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ANTICIPATING 21ST CENTURY

CHANGES IN WORLD ORDER WITH


RELEVANCE TO INDIA

By
Red House
OUTLINE
• World order - Dimensions and players of the
erstwhile world order.
• Defining dimensions of 21st century world
order.
• Role of India in this changed world order
• Challenges for India
• Conclusion
WORLD ORDER
Hierarchical pecking of dominant countries and defining issues which
substantially determine the military, economic and political dynamics of
global affairs.

World has evolved


Military might
Fundamentally,
Economic strength
Dramatically
Technological innovations
and irrevocably esp.
Geographical advantage.
in post cold war era,

Single country could dominate no single country,, can address on


and dictate the others almost its own the issues that will
on all issues. dominate and define this new
world order.
Need of robust and reformed system for multilateral
transnational cooperation pivotal to new world order.
DIMENSIONS OF 21ST CENTURY WORLD ORDER

Rise of transnational threats

- From Terrorism to Pandemics to Climate Change


Mounting influence of Non – State Actors

•Political Grievance – e.g al – Qaeda


•Philanthropic institutions – Gates Foundation
•Civil Society actors
The Global Distribution of
power

•Political, Economic,
Demographic, Technological,
and to some degree military

•Shifting toward the


developing world

•Driven by the rise of China,


India, Brazil, and other
nations .
Spread of regional and sub-regional organizations

- Challenge is to ensure effective


“Burden Sharing”, rather than
unwarranted “Burden Shifting”
The increasing prominence of transnational
government networks –

The collaboration of transnational networks of government


officials from regulatory agencies, executives, legislatures, and
courts.
Evolving norms of sovereignty and intervention.

• Obligation not to commit atrocities against own population

•Prohibit sponsoring / providing safe haven to transnational


terrorist groups

•Duty to prevent proliferation of Weapons of Mass destruction


Specter of weak and failing states

The main threats to world security emanate less from states


with too much power (e.g., Nazi Germany) than from states
with too little (e.g., Afghanistan).
EMERGENCE OF INDIA

• Key economic player in global arena


• Functioning democracy and responsible nuclear
power.
• Demographic dividend-Skilled and Young
workforce.
• 1/6th of humanity.
• Growing Softpower
• With China, India integral part of Asian century.
CHALLENGES TO BE TAKEN UP BY INDIA
• Countering Transnational threats
– Terrorism
– Proliferation of Nuclear weapons
– Inland security
– Bio-security and global public health
• Protecting the Environment and ensuring
energy security.
– Global climate change
– Energy security
– Sustainable development
• Managing the global economy
– International financial system
– International trade
– Global development policy
• Preventing and responding to international
conflicts
– Preventing state failure and Internal conflicts
– Intervention and peace operations
– Peaceful periphery
CONCLUSION
• India’s rise is largely a question of ‘when’ and
not ‘if’.
• Success in meeting the domestic challenges
will eventually determine the trajectory of
India’s rise in 21st century and the strength of
role it will play in the new world order.

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