ECONOMICS International Trade Theories Lecture 3 The Importance of Trade Theory Trade theory helps managers and government policymakers focus on three critical questions;
What products should we import and export?
How much should we trade? With whom should we trade?
While descriptive theories suggest a laissez-faire
treatment of trade, prescriptive theories suggest that governments should influence trade patterns. What is laissez- faire???? Trade and Investment Policies Import substitution: a policy of developing domestic industries to manufacture goods and provide services that would otherwise be imported
Strategic trade policy: the identification and
development of targeted domestic industries in order to improve their competitiveness at home and abroad International Trade Theories Interventionist Theories Meaning that government intervention in trade or trade related aspects; Mercantilism Neo-mercantilism
Free Trade Theories
Which supports the argument of nations should neither artificially limit imports or promote exports; Absolute advantage Comparative advantage International Trade Theories cont… Theories Explaining Patterns of Trade Theories which examine trade patterns such as; How much countries depend on trade, what products they trade and with which partner nations they trade, etc… Country Size Factor proportion Country similarity
Theories dealing with dynamics & stability of
countries Product Life Cycle Porter Diamond Interventionist Theories Interventionist trade theories prescribe government action with respect to the international trade process. Mercantilism: A theory that purports that a country’s wealth is measured by its holdings of treasure (usually gold) To amass a surplus (a favorable balance of trade), a country must export more than it imports and then collect gold and other forms of wealth from countries that run trade deficits (unfavorable balances of trade). Neomercantilism: the more recent strategy of countries that use protectionist trade policies in an attempt to run favorable balances of trade and/or accomplish particular social or political objectives. Free Trade Theories: Absolute Advantage Absolute advantage [Adam Smith, 1776]: A country can; (i) maximize its own economic well being by specializing in the production of those goods and services that it produces more efficiently than any other nation and (ii) Enhance global efficiency through its participation in free trade. Free Trade Theories: Absolute Advantage cont… Smith reasoned that: Workers become more skilled by repeating the same tasks Workers do not lose time in switching from the production of one kind of product to another Longer production runs provide greater incentives for the development of more effective working methods Natural vs. Acquired Advantages A natural advantage may exist because of: given climatic conditions access to particular resources the availability of labour, etc. An acquired advantage may exist because of: superior skills better technology greater capital assets, etc. Real income depends on the output of products as compared to the resources used to produce them. Free Trade Theories: Comparative Advantage Comparative advantage [David Ricardo, 1817]: A country can; (i) maximize its own economic wellbeing by specializing in the production of those goods and services it can produce relatively efficiently and (ii) enhance global efficiency via its participation in free trade. Free Trade Theories: Comparative Advantage cont... Ricardo also reasoned that: A country can simultaneously have an absolute and a comparative advantage in the production of a given product.
By concentrating on the production of the product in
which it has the greater advantage, a country can further enhance both global output and its own economic well- being Production Possibilities with comparative advantage Assumptions and Limitations of free trade theories The theories of absolute and comparative advantage both make assumptions that may not be entirely valid. Full employment of resources Exclusive pursuit of economic efficiency objectives Equitable division of gains from specialization Only two countries and two commodities Exclusion of transport costs A static rather than a dynamic view Exclusion of services Unrestricted factor mobility Theories Explaining Patterns of Trade: Country Size/How much a country trade? Large countries differ from small countries in at least two critical ways: Large countries tend to export a smaller portion of their output and import a small portion of their consumption. Large countries are more apt to have varied climates and a greater assortment of natural resources than smaller countries, thus making large countries more self-sufficient. Large countries tend to have higher transportation costs for exported and imported products. Given the same types of terrain and modes of transportation, the greater the distance, the higher the associated transport costs. Thus, firms in large countries often face higher transport costs in terms of sourcing inputs from and delivering outputs to distant foreign markets than do their closer foreign competitors. Leading 2003 Exporting and Importing Nations: Merchandise Trade Theories Explaining Patterns of Trade: Factor Proportions Theory/What type of products Factor proportions [Eli Heckscher, 1919; Bertil Ohlin, 1933]: Differences in a country’s relative endowments of land, labour, and capital explain differences in the cost of production factors. A country will tend to export products that utilize relatively abundant production factors because they are relatively cheaper than scarce factors. The composition of a country’s trade depends on both its natural and acquired advantages. With respect to the latter, both production and product technology can be very important. World Trade by Major Product Category as a Percentage of World Trade for Selected Years
Source: International Trade Statistics, 2004 (Geneva: World Trade Organization)
Country Similarity Theory When a firm develops a new product in response to observed conditions in its home market, it is likely to turn to those foreign markets that are most similar to its domestic market when commencing its initial international expansion activities. This tendency is reflective of: the cultural similarity of nations the similarity of national political/economic interests the economic similarity of industrialized countries Countries that are near to one another enjoy relatively lower transportation costs than those that are more distant, but they may or may not be similar with respect to culture, level of economic development, and/or political/economic interests. Product Life Cycle (PLC) Theory The optimal location for the production of certain types of goods and services shifts over time as they pass through the stages of: (i) introduction, (ii) growth, (iii) maturity, and (iv) decline. Exceptions to the typical pattern of the PLC would include: products that have very short life cycles luxury goods and services products that require specialized labour products that are differentiated from competitive offerings products for which transportation costs are relatively high During the decline stage, a product is often imported by the country where it was initially developed; however, the importing firm may or may not be the innovating firm. Porter’s Diamond of National Competitive Advantage [1990] The Porter Diamond theorizes that national competitive advantage is embedded in four determinants: factor endowments demand conditions related and supporting industries firm strategy, structure, and rivalry All four determinants are interlinked and generally must be favourable for a given national industry to attain global competitiveness. At times, determinants can be affected by the roles of chance and government. Implications/Conclusions Production factors are neither as mobile nor as immobile as theories assume. While the free trade theories of absolute and comparative advantage are descriptive in nature, the interventionist theories of mercantilism and neomercantilism are prescriptive in nature. The theories of country size, factor proportions, and country similarity help explain patterns of trade; the product life cycle and Porter’s Diamond help explain the dynamics of trade.