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Consider this case….
• In April 1993, an emergency requirement came from the United
Nations to the Indian Army, to support their operations in
Mozambique.
• The team had to get deployed by May first week.
• The team had to be of 14 to 17 people.
• They had to work with similar people from 23 countries.
• Local language was Portuguese.
• Participating countries were Japan, Russia, US, Canada, Malaysia etc.
out of which not more than 50% spoke English.
• Indian team will be split up and deployed as no UN team can have
more than one person from one country.
• Telephone in the country was rudimentary and confined to three cities.
• Postal system was in disarray and the postal system of the neighboring
country had to be used.
Constraints
Medical facility was extremely poor. Cases had to be evacuated to Johannesburg in South
Africa using Swiss air evacuation.
The sexual habits were different from India and promiscuity was very common.
There is no direct flight. The country had only 3 aircrafts, one of which made shuttles to
Europe and back every alternate day, one was for local use and one to South Africa.
The team leader may be anyone from the country and therefore everyone had to be
competent enough yet, the person may not be a team leader but only a member.
Advanced country team members could often overrule the team leader.
Total officer available in the Army – 46,000
Predictive Analytics
What can happen?
Reporting
What happened?
Complexity
Stages in HRA
Converting to Choosing
Using
Raw data Dimensions appropriate Fine tuning
visualizations
and Measures metric
Basic Steps
Measures of
Data Measures of
Central Correlations
Representation Dispersions
Tendency
Positive/Neg
Frequency Graphs Distributions Mean Median SD Quartiles Coefficients
ative
The First Step
• Connecting data
• Dimensions
• Measures
• Hierarchies
• Grain
Central Tendency
Dispersion
Data Representation
Correlations
Titanic
Quickly Find Out
277/112
• Total number of second class passengers and how many survived?
• How many lifeboats Titanic had? How many total passengers were
picked up by lifeboats? 20/488
• Of all the passengers picked up by lifeboats, 1 died. In which lifeboat
number did this happen? What was the name of this passenger?
What was the profession of this persons spouse? 8/Edith Pears/Of Independent Means
• Identify the job category of the largest group of survivors.
Personal Maids
• What is the average age of survived male passengers? 27.907
• Of all people who joined Titanic (boarded) at this port nobody
survived. Identify the port. Belfast
Reporting Attrition Problem to the BoDs
• Have a look at attrition data of a company
• First Task
• Building a visual analytic dashboard about the attrition (For example: who is leaving
the company, from which division, gender wise, number of years of service etc)
• Use basic statistics, dispersion, distributions, scatter plots or in short ANY of the
visual graphics to identify pattern in attrition.
• Can we see any specific pettern?
• Second task
• Discovering Associations in Data
• Can we build a predictive model to identify the potential employees like to resign?
• We will build CART
• Third Task
• Combining Visual and Predictive Analytics
Visual Analytics of Attrition
Predictive Analytics- Why Complicated?
Machine Learning
• Supervised
• Regression
• Classification
• RandomForest
• ANN
• Un-supervised
• Clustering
• Association Rules
From Data Scientist to HR Professional
• Data Scientist • HR Professional
• Building Model • Understanding Model
• Logistic • Predicting using model
• Classification • Developing strategies and
• Validation contingencies
• Sample size • Feedback on model performance
• Variable dependence
• Refinement of model
• Over fitting
• Model Accuracy
• FP/FN
• Confidence Level
A Virtual Simulation
• Data Scientist hands over model:
• First Question: What language is this?
• Second Question: What do I do now?
• Use Tableau to predict probability of attrition
• Take suitable measures
39
Support and Confidence
Transac Soda Ice Lays Milk Cereals • A rule: {Soda,ice}->{Lays}
tion
1 1 1 0 0 0 • Support=sum(Soda+Ice+Lays)/n
2 0 0 1 0 0 • Conf=sum(Soda+Ice+Lays)/sum(Soda+ice)
3 0 0 0 1 1
4 1 1 1 0 0
• Lift- A lift ratio larger than 1.0
5 0 1 0 0 0
implies that the relationship
between the antecedent and the
consequent is more significant.
The larger the lift ratio, the more
significant the association.
HRA 2.0- Self Service Human Resource
Analytics
Recent Development
• IBM Watson • Demonstration of BigML
• BigML
• Google Analytics
Contact Details
• vinit.thakur@tapmi.edu.in
• 99807 80995