9-2 Experimental Probability

Warm Up
Problem of the Day
Lesson Presentation
Lesson Quizzes
9-2 Experimental Probability

Warm Up
1. A jar contains 6 red, 8 blue, and 10 white
marbles. Would you be more likely to pull out a red
or a blue marble? blue

Determine if the event is impossible, unlikely,

as likely as not, likely, or certain.

2. Attendance at a city council meeting is at 100%.

Mr. Lloyd is a council member. How likely is it that
Mr. Lloyd is at the meeting? certain
9-2 Experimental Probability

Problem of the Day

The probability of Liana making a free
throw was 2
3
. If she made 24 of her free

throws, how many did she miss?

12
9-2 Experimental Probability

Sunshine State Standards

MA.7.P.7.2 Determine, compare, and make

predictions based on
experimental…probability…
9-2 Experimental Probability

Vocabulary
experimental probability
9-2 Experimental Probability

Experimental probability is one way of estimating

the probability of an event. The experimental
probability of an event is found by comparing
the number of times an event occurs to the total
number of trials. The more trials you have, the
more accurate the estimate is likely to be.
9-2 Experimental Probability
9-2 Experimental Probability

Additional Example 1: Sports Application

During skating practice, Sasha landed 7 out

of 12 jumps. What is the experimental
probability that she will land her next jump?

P(event)  number of times an event occurs

total number of trials
number of jumps landed
P(jumps landed)  number of jumps attempted

= 7 Substitute data from the experiment.

12
The experimental probability that Sasha will land her
next jump is 7 .
12
9-2 Experimental Probability

Writing Math
“P(event)” represents the probability that an event
will occur. For example, the probability of a flipped
coin landing heads up could be written as “P(heads).”
 9-2 Experimental Probability

Check It Out: Example 1A

During basketball practice, Martha made 9 out of

10 free throws. What is the experimental
probability that she will make her next attempt?
Write your answer as a fraction, a decimal, and a
percent.
P(event) = number of times event occurs
number of trials

P(makes shots) = number of times free throws were made

total number of free throws

9 = 0.9 = 90%
P(makes shots) = 10
9-2 Experimental Probability

Check It Out: Example 1B

Emmanuel wins 12 out of 15 of his chess

matches. What is the experimental probability
that he will win his next game? Write your
answer as a fraction, a decimal, and a percent.

P(event) = number of times event occurs

number of trials

P(win) = number of wins

total number of games

P(win) = 12 = 4 = 0.8 = 80%

15 5
9-2 Experimental Probability

Additional Example 2A: Application

Students have checked out 55 books from the

library. Of these, 32 books are fiction.
What is the experimental probability that
the next book checked out will be fiction?

number of fiction books checked out

P(fiction)  total number of books checked out
32 Substitute data.
 55

The experimental probability that the next book

checked out will be fiction is approximately 32.
55
9-2 Experimental Probability

Additional Example 2B: Application

What is the experimental probability that
the next book checked out will be nonfiction?

P(fiction) + P(nonfiction) = 1 Use the complement.

32 + P(nonfiction) = 1 Substitute.
55
32 Subtract 32
55 from
– 32
–
55
55 both sides.
P(nonfiction) = 23
55
Simplify.

The experimental probability that the next book checked

out will be nonfiction is approximately 23.
55
9-2 Experimental Probability

Check It Out: Example 2A

For the past two weeks, Kyle kept track of

how long he practiced guitar each day. His
results are shown in the tables.

Week 1 Sun Mon Tues Wed Thur Fri Sat

Time (in min) 45 35 40 50 55 45 45

Week 2 Sun Mon Tues Wed Thur Fri Sat

Time (in min) 65 45 45 40 60 55 60

9-2 Experimental Probability

Check It Out: Example 2A Continued

What is the experimental probability that Kyle

will practice for 50 minutes or more?

P(event) = numbernumber
of times events occurs
of trials

P(50 or more) = number of days of practice > 50 min

total number of days

P(50 or more) = 6 = 3
14 7
9-2 Experimental Probability

Check It Out: Example 2B

What is the experimental probability that Kyle
will practice less than 50 minutes?

P(50 or more) + P(less than 50) = 1

3 + P(less than 50) = 1

7
4
P(less than 50) = 1 3 =
7 7
9-2 Experimental Probability

Lesson Quizzes

Standard Lesson Quiz

Lesson Quiz for Student Response Systems

9-2 Experimental Probability

Lesson Quiz
1. In a soccer shoot-out, Bryan made 4 out of 9 4
goals. What is the experimental probability that he 9
will make the next shot?
2. It has rained on the last 2 out of 10 Fourth of
July parades in Swanton.
A. What is the experimental probability that it will 1
rain on the Fourth of July parade this year? 5

B. What is the experimental probability that it will 4

not rain on the Fourth of July parade this year? 5
9-2 Experimental Probability

Lesson Quiz for Student Response Systems

1. During a shot put practice session, Greg crossed
the 70-foot mark in 15 out of 21 attempts. What is
the experimental probability that he will cross the
70-foot mark in his next attempt?

A. 2
7
5
B. 7

C. 6
7
D. 7
5
9-2 Experimental Probability

Lesson Quiz for Student Response Systems

2. Simon is practicing basketball. He made 33 of
42 free throws he attempted. What is the
experimental probability that we will make his next
free throw?

A. 9
14
11
B. 42

C. 11
14
D. 14
11
9-2 Experimental Probability
Lesson Quiz for Student Response Systems
3. Rachel found that 20 out of 48 cars that entered
a parking lot were red. What is the experimental
probability that the next car that comes in is red?
What is the experimental probability that the next
car that comes in is not red?

A.

B.

C.

D.