicines Company,
30 M Tibotec Co-development
Shares Traded (in Millions)

$40.00
25 M
agreements
Share Price

$30.00 20 M

15 M
$20.00

10 M
$10.00
5M

$0.00 0M

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 31


Company Profile: Gilead Sciences
($ USD in Billions) Business Description Management Team
Gilead Sciences, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, John Martin Chairman & CEO
develops, and commercializes medicines in areas of unmet medical John Milligan President & COO
need in North America, South America, Europe, and the Asia- Robin Washington CFO
Pacific. It focuses on HIV treatment, liver disease, certain cancers, Norbert Bischofberger CSO
and other conditions such as cystic fibrosis. Brett Pletcher EVP
Muzammmil Mansuri EVP
Gilead Sciences The company markets its products through its commercial teams
Headquarters: California and/or in conjunction with third-party distributors and corporate
Employees: 7,000 partners.
Founded: 1987

Financial Information(1) Business Segments and Product Lines Key Partners


Market Cap: $121.0 HIV-Related Stribild, Complera/Eviplera, Atripla, Truvada, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company,
Cash: $6.5 Viread, Emtriva, Tybost, and Vitekta for treatment in adults Janssen R&D Ireland, and Japan
Debt, Preferred & NCI: $10.1 Tobacco Inc. Agreements to
LTM Revenue: $13.7 Liver Disease Harvoni, Sovaldi, Viread, and Hepsera develop and commercialize
LTM EBITDA: $7.1 various products
CY 2014E Revenue: $24.7 Other Products Zydelig (certain blood cancers); Letairis
CY 2014E EBITDA: $16.5 (pulmonary arterial hypertension); Ranexa (chronic angina);
CY 2015E Revenue: $31.2 Lexiscan/Rapiscan (pharmacologic stress agent); Cayston
CY 2015E EBITDA: $23.3 (cystic fibrosis); Tamiflu (influenza A and B); AmBisome (fungal
infections); Macugen (neovascular age-related macular
One-Year Price History(1) degeneration)

Development-Stage Products Pipeline drugs include ones


$90.00 50 M

$80.00 45 M

$70.00
40 M
targeted at HIV/AIDS, hepatitis B and hepatitis C,
Shares Traded (in Millions)

35 M
$60.00

inflammation/oncology, and serious cardiovascular and


Share Price

30 M
$50.00
25 M
$40.00
20 M respiratory conditions
$30.00
15 M
$20.00
10 M
$10.00 5M

$0.00 0M

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 32


Company Profile: Johnson & Johnson
($ USD in Billions) Business Description Management Team
Johnson & Johnson, together with its subsidiaries, researches and Alex Gorsky Chairman & CEO
develops, manufactures, and sells various products in the health Dominic Caruso CFO
care field worldwide. It operates in three segments: Consumer, Stephen Cosgrove CAO
Pharmaceutical, and Medical Devices. Paulus Stoffels CSO
Joaquin Duato Pharma. Chair
The company distributes its products to general public, retail outlets
Johnson & Johnson and distributors, wholesalers, hospitals, and health care
Headquarters: New Jersey professionals for prescription use in the professional fields by
Employees: 126,500 physicians, nurses, hospitals, and clinics.
Founded: 1885

Financial Information(1) Business Segments and Product Lines Key Partners


Market Cap: $281.0 Consumer Baby care and oral care products; skin care AstraZeneca, Bristol-Myers
Cash: $29.4 products such as Aveeno, Clean & Clear, Dabao, Le Petite Squibb, and GalaxoSmithKline
Debt, Preferred & NCI: $17.3 Marseillais, Lubriderm, Neutrogena; womens health products Various development and
LTM Revenue: $71.9 such as Stayfree and Carefree; Tylenol, Sudafed, Benadryl, and distribution agreements for
LTM EBITDA: $23.7 Zyrtec pipeline drugs
CY 2014E Revenue: $74.2
CY 2014E EBITDA: $24.8 Pharmaceutical Various products in immunology, infectious Takeda Pharmaceutical
CY 2015E Revenue: $70.2 diseases, neuroscience, oncology, and cardiovascular and Development partnership for
CY 2015E EBITDA: $23.2 metabolic diseases small-molecule drugs

