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Welcome to

Introduction to Marketing!

MKTG-UB.0001

Professor Eric Greenleaf

January 2019

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© Prof. Eric Greenleaf 2019
Today’s Agenda:
Introduction to Marketing and to Your Class

 What is marketing?
 How is marketing different from other
business skills?
 Course details and your
responsibilities

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Today’s Agenda:
Consumer Behavior

 Consumer Decision Making Process


 Why consumers sometimes skip
decision steps
 Perceived risk
 Neuroscience in Marketing
 Behavioral Decision Making
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Introduction to Marketing
and to Your Class

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What marketing successes
and failures can you think of?

Why did they succeed or fail?

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Most business successes or failures are
caused by successful or failed marketing

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What is
marketing?

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What is
marketing?

A quick tour of Marketing,


and of our class this semester

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What is marketing?
1) Marketing strategy

 Marketing Strategy - What is our


overall plan for our product?
– Consumer behavior
– Segmentation
– Positioning
– Economic value of customers
– Profit: Crunch the numbers
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Don’t forget marketing research

 “Eyes and ears” of the firm


 Keeps you in touch with
– Customers
– Competitors
– Trends in the marketplace
– Be proactive, not reactive

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What is marketing?
2) The marketing mix – “Four Ps”

 Marketing Mix – What actions will we


use in the marketplace to implement
our strategy?
– Pricing
– Partnerships
– Product
– Promotion (Communication)
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Marketing mix is more than
sum of its parts

 Balance
– Don’t put too much emphasis on any
single activity in the marketing mix
 Coordinate
– Each part of marketing mix must work
well with other parts

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Most successful concept
of marketing
 Effective marketing satisfies consumer
needs and creates consumer value
while allowing the firm to achieve its
objectives.
 Concept we’ll study in this class
 Let’s take a closer look at this concept

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Satisfy customer needs

 Define product or service in terms of


customer needs

= ?

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What customer needs does
a GoPro satisfy?

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React to changing customer needs -
Garmin has expanded from GPS
l Fish finders and other marine products
l Hiking
l Airplanes
l Kid-trackers
l Wrist activity bands
l As well as GPS apps
l Compete with GoPro
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New for 2017 -
Garmin VIRB 360
Spherical Camera

Fortune
8.02.17
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Try to anticipate consumer needs
before most consumers have them

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The rise of
delivery-only
restaurants

The
Telegraph
3.20.17

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Will future
consumers
still want
movie theaters?
At the Regal L.A. Live entertainment
complex, a marketing team for 20th
Century Fox recently roped off part of
the cinema lobby and set up a row of
chairs and Oculus Rift rigs. The team
persuaded moviegoers wandering the
lobby to strap on headsets and watch
the free promotional tool “Alien:
Covenant in Utero,” a two-minute, 360-
degree video that lets users experience
what it’s like for an alien to burst out of
someone’s chest.

LA Times
6.02.17 20
Create consumer value
 Value = Utility - price
 Satisfy needs at a price that consumers
are willing to pay

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Allow firm to achieve objectives
 Expensive to satisfy consumer needs and
provide consumer value
 Firm must achieve its objectives
 Marketing should be a profitable
investment
 Firm must understand and predict the
bottom-line impact of marketing actions

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Can MoviePass survive?: May 2018

MoviePass lost $98.3


million on revenues
of $48.6 million in Q1
2018

Should it have cut


price of a monthly
membership from
$15 - $50 to $9.95?

WSJ
5.16.18

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Can MoviePass survive?: August 2018

Fortune
8.06.18

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MoviePass
gets some
competition:
June 2018

600,000
members
as of
late Dec. 2018

Business
Insider
6.20.18

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Spotify 2016: high revenues but losing money

Music Business Worldwide 5.26.16 Digital Music News 5.24.16


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Spotify 2017: higher revenues,
more customers, but losing even more money

 FY 2016-17:
– Spotify’s revenues increased 52%, to $3.3 billion
– Spotify earned almost half of all streaming music
revenue earned by all companies worldwide
– Total subscribers grew 38% to 126 million
– “Premium” paid subscribers grew 71% to 48 million
 BUT:
– Losses increased 133%, to $601.4 million

Forbes and WSJ


6.15.17
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Spotify Q2 2018: Now a public company
More customers, more revenues,
but losing even more money

 Q2 2018 (now a public company worth $35 BN):


– Spotify’s revenues increased 26%, to $1.49 billion
– Spotify earned almost half of all streaming music
revenue earned by all companies worldwide
– Total subscribers grew to 180 million
– “Premium” paid subscribers grew 43% to 83 million
 BUT:
– Losses increased to $461 million in quarter

Techcrunch
7.26.18
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Boston Dynamics Robots – fun,
but not profitable

NYT 9.22.18 29
What marketing is not –
Three concepts of marketing to avoid
 Technology and production driven

vs.

