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1
Preparing the Pro forma Financial Statement
1. Identify the factors that will affect the pro forma statements
3. Forecast the remaining elements of the financial statements (Assets, Liabilities, and Capital – Net Working Capital)
o An increase in cash, accounts receivable, and an increase in inventory to meet the increase in demand (Working
Capital)
o An increase in accounts payable as a result of increased purchases, and an increase in accrued expenses as a result
of increased costs
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PRO FORMA INCOME STATEMENT
A pro forma income statement provides insight into the anticipated level of future profits or
losses, which can be defined as the difference between the anticipated levels of sales and
expenses.
• It uses the opening balance in the retained earnings account, adds the net income from the pro
forma income statement, and deducts the projected level of dividends that will be paid to
shareholders
Chapter 5 - 3 © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc.
• Arrive at the closing balance in retained earnings.
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PRO FORMA BALANCE SHEET
• The pro forma balance sheet reveals the end-of-period balances for assets,
• This is because the other statements will produce information to be used when
PERCENT-OF-SALES METHOD
• An alternative
Chapter 5 - 4 ©approach
2012 Pearson Canada Inc.
to preparing a forecast income statement and balance
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sheet is the percent-of-sales method
Income Statement
The percent-of-sales method assumes that the following income statement items can be expressed
as a percentage of sales:
• The net profit figure, which is the difference between sales and expenses
However:
• Corporate tax and dividends are assumed to vary with the level of net profit and so are expressed
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Balance Sheet
The percent-of-sales method assumes that the following balance sheet items can be
•Current assets that increase with sales, such as inventory and accounts receivable
•Current liabilities that increase with sales, such as accounts payable and accrued
expenses
•Cash (as a pro forma cash budget is not prepared to provide a more accurate
measure of cash).
However:
Chapter 5 - 6 © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc.
•When sales increase, there is a risk that the business will outgrow its current financing.
•The forecast increase in assets may exceed the forecast increase in liabilities and the retained
earnings
•A financing gap may arise because the initial pro forma balance sheet does not balance.
•The additional financing required by the business will be the amount necessary to make the
balance sheet balance, and includes obtaining new loans and issuing new equity (shares).
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Chapter 5
The Time Value of Money
LEARNING OUTCOMES
1 Explain the time value of money and how it is affected by interest
rates, risk, and inflation.
investments. 8
The Time Value of Money, Interest Rates,
Risk and Inflation
The main factors affecting the value of money
over time:
• Interest Lost: opportunity cost
• Risk: things may not turn out as expected
• Inflation: the loss of purchasing power of
money over time
9
All
LOs Basic Definitions
12
1.Pearson Calculator Tutorial 2: Future Value of a Lump Sum (Annual
Compounding)
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1.Pearson Calculator Tutorial 3: Future Value of an Annuity
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1.Pearson Calculator Tutorial 4: Present Value of a Lump Sum (Annual
Compounding)
Compounding)
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Pearson Calculator Tutorials
7.
8.Bond Valuation
9.
Chapter 5 - 17 © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc.
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• Bonds are sensitive to interest rates, which in turn are affected by
inflation.
• Rising interest rates cause the market price of all bonds to fall
because the fixed coupon rates make the old bonds less valuable.
• So, bond prices rise and fall in a similar fashion to stock prices,
although usually they are not as volatile
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• Assume that Shultz Company issues a 5-year, 8% bonds
• Par
• Premium
• Discount
Chapter 5 - 20 © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc.
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BONDS AT PAR VALUE
WHEN THE MARKET RATE OF INTEREST IS 8%
21
See: Homework Par
BONDS AT A PREMIUM
IF THE MARKET RATE OF INTEREST IS 6%
If the market rate of interest is 6%, the Shultz bonds are attractive
to the investor because they will be paid 8% on their investment
while other investments of similar integrity and risk are paying 6%.
The question becomes: How much will the investor pay for
Shultz’s 8% bonds?
The answer is that investors will bid up the price of the bond
(arbitrage) until the effective yield rate drops to 6%.
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BONDS AT A PREMIUM
IF THE MARKET RATE OF INTEREST IS 6%
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BONDS AT A DISCOUNT
IF THE MARKET RATE OF INTEREST IS 10%
If the market rate of interest is 10%, the Shultz bonds are NOT
attractive to the investor because they will be paid 8% on their
investment while other investments of similar integrity and risk
are paying 10%.
The question becomes: How much will the investor pay for
Shultz’s 8% bonds?
The answer is that investors will bid down the price of the bond
(arbitrage) until the effective yield rate increases to 10%.
Chapter 5 - 24 © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc.