One-Year Price History(1) Medical Devices Orthopaedic, trauma, and neurological


$120.00 30 M
products; general surgery, and biosurgical and energy products;
$100.00 25 M
products to treat cardiovascular disease; infection prevention
products; diagnostics products; blood glucose monitoring and
Shares Traded (in Millions)

$80.00 20 M

insulin delivery products; and disposable contact lenses


Share Price

$60.00 15 M

$40.00 10 M

$20.00 5M

$0.00 0M

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 33


Company Profile: Eli Lilly
($ USD in Billions) Business Description Management Team
Eli Lilly and Company discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells John Lechleiter Chairman & CEO
pharmaceutical products worldwide. It operates through two Derica Rice CFO
segments, Human Pharmaceutical Products and Animal Health Donald Zakrowski CAO
Products. Jan Lundberg EVP
Stephen Fry SVP
Within the Pharmaceutical segment, it provides products for Melissa Barnes SVP
Eli Lilly endocrinology, neuroscience, cancer, and other conditions. Within Darren Carroll SVP
Headquarters: Indiana the Animal Health segment, it provides protein supplements, feed
Employees: 39,135 additives, and antibiotics for the treatment of various animal
Founded: 1876 infections.

Financial Information(1) Business Segments and Product Lines Key Partners


Market Cap: $62.9 Pharmaceutical Endocrinology products to treat diabetes; Zymeworks Licensing and
Cash: $5.2 osteoporosis; human growth hormone deficiency and pediatric collaboration agreement for bi-
Debt, Preferred & NCI: $5.3 growth conditions; testosterone deficiency; neuroscience specific cancer immunotherapies
LTM Revenue: $22.2 products; and positron emission tomography imaging of beta-
LTM EBITDA: $6.4 amyloid neurotic plaques in adult brains; products for the AstraZeneca Co-development
CY 2014E Revenue: $19.4 treatment of non-small cell lung, colorectal, head and neck, and co-commercialization
CY 2014E EBITDA: $4.6 pancreatic, metastatic breast, ovarian, bladder, and metastatic agreement for Alzheimers disease
CY 2015E Revenue: $19.9 gastric cancers, as well as malignant pleural mesothelioma; and treatment
CY 2015E EBITDA: $5.3 cardiovascular products for the treatment of erectile dysfunction
and benign prostatic hyperplasia, thrombotic cardiovascular Hanmi Pharmaceutical
One-Year Price History(1) events, and cardiac ischemic complications Licensing and collaboration
agreement for autoimmune
Animal Health Cattle feed additives; protein supplements for
$70.00 30 M

$60.00
diseases
25 M

cows; leanness and performance enhancers for swine, cattle,


Shares Traded (in Millions)

$50.00
20 M
and poultry; antibiotics to treat respiratory and other diseases in
Share Price

$40.00
15 M
$30.00 cattle, swine, and poultry; anticoccidial agents for poultry; and
10 M
$20.00
chewable tablets that kill fleas and prevent diseases; products to
5M
$10.00
treat chronic manifestations of atopic dermatitis and congestive
$0.00 0M
heart failure in dogs, and chronic allergic dermatitis and kidney
diseases in cats

