Professional Documents
Culture Documents
V Serbian astrophysicist
V best known for developing one of the most
significant theories relating Earth motions and long-term climate
change
V dedicated his career to developing a mathematical theory of
climate based on the seasonal and latitudinal variations of solar
radiation received by the Earth ( The Milankovitch Theory )
Milutin Milankovitch
V built his theory from previous work done by J.A. Adhemar and
James Croll
1842 - Adhemar explained glacial climate using only precession
1864 - Croll wrote about orbital change and the ice of the Ice Ages
using both the eccentricity cycle and the precession cycle
HOME
The Milankovitch Theory
V an explanation of long term climate change
V it states that as the Earth travels through space around the sun,
cyclical variations in three elements of Earth-sun geometry
combine to produce variations in the amount of solar energy that
reaches Earth
Three elements:
1. Eccentricity
BACK
2. Obliquity
. Precession
HOME
ECCENRICITY
V is a term used to describe the shape of Earth's orbit around the sun
V variation of Earth's orbit around the sun ranges from 0.0005 to
0.0607
V time frame for the cycle is approximately 98,000 years
V impact of the variation is a change in the amount of solar energy
from perihelion to aphelion
V at present, Earth's eccentricity is 0.016
V about 6.4 percent increase in insolation from July to January
SWF
ECCENRICITY
HOME
OBLIQUITY
V the variation of the tilt of the earth's axis away from the orbital plane
V varies between 22.1o and 24.5o and the average is 2.5o
SWF
OBLIQUITY
HOME
PRECESSION
Earth itself
PRECESSION
V it affects the direction of the Earth's axis
the change in the axis location changes the dates of perihelion and
aphelion
SWF
PRECESSION
V Milankovitch was able to formulate a comprehensive
mathematical model that calculated latitudinal
differences in insolation and the corresponding
surface temperature
V assumed that radiation changes in some latitudes
and seasons are more important to ice sheet growth and decay than
those in others
V German Climatologist Vladimir Koppen
summer insolation at 65 degrees North as the most important latitude
and season to model
V correlation of the three variations
V for about 50 years, Milankovitch's theory was largely ignored
V 1976 - a study published in the journal Science examined deep-sea
sediment cores
Milankovitch's theory did in fact correspond to periods of climate
change
HOME