 Selling driven
– Convince consumers to buy product with advertising
and salesforce
 Marketing driven
– Build a huge marketing organization
– Lots of levels of marketing decision making 30
How is marketing different from
other business skills?
 Combines quantitative and qualitative
analysis
– Both kinds of information important for
creating best strategy and mix
– Use numbers to justify your qualitative
reasoning
 We’ll start Quantitative Analysis in
Marketing early in the course
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How is marketing different from
other business skills?
 Marketing forces business to confront
uncertainty in environment
– Consumer tastes
– Competition
– Economic environment
– Legal and Regulatory
 Often don’t have all information you would
like to have when making decision
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Course details and your
responsibilities
Please read the syllabus carefully
 Course calendar

 Detailed description of assignments

 Course policies and your


responsibilities
– Includes class Honor Code

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Course details and your
responsibilities
 Class materials
– All assignments and slides on NYU Classes
– Will provide printed copies in class
 Powerpoint slides
– Help organize class material
– Slides are not a substitute for your own
class notes
– Will not have Powerpoint for all classes
– If you miss a class, get notes from at least two
classmates 34
Course details and your
responsibilities
Class Participation (15% of grade)
 You are a very important part of course
– We have very different backgrounds and
experience
– We learn a lot from each other
– Makes your class participation valuable
 Everyone wants to know who you are
– Please use name card every day: big, first name
and last initial
– Fill out seating chart
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Course details and your
responsibilities
Class Participation (15% of grade)
 I would like to know more about you
– Complete Personal Information Form
– Include picture of yourself
– If you are not a Stern student, upload a
digital photo of yourself to seating chart
software – posted instructions

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Course details and your
responsibilities
 Class Etiquette
– Behave as in a business meeting
 But have some fun
– Let me know if you will miss class
– Please arrive on time
– Leave class only if absolutely
necessary
– Listen carefully to your classmates
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Course details and your
responsibilities

 Class Etiquette
– Create a challenging but respectful
environment for expressing ideas
– Participate meaningfully, and allow
others to participate
– Stay with the topic we are discussing
Class time valuable

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Course details and your
responsibilities
 Electronic Etiquette
– No laptops, tablets, phones, etc.
– Turn off all other electronic devices
 Cell phones – no conversations or texting

 Music players

 No recording class

 Standard Stern course policies at:


http://www.stern.nyu.edu/portal-partners/current-
students/undergraduate/resources-policies/academic-policies/index.htm
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Do not try to cheat your classmates:
You are expected to follow NYU’s and
Stern’s Honor Code
 Please read Stern HC carefully – URL in syllabus
– Convincing evidence of violations will result in
sanctions – usually at least an F for the
course, and possible suspension or expulsion
 Violations of Honor Code referred to Assistant
Dean of Academic Advising & Judicial Affairs,
and Stern School Judicial Committee
 Honor code violations pursued even if finished
course or graduated
– Degrees have been revoked
 Submit written case assignments to TurnItIn
– Requested by students – protects you
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Course details and your
responsibilities
Text:
Looseleaf, eBook, and rental
versions, and combinations of
these – but old fashioned printed
version not available at NYU
Bookstore

Roger Kerin and Steven Hartley, Marketing,


14th edition, Irwin/McGraw-Hill.
Sets important foundation for class discussion
• Class will be conducted under assumption you
have done assigned reading for that day
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Course details and your
responsibilities
• Articles from business and popular
press
• Show how concepts from class are used in
the real world
• You can link to these using Bobst
electronic databases
• e.g. NYU Virtual Business Library

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Course details and your
responsibilities
Marketing cases:
– Apply what you learn to an actual firm
 Variety of products and industries