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 34


Company Profile: Merck & Co.
($ USD in Billions) Business Description Management Team
Merck & Co., Inc. provides health care solutions worldwide. The Kenneth Frazier Chairman & CEO
company offer therapeutic and preventive agents, neuromuscular Robert Davis CFO
blocking agents for use in surgery, anti-bacterial products for skin Rita Karachun SVP
and skin structure infections, and a variety of cancer drugs and Clark Golestani EVP & CIO
vaccines. Michael Holston EVP
Willie Deese EVP
Merck & Co. It also offers animal health products and vaccines, antibiotics, Richard DeLuca EVP
Headquarters: New Jersey ointments, and other drugs to prevent disease. The company serves Roger Perlmutter EVP
Employees: 68,805 drug wholesalers and retailers, hospitals, government entities and
Founded: 1891 agencies, physicians, physician distributors, veterinarians,
distributors, and animal producers.
Financial Information(1) Business Segments and Product Lines Key Partners
Market Cap: $160.2 Pharmaceutical Therapeutic and preventive agents to treat AstraZeneca Partnership to
Cash: $20.5 cardiovascular, type 2 diabetes, asthma, nasal allergy conduct joint phase 1 clinical trials
Debt, Preferred & NCI: $30.8 symptoms, allergic rhinitis, chronic hepatitis C virus, HIV-1 for treating solid cancer tumors
LTM Revenue: $43.6 infection, fungal infections, intra-abdominal infections,
LTM EBITDA: $15.8 hypertension, arthritis and pain, inflammatory, osteoporosis, Celera Co-development
CY 2014E Revenue: $41.8 male pattern hair loss, and fertility diseases; neuromuscular partnership for new osteoporosis
CY 2014E EBITDA: $14.7 blocking agents for use in surgery; anti-bacterial products for treatment
CY 2015E Revenue: $39.8 skin and skin structure infections; antidepressants; drugs for
CY 2015E EBITDA: $20.9 cancer patients and vaccines for various diseases Zymeworks Co-development
partnership for novel bi-specific
One-Year Price History(1) Animal Health Drugs for pneumonia in cattle, horses, and therapeutic antibodies
$70.00 60 M
swine; vaccines for poultry; parasiticide for sea lice in salmon;
$60.00
50 M
and antibiotics for, and vaccines against bacterial and viral
disease in fish; companion animal products, such as diabetes
Shares Traded (in Millions)

$50.00
40 M

mellitus treatment drugs and vaccines for dogs and cats;


Share Price

$40.00
30 M
$30.00 ointments for acute and chronic otitis; anthelmintic products;
20 M
$20.00
chewable tablets to kill fleas and ticks in dogs; and products for
10 M
$10.00
protection against bites from fleas, ticks, mosquitoes, and
$0.00 0M
sandflies

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 35


Company Profile: Valeant
($ USD in Billions) Business Description Management Team
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International, Inc. develops, manufactures, Michael Pearson Chairman & CEO
and markets pharmaceuticals, over-the-counter products, and Robert Rosiello CFO
medical devices worldwide. Robert Butz VP, Medical Affairs
Robert Chai-Onn EVP
The Company focuses on eye health, dermatology and neurology Deborah Jorn EVP
therapeutic classes, primarily on branded generics, OTC products Ari Kellen EVP
Valeant and medical devices. The Company operates through two Anne Whitaker EVP
Headquarters: Quebec segments: developed markets and emerging markets. Pavel Mirovsky President (Europe)
Employees: 16,800 Calvin Roberts CMO
Founded: 1983 It has a direct or indirect sales and marketing presence in over 100
countries.
Financial Information(1) Business Segments and Product Lines Key Partners
Market Cap: $44.0 Pharmaceuticals Solodyn (oral antibiotic), Wellbutrin XL, GlaxoSmithKline Worldwide
Cash: $0.6 Jublia, Xenazine (Huntingtons disease), Arestin, Zovirax, collaboration agreement for
Debt, Preferred & NCI: $17.5 Syprine, Elidel, Prolensa, and Duromine ezogabine / retigabine (epilepsy)
LTM Revenue: $6.6
LTM EBITDA: $3.2 Over the Counter PreserVision (supplement), CeraVe (skin Biovail Supplier for Xenazine
CY 2014E Revenue: $8.4 conditions), ReNu Multiplus (contact lenses), Biotrue, Ocuvite, tablets (Huntingtons disease)
CY 2014E EBITDA: $4.0 Boston solution, and Artelac (eye drops)
CY 2015E Revenue: $10.6 Kadmon Pharmaceuticals
CY 2015E EBITDA: $5.4 Medical Devices SofLens (disposable contact lenses), Development and
PureVision, Akreos and Crystalens, and surgical equipment commercialization agreement for
One-Year Price History(1) products, such as the VICTUS femtosecond laser and the taribavirin and ribavirin
$160.00 20 M
Stellaris PC, a vitreoretinal and cataract surgery system
18 M
$140.00

$120.00
16 M
Generics Tobramycin, Cardizem CD (hypertension and
Shares Traded (in Millions)