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BONDS AT A DISCOUNT
IF THE MARKET RATE OF INTEREST IS 10%
In other words, the price of the bond would have to be low enough
so that the $40 semiannual payment and the $1,000 face value (at
maturity) would yield 10%
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Week 10 Capital Investment Decisions
Accrual Accounting Rate of Return (AARR), Payback Period
(PP), and Discounted Payback Period (DPP)
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Methods of Investment Appraisal
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Accrual Accounting Rate of Return
(AARR)
• (AARR) method takes the average accounting
profit that the investment will generate and
expresses it as a percentage of the average
investment made over the life of the project.
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Accrual Accounting Rate of Return
Manitoba Railway Ltd. (MRL) is considering spending $650 million to add new
rolling stock. It is estimated that the trains will last 15 years and have a salvage
value at the end of 15 years of $50 million, and the Expected Annual Revenue
Increase before depreciation is $75 million. If MRL's cost of capital (Interest or
Discount rate) is 7%. Calculate the Accrual Accounting Rate of Return
a) Average Annual Profit = Expected Annual Revenue Increase - Annual Depreciation
= $75 - ($650-$50) / 15
= $75 - $40
= $35
= ($650 + $50) / 2
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Payback Period (PP)
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Payback Period
Manitoba Railroad Limited (MRL) is considering spending $450 million to add new rolling stock. It is
estimated that the trains will last 15 years and the expected annual revenue increases are $55
million. MRL’s cost of capital (the interest or discount rate) is 7%. Calculate the Payback Period.
Discount Discount
Cash Cash Cumulative Cash Cash Rate @ ed Cash Cumulative
Year Outflows Inflows Cash Flows Year Outflows Inflows 7% Table Flows Cash Flows
0 (450) (450) 0 (450) (450)
1 55 (395) 1 55 0.9346 51 (399)
2 55 (340) 2 55 0.8734 48 (351)
3 55 (285) 3 55 0.8163 45 (306)
4 55 (230) 4 55 0.7629 42 (264)
5 55 (175) 5 55 0.7130 39 (224)
6 55 (120) 6 55 0.6663 37 (188)
7 55 (65) 7 55 0.6227 34 (154)
8 55 (10) 8 55 0.5820 32 (122)
9 55 45 9 55 0.5439 30 (92)
10 55 100 10 55 0.5083 28 (64)
11 55 155 11 55 0.4751 26 (38)
12 55 210 12 55 0.4440 24 (13)
Chapter 5 - 32 © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc.
13 55 265 13 55 0.4150 23 10
14 55 320 14 55 0.3878 21 3231
15 55 375 15 55 0.3624 20 51
Advantages of Payback Period Method
• Emphasizes liquidity
33
Problems with Payback Period Method
34
Week 11: Making Capital Investment Decisions:
Discounted Cash Flow Methods (DCF)
35
Net Present Value (NVP)
• Considers all of the incremental costs and incremental
benefits of each investment opportunity.
should be accepted. 36
Net Present Value
Manitoba Railroad Limited (MRL) is considering spending $450 million to add new rolling stock.
It is estimated that the trains will last 15 years and the expected annual revenue increases are
$55 million. MRL’s cost of capital or discount rate is 7%. Calculate the Net Present Value.
a) By Calculator
CFo (450,000)
CF1 55,000
FOI 15
I/Y 7%
NPV $50,935
b) By Tables
I/Y 7%
N 15
PVIFA (Table A4) 9.1079
Annuity 55,000
PVo $ 500,935
CFo (450,000)
NPV $ 50,935
Chapter 5 - 37 © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc.
37
The Discount Rate and the Cost of Capital
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Why NPV Is Superior to ARR and PP
39
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
• Closely related to the NPV method in that, like NPV, it also
involves discounting future cash flows.
• If the discount rate is higher than the IRR, then the NPV will be
negative.
• If the discount rate is lower than the IRR, then the NPV will be
positive.
• Chapter
IRR 5expressed as aCanada
- 40 © 2012 Pearson percentage.
Inc.
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IRR continued
• The minimum required IRR is often referred to as the hurdle rate.
• Where there are competing projects, the one with the highest IRR
should be selected.
41
Internal Rate of Return
Manitoba Railroad Limited (MRL) is considering spending $450 million to add new rolling stock.
It is estimated that the trains will last 15 years and the expected annual revenue increases are
$55 million. MRL’s cost of capital (the interest or discount rate) is 7%. Calculate the Internal
Rate of Return.
a) By Calculator
CFo (450,000)
CF1 (55,000)
FOI 15
I/Y 7%
IRR 8.75%
b) By Tables - By Extrapolation
I/Y 7%
N 15
PVIFA (Table A4) 9.1079
Chapter 5 - 42 © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc.
42
Week 12: Weighted Average Cost of
Capital
• The cost of capital is an essential element of
investment appraisal.
