Professional Documents
Culture Documents
INVESTMENT DECISION
or
They denote a situation where
the lump-sum funds are invested
in the initial stages of a project
and the returns are expected
over a long period.
CAPITAL BUDGETING
DECISIONS Cont….
The capital budgeting decision
involves the entire process of
decision making relating to
acquisition of long-term assets
whose return are expected to
arise over a period beyond
one year.
BASIC NATURE OF CAPITAL
BUDGETING DECISION
Long - term decisions.
Involves one or few times
outflow of cash but promises a
future stream of cash inflows.
Involves huge amount of
investment.
Generally irreversible decision;
if tried then it is very costly to
undone it.
BASIC NATURE OF
CAPITAL BUDGETING
DECISION Cont…
Determines the assets side of a
firm’s balance sheet.
Determines the earning capacity of
a firm.
These decisions are highly risky.
These decisions are of strategic
importance.
These decisions are taken at
comparatively higher levels in the
management.
TYPES OF INVESTMENT
DECISIONS MADE BY A COMPANY
Project Selection
Decisions related to
renovation etc.
Purchase of Machines
Replacement of machines
Proper Evaluation of Capital
Budgeting Decisions requires…
One, proper estimation of cash
outlays; and
Second, proper estimation of
subsequent cash flows.
Third, proper choice of
selection criteria.
installation cost;
interest cost during construction
period; and
professional fees of architects and
engineers.
Such a cost be reduced by the
inflows from the sale of the old
asset.
SOME GUIDING RULES TO DETERMINE
RELEVANT CASH FLOWS
Rule#1: All costs and revenue generated before/prior to the
investment appraisal decisions should be ignored. It basically
means that ignore SUNK COST.
Rule#2: Ignore all non-incremental cashflows. That is, exclude all
those cashflows that would be there whether there is project or not.
Rule#3: All allocated costs should be ignored.
Rule#4: Any increase in net working capital due to a project should be
taken as a part of Project Cost.
SOME GUIDING RULES TO DETERMINE
RELEVANT CASH FLOWS (continued…)
Rule#5: Cost to the project of resources that a firm is
already having in its stock. Three possible options:
Historic Cost
Current Replacement Cost
Resale value or disposal value
Rule#6: The costs of those resources that are limited/scarce
but are in use in the firm for some other purpose should be
taken as their opportunity cost.
Rule#7: Remember that all the cash flows are to be
determined from the firm’s point of view and not from the
equity point of view.
Second, estimation of the
cash flows subsequently…
Estimation
Estimationof
ofrelevant
relevantcash
cashflows
flows
subsequently-some
subsequently
subsequently-some
subsequently guiding
guidingprinciples…
principles…
It requires determination of net cash flows
due to operation/use of the asset.
Ignore all financing cash flows and their
tax effects as capital budgeting decisions
are real decisions and hence, their analysis
should not be affected by the financing
decisions.
Cash flows should be determined as if
they are occurring to the firm and not to
shareholders.
Estimation of relevant cash
flows subsequently-some
subsequently
guiding principles… Cont…
Ignore all allocated expenses
Depreciation and all other non-cash
charges should be ignored.
Do not forget to take into account
the effect of an investment
decision on the remaining
business.
Estimation
Estimationof
ofrelevant
relevantcash
cashflows
flows
subsequently-some
subsequently
subsequently-some
subsequently guiding
guidingprinciples
principles
(continued)…
(continued)…
Take the net cash flows after tax
without recognizing the benefits of
tax on interest amount as the
discount rate used for discounting
future cash flows is determined
after tax.
Remember to incorporate the
opportunity cost of resources used
to generate cash flows and ignore
the sunk cost.
Classification of cash
flows
Original cash outflows
Installation Cost
Sunk Cost
Opportunity cost
Additional working capital
Requirement
Subsequent Inflows and outflows
Terminal cash inflows
Taxation and Cash Flows
All Financial Decisions are
subservient to Tax Laws. The cash
flows that are related to capital
decisions are the after tax cash
flows only. The after tax cash flows
resulting from a project are in fact
the relevant incremental cash
flows. These after tax cash flows
would not occur if the project is not
undertaken.