14 M
$100.00
angina), Retin-A Micro (acne), and Latanoprost (glaucoma and
Share Price

12 M

$80.00 10 M

$60.00
8M ocular hypertension)
6M
$40.00
4M
$20.00
2M

$0.00 0M

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 36


Company Profile: Pfizer
($ USD in Billions) Business Description Management Team
Pfizer Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells healthcare Ian Read Chairman & CEO
products worldwide. The company operates through the Global Frank DAmelio CFO & EVP
Innovative Pharmaceutical (GIP); Global Vaccines, Oncology and Michael Ehlers CSO
Consumer Healthcare (VOC); and Global Established Rady Johnson EVP
Pharmaceutical (GEP) segments. Robert Abraham Group SVP
Morris Birnbaum CSO
Pfizer Its key biopharmaceuticals include Lyrica, Prevnar, Enbrel,
Headquarters: New York Celebrex, Lipitor, Viagra, Zyvox, Sutent, EpiPen, Toviaz, Tygacil,
Employees: 78,300 Rapamune, Xalkori, Inlyta, Norvasc, the Premarin family of
Founded: 1849 products, Eliquis, and Xeljanz. Its biotechnology products include
BeneFIX, Genotropin, ReFacto, Xyntha, and Enbrel.
Financial Information(1) Business Segments and Product Lines Key Partners
Market Cap: $186.1 Global Innovative Pharmaceutical Develops, registers, and Bristol-Myers Squibb
Cash: $33.9 commercializes medicines for therapeutic areas, including Development and
Debt, Preferred & NCI: $37.5 inflammation, cardiovascular/metabolic, neuroscience and pain, commercialization agreement for
LTM Revenue: $50.5 rare diseases, and womens/mens health Eliquis (thromboembolic events)
LTM EBITDA: $22.4
CY 2014E Revenue: $49.4 Global Vaccines, Oncology, and Consumer Healthcare Merck Collaboration agreement
CY 2014E EBITDA: $20.7 Develops and commercializes vaccines, oncology products, for novel anti-cancer combination
CY 2015E Revenue: $48.3 over-the-counter dietary supplements, pain management regimen
CY 2015E EBITDA: $20.4 products, gastrointestinal products, respiratory products, and
personal care products Saniona Drug discovery
One-Year Price History(1) development and collaboration
$35.00 250 M
Global Established Pharmaceutical Offers patent-protected agreement for neurological
$30.00
products that have lost marketing exclusivity in various markets, disorders
200 M
generic pharmaceuticals, and sterile injectable and biosimilar
Shares Traded (in Millions)

$25.00

development products Philogen Development and


Share Price

150 M
$20.00

$15.00
100 M commercialization agreement for
$10.00

50 M
antibody and small molecule
$5.00
targeted therapies
$0.00 0M

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 37


Process Recommendations

Goldman Stanley 38
Key Recommendations

We recommend engaging in targeted discussions with the Tier 1 candidates and assessing their receptiveness to M&A
discussions

At the same time, Goldman Stanley will reach out to Tier 2 candidates and introduce Jaguar as a potential partner
M&A process with Tier 1 candidates will take significantly longer due to the scale of the companies, so we recommend
conducting both processes simultaneously

Depending on responses from Tier 1 and Tier 2 candidates, Goldman Stanley and Jaguar may do additional research to
determine other potential partners and then approach them

Targeted Sell-Side M&A Broad Sell-Side M&A

< 5 potential partners 10 100 potential partners

6 12 months Time required is highly variable

Close-ended Iterative process

Higher success probability Lower success probability

Goldman Stanley 39
Process Recommendations

Specialized Targeted
Highly Targeted Broad M&A
Negotiations With Discussions +
Process Process Broad
One Party Broader Search
Marketing

RECOMMENDED

Combination of targeted discussions plus


broader search conducted in background
maximizes success probability and
minimizes disruption to Jaguar

Additional parties contacted depend on


responsiveness of Tier 1 and Tier 2
partners

Interested parties would sign NDAs and


then proceed into due diligence and
valuation discussions with Jaguar

Goldman Stanley 40
Targeted Discussions Roles and Responsibilities

Goldman Stanley Legal Management Board

Determine potential Review draft DA Determine potential Determine process and


partners partners objectives
Phase I: Identify legal
Organization Finalize projections, CIM, issues/concerns Finalize projections, CIM, Approve Tier 1 and Tier
and mgmt presentation and mgmt presentation 2 partners to approach

Contact partners and Assist in NDA Prepare for management Receive process updates
negotiate NDAs negotiations meetings
Phase II:
Provide input/direction if
Contact and
Schedule management Assist in compiling legal Contact potential required
Marketing
meetings diligence items partners (if appropriate)