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The Firm’s Capital Structure:
Types of Capital
All of the items on the right-hand side of the
firm’s balance sheet, excluding current liabilities,
are sources of capital. The following simplified
balance sheet illustrates the basic breakdown of
total capital into its two components, debt
capital and equity capital.
48
Calculating the Cost of Capital for Common
Shares Using CAPM
49
Risk Premium Calculation
50
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) - Example
Blackbird Investments Ltd. Has recently obtained a measure of its Beta from a business information website. The beta
obtained is 1.2. The expected returns to the market for the next period are 15% and the risk-free rate on government
securities is 3%. What is the cost of capital of the common shares to the business?
Solution:
Ks = (Krf + ß(Km - Krf)
Ks = 3% + 1.2(15% - 3%)
Ks = 17.40%
Chapter 5 - 51 © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc.
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Cost of Preferred Shares
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Cost of Preferred Shares- Example
Blackbird Investments Ltd. has 12% preferred shares outstanding with a nominal
(par) value of $100. The shares have a current market price of $90. What is the
component cost of the preferred shares to the buiness.
Kp = Dp / Pp
Kp = 12%/(90/100)
Kp = 13.3%
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After-Tax Cost of Bonds (Debt)
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After-Tax Cost of Debt (Bonds) - Example
Solution:
Kd = I * (1 - t) / Pd
Kd = 0.091 or 9.1%
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Weighted Average Cost of Capital
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Calculating WACC
57
Weighted Average Cost of Capital – Example
Blackbird Investments Ltd. Has the following current Capital Structure. Calculate the firm's
weighted Average Cost of Capital.
Market Proportion of
Value Total Market Component
Capital Structure ($'millions) Value Cost WACC
Common Stock 20 0.44 0.174 7.7%
Preferred Stock 9 0.20 0.133 2.7%
Debt (Bonds) 16 0.36 0.091 3.2%
Total Capital Structure 45 1.00 13.6%
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Weighted Average Cost of Capital –
Example
Common Stock Kcs = (Krf + ß(Km - Krf)
Kcs = 3% + 1.2*(15% - 3%)
Kcs = 17.40%
Debt Kd = I * (1 - t) / Pd
Kd = 10% * (1 - 20%) / $88/100
Kd = 9.1%
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Week 13a: Working Capital Management
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Review - The Major Elements of
Working Capital
Current Assets
• Cash
• Accounts receivable
• Inventories
Current Liabilities
• Bank Overdrafts
• Trade Accounts Payable
•Chapter
Other Payables (payroll, taxes, etc.)
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Nature and Purpose of
The Working Capital Cycle
• Working capital represents a NET investment in short-term assets.
• These assets are continually flowing into and out of the business,
and are essential for day-to-day operations.
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The Working Capital Cycle
(for a Manufacturing Company)
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Operating Cash Cycle
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Calculating the Operating Cash Cycle
66
Example
GIVEN:
• All purchase and sales are on credit.
• WACC is 8%
• The corporate tax rate is 35%.
2014 2015
($'000,000) ($'000,000)
Accounts Receivable 175 160
Inventory 325 390
Accounts Payable 150 85
Credit Sales 2,681 1,775
Credit Purchases 2,378 1,000
Cost of Goods Sold 2,272 925
Required:
1. Calculate the Operating Cash Cycle
2.Chapter
Calculate the
5 - 67 © 2012 after-tax
Pearson Canada Inc.Cost of the Operating Cash Cycle.
= 141 Days
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Using Financial Ratios from Week 6
= 34 Days
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Using Financial Ratios from Week 6
= 43 Days
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Using Financial Ratios from Week 6
= 141 + 34 – 43
Chapter 5 - 71
= 132 Days
© 2012 Pearson Canada Inc.
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Calculating the Cost of the Operating Cash Cycle
Average $ Resources
% of Year Invested Invested
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Week 13b: Breakeven Analysis
• A company’s breakeven point occurs when its
sales equal its costs
• Often useful to determine the breakeven point
for a particular product line
• The breakeven point can be determined as
dollars of sales, but often helpful to divide the
sales by the selling price to obtain the number
of units the company must sell to break even
• Breakeven analysis is especially useful in
determining whether a new product for the
company might be successful
Chapter 5 - 74 © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc.
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• Breakeven analysis is used to indicate the level
of operations necessary to cover all costs and to
evaluate the profitability associated with various
levels of sales; also called cost-volume-profit
analysis.
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The first step in finding the operating breakeven
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• Fixed costs (FC) are costs that the firm must pay in
a given period regardless of the sales volume
achieved during that period.
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BEPu = S / FC-VC
BEPu = S / CM
BEPu = $2,500 / 5
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Chapter 5 - 80 © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc.
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See Homework Exercises 1 – 5
81