Treatment of Depreciation
Accounting Treatment- The
depreciation is provided for the
entire period for which the asset
has been used. At the time of
scraping the asset, the capital gain
or losses has to be adjusted in the
income of the year in which the
asset is discarded. Consequently
the capital gain or losses will have
its tax effect.
Treatment of Depreciation
Cont….
Depreciation is allowed on the
basis of block of assets under the
income tax Act,1961:
Block consisting of one asset-
1. In the terminal year, no
depreciation is allowed
2. The selling price/scrap value will
be compared with the WDV. The
difference between the two is
treated as short term capital gain
or loss and is treated as ordinary
income/loss.
Treatment of Depreciation
Cont….
Block consisting of more than one
asset—
1. When a new asset is purchased
and is added to the existing block
of asset, the cost of the new
asset is added to the opening
written down value of the block
and depreciation for that year is
provided on the total value.
2. At the time of acquisition of new
asset or even otherwise, any part
of the block
Treatment of Depreciation
Cont….
is sold or scrapped away then the
scrap value is deducted from the
opening written down value. The
depreciation is to be provided on
the net balance only.
2. There will not be any capital
gain/loss on the sale of asset
unless the entire block of asset is
scraped away.
Determination of relevant
cash inflows (Single
Proposal)
Cash Outflows
Cost of new project
+Installation Cost of Plant and
Equipment
+/- Working Capital Requirements
Cash Inflows
Cash Sales Revenues
Less cash operating cost
Cash inflows before Taxes (CFBT)
Less Depreciation
Taxable income
Determination of relevant
cash inflows (Single
Proposal) (continued)…
Taxable Income
Less Tax
Earning after taxes
Plus Depreciation
Cash inflows after Tax (CFAT)
Plus Salvage value (in Nth year)
Plus Recovery of Working Capital (in
nth year)
Determination of relevant
cash inflows (Replacement
Proposal)
Incremental Cash Outflows
Cost of the new Machine
+ Installation Cost
+/_ Working Capital
_ sale proceeds of existing Machine
Incremental Cash Inflows
Incremental Cash flows before Taxes
(CFBT)
Less TAXES
Incremental CFAT(a)
Determination of relevant
cash inflows (Replacement
Proposal) (continued)…
Incremental CFAT (a)
Add Depreciation (New- old)
Tax Saving on excess Depreciation (b)
Incremental CFAT (a+b)
+Working capital recovery in the terminal
(nth) Year
+Salvage Value in the terminal year
+ tax Advantage on short term capital loss
on sale of asset in the terminal year( if
the block of asset ceases to exist)
-Tax on short term capital gain
Third, proper selection
criteria …
TECHNIQUES OF EVALUATING
CAPITAL BUDGETING
DECISIONS
Techniques of capital budgeting decisions are
tools/ benchmarks/methods/decision-criterion
that helps in making a final choice for an
investment project.
They are only guides and means to final
decision-making.
All they do is help to communicate information
to the decision maker.
TECHNIQUES OF EVALUATING
CAPITAL BUDGETING
DECISIONS (continued)…
They can never replace
managerial judgements, but
they can help to make that
judgment more sound.
Two broad types of techniques
of evaluating capital budgeting
decisions:
Traditional Techniques
Modern Techniques
TECHNIQUES OF EVALUATING
CAPITAL BUDGETING
DECISIONS (continued…)
Traditional Techniques
Pay Back Period Method
Rate of Return on Investment Method
Modern Techniques
Net Present Value
Internal Rate of Return
Modified Internal Rate of Return
Profitability Index
Discounted Pay Back
Evaluation Techniques
Traditional Techniques:
Average Rate Of return: This method
is also called as accounting rate of
return method and is calculated on
accounting profits rather than cash
flows. There is no unanimity
regarding the definition but most
commonly acceptable is:
=Average Annual profits after
taxes/Average profits*100 Where:
Accounting Rate of return
Cont….
Average Investment=1/2(initial
investments-Salvage value)+
salvage value+ Net working capital
Annual average profits after taxes=
Total expected after tax
profits/Number of years
Accept–Reject decision: Projects
with higher ARR will be Preferred
to projects with lower ARR.
ARR- Shortcomings
It uses the accounting income
rather than cash flows.
It does not take into account the
time value of the money.