Conduct management Assist in reviewing initial Formulate synergies Receive process updates
Phase III:
meetings and solicit bids bids and follow-up
Business Due
diligence lists for legal Attend management Provide input/direction if
Diligence, Synergy
Discuss synergies and items meetings required
Discussions, and
facilitate diligence
Initial Bids
Answer diligence
requests
Review bids from Review bids, negotiate Review bids and assist Review bids and approve
Phase IV:
potential partners terms of DA, and assist with diligence agreement, if appropriate
Final Negotiations,
with confirmatory
Confirmatory
Negotiate terms of DA diligence Discuss contracts
Diligence, and
with top partners
Signings

Goldman Stanley 41
Process Timeline
Depending on the responsiveness of Tier 1 and Tier 2 partners, the process may take between 6 and 9 months to
complete:

Six-Month Timeline: JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV

Phase I:
Phase I
Organization

Phase II:
Phase II
Contact and Marketing

Phase III:
Business Due Diligence, Synergy Phase III
Discussions, and Initial Bids

Phase IV:
Final Negotiations, Confirmatory Phase IV
Diligence, and Signings

Goldman Stanley 42
Appendix

Goldman Stanley 43
Xyrem and Erwinaze Projections Management
($ USD in Millions except for $ per Patient Figures)

Projected
Revenue Assumptions: Units: FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23

Xyrem Assumptions: FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23

Total Market Size (# Potential Patients) - Xyrem: # People 157,000 157,000 157,000 157,000 157,000 157,000 157,000 157,000 157,000 157,000
# Patients On Medication at End of Year: # People
Average # of Patients Throughout the Year: # People 12,560 15,700 18,840 21,980 25,120 28,260 31,400 34,540 37,680 37,680
Growth Rate in # of Patients: % 18.2% 25.0% 20.0% 16.7% 14.3% 12.5% 11.1% 10.0% 9.1%

% of Market on Xyrem Medication: % 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% 20.0% 22.0% 24.0% 24.0%
Post-Toggle % of Market on Xyrem Medication: % 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% 20.0% 22.0% 24.0% 24.0%

Annual Price Per Patient - Xyrem: $ as Stated $ 61,598 $ 68,990 $ 77,269 $ 86,541 $ 95,195 $ 104,715 $ 113,092 $ 122,139 $ 10,000 $ 10,000
Growth Rate in Price per Patient: % 15.0% 12.0% 12.0% 12.0% 10.0% 10.0% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0% 6.0%
Post-Toggle Growth Rate in Price per Patient: % 15.0% 12.0% 12.0% 12.0% 10.0% 10.0% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0% 6.0%

Xyrem - Revenue: $M $ 773.7 $ 1,083.1 $ 1,455.7 $ 1,902.2 $ 2,391.3 $ 2,959.2 $ 3,551.1 $ 4,218.7 $ 376.8 $ 376.8
Annual Growth Rate: % 35.9% 40.0% 34.4% 30.7% 25.7% 23.8% 20.0% 18.8% (91.1%)

Erwinaze Assumptions: FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23

Total Market Size (# Potential Patients) - Erwinaze: # People 3,600 3,600 3,600 3,600 3,600 3,600 3,600 3,600 3,600 3,600
Average # of Patients on Erwinaze: # People 612 684 756 828 900 900 972 972 1,044 1,044
Growth Rate in # of Patients: % 13.3% 11.8% 10.5% 9.5% 8.7% 8.0% 7.4%

% of Market on Erwinaze Medication: % 17.0% 19.0% 21.0% 23.0% 25.0% 25.0% 27.0% 27.0% 29.0% 29.0%

Annual Price Per Patient - Erwinaze: $ as Stated $ 332,368 $ 342,339 $ 352,609 $ 363,187 $ 374,083 $ 385,305 $ 396,864 $ 408,770 $ 421,033 $ 433,664
Growth Rate in Price per Patient: % 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%

Erwinaze - Revenue: $M $ 203.4 $ 234.2 $ 266.6 $ 300.7 $ 336.7 $ 346.8 $ 385.8 $ 397.3 $ 439.6 $ 452.7
Annual Growth Rate: % 16.7% 15.1% 13.8% 12.8% 12.0% 3.0% 11.2% 3.0% 10.6% 3.0%

