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I NTRODUCTION

•What is sub-prime lending?



•Why sub-prime lending?
High interest rates (ARM-2/28)
Boom in realty sector

•When?
The dotcom bubble of 00 - 01 and 9 / 11
attacks drove the US FEDERAL RESERVE to
follow an ultra-easy monetary policy to curb
RECESSION

$
T he P articipants Of The C risis
•Lenders : The Biggest Culprits

•Investment Banks

•Homeowners

•Government and regulators

•Investor Behavior

•Hedge Funds



TRIGGER FOR SUB - PRIME CRISIS
ØRising inflation
ØHike in the interest rates
Ø

Source: Tuatara Management Limited, 4 July 2008 4


Causes
IMPACT OF SUB-PRIME CRISIS
Financial Tsunami

• American Home Mortgage, one


of the largest US
• Independent home loan providers,
filed for bankruptcy after laying off
the majority of its staff
• Northern Rock asked for and been
granted emergency financial
support from the Bank of England,
in the latter's role as lender of
last resort
• Lehman Brothers & Washington
Mutual Inc. filed for Ch11
• The Federal Reserve provided an
emergency loan of $85b to AIG
• British bank Bradford & Bingley
was nationalized by UK
government by taking control of
the bank’s £50b mortgages and
loans
• Banks uplift the loan requirement
• Organization not able to grow
• Financial crunch in world
• Low consumption leads to low
demand
• Low growth rate


RECESSION
Impact of SUBPRIME crisis on
INDIA
THE GOOD, BAD & UGLY
BANKING
Ø . SBI has a $5 million exposure to Lehman Bros. from its $250
billion portfolio.
Ø
Ø US sub-prime market crisis-losses worth $181 billion to the
world’s top 45 banks by the end of FY08.
Ø
Ø India’s largest private sector bank ICICI Bank was the first bank
to announce a loss of about Rs. 1056 crores owing to the sub
prime crisis of US in the FY08
Ø
Ø Punjab national Bank, Bank of India, State Bank of India, Bank
of Baroda were major banks having an exposure to the
instruments issued by Lehman and Merrill Lynch.
Ø
STOCK MARKETS
Ø July 23, 2007, Sensex touched a new high
of 15,733 points

Ø On July 27, 2007 Sensex witnessed a huge
correction because of selling by Foreign
Institutional Investors

Ø BSE Sensex fell by 615 points in a single
day on August 1, 2007.

FII’s

Ø FIIs’ stake in infrastructure, has seen an erosion of


4 per cent to 16.5 per cent
Ø
Ø IT service companies, which were languishing last
year due to the rupee appreciation, have once
again caught the fancy of FIIs and they have
increased stakes in these companies from 25.5
per cent to 28 per cent.
Ø
Ø FIIs’ exposure to telecom stocks has slipped
marginally from 17.7 per cent to 17.1 per cent.
Ø Citigroup, which reported around losses of $18
billion in the sub-prime crisis, reduced its
holdings in 47 companies
REAL ESTATE &
INFRASTRUCTURE
ØREAL ESTATE SECTOR
ØAdverse impact on the infrastructure companies as it disturbed the financial
atmosphere for the companies.
ØOver a period of time, fund raising by these companies could become a
problem.
Ø
ØIT SECTOR
IT slow downs:-
Foreign Institutional Investors(FII) Impact .
Rupee appreciation
Decrease in Foreign exchange
Job cuts
Reason, why india didn’t get much
Affected:-
•India is driven by domestic consumption
•Limitation on current /capital account
convertibility
•Low investment in US
•Agriculture , a major source of income
Lessons from the crisis
• Nothing goes on forever
• whenever there is a buildup in growth
rates of world economy and it is
sustainable for a couple of years, there is
an event, which slows down the
economies.

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