It does not differentiate between
the size of the investment required
for each project.
It does not take into consideration
the any benefits which can accru to
the firm from the sale of the
equipment which is replaced by the
new equipment.
Evaluation Techniques
Pay Back Method:
Annuity Cash Flows: PB= Initial
investment/ annual CFAT
Mixed Cash Flows: PB is calculated
by cumulating cash flows till the
cumulative cash flows equal the
initial investments.
Accept –Reject decision: Projects
with shorter pay back period will be
selected
Pay Back Method-
Shortcomings
It completely ignores all cash
inflows after the pay back period.
It does not distinquish the projects
in term of the timings or magnitude
of the cash flows as it does not
discounts the cash flows but rather
treat a rupee received in the
second or third year as valuable as
a rupee received in the first year.
It does not consider the entire life
of the project during which the
cash flows are generated.
ILLUSTRATION-1
The investment data for a new product are
as follows:
Capital outlay: Rs. 200,000
Depreciation : 25% p.a. on WDV basis
Forecasted annual income before charging
depreciation are as follows:
___________________________
Year 1 Rs. 100,000
2 100,000
3 80,000
4 80,000
5 40,000
____________________________
400,000
ILLUTRATION-1 contd.
On the basis of available data, set out
calculations, illustrating and comparing
the following methods of evaluating
capital budgeting decisions:
(a) PB method &
(b) Rate of Return on original investment.
Solution:
(a) PB period = Rs. I lakh, year 1 +
Rs. 1lakh, year 2 = 2 years
Solution to Illustration-1
Cont…….
(b) Rate of return on original investment
=Average income/Average
Investment*100 ={49,330(2,46,651/5
years)} /2,00,000*100 =24.7%
Rs.12,000
Rs.10,000
Rs.8,000
Rs.6,000
Rs.4,000
NPV
Rs.2,000
Rs.0
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
(Rs.2,000)
DISCOUNT RATE
(Rs.4,000)
WHAT SHOULD BE AN APPROPRIATE
DISCOUNT RATE …???
It also considers the total
benefits arising out of the
proposal over its life time
Changing discount rate can be
built into the NPV calculations
by altering the denominator.
NPV- Advantages Cont-
This feature is very important as
longer the time span, the lower
the value of money & higher
the discount rate.
This method is particularly
useful for the selection of
mutually exclusive projects.
The method is instrumental in
achieving the objective of
financial management i.e.
wealth maximisation.
NPV- Shortcomings
It is difficult to calculate as
compared to Pay-Back
method and Accounting Rate
of Return method.
The calculation of required
rate of return to discount the
cash flows poses a problem as
the discount rate is based on
the Cost of Capital, which is
complicated to calculate.
NPV- Shortcomings
It is an absolute measure as it
does not take into account the
initial capital outlay.
It does not give satisfactory
results in case of projects
having different effective lives.
Discounted Cash flow
Techniques
Internal Rate Of Return:
It is the discount rate at which the
present value of all the cash
inflows are equal to the present
value of all outflows. In other
words, it is the rate at which the
NPV is zero.r
Accept –Reject decision: Projects
with highest IRR will be selected.
Accept if r>k
Reject if r<k
Indifference r=k
Steps for the calculation of
IRR
Determine the average cash
inflows in the case of different cash
inflows.
Determine the fake pay back
period on the basis of average
cash flows.
In present value annuity table , in
the year row, find two PV values
closest to PB period but one
bigger and another smaller than it
and note corresponding interest
rates.
Steps for the calculation of
IRR Cont…
Determine the actual IRR by
interpolation formula:
IRR=r+ (DFrl-PB)/(DFrl-DFrh)
Where:
PB=Pay Back Period
r=Lower of the two interest rate.
DFrl= Discount factor for the lower
interest rate.
DFrh= Discount factor for the higher
interest rate.