Goldman Stanley 44
Jaguar Income Statement Management Case
($ USD in Millions except for $ per Share Figures)
Projected
Income Statement: Units: FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
Revenue:
Existing Products:
Xyrem Sales: $M $ 773.7 $ 1,083.1 $ 1,455.7 $ 1,902.2 $ 2,391.3 $ 2,959.2 $ 3,551.1 $ 4,218.7 $ 376.8 $ 376.8
Erwinaze Sales: $M 203.4 234.2 266.6 300.7 336.7 346.8 385.8 397.3 439.6 452.7
Defitelio Sales: $M 57.8 79.8 107.1 140.7 182.0 209.3 240.7 276.9 318.4 366.1
Other Sales and Royalties: $M 142.0 156.2 168.7 182.1 193.1 204.7 214.9 225.6 234.7 244.0
Risk-Adjusted Pipeline Drug Sales:
JZP-110 Sales: $M - - - 28.5 71.7 133.2 159.8 253.1 292.7 387.8
JZP-386 Sales: $M - - - - - - - - - -
Total Revenue: $M 1,176.9 1,553.3 1,998.0 2,554.3 3,174.8 3,853.2 4,552.3 5,371.6 1,662.1 1,827.6
Revenue Growth: % 34.9% 32.0% 28.6% 27.8% 24.3% 21.4% 18.1% 18.0% (69.1%) 10.0%

Total Cost of Product Sales: $M 111.8 147.6 189.9 242.8 301.7 366.2 432.6 510.5 158.0 173.7
Gross Profit: $M 1,065.0 1,405.6 1,808.1 2,311.5 2,873.1 3,487.0 4,119.6 4,861.1 1,504.2 1,653.9
Gross Margin: % 90.5% 90.5% 90.5% 90.5% 90.5% 90.5% 90.5% 90.5% 90.5% 90.5%

Operating Expenses:
Selling, General, and Administrative: $M 376.6 466.0 614.8 802.8 1,015.9 1,252.3 1,499.6 1,790.5 559.9 621.4
Research and Development: $M 51.1 58.8 67.6 74.4 81.8 90.0 94.5 99.3 104.2 106.8
Acquired In-Process Research & Development: $M 127.0 - - - - - - - - -
Intangible Asset Amortization: $M 129.5 126.2 121.8 121.7 118.2 100.7 100.7 100.7 100.7 100.7
Total Operating Expenses: $M 684.2 651.0 804.2 998.9 1,216.0 1,443.0 1,694.8 1,990.5 764.7 828.9

Operating Income (EBIT): $M 380.8 754.7 1,003.9 1,312.6 1,657.1 2,044.0 2,424.9 2,870.7 739.4 825.0
Operating (EBIT) Margin: % 32.4% 48.6% 50.2% 51.4% 52.2% 53.0% 53.3% 53.4% 44.5% 45.1%

Other Income / (Expense):


Interest Expense, Net: $M (48.6) (38.1) (38.1) (18.1) (18.1) (0.2) - - - -
Losses and Other Items: $M - - - - - - - - - -
Goodwill Impairment: $M - - - - - - - - - -
Total Other Income / (Expense): $M (48.6) (38.1) (38.1) (18.1) (18.1) (0.2) - - - -

Income From Continuing Operations (Before Taxes): $M 332.2 716.6 965.8 1,294.5 1,639.0 2,043.8 2,424.9 2,870.7 739.4 825.0
Tax Provision / (Benefit): $M 59.8 129.0 173.8 233.0 295.0 367.9 436.5 516.7 133.1 148.5
Income From Continuing Operations: $M 272.4 587.6 792.0 1,061.5 1,344.0 1,675.9 1,988.4 2,353.9 606.3 676.5

Income from Discontinued Operations: $M - - - - - - - - - -

Net Income: $M $ 272.4 $ 587.6 $ 792.0 $ 1,061.5 $ 1,344.0 $ 1,675.9 $ 1,988.4 $ 2,353.9 $ 606.3 $ 676.5
Effective Tax Rate: % 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0%

Diluted Shares Outstanding: $M 64.4 67.5 70.6 73.9 77.4 81.0 84.8 88.8 92.9 97.2
Diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS): $ as Stated $ 4.23 $ 8.71 $ 11.21 $ 14.36 $ 17.37 $ 20.69 $ 23.45 $ 26.52 $ 6.53 $ 6.96