– See complexities of marketing problem


– Get involved in decision making
– Cases have no single “right answer”
 You should be able to justify your analysis
– Case study questions in syllabus
 Helps focus class discussion
– Syllabus has advice on preparing a case
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Course details and your
responsibilities
• Cases for class discussion
• Mediquip – Organizational Decision
Making
• Z Corporation – Marketing Partnerships
• Written case analysis – 35% of grade
• LG Electronics- Due last day of class –
Jan. 24

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Course details and your
responsibilities
 Assignment on Basic Quantitative
Analysis in Marketing
– Due Jan. 11
– 10% of your grade
– Applies basic quantitative language
and skills needed to analyze and plan
marketing

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Course details and your
responsibilities
Exam, 40% of grade
– Thursday, Jan. 24
– Stress applying concepts, not just
memorizing them
– Bring a calculator
– Study questions for quantitative
concepts and frameworks

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Teaching Fellow – here to help you
Office hours in LC27

 Stan Sheremeta
ss9386@stern.nyu.edu

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Consumer
Decision Making

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Consumer Decision Making

 Consumer decision making process


 Why firms need to understand the
consumer decision process
 Best strategies for each decision step
 Why consumers skip decision steps
 Perceived Risk
 Neuroscience in Marketing
 Behavioral Decision Theory - Framing 49
Why do firms need to
understand
consumer decision making?

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We discussed that successful firms
satisfy consumer needs
 But – consumers usually don’t buy as
soon as they have a need
 Go through a decision-making process

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Must understand decision process to
create best marketing strategy and mix

 Which process do consumers use


for our product?
 How can we influence consumers
at each stage?
 Why do consumers sometimes skip
steps?

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Steps of consumer
decision-making process

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Consumer Decision Making Process
Need Recognition

Information Search

Compare Alternatives

Purchase

Post-Purchase Evaluation
Look at each stage more closely
for the Nissan Leaf

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1) Need Recognition:
No need = no purchase!
 What consumer needs does the Leaf
satisfy?
 How can Nissan and its dealers
motivate consumers to recognize need
for a Leaf?

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Don’t get the stage wrong
 Suppose we treat a consumer
as if she is in purchase stage
– But actually she is in need
recognition
 How will consumer react?

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2) Gather information
 Gather information on product’s
attributes
 Different kinds of attributes for
electric cars

 Attribute perceptions matter 58


2) Gather information
 Consumer doesn’t gather information
on all products in category
 Creates consideration set

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Information sources
Personal Family, friends, neighbors
Word-of-mouth (WOM)

Advertising
Commercial Salespeople
Firm’s web site

Media
Public, Neutral Consumer-rating groups
Not always “neutral”

Handling the product


Experiential Examining the product
Using the product

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Neutral
information
source

Engadget
6.14.18
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Influence of neutral information sources

Quartz
5.31.17 62
Attempts to manipulate “neutral” information

Guardian
2.26.18

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Influence of Word of Mouth

Money.CNN
6.11.17 64
Information sources
 How can Nissan and its dealers
– Get Leaf into consideration set?
– Use information to influence
consumers?

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Do car dealers need physical stores?

WSJ
6.05.16

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3) Compare Alternatives

Perceptions Preferences

 Preferences indicate rank order


 Why could two consumers with
identical perceptions of electric cars
have different preferences?

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3) Compare Alternatives

Perceptions Preferences
 Preferences require a utility function
– Includes “attribute importance”
 Importance of attributes often differs
across consumers
 More than one brand may be
acceptable to purchase

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3) Compare Alternatives
 Which electric car attributes are
most and least important to
you?
 How can Nissan and its dealers
influence consumers who are
comparing alternatives?

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Samsung’s new “Addwash” washer.
How important is “addwash”for you?

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Too many alternatives can hurt consumers

“Too many choices


may create
confusion, resulting
in poorly informed
consumer decisions.”

WSJ
2.07.16

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“How Grocery Giant Aldi Plans to Conquer
America: Limit Choice”

WSJ
9.21.17

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4) Purchase
 Firm does not make a sale unless
consumer purchases
Purchase intentions Purchase behavior
 Consumer may be willing to purchase
any acceptable alternative

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4) Purchase
 How can Nissan and its dealers
– Influence consumers in purchase
stage to buy the Leaf?
– Motivate them to buy sooner
rather than later?