Ilustration-2(Differential
cash flows)
Vinayak Ltd Investments X (70,000) Y (70,000)
whose cost of
capital is 10% is Cash inflows 10,000 50,000
considering two year 1
mutually Year 2 20,000 40,000
exclusive projects
X and Y, the Year 3 30,000 20,000
details of which
are:
Year 4 45,000 10,000
IRR=.27+370/1805= 27.204%
Ilustration-2 Project Y IRR
Year CFAT PV factor Total PV
0.37 0.38 0.37 0.38
1 50,000 0.730 0.725 36500 36250
2 40,000 0.533 0.525 21320 21000
3 20,000 0.389 0.381 7780 7620
4 10,000 0.284 0.276 2840 2760
5 10,000 0.207 0.200 2070 2070
Total 70510 69700
IRR=.37+510/810= 37.62%
Illustration -3(Annuity cash
flows)
A machine costing Rs.110 lakhs has
a life of 10 years, at the end of
which its scrap value is likely to be
Rs.10 lakhs. The firms cut of rate
is 12%. The machine is expected
to yield an annual profit after tax of
rs. 10 lakhs, depreciation is to be
provided on straight line basis.
Should the machine be installed.
Use NPV method as the decision
criteria.
Illustration -3(Annuity cash
flows)-Solution NPV
Profit after tax Rs. 10,00,000
Add Dep( 1,00,00,000/10 10,00,000
CFAT 20,00,000
PV Factor (12%,10 yrs.) *5.650
Total PV 1,13,00,000
Scrap value in 10th year 10,00,000
PV Factor * 0.322
Additional PV Value 3,22,000
Total PV 1,16,22,000
Project Cost 1,10,00,000
NPV 6,22,000
Illustration – 4 (Annuity
cash flows)- IRR
K 10 10 10
1 +2 0.909 1.818
Rs.3,000
Rs.2,500
Rs.2,000
Rs.1,500
NPV
Rs.1,000
Rs.500
Rs.0
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
(Rs.500)
DISCOUNT RATE
(Rs.1,000)
PROJECT - B
Rs.1,000
Rs.500
Rs.0
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
(Rs.500)
(Rs.1,000)
NPV
(Rs.1,500)
(Rs.2,000)
(Rs.2,500)
(Rs.3,000)
DISCOUNT RATE
(Rs.3,500)
PROJECT - C
Rs.50
Rs.0
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
(Rs.50)
(Rs.100)
(Rs.150)
NPV
(Rs.200)
(Rs.250)
(Rs.300)
DISCOUNT RATE
(Rs.350)
NPV vs PI
It is a
It is a relative
absolute method.
method.
The project is
The project is acceptable if
acceptable if PI is greater
NPV is than one & it
positive and will be more
rejected if it than one only
is negative. if NPV is +ve
& vice versa.
NPV vs PI
But in evaluating mutually
exclusive investment projects,
the two methods can give the
conflicting results. In that case
the best project is considered to
be that project which adds the
most to the wealth of the
shareholder. The NPV method
by definition select that project
and hence considered to be
superior.
Project selection under
Capital Rationing
It refers to the selection of
investment projects under
financial constraints in terms of
capital expenditure budget with
the objective to maximise total
NPV. It involves two stages:
Identification of acceptable
projects based on NPV/IRR/PI.
Selection of the combination of
projects based on whether the
projects are either indivisible
/divisible
Inflation and Capital
budgeting
The cash flow pattern will not reflect
the real purchasing power if
inflation rate has not been taken in
the calculation of cash flows. So
the present value of the cash flows
should be calculated at nominal
discount rate or inflation
adjusted discount rate =
(1+ inflation rate)*(1+Real discount
rate)-1 and
NPV={cash inflows/(1+rate of
inflation)}/(1+real rate of discount)-
cash outflows
Inflation and Capital
budgeting-illustration 10
A firm has a proposal involving the
cash outlay of Rs 1,00,000 with a
life of one year after which it
expects a cash inflow of Rs115000
Ko=10%. So NPV=4545. But if the
inflation rate during the same
period is 8%,resulting in the
decrease in the purchasing power
of money i.e115000/1.08=1,06,481
Now this is to be discounted at Ko i.e
10% giving NPV as -3,199.
Inflation and Capital
budgeting-illustration 10
Since CFAT of 1,15,000 is a
inflated sum, it is to be deflated
at the rate of inflation of 8% to
determine the real cash flows
which will be lower than nominal
cash flows. This is to be
discounted at Ko to find out the
present value of inflows, which
is coming out to be negative.
Hence the project should be
rejected.