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Climate emergency:
scientific reality,
necessary action
Professor Julia Steinberger
Sustainability Research Institute, University of Leeds
j.k.steinberger@leeds.ac.uk, @JKSteinberger
2°C versus
Impact 1.5°C 2°C
1.5°C
Total
Dying coral reefs 70-90% 99%
extinction
5
1,2,3,4 …Which temperature are we
currently heading for?
4 degrees
Accord de Paris
>3 degrés
2.4 degrees
1.5 degrees
6
Figure from Bob Kopp based on data from the Global Carbon Budget
Global warming means rolling back the
planetary climate clock, to temperatures
unknown before homo walked the Earth.
50 million years by 2100, on our current trajectory
3 million years by 2030, on our current trajectory.
By 2040 if we immediately & massively reduce emissions.
Agriculture &
Civilization
9
Climate
emergency
October 8, 2018 10
What is necessary to stay below
1.5 or 2 degrees?
Extraction & production side
– Abandon all fossil fuel energy (coal, oil, gas),
– Massively reduce (by 90% or more) livestock
production (cattle, porc, poultry)
– Reduce deforestation, start reforesting
– Change construction materials.
Consumption side
– No more flying, move to public transit, only
electric cars/trucks/buses/trains,
– Plant-based diet (healthy planet diet),
– Reduce and change consumption in other
areas (housing etc). 11
Climate politics: International
context & UK status
Paris Agreement
Voluntary conributions, not legally binding,
• Overall aim of remaining below 2 degrees
warming, staying at 1.5 degrees if possible,
• But even the voluntry contributions of
Paris will bring us well above 2 degrees.
15
Extra slides
16
A safe and just operating space for
humanity: below planetary boundaries and
above social thresholds
17
We have already
entered into
temperature
regimes that the
human species
has never
known.
18
Figure de Jos Hagelaars
Other national policies