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5) Post – Purchase Evaluation
 Consumers don’t stop thinking
about a product once they
purchase
 Post-purchase behavior:
1. Reduce cognitive dissonance
 “Did I buy the right car?”
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Post – Purchase Evaluation
2. Satisfaction perceptions
Satisfaction = Perceived Performance - Expectations

 Satisfaction leads to:


 Loyal customers
 Favorable word-of-mouth
 High customer value
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Post – Purchase Evaluation
 How can Nissan and its
dealers
– Reduce cognitive dissonance?
– Increase satisfaction?
– Make the best use of satisfied
consumers?
– Turn dissatisfied consumers into
satisfied ones?
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Consumer satisfaction for cameras:
Canon vs. Nikon

Canon press release 12.06.16 78


Federal payments to
hospitals depend on
customer satisfaction

WSJ
10.14.12

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Don’t set expectations
too high:
Amtrak’s WiFi service

NYT
5.30.12

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Amtrak Press Release 5.18.18

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Disney manages expectations
for wait times at theme parks

Mouseplanet.com
6.04.15
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Why consumers may skip
decision-making steps

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Why consumers skip steps
 Consumers do not always go
through all five steps
 You purchase a Nissan Leaf
– Badly damaged when hit in a
parking lot a month later
– What will you do?

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Consumer Decision Making Process
Need Recognition

Information Search

Evaluate Alternatives

Purchase

Post-Purchase Evaluation
Why consumers skip steps
Consumers often use “heuristics”
Why?
 Cognitive miser
 Satisficer

 Willing to make Effort-Accuracy


tradeoffs
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Why consumers skip steps
 You are hungry between
classes and buy a candy bar
from a machine
– Go through all five steps?
 Candy bar is low involvement

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Consumer Involvement
 Involvement increases with:
– Importance of consumer need
– Importance of product performance
– Personal ego at stake
– Personal security at stake
– Involvement is not the same as price
 Involvement varies across:
– Products
– People
– Usage situations
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Consumer Involvement
 Level of involvement affects how
extensively consumer searches:
– Number of brands examined
– Number of sellers considered
– Number of product attributes evaluated
– Number of external information sources used
– Time spent searching

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Types of Consumer Decision-
Making Processes

High Involvement Low Involvement

Decision Complex 1. Impulse Purchase


Making Decision-Making 2. Variety Seeking
3. Limited Decision
Making

Habit Brand Loyalty Inertia


(skip steps)

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Best marketing strategy and mix depends
on which DMP consumers use

 Best distribution intensity for yogurt?

vs.

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Encouraging Brand Loyalty by making
it easy – Amazon Dash Buttons
Also turn Inertia into Brand Loyalty?

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Loyal Customers
may not like
product change

Guardian
8.07.18

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Perceived Risk

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Consumers worry
 Product may not give them the
satisfaction they expected
– Worry: Performance < expectations
– Last stage of DMP
 Worry before purchase
 Termed “perceived risk”
– Perceptions of risk matter
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Perceived Risk
 Perceived risk can prevent consumers
from purchasing
 Risk reduction is a source of consumer
value
 Marketing strategies should reduce
perceived risk

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Performance Risk
 Risk that product does not
perform as expected
– 3D TV
– Restaurant
– Running shoes

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Social Risk
 Other people do not approve of your
purchase as highly as you had
hoped
– Clothes
– Wine
– Yacht
 Especially people in group you
belong to or aspire to
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Psychological Risk
 Product just isn’t “right” for me
– Piano
– Gym membership
– High performance bicycle

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Financial Risk
 Product can hurt financial
wellbeing
– Expensive vacation
– Identify theft from
web purchase
– Adjustable rate mortgage

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Using perceived risk strategically

Firms should ask:


l What kinds of perceived risk do
consumers experience
– For our product?
– For competitor?
l How can we reduce perceived risk?
– Important source of consumer value
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How can firms reduce each kind of
perceived risk?

 Performance
 Social
 Psychological
 Financial

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One important way to reduce
perceived risk

l Use a well-known brand name

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What kind of perceived risk does
Sandal’s all-inclusive pricing reduce?

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Behavioral Decision Theory:
Framing

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Framing
 Consumer decisions are affected by the
context (or “frame”) in which they are
made
 Frames can include
– General price level of product
– Language used in marketing
communications
– Past events

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Framing
 Buying a calculator (Tversky and Kahneman 1981)
– You are at Store A, which has a calculator you
need for $15. Another customer tells you that
the same calculator is available at Store B for
$10. Store B is a 20-minute drive away. Would
you drive to Store B?
 Buying a jacket
– You are at Store A, which has a jacket you need
for $125. Another customer tells you that the
same jacket is available at Store B for $120.
Store B is a 20-minute drive away. Would you
drive to Store B?
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Nobel Prize for Economics, 2002
Dr. Daniel Kahneman
“… for having
integrated insights
from psychological
research into
economic science,
especially
concerning human
judgment and
decision-making
under uncertainty.”