EBITDA: $M $ 642.0 $ 888.6 $ 1,137.7 $ 1,452.2 $ 1,800.7 $ 2,179.4 $ 2,571.1 $ 3,030.4 $ 860.0 $ 949.4
EBITDA Margin: % 54.6% 57.2% 56.9% 56.9% 56.7% 56.6% 56.5% 56.4% 51.7% 52.0%

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 45


Jaguar Comparable Public Companies
Specialty Pharmaceutical Companies That Sell Primarily Branded Drugs, with LTM Revenue Between $500 Million and $2 Billion

($ USD in Millions)

Operating Statistics Capitalization Projected Projected


Equity Enterprise Revenue EBITDA Reported Net Income Revenue EBITDA EBITDA Margin
Company Name Value(1) Value(1) LTM 2014-12-31 2015-12-31 LTM 2014-12-31 2015-12-31 LTM 2014-12-31 2015-12-31 Growth Growth LTM 2014-12-31 2015-12-31
Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $ 31,143 $ 29,697 $ 1,779 $ 2,171 $ 2,569 $ 697 $ 1,074 $ 1,306 $ 330 $ 472 $ 1,123 18.3% 21.6% 39.2% 49.5% 50.8%
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. 15,689 14,079 1,002 574 1,211 (331) (478) 164 (369) (538) 119 111.0% (134.3%) (33.0%) (83.3%) 13.5%
BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. 9,103 8,769 572 655 905 (108) (80) 65 (175) (142) 47 38.2% (181.3%) (18.9%) (12.2%) 7.2%
Salix Pharmaceuticals, Ltd. 7,988 9,538 1,116 1,649 1,995 281 680 957 77 361 444 21.0% 40.6% 25.2% 41.3% 48.0%
Cubist Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 5,866 6,038 1,086 1,206 1,483 195 259 295 (0) 26 48 22.9% 13.7% 17.9% 21.5% 19.9%
United Therapeutics Corporation 5,803 4,723 1,161 1,255 1,387 445 629 690 250 400 441 10.5% 9.7% 38.3% 50.1% 49.7%
The Medicines Company 1,699 1,533 709 775 823 85 70 166 22 (0) 106 6.1% 136.6% 12.0% 9.1% 20.2%

Maximum $ 31,143 $ 29,697 $ 1,779 $ 2,171 $ 2,569 $ 697 $ 1,074 $ 1,306 $ 330 $ 472 $ 1,123 111.0% 136.6% 39.2% 50.1% 50.8%
75th Percentile 12,396 11,809 1,138 1,452 1,739 363 655 823 163 380 443 30.6% 31.1% 31.7% 45.4% 48.9%
Median $ 7,988 $ 8,769 $ 1,086 $ 1,206 $ 1,387 $ 195 $ 259 $ 295 $ 22 $ 26 $ 119 21.0% 13.7% 17.9% 21.5% 20.2%
25th Percentile 5,834 5,381 856 715 1,058 (11) (5) 165 (88) (71) 77 14.4% (62.3%) (3.4%) (1.6%) 16.7%
Minimum 1,699 1,533 572 574 823 (331) (478) 65 (369) (538) 47 6.1% (181.3%) (33.0%) (83.3%) 7.2%

Jaguar $ 8,196 $ 9,089 $ 923 $ 1,177 $ 1,553 $ 423 $ 642 $ 889 $ 80 $ 272 $ 588 32.0% 38.4% 45.8% 54.6% 57.2%