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Framing

 Which meat do consumers rate more


favorably? (Levin and Gaeth 1988)
– 75% lean
– 25% fat
 How would you describe each cup if:
(McKenzie and Nelson 2003)
– Previously full?
– Previously empty?

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Neural Science in Marketing

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What can studies of the brain tell
us about consumer behavior?

 Advanced methods in brain


scanning
– fMRI (Functional Magnetic
Resonance Imaging)
 Which brain regions are more active
during different kinds of consumer
activities?
 fMRI detects slight increases in blood
flow due to higher need for oxygen in
neurons
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Neural studies of
the Coke-Pepsi Challenge

 “Neural Correlates of Behavioral Preference for


Culturally Familiar Drinks,” Neuron, Vol. 44, 379-387,
Oct. 14, 2004

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Coke-Pepsi Challenge

 Started when neuroscientist, Read


Montague’s teenage daughter was working
in his lab one summer
 Research question:
– Why does Coke sell better than Pepsi even
though drinks very similar and blind taste tests
show nearly 50-50 split in preferences?

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Neural
Coke-Pepsi Challenge
 Research approach:
– Modified version of Pepsi challenge
– Volunteers tasted Coke and Pepsi with brand
names masked.
 Half chose Coke

 No matter which drink they chose the same


brain region showed increased activity
– Ventromedial prefrontal cortex
– Area associated with feelings of pleasure
and reward

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Neural Coke-Pepsi Challenge

 When people drank Coke that was


labeled as Coke, new brain regions
activated:
– Hippocampus
 Area involved in recall of emotional memories
– Dorsolateral prefrontal cortex
 Area linked to higher-level thought processes
 Sight of Coke seemed to spark positive
thoughts, memories, and associations
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Do consumers really get more enjoyment
from more expensive products?

 Plassmann et al. "Marketing Actions Can Modulate Neural


Representations of Experienced Pleasantness,"
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Jan.
14, 2008.
 11 Caltech graduate students sampled
wines during fMRI brain scans:
– $5 wine - told costs $5
– $5 wine - told costs $45
– $90 wine - told costs $90
– $90 wine - told costs $10
– $35 wine - told costs $35
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Do consumers really get more enjoyment
from more expensive products?

 Higher wine prices led to higher activity in


brain region that experiences pleasure
– medial orbitofrontal cortex (mOFC)
 Confirms previous evidence of perceived
relationship between price and quality

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Can we observe consumer behavior at
the level of individual neurons?
 Neurons and synapses are the basic
building blocks of the brain
 Different neurons are more active (“fire”
more often) for different neural tasks
 Average human brain has 86 billion neurons

120
Studies of individual neurons firing:
Can people control their fear?

 Moran Cerf, Eric Greenleaf, Tom Meyvis, and Vicki Morwitz,


(2015), "Using Single-Neuron Recording in Marketing:
Opportunities, Challenges, and an Application to Fear
Enhancement in Communications," Journal of Marketing
Research, 52 (4, August), 530-545.
 Ads sometimes use fear appeals to
discourage or encourage behavior
– Don’t use illegal drugs
– Use seat belts
– Don’t buy the competitor’s product
 Do these ads actually increase fear?
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Studies of individual neurons firing:
Can people increase their fear?
 We can identify neurons that fire more often
when people experience fear.
 When consumers are asked to increase
(decrease) their fear in response to an ad,
these neurons fire more (less) often.
 Consumers could only increase fear when
focus of ad is not already highly fearful.
– Climate change Spider

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Guardian
5.25.18

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l Neuroscience can improve our
understanding of human thought and
behavior.
l Neuroscience cannot:
– Read minds
– Reliably predict sales
– Tell you which ad is most persuasive
l Be careful of people who claim it can!
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Next Class
 Organizational Decision Making
– Mediquip case
 Segmentation
 Read Handout on Basic
Quantitative Analysis in Marketing
– Quantitative Marketing Assignment
due Friday, Jan. 11

125

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