Valuation Statistics Capitalization Enterprise Value / Enterprise Value /


Equity Enterprise Revenue (1) EBITDA(1) P / E Multiple (1)
Company Name Value(1) Value(1) LTM 2014-12-31 2015-12-31 LTM 2014-12-31 2015-12-31 LTM 2014-12-31 2015-12-31
Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $ 31,143 $ 29,697 16.7 x 13.7 x 11.6 x 42.6 x 27.7 x 22.7 x 94.4 x 66.0 x 27.7 x
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. 15,689 14,079 14.1 x 24.5 x 11.6 x NM NM 85.8 x NM NM NM
BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. 9,103 8,769 15.3 x 13.4 x 9.7 x NM NM NM NM NM NM
Salix Pharmaceuticals, Ltd. 7,988 9,538 8.5 x 5.8 x 4.8 x 34.0 x 14.0 x 10.0 x NM 22.1 x 18.0 x
Cubist Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 5,866 6,038 5.6 x 5.0 x 4.1 x 31.0 x 23.3 x 20.5 x NM NM NM
United Therapeutics Corporation 5,803 4,723 4.1 x 3.8 x 3.4 x 10.6 x 7.5 x 6.8 x 23.2 x 14.5 x 13.2 x
The Medicines Company 1,699 1,533 2.2 x 2.0 x 1.9 x 18.0 x 21.8 x 9.2 x 76.9 x NM 16.1 x

Maximum $ 31,143 $ 29,697 16.7 x 24.5 x 11.6 x 42.6 x 27.7 x 85.8 x 94.4 x 66.0 x 27.7 x
75th Percentile 12,396 11,809 14.7 x 13.5 x 10.6 x 34.0 x 23.3 x 22.2 x 85.6 x 44.1 x 20.4 x
Median $ 7,988 $ 8,769 8.5 x 5.8 x 4.8 x 31.0 x 21.8 x 15.2 x 76.9 x 22.1 x 17.0 x
25th Percentile 5,834 5,381 4.8 x 4.4 x 3.7 x 18.0 x 14.0 x 9.4 x 50.1 x 18.3 x 15.4 x
Minimum 1,699 1,533 2.2 x 2.0 x 1.9 x 10.6 x 7.5 x 6.8 x 23.2 x 14.5 x 13.2 x

Jaguar $ 8,196 $ 9,089 9.8 x 7.7 x 5.9 x 21.5 x 14.2 x 10.2 x NM 30.1 x 13.9 x

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 46


Jaguar DCF Analysis WACC Calculation
($ USD in Millions)
(1)
Discount Rate Calculations - Assumptions :
Risk-Free Rate: 2.62%
Equity Risk Premium: 7.00%
Pre-Tax Cost of Debt: 3.42%
Cost of Preferred Stock:

Comparable Companies - Unlevered Beta Calculation:


Levered Preferred Equity Unlevered
(1) (1) (1) (1)
Name Beta Debt % Debt Stock % Preferred Value % Equity Tax Rate Beta
Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 0.64 $ 93.5 0.3% $ - $ 31,142.6 99.7% 17.0% 0.64
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. 0.35 473.4 2.9% - 15,689.4 97.1% 20.0% 0.34
BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. 0.92 828.4 8.3% - 9,102.5 91.7% 27.0% 0.86
Salix Pharmaceuticals, Ltd. 1.18 1,944.4 19.6% - 7,987.9 80.4% 35.0% 1.02
Cubist Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 0.65 945.2 13.9% - 5,865.8 86.1% 27.0% 0.58
United Therapeutics Corporation 1.44 70.3 1.2% - 5,802.8 98.8% 35.0% 1.43
The Medicines Company 0.79 263.0 13.4% - 1,699.3 86.6% 36.0% 0.72

Median: 0.79 $ 473.4 8.3% $ - $ 7,987.9 91.7% 27.0% 0.72

Jaguar 1.05

Jaguar - Levered Beta & WACC Calculation:


Unlevered Preferred Equity Levered
Beta Debt(1) % Debt Stock(1) % Preferred Value(1) % Equity Tax Rate Beta
Current Capital Structure: 0.72 $ 1,198.6 12.8% $ - $ 8,196.0 87.2% 18.0% 0.81
"Optimal" Capital Structure: 0.72 783.6 8.3% - 8,611.0 91.7% 18.0% 0.77

Cost of Equity Based on Comparables, Current Capital Structure: 8.26%


Cost of Equity Based on Comparables, "Optimal" Capital Structure: 8.03%
Cost of Equity Based on Historical Beta: 9.97%

WACC = Cost of Equity * % Equity + Cost of Debt * % Debt * (1 - Tax Rate) + Cost of Preferred Stock * % Preferred Stock

WACC, Current Capital Structure: 7.56%


WACC, Current Capital Structure and Historical Cost of Equity: 9.06%
WACC, "Optimal" Capital Structure: 7.59%

Average WACC Produced by All Methods: 8.07%

Goldman Stanley (1) Financial data as of May 9, 2014. 47

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